Damian Mendoza
P
Hickory Crawdads
Age 25
RHP
6'1" / 175 lbs
A+
peak 0.1 · 2026
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 40 proj IP
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 119110vR 101
ERA4.40
FIP4.40
K%22.1%
BB%8.9%
K-BB%13.3%
ROS IP40
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 40 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | 11 | 11 | 59 | 234 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 5.4 | 11.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% | 2.58 | 2.73 | — |
| 2018 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers 2 | 11 | 11 | 59 | 234 | 40 | 9 | 0 | 100% | 5.4 | 17.1% | 3.8% | 13.2% | 0.0% | 2.58 | 2.21 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 12 | 2 | 36 | 151 | 32 | 9 | 5 | 17% | 3.0 | 14.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.95 | 5.37 | — |
| 2019 | 18 | ROK | AZL Rangers | 12 | 2 | 36 | 151 | 32 | 9 | 5 | 17% | 3.0 | 21.2% | 6.0% | 15.2% | 3.3% | 4.95 | 3.87 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 14 | 9 | 41 | 195 | 43 | 16 | 4 | 64% | 2.9 | 15.0% | 10.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 7.30 | 4.66 | — |
| 2021 | 20 | ROK | ACL Rangers | 14 | 9 | 41 | 195 | 43 | 16 | 4 | 64% | 2.9 | 22.1% | 8.2% | 13.8% | 2.1% | 7.30 | 3.44 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 62 | 273 | 59 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 16.2% | 13.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.47 | 4.36 | — |
| 2022 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 34 | 0 | 62 | 273 | 59 | 31 | 3 | 0% | 1.8 | 21.6% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 1.1% | 2.47 | 3.33 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 29 | 0 | 60 | 268 | 69 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 2.1 | 19.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 3.7% | 4.83 | 4.72 | — |
| 2023 | 22 | A | Down East Wood Ducks | 29 | 0 | 60 | 268 | 69 | 21 | 9 | 0% | 2.1 | 25.7% | 7.8% | 17.9% | 3.4% | 4.83 | 3.80 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 1 | 59 | 259 | 60 | 20 | 7 | 4% | 2.1 | 18.6% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 3.4% | 4.42 | 4.42 | — |
| 2024 | 23 | MIX | 3 levels | 28 | 1 | 59 | 259 | 60 | 20 | 7 | 4% | 2.1 | 23.2% | 7.7% | 15.4% | 2.7% | 4.42 | 3.63 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 25 | MLB | TEX | 38 | 0 | 40 | 170 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 3.0% | 4.40 | 4.40 | +0.1 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 38 | 0 | 40 | 170 | 38 | 15 | 5 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 26 | MLB | TEX | 16 | 0 | 17 | 72 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 4.37 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 16 | 0 | 17 | 73 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 3.99 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 185 | 69 | 23 | 0% | 1.1 | 22.5% | 8.9% | 13.6% | 3.0% | 4.37 | 3.99 | +3.3 | ||
| Career | — | 128 | 23 | 317 | 1380 | 222 | 125 | 36 | 18% | 2.5 | 16.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 4.20 | 4.32 | +4.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 81 | 15 | 200 | 871 | 140 | 79 | 23 | 18% | 2.5 | 16.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 4.20 | 4.32 | +2.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Damian Mendoza (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.40 | 22.1% | 8.9% | 3.0% | — | 4.37 | 22.5% | 13.6% | 40 | -0.03 | — | — | — |
| Derek Gordon R 2026 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 84 |
| Barrett Loseke R 2026 · 4.36 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.36 | 21.7% | 10.1% | 3.3% | .311 | 5.39 | 24.0% | 10.9% | 22 | +1.03 | 4.36 | 152 | 82 |
| Jarret Whorff R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.26 | 18.9% | 10.2% | 2.7% | .271 | 4.65 | 19.5% | 11.5% | 99 | +0.39 | 3.81 | 233 | 82 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 82 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 81 |
| Nick Merkel R 2026 · 3.90 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.90 | 22.8% | 7.1% | 3.3% | .284 | 3.25 | 20.8% | 10.5% | 125 | -0.65 | 3.08 | 201 | 81 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 81 |
| Casey Cobb R 2026 · 3.73 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.73 | 21.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | .261 | 5.72 | 17.2% | 8.3% | 118 | +1.99 | 3.73 | 191 | 80 |
| Shohei Tomioka R 2026 · 4.06 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.06 | 18.9% | 9.0% | 2.6% | .311 | 4.48 | 17.3% | 3.8% | 141 | +0.42 | 3.63 | 281 | 80 |
| Connor Schultz R 2026 · 4.05 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.05 | 19.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | .283 | 3.86 | 19.3% | 11.7% | 124 | -0.19 | 3.47 | 171 | 80 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2029 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 80 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 80 |
| Brad Bass R 2026 · 4.01 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.01 | 21.6% | 8.1% | 3.1% | .286 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.01 | 247 | 80 |
| Austin Ross R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 80 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2024 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 80 |
| Danny Kirwin R 2026 · 4.03 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.03 | 16.8% | 9.3% | 2.1% | .275 | 8.37 | 16.9% | -3.1% | 25 | +4.34 | 4.03 | 161 | 80 |
| Jake Curtis R 2025 · 3.34 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.34 | 19.3% | 6.5% | 1.9% | .338 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.34 | 105 | 79 |
| Carter Rustad R 2026 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 79 |
| Easton Sikorski R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.24 | 21.1% | 10.6% | 2.9% | .286 | 6.43 | 14.1% | 7.0% | 24 | +2.19 | 4.09 | 183 | 79 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 4.04 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.04 | 19.9% | 10.4% | 2.4% | .272 | 3.57 | 19.6% | 9.7% | 129 | -0.47 | 3.26 | 386 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 40 | 22.3% | 8.9% | 1.17 | 4.38 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |
| Randall Delgado ('17) | 3 | 70 | 22.2% | 9.2% | 0.90 | 3.78 |
| Noé Ramirez ('22) | 5 | 52 | 24.8% | 9.0% | 1.33 | 4.19 |
| Jim Johnson ('18) | 4 | 63 | 20.7% | 8.0% | 0.90 | 4.19 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |