Dervy Ventura — OGILVIE

Dervy VenturaSS Inland Empire 66ers

Age 22 S/R 5'10" / 165 lbs A HR +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036 peak 1.7 · 2030

wRC+†51

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .298 / .308

PA320

HR4

SB10

K%26

BB%10

MLB%0%

Scouting · now → future

HIT

45→45

PWR

25→25

SPD

60→60

EYE

59↗60

trajectory · 10 yrs

1.7peak

2030

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Arb-3	$0.9M	+1.7	$16M	+$15M
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+1.6	$15M	+$14M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+1.4	$14M	+$13M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+1.1	$11M	+$9M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$3M	+0.8	$4M	+$1M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$2M	+0.5	$3M	+$0.2M
Totals		$11M		$63M	+$52M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	134	116	20	3	2	0	13	36	2	2	1	.172	.267	.233	.500	.060	.244	27	10	.236	39	-9	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.4
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	226	205	45	4	4	1	16	38	3	11	6	.220	.286	.293	.578	.073	.262	17	7	.264	60	-10	-0	+0	+2	+6	-0.2
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	193	165	35	5	1	5	27	56	0	8	1	.212	.323	.345	.668	.133	.286	29	14	.301	89	-3	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.6
2025	21	A	2 teams	458	401	93	16	1	4	49	127	1	43	7	.232	.317	.307	.624	.075	.325	28	11	.280	72	-14	+6	+0	+5	+13	1.0
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
2026	22	A	Inland Empire 66ers	75	71	12	3	1	1	3	35	0	2	2	.169	.203	.282	.484	.113	.306	47	4	.195	7	-8	-0	+0	+1	+2	-0.5
ROS	22	MLB	SEA	245	219	46	8	2	3	23	72	1	8	2	.210	.288	.306	.594	.096	.290	29	9	.269	64	-10	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.0
TOT	22	MLB	SEA	320	290	58	11	3	4	26	107	1	10	4	.200	.268	.300	.568	.100	.298	33	8	.251	51	-18	+0	+0	+3	+9	-0.5
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	23	MLB 11%	SEA	487	435	96	17	3	9	47	105	2	15	5	.221	.300	.336	.635	.115	.271	22	10	.288	79	-12	+1	+0	+5	+14	0.9
2028	24	MLB 26%	SEA	526	467	106	19	3	11	52	112	2	15	5	.227	.307	.351	.658	.124	.273	21	10	.296	84	-9	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.3
2029	25	MLB 43%	SEA	548	485	111	20	3	12	55	116	3	15	5	.229	.311	.357	.668	.128	.274	21	10	.300	88	-7	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.5
2030	26	MLB 58%	SEA	559	494	113	20	3	12	57	119	3	15	5	.229	.312	.354	.667	.126	.275	21	10	.303	90	-6	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.7
2031	27	MLB 76%	SEA	562	496	114	21	3	12	58	120	3	15	4	.230	.314	.357	.671	.127	.275	21	10	.303	90	-6	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.7
2032	28	MLB 84%	SEA	558	492	112	20	3	12	58	120	3	14	4	.228	.313	.354	.666	.126	.275	22	10	.302	89	-7	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.6
2033	29	MLB 90%	SEA	550	485	110	20	3	12	57	120	3	13	3	.227	.312	.355	.667	.128	.274	22	10	.299	87	-8	+1	-1	+6	+16	1.4
2034	30	MLB	SEA	540	476	106	19	3	11	56	120	3	12	3	.223	.308	.345	.653	.122	.273	22	10	.296	85	-9	+1	-2	+6	+15	1.1
2035	31	MLB	SEA	526	464	102	18	3	10	55	119	2	10	2	.220	.305	.336	.641	.116	.271	23	10	.293	82	-11	+1	-3	+6	+15	0.8
2036	32	MLB	SEA	508	448	98	17	3	10	53	117	2	9	2	.219	.304	.337	.641	.118	.270	23	10	.288	79	-12	+1	-4	+5	+14	0.5
2037	33	MLB	SEA	478	424	89	16	2	8	49	114	2	8	1	.210	.295	.314	.608	.104	.268	24	10	.283	74	-14	+1	-4	+5	+14	0.2
2038	34	MLB	SEA	431	382	79	14	2	7	44	106	2	7	1	.207	.292	.309	.601	.102	.266	25	10	.276	70	-15	+1	-5	+5	+12	-0.2
2039	35	MLB	SEA	377	335	69	12	2	6	38	97	1	6	0	.206	.289	.307	.596	.101	.264	26	10	.269	64	-15	+1	-6	+4	+11	-0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			7906	6989	1544	269	46	145	807	1814	38	226	57	.221	.305	.335	.640	.114	.276	23	10	.290	80	-178	+22	-25	+85	+224	13.0
/ 162G	—			650	575	127	22	4	12	66	149	3	19	5	.221	.304	.336	.640	.115	.275	23	10	.290	80	-15	+2	-2	+7	+18	1.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	18	ROK	DSL Mariners	134	106	26	4	4	0	23	24	2	2	1	.245	.389	.358	.748	.113	.310	18	17	.339	117	+3	+0	—	—	+4	0.7
2023	19	ROK	DSL Mariners	226	194	57	7	6	2	27	27	3	11	6	.294	.388	.423	.811	.129	.329	12	12	.362	135	+9	-0	—	—	+6	1.6
2024	20	ROK	ACL Mariners	193	150	41	6	2	5	42	38	0	8	1	.273	.432	.440	.872	.167	.333	20	22	.394	159	+13	+1	—	—	+5	2.0
2025	21	A	Modesto Nuts	440	366	101	21	1	3	65	96	1	41	7	.276	.386	.363	.749	.087	.362	22	15	.340	119	+9	+5	—	—	+12	2.8
2025	21	INTL	Leones del Escogido	18	18	4	1	0	0	0	6	0	2	0	.222	.222	.278	.500	.056	.333	33	0	.222	28	-1	+0	—	—	+1	-0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Dervy Ventura (OGILVIE)	22	45	25	60	60	.215/.298/.308	.093	.288	4	10	26%	10%	72	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jeremy Arocho 2022 · A	23	54→43	36→30	57→60	49	.245/.317/.305	.060	.339	3	23	27%	9%	78	+0.2	.219/.322/.276	.057	.299	2	29	24%	13%	74	-0.1	.202/.315/.249	.047	.271	1	35	22%	14%	62	-0.6
✕Jakob Marsee 2023 · A	22	45→47	43→45	57→60	53	.214/.313/.328	.115	.295	9	20	28%	11%	84	+0.6	.215/.314/.338	.123	.272	13	32	24%	11%	87	+0.8	.209/.308/.338	.130	.260	14	40	24%	11%	81	+0.5
✕Roberto Caro 2016 · A	22	44→39	38→40	61→60	48	.207/.284/.298	.091	.280	3	20	26%	8%	63	-0.9	.210/.279/.286	.076	.314	2	18	31%	8%	57	-1.2	.219/.291/.296	.077	.328	2	26	31%	8%	63	-0.4
✕Dalton Pompey 2014 · A	21	44→54	40→45	57→55	46	.212/.280/.309	.097	.289	6	21	28%	8%	63	-0.8	.250/.309/.355	.105	.324	7	26	23%	7%	87	+0.8	.260/.318/.360	.100	.329	7	29	22%	7%	88	+0.8
✕Imbewer Alvarez 2008 · A	22	47	40	51→55	46	.225/.293/.318	.094	.300	7	17	26%	8%	72	-0.2	.201/.260/.278	.077	.307	5	12	34%	6%	47	-1.9	.135/.182/.184	.049	.223	4	5	40%	2%	-12	-1.0
