Yonleg Gaetano — OGILVIE

Yonleg Gaetano P Bradenton Marauders

Age 20 RHP 5'10" / 158 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034 peak 1.8 · 2032

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 17 proj IP

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 114105vR 97

ERA4.23

FIP4.23

K%23.4%

BB%8.9%

K-BB%14.5%

ROS IP17

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 17 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$36M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5565

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.8	$3M	+$2M
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$6M	+$5M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Arb-1	$4M	+1.1	$6M	+$4M
2033	Arb-2	$6M	+1.1	$5M	+$2M
2034	Arb-3	$8M	+1.0	$4M	+$0.9M
Totals		$20M		$30M	+$20M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	13	3	29	114	39	8	0	23%	2.2	23.3%	8.8%	14.5%	0.0%	0.93	2.25	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	13	3	29	114	39	8	0	23%	2.2	23.3%	8.8%	14.5%	0.0%	0.93	2.25	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	13	3	29	114	39	8	0	23%	2.2	34.2%	7.0%	27.2%	0.0%	0.93	1.24	—
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	19	18	72	307	48	30	7	95%	3.8	11.7%	10.6%	1.2%	3.1%	4.23	5.17	—
YTD	20	AA MLE	Altoona Curve	19	18	72	307	48	30	7	95%	3.8	11.7%	10.6%	1.2%	3.1%	4.23	5.17	—
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	20	A RAW	PIT	18	17	68	290	46	26	7	94%	3.8	15.9%	9.0%	6.9%	2.4%	4.21	4.22	—
2026	20	AA RAW	PIT	1	1	4	17	2	4	0	100%	4.0	11.8%	23.5%	-11.8%	0.0%	4.50	5.09	—
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	74	314	75	27	9	100%	5.0	23.8%	8.6%	15.1%	2.9%	4.18	4.14	+0.7
2028	22	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	78	329	81	27	9	100%	5.2	24.6%	8.3%	16.4%	2.8%	4.07	3.99	+0.8
2029	23	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	81	342	86	27	9	100%	5.4	25.3%	8.0%	17.3%	2.8%	3.96	3.88	+1.0
2030	24	MLB MLE	PIT	15	15	83	350	90	27	10	100%	5.5	25.8%	7.8%	18.0%	2.7%	3.87	3.80	+1.1
2031	25	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	84	354	93	27	10	100%	6.0	26.1%	7.6%	18.5%	2.7%	3.79	3.74	+1.2
2032	26	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	84	354	93	27	10	100%	6.0	26.3%	7.6%	18.7%	2.7%	3.75	3.72	+1.2
2033	27	MLB MLE	PIT	14	14	83	349	92	27	10	100%	5.9	26.3%	7.7%	18.6%	2.8%	3.75	3.76	+1.1
2034	28	MLB MLE	PIT	13	13	80	338	89	26	10	100%	6.2	26.2%	7.8%	18.4%	2.9%	3.80	3.84	+1.0
2035	29	MLB MLE	PIT	13	13	76	323	90	23	10	100%	5.9	28.0%	7.2%	20.7%	3.0%	3.74	3.70	+1.1
2036	30	MLB MLE	PIT	12	12	72	304	84	23	10	100%	6.0	27.6%	7.5%	20.1%	3.2%	3.82	3.88	+0.9
2037	31	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	67	283	77	22	10	100%	6.1	27.2%	7.9%	19.3%	3.5%	3.98	4.08	+0.7
2038	32	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	62	262	70	22	10	100%	6.2	26.8%	8.3%	18.5%	3.7%	4.18	4.31	+0.4
2027	21	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	37	156	37	14	4	100%	4.6	23.8%	8.6%	15.1%	2.6%	4.06	4.02	+0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	PIT	11	11	57	241	59	20	6	100%	5.2	24.6%	8.3%	16.4%	2.6%	3.95	3.87	+0.6
2029	23	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	68	287	73	23	7	100%	5.2	25.3%	8.0%	17.3%	2.6%	3.85	3.77	+0.8
2030	24	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	74	312	80	24	8	100%	5.7	25.8%	7.8%	18.0%	2.5%	3.76	3.69	+1.0
2031	25	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	77	325	85	25	8	100%	5.9	26.1%	7.6%	18.5%	2.5%	3.68	3.63	+1.1
2032	26	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	78	329	87	25	8	100%	6.0	26.3%	7.6%	18.7%	2.5%	3.64	3.61	+1.1
2033	27	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	78	329	87	25	8	100%	6.0	26.3%	7.7%	18.6%	2.6%	3.64	3.65	+1.1
2034	28	MLB CTX	PIT	13	13	76	321	84	25	9	100%	5.8	26.2%	7.8%	18.4%	2.7%	3.68	3.72	+1.0
2035	29	MLB CTX	PIT	12	12	73	308	86	22	9	100%	6.1	28.0%	7.2%	20.7%	2.8%	3.62	3.58	+1.1
2036	30	MLB CTX	PIT	11	11	68	287	79	22	9	100%	6.2	27.6%	7.5%	20.1%	3.0%	3.69	3.75	+0.8
2037	31	MLB CTX	PIT	11	11	64	270	74	21	9	100%	5.8	27.2%	7.9%	19.3%	3.2%	3.84	3.94	+0.6
2038	32	MLB CTX	PIT	10	10	59	249	67	21	9	100%	5.9	26.8%	8.3%	18.5%	3.4%	4.03	4.16	+0.4
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		141	141	809	3415	897	267	94	100%	5.7	26.3%	7.8%	18.5%	2.7%	3.76	3.38	+15.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	222	66	23	100%	5.8	26.3%	7.8%	18.5%	2.7%	3.76	3.38	+3.8
Career	—	MLE		32	21	101	421	63	42	10	66%	3.2	14.9%	10.1%	4.8%	2.3%	3.29	4.38	+11.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	41	200	831	123	84	19	66%	3.2	14.9%	10.1%	4.8%	2.3%	3.29	4.38	+2.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yonleg Gaetano (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.23	23.4%	8.9%	2.9%	—	4.00	24.6%	16.3%	233	-0.23	—	—	—
Joelvis Del Rosario R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	20	SP-	3.76	22.5%	8.0%	2.8%	.315	4.97	14.6%	6.0%	197	+1.21	3.13	286	83
Gabe Bierman R 2021 · 4.80 FIP	21	SP-	4.80	21.3%	11.8%	3.6%	.277	4.51	16.2%	4.0%	187	-0.29	4.03	328	82
Connor Cooke R 2022 · 3.35 FIP	22	SP-	3.35	23.7%	8.4%	2.2%	.350	4.13	24.0%	11.4%	56	+0.78	2.93	103	81
Gilberto Batista R 2023 · 3.63 FIP	18	SP-	3.63	22.8%	6.2%	3.0%	.323	5.53	15.1%	5.0%	210	+1.90	3.63	250	81
Dualvert Gutierrez R 2021 · 3.22 FIP	20	SP-	3.22	23.5%	9.1%	1.7%	.352	4.29	15.9%	2.2%	78	+1.07	3.22	130	81
Miguel Díaz R 2015 · 3.40 FIP	20	SP-	3.40	19.3%	7.7%	1.7%	.365	4.40	19.4%	8.2%	233	+1.00	2.18	573	80
Rayner Urbaez R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	20	SP	3.88	23.6%	11.4%	2.4%	.337	3.35	15.0%	3.0%	27	-0.53	2.55	103	80
Chad Donato R 2017 · 3.85 FIP	22	SP-	3.85	20.9%	11.4%	2.0%	.333	3.99	21.4%	12.6%	184	+0.14	2.89	439	80
Hunter Gregory R 2022 · 3.90 FIP	23	SP-	3.90	21.2%	8.7%	2.7%	.374	4.56	20.4%	7.8%	188	+0.66	3.84	249	79
Porter Hodge R 2021 · 4.20 FIP	20	SP-	4.20	19.3%	8.8%	2.9%	.336	3.40	24.2%	10.6%	249	-0.80	2.97	349	79
David Lorduy R 2023 · 4.01 FIP	19	SP-	4.01	20.4%	7.1%	3.2%	.267	4.79	17.4%	7.1%	184	+0.78	3.38	269	78
Clarke Schmidt R 2018 · 3.53 FIP	22	SP	3.53	23.1%	8.5%	2.4%	.324	3.26	21.3%	13.1%	108	-0.27	2.77	537	78
Caleb Sampen R 2018 · 3.46 FIP	22	SP	3.46	21.7%	8.3%	2.1%	.358	3.49	15.2%	6.8%	139	+0.03	3.09	213	78
Juan Bello R 2022 · 4.02 FIP	18	SP	4.02	18.3%	6.9%	2.9%	.256	3.93	18.2%	7.6%	155	-0.09	3.77	187	78
Ryan Fernandez R 2018 · 4.44 FIP	20	SP-	4.44	19.2%	6.8%	3.8%	.357	3.37	20.8%	13.2%	53	-1.07	3.02	360	77
Michael Knorr R 2023 · 4.30 FIP	23	SP-	4.30	23.6%	11.1%	3.3%	.312	5.18	21.7%	9.2%	123	+0.88	4.30	181	77
Carson Rudd R 2021 · 3.39 FIP	22	SP-	3.39	25.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.351	5.24	21.6%	5.6%	193	+1.85	3.39	242	77
Jimmy Kingsbury R 2021 · 3.76 FIP	22	SP	3.76	21.9%	9.8%	2.3%	.175	4.18	18.0%	7.5%	168	+0.42	3.51	330	76
Payton Martin R 2023 · 3.06 FIP	19	SP	3.06	22.3%	11.1%	0.8%	.305	4.88	15.4%	4.6%	254	+1.82	3.06	294	76
Miguel Rodriguez R 2019 · 3.30 FIP	20	SP-	3.30	19.5%	10.1%	1.0%	.329	5.64	19.9%	7.7%	108	+2.34	2.60	272	76

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	4.7	72	26.1%	7.9%	1.14	3.90
Buck Farmer ('24)	2.5	50	21.6%	10.5%	1.23	4.59
Nick Wittgren ('23)	1.6	41	21.6%	7.0%	1.15	4.04
Daniel Norris ('22)	2.8	70	21.7%	8.5%	1.37	4.70
Matt Wisler ('22)	2.5	63	20.1%	7.6%	1.40	4.59
Joe Jiménez ('24)	1.9	53	29.8%	8.6%	1.11	4.06
Ross Stripling ('24)	4.2	94	20.9%	5.6%	1.32	4.17