Damian Mendoza — OGILVIE

Damian Mendoza P Hickory Crawdads

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 175 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 3 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 103

ERA4.55

FIP4.55

K%20.1%

BB%8.7%

K-BB%11.4%

ROS IP3

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 3 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5050

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers 2	11	11	59	234	40	9	0	100%	5.4	11.6%	4.8%	6.8%	0.0%	2.58	2.73	—
2018	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers 2	11	11	59	234	40	9	0	100%	5.4	17.1%	3.8%	13.2%	0.0%	2.58	2.21	—
2019	18	ROK MLE	AZL Rangers	12	2	36	151	32	9	5	17%	3.0	14.4%	7.5%	7.0%	4.6%	4.95	5.37	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	AZL Rangers	12	2	36	151	32	9	5	17%	3.0	21.2%	6.0%	15.2%	3.3%	4.95	3.87	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	14	9	41	195	43	16	4	64%	2.9	15.0%	10.3%	4.7%	2.8%	7.30	4.69	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	14	9	41	195	43	16	4	64%	2.9	22.1%	8.2%	13.8%	2.1%	7.30	3.44	—
2022	21	MIX MLE	2 levels	34	0	62	273	59	31	3	0%	1.8	16.2%	13.1%	3.1%	1.6%	2.47	4.26	—
2022	21	MIX RAW	2 levels	34	0	62	273	59	31	3	0%	1.8	21.6%	11.4%	10.3%	1.1%	2.47	3.33	—
2023	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	29	0	60	268	69	21	9	0%	2.1	19.1%	9.2%	9.8%	4.0%	4.83	4.88	—
2023	22	A MLE	Down East Wood Ducks	29	0	60	268	69	21	9	0%	2.1	19.1%	9.2%	9.8%	4.0%	4.83	4.88	—
2023	22	A RAW	Down East Wood Ducks	29	0	60	268	69	21	9	0%	2.1	25.7%	7.8%	17.9%	3.4%	4.83	3.80	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	1	59	259	60	20	7	4%	2.1	18.6%	8.3%	10.3%	3.4%	4.42	4.46	—
2024	23	MIX MLE	3 levels	28	1	59	259	60	20	7	4%	2.1	18.6%	8.3%	10.3%	3.4%	4.42	4.46	—
2024	23	MIX RAW	3 levels	28	1	59	259	60	20	7	4%	2.1	23.2%	7.7%	15.4%	2.7%	4.42	3.63	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	TEX	3	0	3	13	3	1	0	0%	1.0	20.1%	8.7%	11.4%	3.0%	4.55	4.55	0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	TEX	51	0	53	224	46	20	7	0%	1.0	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	3.0%	4.51	4.50	+0.0
2028	27	MLB MLE	TEX	50	0	52	221	46	19	7	0%	1.0	20.9%	8.8%	12.1%	3.1%	4.51	4.52	+0.0
2027	26	MLB CTX	TEX	22	0	23	97	20	8	3	0%	1.0	20.7%	8.7%	12.0%	3.0%	4.51	4.50	+0.0
2028	27	MLB CTX	TEX	31	0	33	139	29	12	4	0%	1.1	20.9%	8.8%	12.1%	3.1%	4.51	4.52	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		53	0	56	235	49	21	7	0%	1.1	20.9%	8.8%	12.1%	3.1%	4.51	4.13	+0.3
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	75	25	0%	1.1	20.9%	8.8%	12.1%	3.1%	4.51	4.13	+1.0
Career	—	MLE		128	23	317	1380	222	125	37	18%	2.5	16.1%	9.0%	7.0%	2.6%	4.20	4.34	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		81	15	200	871	140	79	23	18%	2.5	16.1%	9.0%	7.0%	2.6%	4.20	4.34	+0.1

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Damian Mendoza (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.55	20.1%	8.7%	3.0%	—	4.51	20.8%	12.1%	105	-0.04	—	—	—
Brad Deppermann R 2021 · 4.51 FIP	25	SW	4.51	17.1%	9.6%	3.0%	.289	3.52	20.0%	7.8%	45	-0.99	1.94	143	87
Derek Gordon R 2016 · 4.62 FIP	25	SW	4.62	19.9%	9.3%	3.7%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	4.62	146	86
Billy Corcoran R 2023 · 4.20 FIP	23	SW	4.20	19.5%	10.0%	2.7%	.308	5.16	16.5%	8.7%	206	+0.96	4.20	275	85
Shohei Tomioka R 2021 · 4.00 FIP	25	SW	4.00	18.9%	9.0%	2.5%	.311	4.40	17.2%	4.0%	141	+0.40	3.65	299	82
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	82
Andrew Bellatti R 2015 · 4.34 FIP	23	SU	4.34	19.3%	8.8%	3.2%	.288	—	—	—	—	—	2.67	278	81
Jaycob Deese R 2023 · 4.68 FIP	23	SU	4.68	17.4%	6.8%	4.0%	.309	4.83	13.6%	4.4%	140	+0.15	3.28	208	81
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	81
Coleman Huntley III R 2021 · 3.85 FIP	28	SW	3.85	20.2%	7.4%	2.8%	.348	3.56	23.4%	13.2%	86	-0.29	2.38	160	81
J.R. Graham R 2015 · 4.39 FIP	25	SU	4.39	18.7%	7.4%	3.5%	.317	3.63	20.4%	10.1%	61	-0.76	3.31	125	80
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	80
Brendan Collins R 2022 · 3.67 FIP	22	SW	3.67	21.8%	10.3%	2.0%	.294	3.86	20.2%	5.1%	54	+0.19	3.67	122	80
Jorge Reyes R 2015 · 4.58 FIP	27	SW	4.58	15.9%	8.5%	3.2%	.307	3.49	14.2%	6.2%	129	-1.09	3.39	227	80
Danny Hrbek R 2019 · 3.98 FIP	24	SU	3.98	21.3%	7.5%	3.1%	.312	—	—	—	—	—	3.98	100	80
Brad Bass R 2021 · 4.10 FIP	25	SU	4.10	21.6%	8.1%	3.3%	.286	—	—	—	—	—	4.10	247	79
Chris Jefferson R 2022 · 3.53 FIP	25	SU	3.53	22.4%	10.2%	1.9%	.330	4.99	16.5%	3.9%	101	+1.46	3.53	140	79
Casey Cobb R 2021 · 3.48 FIP	25	SU	3.48	21.8%	6.2%	2.6%	.261	5.59	17.2%	8.3%	118	+2.11	3.48	191	79
Nick Merkel R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	25	SU	3.99	22.8%	7.1%	3.5%	.284	3.44	20.7%	10.3%	129	-0.55	3.15	205	79
Brendan King R 2019 · 4.89 FIP	25	SU	4.89	19.0%	9.3%	4.0%	.316	—	—	—	—	—	2.28	170	79
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	78

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.7	49	20.6%	8.7%	1.18	4.52
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Noé Ramirez ('22)	1.3	52	24.8%	9.0%	1.33	4.19
Jarlín García ('22)	1.5	61	19.6%	7.8%	1.33	3.79
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38