●Maikel Garcia 2022 · A	22	50→56	39→45	58→60	50	.237/.300/.330	.093	.298	5	21	21%	8%	77	+0.1	.243/.299/.343	.100	.308	7	27	22%	7%	80	+0.4	.251/.312/.364	.113	.295	9	27	17%	8%	88	+1.0
✕Carlos Willoughby 2011 · A	22	50→41	36→40	62→60	50	.232/.310/.308	.076	.297	2	28	21%	8%	76	+0.1	.204/.270/.269	.065	.263	2	18	21%	7%	49	-1.8	.190/.258/.245	.055	.244	1	17	21%	7%	35	-1.9
✕Brainer Bonaci 2023 · A	21	44→45	40→45	55→50	50	.208/.290/.307	.098	.287	7	16	28%	10%	68	-0.5	.222/.281/.341	.119	.304	12	11	29%	7%	72	-0.2	.227/.267/.356	.130	.303	16	8	30%	5%	67	-0.3
✕Nolan Fontana 2013 · A	22	46→43	41→40	53→50	60	.213/.329/.315	.101	.288	7	14	26%	14%	88	+0.9	.208/.315/.303	.095	.304	6	11	29%	13%	79	+0.3	.201/.310/.291	.090	.296	4	9	29%	13%	71	-0.2
✕Adrian Abreu 2013 · A	22	45	40	52→55	53	.215/.292/.302	.087	.252	8	18	18%	9%	67	-0.5	.204/.282/.287	.083	.261	6	14	23%	9%	59	-1.1	.141/.245/.214	.074	.184	4	14	24%	11%	24	-0.7
✕Nicky Lopez 2017 · A	22	47→57	42→40	56→55	51	.229/.303/.336	.107	.265	9	17	17%	8%	81	+0.4	.248/.301/.331	.083	.281	5	14	13%	6%	77	+0.1	.256/.317/.334	.078	.294	4	14	13%	8%	82	+0.4
✕Cesar Diaz 2016 · A	23	51	39→40	57→50	57	.239/.315/.334	.095	.268	4	22	13%	9%	85	+0.7	.219/.283/.308	.089	.262	6	16	18%	8%	64	-0.8	.208/.263/.285	.078	.246	7	15	18%	6%	46	-0.9
✕Cliff Pennington 2006 · A	22	48→55	38→45	52→55	50	.226/.290/.305	.079	.274	6	19	19%	8%	67	-0.5	.217/.286/.297	.080	.267	5	16	19%	9%	63	-0.8	.244/.307/.348	.104	.291	7	24	18%	8%	82	+0.5
✕Tsung-Che Cheng 2023 · A	22	48→47	42→45	56→55	51	.227/.310/.344	.116	.304	8	21	26%	10%	85	+0.7	.216/.281/.331	.115	.291	10	19	27%	8%	70	-0.3	.203/.267/.306	.103	.276	9	19	28%	7%	55	-1.1
✕Jenner Emeterio 2014 · A	21	45	36→30	54→60	51	.210/.290/.269	.060	.280	4	23	25%	10%	59	-1.1	.222/.308/.288	.066	.293	2	21	22%	10%	71	-0.3	.235/.336/.301	.066	.302	0	28	19%	12%	85	+0.3
✕Rodolfo Penalo 2015 · A	22	47	36→40	59→65	53	.217/.300/.288	.072	.271	2	30	20%	10%	67	-0.5	.206/.280/.274	.068	.278	2	17	24%	8%	55	-1.4	.170/.237/.218	.048	.234	0	10	25%	7%	17	-1.1
✕Geraldo Quintero 2023 · A	21	44→45	41→40	55→60	45	.210/.275/.315	.105	.273	7	20	25%	7%	63	-0.8	.209/.273/.297	.088	.277	7	26	25%	7%	58	-1.2	.198/.268/.283	.085	.261	8	32	26%	7%	49	-1.2
●Leo Rivas 2019 · A	21	44→54	37→40	52→65	51	.204/.293/.279	.075	.289	4	14	28%	10%	62	-0.9	.196/.276/.281	.085	.293	6	9	32%	9%	56	-1.3	.238/.354/.331	.093	.320	9	44	25%	14%	100	+1.2
✕Leon Johnson 2008 · A	23	49	40	58→60	50	.230/.303/.328	.098	.298	6	21	24%	9%	79	+0.3	.220/.286/.297	.077	.280	4	17	21%	7%	63	-0.9	.202/.266/.223	.021	.248	0	22	17%	6%	32	-0.7
✕Kevin Encarnacion 2013 · A	21	46	39→40	52→55	53	.218/.296/.305	.087	.268	5	17	20%	9%	69	-0.4	.219/.289/.312	.093	.280	7	11	23%	8%	69	-0.4	.226/.279/.297	.071	.294	6	7	24%	5%	55	-0.5

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)