Drew Swift — OGILVIE

Drew SwiftSS Las Vegas Aviators

Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs AAA HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033

2026 ROS PROJECTION305 act + 203 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.215 / .293 / .276

PA203

HR1

SB7

K%30

BB%9

BABIP318

ISO61

MLB%10%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2028

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2033

First FA Year 2034

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	—	—	—
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-0.7M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	118	96	13	3	0	1	17	46	2	12	1	135	278	198	476	62	240	39	14	230	34	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	118	92	16	5	0	1	21	34	2	12	1	174	339	261	600	87	259	29	18	285	77	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	256	231	50	7	1	1	20	81	4	21	2	216	290	268	559	52	327	32	8	253	52	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	256	221	56	8	1	1	30	61	4	21	2	253	353	312	665	59	344	24	12	310	96	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	3 teams	—	343	312	63	11	3	0	24	116	3	9	3	202	265	256	522	54	321	34	7	232	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	24	AA	3 teams	—	343	299	74	14	4	0	37	85	3	9	3	247	336	321	657	74	346	25	11	301	88	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	32	29	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	172	250	207	457	34	263	31	9	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	25	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	32	29	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	172	250	207	457	34	263	31	9	219	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	460	417	83	13	1	1	32	149	2	20	3	199	259	242	502	43	305	32	7	227	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	26	AA	2 teams	—	460	400	99	17	2	2	49	116	2	20	3	247	333	315	648	68	342	25	11	294	84	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	27	AAA	OAK	—	305	268	63	10	1	1	35	93	1	13	3	235	326	291	617	56	354	30	11	279	72	-10	+1	+0	+3	+9	0.4
YTD	27	AAA	OAK	—	305	254	70	12	1	1	49	72	1	13	3	276	395	343	737	67	379	24	16	343	121	+7	+1	+0	+3	+9	2.1
ROS	27	AAA	OAK	10%	203	181	39	6	1	1	19	62	1	7	2	215	293	276	569	61	317	30	9	259	56	-10	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.1
ROS	27	MLB	OAK	10%	20	18	4	1	0	0	2	6	0	1	0	222	300	278	578	56	314	30	10	255	53	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	-0.0
FULL	27	AAA	OAK	—	325	286	67	11	1	1	37	99	1	14	3	234	324	290	614	56	353	30	11	278	71	-11	+2	+0	+3	+9	0.4
TOT	27	AAA	OAK	—	508	449	102	16	2	2	54	155	2	20	5	227	313	285	598	58	340	30	11	271	66	-20	+2	+0	+5	+14	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	28	MLB	OAK	31%	333	298	65	11	1	2	31	99	1	10	2	218	294	282	576	64	313	30	9	264	60	-15	+1	-1	+4	+9	-0.2
2028	29	MLB	OAK	40%	352	314	68	12	1	2	33	104	2	10	2	217	295	280	575	64	311	30	9	266	62	-15	+1	-1	+4	+10	-0.2
2027	28	MLB	OAK	31%	103	92	20	3	0	1	10	31	0	3	1	217	294	283	577	65	311	30	10	259	56	-5	+0	-0	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	29	MLB	OAK	40%	139	124	26	4	0	1	13	41	1	4	1	210	290	266	556	56	309	29	9	261	58	-7	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	262	234	50	8	0	2	25	78	1	8	2	214	292	274	566	60	308	30	10	260	57	-13	+1	-1	+3	+7	-0.3
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	124	20	0	5	62	194	2	20	5	213	291	274	565	60	307	30	10	260	57	-32	+2	-2	+7	+18	-0.6
Career	—			—	2097	1878	386	64	8	8	179	667	15	90	15	206	280	261	541	55	312	32	9	243	44	-132	+12	-2	+22	+59	-4.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	119	20	2	2	55	207	5	28	5	204	279	256	535	52	311	32	8	243	44	-41	+4	-1	+7	+18	-1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2021	22	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	118	92	16	5	0	1	21	34	2	12	1	174	339	261	600	87	259	29	18	285	77	-3	+2	—	—	+3	0.2
2022	23	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	256	221	56	8	1	1	30	61	4	21	2	253	353	312	665	59	344	24	12	310	96	-1	+3	—	—	+7	1.0
2023	24	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	292	261	66	10	4	0	26	73	1	5	2	253	323	322	645	69	351	25	9	292	82	-6	+0	—	—	+8	0.2
2023	24	A+	Lansing Lugnuts	—	27	23	5	2	0	0	4	9	0	2	1	217	333	304	638	87	357	33	15	299	87	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.0
2023	24	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	24	15	3	2	0	0	7	3	2	2	0	200	500	333	833	133	250	12	29	409	171	+2	+0	—	—	+1	0.3
2024	25	INTL	Mesa Solar Sox	—	32	29	5	1	0	0	3	10	0	1	0	172	250	207	457	34	263	31	9	219	26	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	26	AAA	Las Vegas Aviators	—	169	151	48	9	0	2	16	45	0	5	1	318	383	417	800	99	442	27	9	357	132	+6	+1	—	—	+5	1.2
2025	26	AA	Midland RockHounds	—	291	249	51	8	2	0	33	71	2	15	2	205	303	253	556	48	283	24	11	258	56	-15	+2	—	—	+8	-0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	9	1,844	19	2	219	297	308	+17	+52	5.6	5.8
#1Paul Bakolast yr '09 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,844 PA	/162	664	7	1	219	297	308	+6.1	+18.7	2.0	pk7: 6
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	6	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.2	4.2
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	/162	664	13	20	225	280	350	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Tony Gwynn Jr.last yr '14 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,749 PA	7	1,749	7	77	239	310	313	+1	+35	4.1	4.1
	/162	664	3	29	239	310	313	+0.5	+13.1	1.6	pk7: 4
#4Gary Bennettlast yr '07 career totals — 8 seasons, 1,703 PA	8	1,703	20	6	239	301	327	+17	+6	2.6	2.6
	/162	664	8	2	239	301	327	+6.7	+2.4	1.0	pk7: 3
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	1	268	2	8	215	289	278	+3	+3	-0.1	-0.1
	/162	664	4	19	215	289	278	+7.1	+7.4	-0.3	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Drew Swift (OGILVIE)	27	35	25	55	50	227/313/285	58	340	2	20	30%	11%	66	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jake Palomaki 2022 · AA	27	42	35→30	50	49	197/273/256	58	262	2	18	24%	8%	47	-1.9	234/299/306	72	303	4	14	22%	7%	71	-0.3	261/323/314	53	331	3	14	20%	7%	79	+0.2
✕Errol Robinson 2022 · AAA	27	41→47	38→40	47→55	43	194/261/270	76	292	6	13	34%	8%	46	-2.0	208/279/278	70	327	5	20	34%	8%	56	-1.3	204/277/255	51	317	3	26	33%	8%	45	-0.7
✕Evan Mendoza 2023 · AAA	27	43→51	36→30	50	46	203/259/265	62	260	4	18	23%	7%	43	-2.2	215/268/308	93	270	10	17	23%	7%	58	-1.2	202/245/262	60	254	10	21	24%	5%	33	-0.6
✕Chris Rabago 2019 · AA	26	42	38→40	54→55	43	199/256/282	83	271	4	18	27%	6%	46	-2.0	189/251/275	86	266	7	14	30%	7%	43	-2.2	157/227/221	64	233	6	11	33%	7%	17	-1.3
✕Mickey McDonald 2022 · AAA	27	46→48	37→30	57→50	43	212/279/285	73	301	4	17	29%	7%	57	-1.2	229/301/318	89	316	7	16	27%	8%	76	+0.0	233/314/304	71	326	5	16	27%	8%	72	-0.1
✕Shannon Wilkerson 2015 · AAA	27	46→48	37→40	51→55	41	219/261/300	81	285	4	15	24%	5%	52	-1.6	230/271/310	80	286	4	12	20%	5%	59	-1.1	242/281/309	67	291	3	13	17%	5%	58	-0.4
✕Jack Reinheimer 2019 · MLB	27	46→51	38→40	49→55	44	218/272/292	74	286	5	16	25%	6%	55	-1.4	212/263/300	88	281	8	18	26%	6%	54	-1.4	196/246/269	72	264	6	19	27%	5%	36	-1.3
✕Khayyan Norfork 2017 · AA	28	46→44	36→40	49→50	41	214/267/279	65	291	3	11	26%	5%	50	-1.8	214/274/295	81	286	7	7	26%	6%	57	-1.2	207/269/280	73	271	9	3	26%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Ian Parmley 2016 · AA	26	43	35→30	50	46	202/263/254	52	276	3	13	26%	8%	42	-2.3	227/268/291	64	330	3	15	30%	5%	53	-1.5	239/273/297	58	348	2	17	31%	4%	52	-0.6
✕Richard Lewis 2007 · AAA	27	45	37→40	51→50	42	214/264/290	76	280	4	15	24%	6%	51	-1.7	215/258/299	84	275	7	10	24%	5%	51	-1.7	203/241/270	67	257	6	4	23%	4%	35	-1.8
✕Alfredo Lopez 2016 · AA	26	46	36→30	48→50	47	218/278/286	68	274	3	14	21%	7%	56	-1.3	245/288/316	71	293	4	16	17%	5%	68	-0.5	272/308/321	49	317	2	19	14%	5%	72	-0.1
✕Chris Diaz 2018 · AA	27	44	35→30	46→45	45	205/267/267	62	265	2	8	23%	7%	47	-1.9	200/263/258	58	277	4	8	27%	7%	43	-2.2	175/241/181	5	249	0	5	27%	7%	12	-1.9
✕Simon Whiteman 2023 · AA	26	39→44	36→30	58→55	42	181/261/245	65	297	4	26	37%	9%	40	-2.4	198/267/279	81	291	6	19	31%	8%	50	-1.7	189/255/261	72	261	6	20	28%	8%	38	-1.0
✕Jonathan Schuerholz 2007 · AAA	27	41→47	36→30	48→45	42	196/246/260	65	253	4	8	24%	6%	36	-2.7	202/258/295	93	258	9	13	24%	6%	51	-1.7	175/242/259	85	213	9	22	22%	6%	35	-0.8
✕Joel Booker 2021 · AAA	27	45→49	39→40	51→55	39	214/270/299	85	302	7	19	30%	5%	57	-1.2	198/236/300	102	321	10	21	40%	4%	43	-2.2	156/175/240	84	265	10	33	45%	1%	-2	-1.8
✕Stephen Perez 2018 · AAA	27	41→47	38→30	50	46	197/266/273	75	263	6	13	26%	8%	49	-1.8	209/278/289	80	298	7	14	30%	8%	58	-1.2	189/268/197	8	288	0	18	31%	9%	31	-0.6
✕Heiker Meneses 2018 · AAA	27	48→51	35→40	49→55	36	225/263/282	57	324	2	15	30%	4%	48	-1.9	208/259/278	70	294	5	10	29%	5%	46	-2.0	166/229/190	23	234	2	4	28%	6%	8	-1.7
✕Francisco Williams 2019 · AAA	27	47	37→30	47→45	40	223/273/293	70	303	5	9	27%	5%	56	-1.3	231/264/343	112	290	13	11	25%	4%	66	-0.6	236/240/307	72	281	14	5	22%	1%	40	-0.4
✕Brantley Bell 2023 · AAA	28	41→42	39→40	52→55	39	201/246/287	86	279	6	14	30%	5%	43	-2.2	210/260/322	112	330	10	16	37%	6%	59	-1.1	164/214/251	87	293	7	25	44%	5%	19	-0.7
✕Yadiel Rivera 2019 · MLB	27	37→47	38→45	46→50	39	184/239/256	72	270	6	8	33%	6%	33	-2.9	217/255/317	100	318	11	17	34%	4%	54	-1.4	222/246/322	99	331	13	23	36%	3%	49	-1.1