Dervy Ventura — OGILVIE

Dervy VenturaSS Inland Empire 66ers

Age 22 S/R 5'10" / 165 lbs A K +7%HR -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION460 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†64

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%33

BB%11

BABIP295

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$15M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.4	$1M	+$0.5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.3	$0.7M	+$0.2M
2034	Arb-1	$2M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$1.0M	—	—	—
Totals		$3M		$4M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	134	106	26	4	4	0	23	24	2	2	1	245	389	358	748	113	310	18	17	339	115	+2	+0	—	—	+3	0.5
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	—	226	194	57	7	6	2	27	27	3	11	6	294	388	423	811	129	329	12	12	362	131	+8	-0	—	—	+5	1.3
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	—	193	150	41	6	2	5	42	38	0	8	1	273	432	440	872	167	333	20	22	394	153	+12	+1	—	—	+4	1.8
2025	21	A	Modesto Nuts	—	440	366	101	21	1	3	65	96	1	41	7	276	386	363	749	87	362	22	15	340	116	+9	+5	—	—	+10	2.4
2025	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	—	18	18	4	1	0	0	0	6	0	2	0	222	222	278	500	56	333	33	0	222	37	-1	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	134	115	21	3	3	0	14	35	2	2	1	183	282	261	543	78	243	26	10	240	49	-8	+0	—	—	+3	-0.5
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	226	204	46	5	4	2	17	38	3	11	6	225	295	319	613	93	259	17	8	264	65	-9	-0	—	—	+5	-0.5
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	193	166	34	5	1	4	26	56	0	8	1	205	312	319	632	114	278	29	13	293	84	-4	+1	—	—	+4	0.2
2025	21	A MLE	Modesto Nuts	—	440	385	90	16	1	4	47	123	1	41	7	234	319	312	630	78	317	28	11	279	75	-13	+5	—	—	+10	0.2
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	134	115	21	3	3	0	14	35	2	2	1	183	282	261	543	78	256	26	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	134	106	26	4	4	0	23	24	2	2	1	245	389	358	748	113	310	18	17	339	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	226	204	46	5	4	2	17	38	3	11	6	225	295	319	613	93	265	17	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK RAW	DSL Mariners	—	226	194	57	7	6	2	27	27	3	11	6	294	388	423	811	129	329	12	12	362	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	193	166	34	5	1	4	26	56	0	8	1	205	312	319	632	114	280	29	13	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK RAW	ACL Mariners	—	193	150	41	6	2	5	42	38	0	8	1	273	432	440	872	167	333	20	22	394	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	458	401	94	17	1	4	49	128	1	43	7	234	319	312	631	77	330	28	11	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A RAW	2 teams	—	458	384	105	22	1	3	65	102	1	43	7	273	379	359	739	86	360	22	14	336	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	18	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	134	117	21	3	3	0	14	35	2	2	1	179	282	256	539	77	243	26	10	240	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	226	204	46	5	4	2	17	38	3	11	6	225	295	319	613	93	259	17	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	193	165	34	5	1	4	26	56	0	8	1	206	312	321	634	115	278	29	13	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	458	405	94	17	1	4	49	128	1	43	7	232	319	309	628	77	317	28	11	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	19	ROK MLE	DSL Mariners	—	226	204	46	5	4	2	17	38	3	11	6	225	295	319	613	93	259	17	8	264	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	20	ROK MLE	ACL Mariners	—	193	165	34	5	1	4	26	56	0	8	1	206	312	321	634	115	278	29	13	293	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	21	A MLE	2 teams	—	458	405	94	17	1	4	49	128	1	43	7	232	319	309	628	77	317	28	11	279	75	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	22	A MLE	SEA	—	460	404	80	13	2	6	50	162	0	35	11	198	286	285	571	87	308	35	11	260	62	-21	+3	+0	+5	+10	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	22	A RAW	SEA	—	460	381	94	17	3	7	70	121	0	35	11	247	361	362	723	115	339	26	15	328	62	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	22	A MLE	SEA	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	1	0	125	222	125	347		297	33	11	263	64	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	22	A MLE	SEA	—	469	412	81	13	2	6	51	165	0	36	11	197	285	282	567	85	306	35	11	260	62	-21	+3	+0	+5	+10	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	23	MLB MLE	SEA	34%	497	440	91	16	2	8	53	157	1	19	5	207	294	307	600	100	298	32	11	277	74	-15	+2	+0	+5	+11	0.2
2028	24	MLB MLE	SEA	46%	537	473	101	17	2	11	57	164	2	19	5	214	301	328	628	114	298	31	11	285	79	-13	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.6
2029	25	MLB MLE	SEA	52%	560	493	107	18	3	12	60	168	2	19	5	217	305	339	643	122	298	30	11	290	82	-12	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.8
2030	26	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	571	503	110	19	3	12	61	170	2	19	5	219	306	340	646	121	298	30	11	292	84	-11	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2031	27	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	572	503	110	19	3	12	62	171	2	18	5	219	307	340	647	121	298	30	11	292	84	-11	+2	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2032	28	MLB MLE	SEA	54%	569	500	109	19	3	12	62	171	2	17	5	218	307	340	647	122	297	30	11	291	83	-11	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.8
2033	29	MLB MLE	SEA	53%	560	492	105	18	2	12	61	169	2	15	4	213	303	331	634	118	297	30	11	289	82	-12	+1	-1	+6	+12	0.6
2034	30	MLB MLE	SEA	57%	550	483	102	17	2	11	60	167	2	13	4	211	301	323	624	112	296	30	11	287	80	-13	+1	-2	+6	+12	0.4
2035	31	MLB MLE	SEA	59%	536	470	98	17	2	10	59	165	2	12	3	209	299	317	616	109	294	31	11	283	78	-14	+1	-3	+6	+12	0.1
2036	32	MLB MLE	SEA	61%	518	455	94	16	2	10	56	161	2	10	3	207	296	316	613	110	291	31	11	278	74	-16	+1	-4	+6	+11	-0.2
2027	23	MLB CTX	SEA	34%	171	151	31	5	1	3	18	54	0	6	2	205	290	311	601	106	296	32	11	273	74	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2028	24	MLB CTX	SEA	46%	248	219	47	8	1	5	26	76	1	9	2	215	301	329	630	114	296	31	10	281	79	-6	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2029	25	MLB CTX	SEA	52%	289	255	54	9	1	6	31	87	1	10	3	212	300	325	625	114	295	30	11	285	82	-6	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2030	26	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	310	273	59	10	1	7	33	92	1	10	3	216	303	337	640	121	295	30	11	286	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2031	27	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	310	273	59	10	1	7	33	93	1	10	3	216	303	337	640	121	295	30	11	287	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2032	28	MLB CTX	SEA	54%	309	271	57	10	1	6	34	93	1	9	3	210	301	321	622	111	295	30	11	286	83	-6	+1	-0	+3	+7	0.4
2033	29	MLB CTX	SEA	53%	297	262	55	9	1	6	32	90	1	8	2	210	298	321	619	111	294	30	11	284	82	-6	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.3
2034	30	MLB CTX	SEA	57%	313	275	58	10	1	6	34	95	1	8	2	211	300	320	620	109	293	30	11	282	80	-7	+1	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2035	31	MLB CTX	SEA	59%	318	279	58	10	1	6	35	98	1	7	2	208	298	315	614	108	291	31	11	278	78	-9	+1	-2	+3	+7	0.1
2036	32	MLB CTX	SEA	61%	317	278	56	9	1	6	35	99	1	6	2	201	293	306	599	104	288	31	11	273	74	-10	+0	-2	+3	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2882	2536	534	90	10	58	311	877	9	83	24	211	299	323	622	112	294	30	11	282	79	-68	+7	-6	+31	+62	2.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	120	20	2	13	70	198	2	19	5	210	298	320	618	110	293	30	11	282	79	-15	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	6490	5706	1223	206	33	120	698	1923	25	226	59	214	303	325	628	111	298	30	11	284	79	-130	+15	-10	+59	+119	5.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	571	123	21	3	12	70	193	3	23	6	215	304	326	630	110	300	30	11	284	79	-15	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Yolmer Sánchezlast yr '19 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,438 PA	3.7	2,438	31	30	244	299	357	+9	+26	5.4	5.4
/162	664	8	8	+2.4	+7.2	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Everth Cabreralast yr '15 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,059 PA	3.1	2,059	12	136	247	316	328	+22	-1	5.1	5.1
/162	664	4	44	+7.1	-0.5	1.6	pk7: 5
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons	4.8	3,202	62	94	213	298	326	+34	+18	4.9	4.5
/162	664	13	20	+7.1	+3.7	1.0	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dervy Ventura (OGILVIE)	22	45	25	60	60	197/284/281	84	297	4	18	33%	11%	64	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→41	38→40	61→60	48	208/284/299	91	280	3	20	25%	8%	67	-1.1	208/276/283	75	319	2	18	32%	8%	60	-1.6	215/287/293	78	329	2	26	32%	8%	65	-0.6
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	35→30	54→60	52	209/291/266	57	279	3	25	24%	10%	63	-1.4	222/308/290	68	293	2	20	22%	10%	74	-0.5	235/336/301	66	302	0	28	19%	12%	86	+0.1
✕Hoy Park 2018 · A	22	43→49	39→45	58→55	46	205/275/296	91	274	6	17	26%	8%	63	-1.3	223/300/306	83	296	5	16	24%	9%	75	-0.5	228/317/324	96	297	8	17	24%	11%	83	+0.0
✕Gabriel Maciel 2022 · A	23	44→52	37→30	54→55	45	208/267/278	70	274	4	19	25%	7%	55	-1.9	220/279/301	81	282	5	13	22%	7%	65	-1.2	232/292/307	76	288	2	11	19%	7%	68	-0.4
✕Carlos Willoughby 2011 · A	22	50→44	36→40	62→60	49	232/308/311	79	296	2	28	21%	8%	78	-0.3	208/277/274	66	271	2	17	22%	8%	59	-1.7	199/272/257	58	258	1	17	21%	8%	50	-1.6
✕Jeremy Arocho 2022 · A	23	54→45	35→30	58→60	50	246/321/305	58	343	3	24	27%	10%	82	-0.0	218/322/275	57	295	2	30	23%	13%	77	-0.3	205/317/252	47	272	1	35	22%	14%	68	-0.7
✕Christian Cairo 2023 · A	22	39→46	39→40	53→60	49	181/288/262	81	287	6	16	35%	11%	63	-1.4	203/293/281	78	295	5	23	30%	10%	68	-1.0	205/292/276	72	294	4	31	28%	9%	64	-0.8
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	45→55	40→45	57→55	45	213/279/311	99	296	6	21	29%	8%	68	-1.0	250/308/354	104	323	7	26	23%	7%	88	+0.4	258/316/357	98	327	7	29	22%	7%	89	+0.4
✕Jose Curpa 2022 · A	22	40	36→30	58→55	46	185/273/254	70	286	2	24	33%	10%	54	-2.0	204/289/287	83	310	5	17	32%	9%	68	-1.0	191/292/252	60	291	4	23	31%	10%	59	-0.4
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2015 · A	22	47	36→40	59→65	54	219/305/291	72	275	2	31	20%	10%	74	-0.6	206/278/275	69	280	3	16	25%	8%	59	-1.6	170/237/218	48	234	0	10	25%	7%	27	-1.1
✕Wilmer Difo 2014 · A	22	43→53	38→45	53→55	49	207/273/288	81	260	5	18	22%	8%	61	-1.5	248/285/355	107	297	9	24	19%	4%	80	-0.2	238/302/342	104	297	8	11	22%	8%	78	-0.2
✕Junior Valera 2014 · A	21	47	36→40	58→60	48	218/284/296	79	282	1	19	22%	8%	66	-1.1	228/289/317	89	300	4	16	23%	8%	72	-0.7	245/306/339	94	314	6	23	22%	8%	80	-0.0
✕Bryce Johnson 2019 · A	23	47→53	35→45	57→60	43	213/280/279	66	319	2	20	32%	8%	61	-1.5	215/283/304	89	317	5	22	31%	8%	68	-1.0	232/311/335	103	321	8	29	28%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	43→44	40→45	55→50	50	207/291/305	98	286	7	16	28%	10%	72	-0.7	224/282/341	117	311	12	11	30%	7%	76	-0.4	229/272/354	124	311	15	8	31%	6%	72	-0.4
✕Luis Valdez 2022 · A	22	50→53	38→40	58→70	42	230/294/313	84	333	5	26	31%	7%	74	-0.5	213/264/277	64	329	3	44	34%	6%	54	-2.0	170/214/228	58	280	2	60	38%	5%	21	-1.5
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	44→46	41→40	55→60	45	214/280/320	106	278	7	20	25%	7%	70	-0.8	213/281/300	87	282	6	26	25%	7%	66	-1.1	204/276/285	81	269	7	32	25%	8%	59	-1.1
✕Jesus Galindo 2012 · A	21	45→51	34→30	57→65	50	206/291/259	54	283	2	29	26%	9%	61	-1.5	229/284/290	61	310	2	34	25%	6%	64	-1.3	235/286/299	64	320	2	38	25%	5%	64	-0.8
✕Nasim Nuñez 2022 · A	21	46→49	34→30	57→65	50	210/290/257	47	297	2	32	28%	10%	60	-1.6	211/298/266	55	304	3	41	28%	11%	65	-1.2	208/293/264	56	293	5	52	28%	10%	61	-1.2
✕Fernando Garcia 2010 · A	22	47	36→30	53→55	50	217/293/288	71	286	3	21	24%	9%	68	-1.0	206/266/276	70	280	3	15	26%	7%	55	-2.0	165/209/201	36	229	0	15	26%	4%	13	-1.7
✕Kelvin Alarcon 2021 · A	22	49	38→30	53→55	42	226/284/305	80	330	5	11	31%	7%	68	-1.0	204/264/264	60	321	3	7	34%	7%	51	-2.2	189/252/221	32	302	0	6	34%	8%	35	-0.8

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps