Jose Tovar

C DSL Phillies

Age 18 R/R ROK HR +14% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2026	17	ROKPHI	184	.277/.374/.381	1	17	39	—	.180/.263/.230
2027PROJ0% MLB	18	MLBPHI	294	.218/.282/.298	2	10	65	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	19	MLBPHI	82	.223/.289/.315	1	3	71	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	20	MLBPHI	179	.227/.295/.328	2	7	76	0.3

Next 3 projected WAR 0.5Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed94

K%72

Z-Con%63

Whiff%60

wRC+48

ISO43

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 98%

CompsCristian Hernández (age 18) · Jett Williams (age 19) · Eguy Rosario (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 154 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.216 / .280 / .296

PA154

HR1

SB5

K%24

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$38M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2036	Arb-1	$4M	+0.8	$2M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$6M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$7M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$7M		$10M	+$5M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2026	17	ROK	DSL Phillies	—	184	155	43	9	2	1	20	31	4	17	1	277	374	381	755	103	328	17	11	336	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	184	161	29	6	1	0	14	38	4	17	1	180	263	230	492	50	211	21	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	184	161	29	6	1	0	14	38	4	17	1	180	263	230	492	50	227	21	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK RAW	DSL Phillies	—	184	155	43	9	2	1	20	31	4	17	1	277	374	381	755	103	328	17	11	336	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	184	164	29	6	1	0	14	38	4	17	1	177	263	226	488	49	211	21	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2026	17	ROK MLE	DSL Phillies	—	184	164	29	6	1	0	14	38	4	17	1	177	263	226	488	49	211	21	8	226	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	18	MLB MLE	PHI	0%	294	269	59	10	3	2	20	72	3	10	1	218	282	298	580	80	287	24	7	264	65	-12	+2	+0	+5	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	19	MLB MLE	PHI	34%	240	218	48	8	2	2	17	58	3	9	2	223	288	312	601	90	289	24	7	273	71	-8	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.2
2029	20	MLB MLE	PHI	48%	369	334	76	13	3	5	27	88	5	14	3	226	294	325	619	99	291	24	7	280	76	-11	+2	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2030	21	MLB MLE	PHI	54%	465	421	97	17	4	7	34	110	7	18	4	230	298	336	634	106	292	24	7	286	80	-11	+2	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2031	22	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	520	469	109	19	4	9	39	122	7	20	4	232	301	345	646	113	293	23	8	291	83	-10	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2032	23	MLB MLE	PHI	58%	520	469	109	19	4	9	39	121	7	20	4	235	303	353	657	119	294	23	8	295	86	-9	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2033	24	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	520	469	111	19	4	10	39	121	7	20	4	236	305	357	662	121	295	23	8	298	87	-8	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2034	25	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	520	469	110	19	4	10	39	121	7	20	4	237	305	360	666	124	295	23	8	299	88	-7	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2035	26	MLB MLE	PHI	57%	520	469	110	19	4	10	39	121	7	20	4	237	306	362	668	125	295	23	8	300	89	-7	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2036	27	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	520	469	110	19	4	10	39	122	7	20	4	236	305	359	664	124	294	23	8	298	88	-8	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2037	28	MLB MLE	PHI	55%	520	469	110	19	4	10	39	123	7	19	4	234	302	355	657	121	293	24	8	295	86	-9	+2	-1	+9	+11	1.4
2038	29	MLB MLE	PHI	58%	520	469	110	19	4	10	39	125	7	19	5	231	300	348	648	117	292	24	8	292	83	-10	+2	-1	+9	+11	1.1
2039	30	MLB MLE	PHI	60%	520	469	107	18	4	9	39	126	7	18	5	228	296	340	636	112	290	24	8	287	80	-12	+2	-2	+9	+11	0.8
2040	31	MLB MLE	PHI	62%	504	456	101	17	3	8	37	124	6	17	5	224	291	330	621	107	286	25	7	281	76	-14	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.4
2041	32	MLB MLE	PHI	63%	489	445	97	16	3	7	35	123	6	16	6	219	285	318	603	100	283	25	7	273	71	-17	+1	-4	+9	+11	-0.0
2028	19	MLB CTX	PHI	34%	82	75	17	3	1	1	6	20	1	3	1	223	289	315	604	91	289	24	7	274	71	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2029	20	MLB CTX	PHI	48%	179	161	37	6	2	2	13	43	3	7	1	227	295	328	623	101	291	24	7	282	76	-5	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2030	21	MLB CTX	PHI	54%	252	228	53	9	2	4	18	60	4	10	2	231	299	340	638	109	292	24	7	288	80	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.5
2031	22	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	294	266	61	10	2	5	22	69	4	11	3	233	302	350	652	116	293	23	7	293	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	23	MLB CTX	PHI	58%	299	271	64	11	2	6	22	70	4	12	3	236	305	358	663	122	294	23	7	298	86	-5	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2033	24	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	296	268	63	11	2	6	22	69	4	11	3	237	306	362	668	125	295	23	7	300	87	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2034	25	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	295	267	63	11	2	6	22	69	4	11	3	238	307	365	672	127	295	23	7	301	88	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2035	26	MLB CTX	PHI	57%	294	266	63	11	2	6	22	69	4	11	3	238	307	367	674	129	295	23	7	302	89	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2036	27	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	289	261	61	10	2	6	22	68	4	11	3	237	306	365	670	128	294	24	8	301	88	-4	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2037	28	MLB CTX	PHI	55%	286	258	61	10	2	6	22	68	4	11	2	235	304	360	663	125	293	24	8	298	86	-5	+1	-0	+5	+6	0.8
2038	29	MLB CTX	PHI	58%	302	272	64	11	2	6	23	72	4	11	3	233	301	353	654	120	292	24	8	294	83	-6	+1	-1	+5	+7	0.6
2039	30	MLB CTX	PHI	60%	313	283	65	11	2	6	23	76	4	11	3	229	297	345	642	116	290	24	7	289	80	-7	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2040	31	MLB CTX	PHI	62%	311	281	62	10	2	5	23	77	4	11	3	225	292	335	627	110	287	25	7	283	76	-9	+1	-2	+6	+7	0.3
2041	32	MLB CTX	PHI	63%	307	278	61	10	2	5	22	77	4	10	4	220	286	322	608	102	283	25	7	275	71	-11	+0	-2	+5	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3799	3435	795	134	27	70	282	907	52	141	37	231	300	347	647	116	293	24	7	292	81	-79	+13	-6	+68	+82	8.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	588	136	23	5	12	48	155	9	24	6	231	299	349	648	117	292	24	7	292	81	-13	+2	-1	+12	+14	1.4
Career	—	MLE		—	7085	6396	1464	252	53	117	526	1680	96	272	60	229	297	340	637	111	290	24	7	288	81	-147	+27	-10	+123	+150	14.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	135	23	5	11	48	154	9	25	6	230	298	342	641	112	291	24	7	288	81	-14	+3	-1	+12	+14	1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Ray Schalk'12-'29 * career totals — 15 seasons, 6,217 PA	9.4	6,217	11	177	238*	322*	355*	+111	+0	22.1	19.8
/162	664	1	19	+11.9	+0.0	2.4	pk7: 18
#2Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.0	3,955	67	146	231	296	345	+71	+36	11.0	9.1
/162	664	11	25	+11.9	+6.0	1.8	pk7: 7
#5Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#6Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Tovar (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	216/280/296	79	287	1	5	24%	7%	65	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cristian Hernández 2022 · A	18	42→48	37→45	55→60	50	201/278/273	72	271	5	19	26%	9%	59	-1.6	194/257/266	72	306	5	18	35%	7%	49	-2.4	217/285/319	102	301	8	34	29%	8%	69	-0.8
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Eguy Rosario 2018 · A	18	45→54	36→55	54→55	42	211/269/291	80	298	2	20	28%	6%	59	-1.6	214/263/318	104	301	8	13	30%	5%	63	-1.4	240/303/388	148	312	14	21	26%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Jefferson Rojas 2023 · A	18	45→48	36→50	56→50	48	210/272/282	72	247	3	16	16%	6%	59	-1.7	217/279/313	96	271	9	15	22%	6%	69	-0.9	225/287/358	133	263	15	18	21%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	41→44	37→50	55	45	194/259/272	77	267	4	14	28%	8%	51	-2.2	178/254/255	77	256	5	12	30%	8%	47	-2.6	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕John Gil 2024 · A	18	43→45	36→40	55→60	52	202/288/273	71	266	3	18	23%	10%	63	-1.3	209/283/287	78	275	6	30	24%	9%	64	-1.3	211/283/297	86	272	8	38	24%	8%	65	-1.0
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Andruw Monasterio 2015 · A	18	44→54	35→45	55	48	203/263/259	56	247	2	16	18%	7%	49	-2.4	205/260/265	60	260	2	11	21%	6%	50	-2.3	241/316/348	107	322	9	15	26%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Tito Polo 2013 · A	18	44→54	37→45	50→60	44	206/288/282	76	276	4	18	25%	7%	66	-1.1	203/265/282	79	275	4	22	26%	6%	56	-1.9	235/290/350	114	311	11	32	27%	5%	78	-0.2
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Oswald Peraza 2018 · A	18	46→54	35→50	53→60	44	214/285/281	67	280	1	11	22%	6%	64	-1.3	212/274/278	66	288	4	15	26%	6%	59	-1.7	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Tyler Pastornicky 2009 · A	19	44→54	37→45	58→60	48	208/269/282	74	252	4	24	19%	7%	57	-1.8	242/293/325	83	287	5	28	16%	6%	75	-0.5	278/316/373	95	318	7	16	14%	5%	93	+0.5
✕Jonathan Martinez 2024 · A	17	40	36→40	54→65	49	184/282/254	70	267	3	16	29%	10%	58	-1.7	199/294/275	76	309	3	22	33%	10%	66	-1.1	201/317/288	87	345	4	40	37%	13%	76	-0.1
✕Abiatal Avelino 2013 · A	18	45→54	35→45	54→55	49	209/282/267	58	253	2	16	18%	7%	59	-1.6	228/282/303	75	282	3	23	19%	6%	67	-1.1	253/294/359	106	312	9	19	21%	5%	80	-0.1
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→52	40	57→45	42	203/256/302	99	255	6	15	23%	5%	57	-1.8	219/288/315	96	285	8	12	24%	7%	72	-0.7	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4

Jose Tovar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps