Ezequiel Martinez

P DSL Tampa Bay

Age 20 RHP 6'3" / 219 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKTB	9	1	12	3.09	2.16	24.5%	9.4%	—	K 16.7% · BB 11.8% · FIP 3.19
2026	19	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	12	9	46	3.13	3.27	17.9%	9.0%	—	K 12.2% · BB 11.2% · FIP 4.25
2027PROJ	20	MLBTB	4	4	21	4.90	4.90	18.3%	10.9%	0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBTB	4	4	21	4.74	4.67	19.6%	10.1%	0.1

Next 2 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsDeretd Parra (age 19) · Felix Arronde (age 20) · Henry Valencio (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 126118vR 110

ERA4.90

FIP4.90

K%18.3%

BB%10.9%

K-BB%7.4%

Proj IP21

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 21 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	9	1	12	53	13	5	0	11%	1.3	16.7%	11.8%	4.9%	0.0%	3.09	3.19	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	9	1	12	53	13	5	0	11%	1.3	16.7%	11.8%	4.9%	0.0%	3.09	3.19	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	9	1	12	53	13	5	0	11%	1.3	24.5%	9.4%	15.1%	0.0%	3.09	2.16	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	12	9	46	201	36	18	2	75%	3.8	12.2%	11.2%	1.0%	1.4%	3.13	4.25	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	12	9	46	201	36	18	2	75%	3.8	12.2%	11.2%	1.0%	1.4%	3.13	4.25	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	12	9	46	201	36	18	2	75%	3.8	17.9%	9.0%	9.0%	1.0%	3.13	3.27	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	TB	4	4	21	89	16	10	3	100%	5.2	18.3%	10.9%	7.4%	2.9%	4.90	4.90	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	TB	8	8	44	184	36	19	5	100%	5.4	19.6%	10.1%	9.5%	2.8%	4.74	4.67	+0.1
2028	21	MLB CTX	TB	4	4	21	89	17	9	3	100%	5.2	19.6%	10.1%	9.5%	2.8%	4.74	4.67	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	21	90	18	9	3	100%	5.3	19.6%	10.1%	9.5%	2.8%	4.74	4.29	+0.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		36	36	200	844	168	84	28	100%	5.5	19.6%	10.1%	9.5%	2.8%	4.74	4.29	+1.4
Career	—	MLE		21	10	58	254	33	29	3	48%	2.7	13.1%	11.3%	1.8%	1.1%	3.12	4.03	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		73	35	200	881	116	100	10	48%	2.7	13.1%	11.3%	1.8%	1.1%	3.12	4.03	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Ezequiel Martinez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.90	18.3%	10.9%	2.9%	—	4.67	19.6%	9.5%	44	-0.23	—	—	—
Deretd Parra R 2019 · 5.29 FIP	19	SP-	5.29	16.8%	10.9%	4.1%	.295	3.85	15.7%	2.3%	83	-1.44	2.79	161	88
Felix Arronde R 2023 · 4.42 FIP	20	SW	4.42	20.2%	12.1%	2.7%	.275	4.98	15.8%	5.8%	344	+0.56	4.16	442	85
Henry Valencio R 2019 · 4.15 FIP	20	SP-	4.15	16.4%	10.6%	2.0%	.293	5.11	11.9%	-11.9%	14	+0.96	3.48	136	85
Eccel Correa R 2023 · 4.39 FIP	20	SW	4.39	19.4%	11.9%	2.6%	.316	4.41	14.0%	2.2%	154	+0.02	3.96	189	85
Joshua Quezada R 2024 · 4.46 FIP	20	SP-	4.46	18.3%	11.7%	2.6%	.293	4.03	19.6%	10.8%	80	-0.43	3.61	161	85
Reibyn Corona R 2021 · 5.02 FIP	19	SP-	5.02	17.0%	13.1%	3.1%	.290	5.53	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.51	4.48	190	84
Gilberto Batista R 2024 · 4.00 FIP	19	SP-	4.00	16.9%	11.4%	1.6%	.308	5.86	14.7%	4.9%	172	+1.86	3.63	250	83
Roger Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.15 FIP	20	SP-	5.15	16.4%	9.6%	4.0%	.336	—	—	—	—	—	3.20	128	83
Adriel Gonzalez R 2022 · 4.21 FIP	20	SP-	4.21	14.8%	9.7%	2.1%	.327	—	—	—	—	—	3.58	117	83
Fraynel Nova R 2022 · 3.83 FIP	20	SP-	3.83	16.4%	7.9%	2.0%	.296	4.17	14.9%	4.9%	110	+0.34	3.38	129	83
Lisandro Almonte R 2022 · 4.73 FIP	20	SP-	4.73	17.9%	10.3%	3.3%	.310	5.04	20.5%	3.3%	50	+0.31	3.81	128	83
Nicholas Economos R 2015 · 4.95 FIP	20	SP-	4.95	15.3%	10.7%	3.3%	.233	5.28	10.4%	0.6%	57	+0.33	4.40	223	82
Adolfo Oviedo R 2024 · 3.74 FIP	19	SP-	3.74	17.2%	8.1%	1.9%	.272	4.90	12.6%	5.2%	124	+1.16	3.74	235	82
Michael Cederoth R 2015 · 4.10 FIP	22	SP-	4.10	16.8%	13.0%	1.4%	.292	4.95	21.6%	2.4%	83	+0.85	4.10	118	82
Jonawel Valdez R 2024 · 4.13 FIP	20	SP-	4.13	17.5%	13.8%	1.4%	.309	5.20	12.5%	0.2%	81	+1.07	4.04	141	82
Noah Skirrow R 2021 · 4.55 FIP	23	SP-	4.55	18.4%	11.5%	2.8%	.306	4.71	16.1%	6.1%	316	+0.16	3.97	371	82
Jhoster Baez R 2024 · 4.57 FIP	19	SP-	4.57	17.3%	14.8%	1.9%	.283	5.93	15.9%	-5.0%	73	+1.36	4.57	110	81
Damian Mendoza R 2021 · 4.69 FIP	20	SP-	4.69	15.0%	10.3%	2.8%	.371	4.53	17.9%	7.7%	178	-0.16	2.73	314	81
Luis Cohen R 2023 · 4.11 FIP	20	SP-	4.11	17.2%	11.4%	1.9%	.263	4.98	14.1%	3.9%	247	+0.87	3.00	333	81
Kobe Robinson R 2022 · 4.49 FIP	21	SW	4.49	23.2%	14.3%	2.8%	.296	3.44	18.8%	4.9%	84	-1.05	2.98	107	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	19.2%	10.4%	1.11	4.79
Sam Long ('25)	1.1	42	19.5%	9.7%	1.28	4.65
Kevin Hickey ('81-'91, 0 WAR*)	1.2	47	17.7%*	10.2%*	1.10*	4.27*
Pedro Borbón ('03)	1.4	45	18.5%	11.1%	1.10	4.68
Yency Almonte ('24)	1.1	45	22.5%	9.9%	1.13	4.44
Bill Wilson ('69-'73, -0 WAR*)	1.3	52	20.3%*	11.5%*	1.13*	4.84*
Bill Pleis ('61-'66, -0 WAR*)	1.4	56	19.7%*	9.8%*	1.15*	4.53*