Yonleg Gaetano

P Bradenton Marauders

Age 21 RHP 5'10" / 158 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2035 peak 0.7 · 2030

Overview

APROSPECTMiLBFA 2036

OGV OFP35OGV rank#467ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	19	ROKDSL Pirates G…	13	3	29	0.93	1.24	34.2%	7.0%	—	K 23.3% · BB 8.8% · FIP 2.25
2026	20	MIX2 levels	19	18	72	4.23	4.28	15.6%	9.8%	—	K 11.7% · BB 10.6% · FIP 5.17
2027PROJ	21	MLBPIT	—	—	0	5.07	5.07	15.8%	10.2%	—
2028PROJ49% MLB	22	MLBPIT	5	5	27	4.72	4.61	18.2%	9.4%	0.2
2029PROJ73% MLB	23	MLBPIT	7	7	40	4.51	4.40	19.8%	8.9%	0.4

Next 3 projected WAR 0.6Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2035Service0.0First FA2036

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Arb-1$1M2034Arb-2$2M+1

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.1 / P90 2.3, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 91%

CompsMoises Castillo (age 19) · Ryan Atkinson (age 23) · Tanner Hall (age 22)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 129121vR 113

ERA5.07

FIP5.07

K%15.8%

BB%10.2%

K-BB%5.6%

Proj IP39

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 39 IP

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control+$23M ctrl surplus

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†3050

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2030

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2035

First FA Year 2036

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2030
2030	Pre-Arb	$0.8M	+0.5	$2M	+$1.0M
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2033	Arb-1	$1M	+0.6	$2M	+$0.9M
2034	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$0.9M	+$0.0M
Totals		$8M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to the standard WAR scale.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	13	3	29	114	39	8	0	23%	2.2	23.3%	8.8%	14.5%	0.0%	0.93	2.25	—
2025	19	ROK MLE	DSL Pirates Gold	13	3	29	114	39	8	0	23%	2.2	23.3%	8.8%	14.5%	0.0%	0.93	2.25	—
2025	19	ROK RAW	DSL Pirates Gold	13	3	29	114	39	8	0	23%	2.2	34.2%	7.0%	27.2%	0.0%	0.93	1.24	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	18	72	307	48	30	7	95%	3.8	11.7%	10.6%	1.2%	3.1%	4.23	5.17	—
2026	20	MIX MLE	2 levels	19	18	72	307	48	30	7	95%	3.8	11.7%	10.6%	1.2%	3.1%	4.23	5.17	—
2026	20	MIX RAW	2 levels	19	18	72	307	48	30	7	95%	3.8	15.6%	9.8%	5.9%	2.3%	4.23	4.28	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	21	MLB	PIT	—	—	0	—	—	—	—	—	—	15.8%	10.2%	5.6%	3.0%	5.07	5.07	—
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	22	MLB MLE	PIT	11	11	56	234	43	22	7	100%	5.0	18.2%	9.4%	8.9%	2.9%	4.84	4.73	+0.4
2029	23	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	56	234	46	21	7	100%	5.5	19.8%	8.9%	10.9%	2.9%	4.63	4.52	+0.6
2030	24	MLB MLE	PIT	10	10	56	234	49	20	7	100%	5.5	20.7%	8.6%	12.1%	2.9%	4.48	4.39	+0.7
2031	25	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	52	220	47	19	6	100%	5.8	21.2%	8.5%	12.7%	2.8%	4.39	4.33	+0.7
2032	26	MLB MLE	PIT	9	9	52	220	47	19	6	100%	5.8	21.4%	8.4%	12.9%	2.8%	4.34	4.31	+0.7
2033	27	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	51	215	46	18	6	100%	6.4	21.4%	8.5%	12.8%	2.9%	4.34	4.34	+0.6
2034	28	MLB MLE	PIT	8	8	48	204	43	18	6	100%	6.0	21.2%	8.7%	12.6%	3.0%	4.39	4.43	+0.5
2035	29	MLB MLE	PIT	7	7	45	189	40	17	6	100%	6.4	21.0%	8.9%	12.1%	3.1%	4.49	4.56	+0.4
2036	30	MLB MLE	PIT	7	7	40	171	35	16	6	100%	5.8	20.6%	9.2%	11.4%	3.3%	4.64	4.74	+0.3
2028	22	MLB CTX	PIT	5	5	27	114	21	11	3	100%	5.4	18.2%	9.4%	8.9%	2.7%	4.72	4.61	+0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	40	169	33	15	5	100%	5.7	19.8%	8.9%	10.9%	2.7%	4.51	4.40	+0.4
2030	24	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	46	194	40	17	5	100%	5.8	20.7%	8.6%	12.1%	2.6%	4.36	4.27	+0.5
2031	25	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	46	194	41	16	5	100%	5.8	21.2%	8.5%	12.7%	2.6%	4.27	4.21	+0.6
2032	26	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	48	203	43	17	5	100%	6.0	21.4%	8.4%	12.9%	2.6%	4.22	4.19	+0.6
2033	27	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	47	198	42	17	5	100%	5.9	21.4%	8.5%	12.8%	2.7%	4.22	4.22	+0.6
2034	28	MLB CTX	PIT	8	8	45	190	40	16	5	100%	5.6	21.2%	8.7%	12.6%	2.8%	4.27	4.31	+0.5
2035	29	MLB CTX	PIT	7	7	43	182	38	16	5	100%	6.1	21.0%	8.9%	12.1%	2.9%	4.36	4.43	+0.4
2036	30	MLB CTX	PIT	6	6	38	160	33	15	5	100%	6.3	20.6%	9.2%	11.4%	3.1%	4.50	4.60	+0.3
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		66	66	381	1608	334	141	44	100%	5.8	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	2.7%	4.36	3.96	+6.5
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		35	35	200	844	175	74	23	100%	5.8	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	2.7%	4.36	3.96	+3.4
Career	—	MLE		32	21	101	421	63	42	10	66%	3.2	14.9%	10.1%	4.8%	2.3%	3.29	4.38	+4.9
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	41	200	831	123	84	19	66%	3.2	14.9%	10.1%	4.8%	2.3%	3.29	4.38	+2.2

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ABradenton Marauders · 68 IPFIP 4.22 → 5.17 (+0.95)K% 15.9% → 11.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	15.86%	—	×0.740	11.74%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	8.97%	—	×1.180	10.58%
HR / BF /BF	2.41%	÷1.000	×1.300	3.14%

Factors used: pitcher A level factors — K ×0.74, BB ×1.18, HR ×1.30. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 100).

Result: FIP 4.22 → 5.17, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ROKDSL Pirates Gold · 29 IPFIP 1.10 → 2.25 (+1.15)K% 34.2% → 23.3%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	= MLE
K% /BF	34.21%	—	×0.680	23.26%
BB% (unintentional) /BF	7.02%	—	×1.250	8.77%
HR / BF /BF	0.00%	÷1.181	×1.400	0.00%

Factors used: pitcher ROK level factors — K ×0.68, BB ×1.25, HR ×1.40. Pitcher translation is level-wide (no per-league rows, no age adjustment); HR/BF is park-adjusted at half strength (park HR factor 136).

Result: FIP 1.10 → 2.25, computed from the rates in the table with the same formula before and after. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression is applied when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Yonleg Gaetano (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.07	15.8%	10.2%	3.0%	—	4.55	19.6%	10.6%	166	-0.52	—	—	—
Moises Castillo R 2024 · 4.58 FIP	19	SP-	4.58	18.1%	11.7%	2.8%	.269	4.06	19.4%	4.9%	67	-0.52	3.76	104	87
Ryan Atkinson R 2016 · 4.58 FIP	23	SP-	4.58	18.4%	11.3%	2.9%	.315	4.48	21.6%	9.0%	305	-0.10	4.14	338	86
Tanner Hall R 2024 · 4.67 FIP	22	SP-	4.67	18.8%	11.2%	3.2%	.295	5.33	10.1%	-4.6%	72	+0.66	4.67	137	86
Tyler McKay R 2019 · 5.32 FIP	21	SP-	5.32	15.1%	10.2%	4.0%	.262	4.64	13.2%	2.2%	106	-0.68	3.10	275	86
Jordany Ventura R 2019 · 4.08 FIP	19	SP	4.08	16.8%	8.9%	2.3%	.264	—	—	—	—	—	4.08	219	85
Abel Brito R 2022 · 4.79 FIP	21	SP-	4.79	15.7%	12.6%	2.6%	.310	5.66	13.2%	-8.6%	70	+0.87	4.13	147	85
Logan Gragg R 2019 · 4.14 FIP	20	SP	4.14	17.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.343	5.20	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.06	4.14	412	84
Luis Hernandez R 2022 · 4.94 FIP	21	SP	4.94	16.7%	14.0%	2.7%	.311	5.62	21.4%	4.1%	64	+0.68	4.09	109	83
Elias Espino R 2018 · 4.14 FIP	21	SP-	4.14	14.3%	10.5%	1.7%	.336	5.64	17.1%	3.7%	56	+1.50	3.04	142	83
Mac Sceroler R 2017 · 4.46 FIP	22	SP-	4.46	17.6%	11.8%	2.5%	.318	4.34	18.4%	10.3%	200	-0.12	3.95	275	83
Ryan Harvey R 2023 · 5.20 FIP	22	SP	5.20	16.7%	13.1%	3.4%	.294	4.50	17.0%	5.9%	87	-0.70	4.08	133	83
Henry Valencio R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.293	5.11	11.9%	-11.9%	14	+0.96	3.48	136	83
Miguel Rondon R 2022 · 5.27 FIP	21	SP-	5.27	15.5%	11.4%	3.7%	.289	—	—	—	—	—	2.62	179	83
Andrew Cabezas R 2018 · 4.59 FIP	21	SP-	4.59	16.1%	9.4%	3.0%	.210	4.70	16.7%	6.9%	185	+0.11	4.16	300	83
Daniel Martinez R 2019 · 4.17 FIP	21	SP-	4.17	15.2%	10.4%	1.9%	.234	7.18	14.3%	1.0%	93	+3.01	3.41	242	82
Juan Nuñez R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SP	4.49	19.6%	13.2%	2.5%	.300	4.42	22.8%	8.3%	148	-0.07	2.88	245	82
Shane Davis R 2021 · 5.21 FIP	21	SP-	5.21	17.3%	9.8%	4.2%	.313	4.19	20.9%	6.7%	55	-1.02	4.19	129	82
Ramon Santos R 2016 · 5.00 FIP	21	SP-	5.00	12.7%	10.6%	3.0%	.323	4.18	15.6%	5.5%	199	-0.82	3.74	355	82
Gilberto Batista R 2024 · 4.00 FIP	19	SP-	4.00	16.9%	11.4%	1.6%	.308	5.86	14.7%	4.9%	172	+1.86	3.63	250	82
Nick Garcia R 2021 · 4.59 FIP	22	SP-	4.59	18.3%	12.3%	2.7%	.274	5.03	17.3%	6.2%	265	+0.44	3.20	411	82

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,234 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 480 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	2.5	49	20.2%	8.9%	1.14	4.55
Cliff Politte ('06)	2.1	51	19.3%	9.6%	1.23	4.40
Jacob Barnes ('25)	1.7	48	22.0%	9.2%	1.15	4.79
Joe Borowski ('08)	2.3	57	18.9%	9.0%	1.05	4.18
Rich Rodriguez ('90-'03, 3 WAR*)	3.2	64	17.3%*	9.3%*	1.05*	4.00*
Ken Dayley ('82-'93, 4 WAR*)	2.9	64	21.8%*	9.1%*	0.97*	4.10*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*