Kelvin Marte

P DSL Padres Brown

Age 20 RHP 5'11" / 170 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL Padres Br…	10	9	32	4.83	3.70	11.1%	11.8%	—	K 7.6% · BB 14.8% · FIP 4.33
2026	19	ROKDSL Padres Br…	10	0	15	7.20	6.23	13.9%	12.7%	—	K 9.5% · BB 15.8% · FIP 7.22
2027PROJ	20	MLBSD	11	0	12	5.37	5.37	17.8%	13.9%	-0.1
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBSD	14	0	15	5.12	5.02	19.2%	12.3%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsTanner Cooper (age 21) · Will Kobos (age 20) · Johzan Oquendo (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 135127vR 119

ERA5.37

FIP5.37

K%17.8%

BB%13.9%

K-BB%4.0%

Proj IP12

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 12 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4045

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	10	9	32	144	16	17	0	90%	3.2	7.6%	14.8%	-7.2%	0.0%	4.83	4.33	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	10	9	32	144	16	17	0	90%	3.2	7.6%	14.8%	-7.2%	0.0%	4.83	4.33	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	10	9	32	144	16	17	0	90%	3.2	11.1%	11.8%	-0.7%	0.0%	4.83	3.70	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	10	0	15	79	11	10	3	0%	1.5	9.5%	15.8%	-6.4%	5.3%	7.20	7.22	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Padres Brown	10	0	15	79	11	10	3	0%	1.5	9.5%	15.8%	-6.4%	5.3%	7.20	7.22	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Padres Brown	10	0	15	79	11	10	3	0%	1.5	13.9%	12.7%	1.3%	3.8%	7.20	6.23	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	SD	11	0	12	51	9	7	2	0%	1.1	17.8%	13.9%	4.0%	3.0%	5.37	5.37	-0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	SD	28	0	30	126	24	16	4	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.3%	6.9%	2.9%	5.12	5.02	-0.2
2028	21	MLB CTX	SD	14	0	15	63	12	8	2	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.3%	6.9%	2.9%	5.12	5.02	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		14	0	15	62	12	8	2	0%	1.0	19.2%	12.3%	6.9%	2.9%	5.12	4.64	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	163	109	27	0%	1.1	19.2%	12.3%	6.9%	2.9%	5.12	4.64	-0.2
Career	—	MLE		20	9	47	223	18	34	4	45%	2.3	8.2%	15.1%	-6.9%	1.9%	5.59	5.36	-0.2
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		86	39	200	956	79	145	18	45%	2.3	8.2%	15.1%	-6.9%	1.9%	5.59	5.36	-1.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kelvin Marte (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.37	17.8%	13.9%	3.0%	—	5.02	19.2%	6.9%	30	-0.35	—	—	—
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	89
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	86
Johzan Oquendo R 2021 · 4.22 FIP	20	SW	4.22	18.4%	14.5%	1.5%	.294	3.65	23.5%	5.7%	113	-0.57	3.62	187	85
Juan Mendez R 2021 · 4.45 FIP	22	SW	4.45	20.5%	14.2%	2.3%	.271	5.07	21.9%	6.1%	128	+0.62	3.69	156	85
Juan Burgos R 2019 · 4.75 FIP	19	SW	4.75	15.4%	13.5%	2.3%	.292	4.38	17.7%	0.8%	58	-0.37	3.50	284	83
Yunior Montero R 2015 · 4.82 FIP	22	SW	4.82	16.9%	14.1%	2.5%	.276	4.58	21.5%	6.2%	91	-0.24	3.65	127	83
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	83
Saul Teran R 2022 · 4.81 FIP	20	SW	4.81	17.5%	9.8%	3.5%	.333	3.88	20.8%	8.7%	94	-0.93	2.28	166	82
Sam Ryan R 2021 · 4.38 FIP	22	SW	4.38	16.4%	14.7%	1.5%	.328	3.85	13.7%	2.9%	49	-0.53	3.80	178	82
Victor Espiritu R 2024 · 4.45 FIP	19	SW	4.45	14.6%	12.7%	1.8%	.294	4.04	13.5%	1.8%	60	-0.41	3.49	101	82
Tyler Driver R 2021 · 5.26 FIP	20	SW	5.26	15.0%	13.8%	3.1%	.312	5.68	14.5%	1.4%	88	+0.42	5.17	180	82
Brandon Komar R 2019 · 4.77 FIP	20	SW	4.77	17.7%	11.6%	3.1%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.16	3.00	538	81
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	81
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	80
Matthew Swain R 2019 · 4.37 FIP	21	SW	4.37	15.9%	13.9%	1.6%	.362	5.19	20.6%	7.5%	115	+0.82	4.37	175	80
Engel Daniel Peralta R 2024 · 5.28 FIP	20	SW	5.28	17.7%	15.0%	3.2%	.300	5.89	16.6%	1.2%	33	+0.61	3.34	129	80
Trayson Kubo R 2019 · 5.01 FIP	21	SW	5.01	19.8%	15.6%	2.9%	.450	4.82	17.7%	1.4%	66	-0.19	4.48	107	80
Anderson Cardenas R 2024 · 4.90 FIP	18	SW	4.90	19.5%	11.9%	3.5%	.235	3.52	22.2%	8.8%	58	-1.38	3.52	129	80
Juan Perez R 2016 · 5.39 FIP	21	SW	5.39	15.4%	14.1%	3.3%	.321	4.52	10.8%	0.0%	56	-0.87	4.52	113	80
Josh White R 2023 · 5.12 FIP	22	SW	5.12	17.7%	13.9%	3.2%	.244	3.15	27.7%	17.2%	182	-1.97	1.84	247	79