Drew SwiftSS Las Vegas Aviators
Age 27 R/R 6'0" / 165 lbs AAA HR -6%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2033
wRC+†52
AVG/OBP/SLG.198 / .262 / .263
PA250
HR2
SB6
K%32
BB%7
MLB%10%
BAT: -13.6 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-14BATRUN: +1.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +7.1 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.30-0.3WAR
Scouting · nowfuture
HIT
3535
PWR
2525
SPD
5555
EYE
4950
trajectory · 10 yrs
-0.1peak
2027

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2028
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2033
First FA Year   2034
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2028
2028Pre-Arb$0.8M
2029Arb-1$0.8M
2030Arb-2$0.9M
2031Arb-3$0.2M
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.4M
2033Ext / FA-deal$0.6M
Totals $-6M $-15M -$10M
Why some years run red
On long-term deals the salary is locked in regardless of how the player ages. Late years are red whenever projected production drops below the AAV — that's expected, not a sign the deal is bad. The honest scorecard is the Net Surplus over the whole contract, not any single year.

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 A+Lansing Lugnuts 11897 14401 16462 121 .144.278.216.495 .072.255 3914 .225 30 -9 +2 +0 +1 +3 -0.3
202223 A+Lansing Lugnuts 256230 52711 21774 212 .226.302.278.580 .052.333 308 .257 55 -13 +3 +0 +3 +7 0.0
202324 AA3 teams 343312 631130 241133 93 .202.265.256.522 .054.317 337 .235 38 -24 +1 +0 +4 +10 -1.0
202425 INTLMesa Solar Sox 3229 5100 3100 10 .172.250.207.457 .034.263 319 +0 +0
202526 AA2 teams 460416 841311 331502 203 .202.264.245.509 .043.311 337 .233 36 -33 +3 +0 +5 +13 -1.3
▸ 2026 Season (actual · ROS · total)
202627 AAALas Vegas Aviators 8576 17210 9280 20 .224.306.276.582 .053.354 3311 .262 59 -4 +0 +0 +1 +2 -0.0
ROS27 MLBOAK 165150 31511 13531 41 .207.274.273.548 .067.306 328 .249 49 -10 +0 +0 +2 +5 -0.3
TOT27 MLBOAK 250226 48721 22811 61 .212.285.274.559 .062.324 329 .253 52 -14 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202728 MLB 20%OAK 333299 641023 30881 81 .214.288.291.579 .077.289 269 .264 60 -15 +1 -1 +4 +9 -0.2
202829 MLB 33%OAK 352316 671123 31932 71 .212.287.288.575 .076.289 269 .266 62 -15 +1 -1 +4 +10 -0.2
202930 MLB 43%OAK 363326 691123 32962 71 .212.286.285.571 .074.288 269 .266 62 -16 +1 -2 +4 +10 -0.3
203031 MLB 52%OAK 358321 671123 32962 60 .209.285.283.568 .075.286 279 .264 60 -16 +1 -3 +4 +10 -0.4
203132 MLB 64%OAK 345309 651123 31942 50 .210.287.288.575 .078.285 279 .259 57 -17 +1 -4 +4 +10 -0.6
203233 MLB 73%OAK 318286 58922 28891 40 .203.276.269.545 .066.284 289 .254 53 -17 +1 -4 +3 +9 -0.8
203334 MLB 91%OAK 277250 50812 24801 30 .200.273.264.537 .064.282 299 .248 48 -16 +1 -5 +3 +8 -1.0
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 37203341 6891121923 318108523 10713 .206.280.272.552 .066.296 299 .251 50 -210 +16 -20 +40 +105 -7.0
/ 162G 650584 1202034 561904 192 .205.280.271.550 .065.295 299 .251 50 -37 +3 -3 +7 +18 -1.2

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202122 A+Lansing Lugnuts 11892 16501 21342 121 .174.339.261.600 .087.259 2918 .285 77 -3 +2 +3 0.2
202223 A+Lansing Lugnuts 256221 56811 30614 212 .253.353.312.665 .059.344 2412 .310 96 -1 +3 +7 1.0
202324 AAMidland RockHounds 292261 661040 26731 52 .253.323.322.645 .069.351 259 .292 82 -6 +0 +8 0.2
202324 A+Lansing Lugnuts 2723 5200 490 21 .217.333.304.638 .087.357 3315 .299 87 -0 +0 +1 0.0
202324 ROKACL Athletics 2415 3200 732 20 .200.500.333.833 .133.250 1229 .409 171 +2 +0 +1 0.3
202425 INTLMesa Solar Sox 3229 5100 3100 10 .172.250.207.457 .034.263 319 .219 26 -3 +0 +1 -0.2
202526 AAALas Vegas Aviators 169151 48902 16450 51 .318.383.417.800 .099.442 279 .357 132 +6 +1 +5 1.2
202526 AAMidland RockHounds 291249 51820 33712 152 .205.303.253.556 .048.283 2411 .258 56 -15 +2 +8 -0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Drew Swift (OGILVIE) 27 35 25 55 50 .198/.262/.263 .066.297 26 32% 7% 44 -0.9
Willie Argo
2017 · AA
27 42→36 39→40 52→55 47 .200/.282/.280 .080.283 719 30% 9% 58 -1.2 .197/.253/.328 .131.305 1415 38% 6% 58 -1.2 .160/.218/.290.130.244151740%6%33-1.5
Errol Robinson
2022 · AAA
27 42→48 38→40 46→55 43 .199/.264/.276 .077.291 613 32% 8% 49 -1.8 .206/.279/.277 .071.327 520 35% 9% 55 -1.4 .201/.275/.251.051.31432634%9%44-0.7
Yadiel Rivera
2019 · MLB
27 38→48 38→40 45→50 38 .187/.238/.257 .071.270 67 32% 6% 32 -3.0 .216/.254/.318 .102.312 1216 33% 5% 55 -1.4 .224/.248/.329.106.322142335%3%50-1.1
Chris Roller
2023 · AA
26 37 39→45 50→55 40 .183/.248/.270 .087.268 614 32% 6% 40 -2.4 .194/.274/.324 .130.304 1416 38% 9% 67 -0.5 .179/.266/.318.140.290171941%9%60-0.7
Ray-Patrick Didder
2022 · AA
27 41→46 40→45 52→60 42 .197/.273/.296 .099.291 721 32% 7% 59 -1.1 .197/.280/.311 .114.282 1226 33% 7% 66 -0.6 .170/.270/.280.110.246143134%8%52-1.1
Jack Reinheimer
2019 · MLB
27 47→51 37→40 48→55 44 .223/.276/.296 .073.287 516 23% 6% 58 -1.2 .210/.264/.294 .084.279 717 26% 6% 53 -1.5 .189/.241/.256.067.25651927%6%31-1.5
Jonathan Malo
2011 · AAA
27 44→45 38→40 49→50 46 .211/.269/.290 .079.268 512 22% 7% 54 -1.4 .212/.266/.302 .090.279 78 25% 6% 56 -1.3 .206/.254/.282.076.2715225%5%43-1.0
Joel Booker
2021 · AAA
27 45→49 39→40 50→55 38 .217/.272/.303 .086.305 719 30% 5% 59 -1.1 .200/.237/.302 .102.323 1121 40% 4% 43 -2.2 .162/.182/.251.089.276113345%1%4-1.7
Micah Gibbs
2015 · AA
27 39 39→30 47→45 44 .188/.264/.271 .083.282 68 33% 8% 48 -1.9 .210/.266/.313 .103.290 88 29% 7% 59 -1.1 .195/.246/.310.115.26410029%6%50-0.3
Ryan Metzler
2019 · AAA
26 40 40 50 38 .193/.248/.281 .088.293 815 36% 6% 43 -2.2 .204/.258/.297 .093.310 912 35% 6% 51 -1.7 .145/.202/.182.037.2484841%6%-4-1.0
Evan Mendoza
2023 · AAA
27 44→50 36→30 50 46 .211/.268/.274 .063.269 418 23% 7% 50 -1.8 .214/.268/.301 .087.269 917 23% 7% 56 -1.3 .192/.233/.244.052.24192124%5%24-0.7
Torii Hunter Jr.
2022 · AAA
27 43→48 40 50→55 39 .197/.263/.284 .086.323 716 39% 7% 50 -1.7 .210/.262/.326 .116.339 1123 39% 6% 61 -1.0 .206/.252/.331.125.326133939%4%54-0.7
Shannon Wilkerson
2015 · AAA
27 47→50 37→40 52→55 42 .223/.265/.304 .081.289 416 24% 5% 55 -1.4 .231/.274/.313 .082.287 413 20% 5% 61 -1.0 .240/.280/.313.073.28731317%5%59-0.4
Evan Marzilli
2018 · AAA
27 44→45 38→40 50 48 .206/.284/.291 .085.292 515 29% 9% 61 -1.0 .198/.275/.289 .091.308 712 35% 9% 57 -1.2 .169/.248/.241.072.27141036%9%30-1.0
Jake Palomaki
2022 · AA
27 43 35→30 49→50 49 .201/.276/.259 .058.261 217 22% 8% 50 -1.8 .232/.299/.298 .066.300 415 22% 8% 69 -0.4 .257/.321/.306.049.32531420%7%76+0.1
Matthew Batten
2022 · AAA
27 48→49 39→45 52→55 40 .223/.275/.301 .078.328 620 32% 7% 59 -1.1 .211/.282/.310 .099.292 1023 29% 8% 66 -0.6 .197/.272/.297.101.262102427%8%56-1.1
Brantley Bell
2023 · AAA
28 41→44 39→40 52→55 40 .201/.249/.287 .086.275 614 28% 5% 44 -2.1 .207/.256/.314 .107.324 916 37% 5% 55 -1.4 .164/.210/.247.083.29352544%5%16-0.7
Omar Renteria
2017 · AAA
27 45 40→30 52→45 37 .217/.260/.306 .089.311 812 32% 5% 53 -1.5 .224/.273/.310 .086.310 911 29% 5% 61 -1.0 .221/.273/.267.046.3004726%6%48-0.6
Stephen Perez
2018 · AAA
27 42→48 38→30 50 47 .202/.269/.276 .074.268 613 26% 8% 50 -1.7 .211/.281/.287 .076.301 614 29% 8% 59 -1.1 .199/.280/.207.008.30101830%9%38-0.5
Donny Lucy
2010 · MLB
27 42→45 40 48→50 38 .207/.248/.294 .088.281 810 29% 5% 46 -2.0 .199/.244/.294 .095.265 98 27% 5% 44 -2.1 .178/.227/.267.089.2318526%4%27-1.1