Derik Aquino

P DSL LAD Mega

Age 20 RHP 6'5" / 180 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	18	ROKDSL LAD Bauti…	18	0	22	12.68	5.28	22.2%	20.6%	—	K 15.1% · BB 25.8% · FIP 6.23
2026	19	ROKDSL LAD Mega	17	6	34	3.15	3.45	24.2%	15.9%	—	K 16.5% · BB 19.9% · FIP 4.72
2027PROJ	20	MLBLAD	17	0	18	5.84	5.84	20.0%	19.4%	-0.2
2028PROJ49% MLB	21	MLBLAD	15	0	16	5.49	5.36	20.8%	16.4%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsOver Galue (age 20) · Will Kobos (age 20) · Juan Martinez (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 144136vR 128

ERA5.84

FIP5.84

K%20.0%

BB%19.4%

K-BB%0.6%

Proj IP18

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 18 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4550

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	18	0	22	126	28	26	2	0%	1.2	15.1%	25.8%	-10.7%	2.1%	12.68	6.23	—
2025	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	18	0	22	126	28	26	2	0%	1.2	15.1%	25.8%	-10.7%	2.1%	12.68	6.23	—
2025	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	18	0	22	126	28	26	2	0%	1.2	22.2%	20.6%	1.6%	1.6%	12.68	5.28	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	17	6	34	157	38	25	1	35%	2.0	16.5%	19.9%	-3.4%	0.9%	3.15	4.72	—
2026	19	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	17	6	34	157	38	25	1	35%	2.0	16.5%	19.9%	-3.4%	0.9%	3.15	4.72	—
2026	19	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	17	6	34	157	38	25	1	35%	2.0	24.2%	15.9%	8.3%	0.6%	3.15	3.45	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	20	MLB	LAD	17	0	18	76	15	15	2	0%	1.1	20.0%	19.4%	0.6%	2.9%	5.84	5.84	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	21	MLB MLE	LAD	31	0	32	137	29	22	4	0%	1.0	20.8%	16.4%	4.5%	2.8%	5.49	5.36	-0.3
2028	21	MLB CTX	LAD	15	0	16	68	14	11	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	16.4%	4.5%	2.8%	5.49	5.36	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		15	0	16	67	14	11	2	0%	1.1	20.8%	16.4%	4.5%	2.8%	5.49	4.98	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	176	138	25	0%	1.1	20.8%	16.4%	4.5%	2.8%	5.49	4.98	-1.0
Career	—	MLE		35	6	56	283	45	64	4	17%	1.6	15.9%	22.5%	-6.7%	1.4%	6.87	5.39	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		124	21	200	1005	159	226	14	17%	1.6	15.9%	22.5%	-6.7%	1.4%	6.87	5.39	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Derik Aquino (OGILVIE)	—	—	5.84	20.0%	19.4%	2.9%	—	5.36	20.8%	4.5%	32	-0.48	—	—	—
Over Galue R 2021 · 5.01 FIP	20	SW	5.01	17.5%	17.0%	2.2%	.346	4.16	18.2%	3.6%	94	-0.85	4.16	122	88
Will Kobos R 2018 · 5.58 FIP	20	SW	5.58	19.3%	16.0%	3.8%	.313	3.46	26.6%	11.6%	76	-2.12	2.44	139	86
Juan Martinez R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	20	SW	5.12	17.4%	20.8%	1.6%	.314	5.54	15.4%	-0.3%	31	+0.42	4.03	122	84
Michael Perez R 2024 · 5.44 FIP	21	SU	5.44	18.3%	16.1%	3.4%	.296	4.65	23.4%	7.7%	132	-0.79	4.38	153	84
Will Varmette R 2024 · 5.06 FIP	21	SU	5.06	22.8%	19.3%	2.6%	.302	5.13	16.1%	2.3%	135	+0.07	4.69	182	83
Denny Larrondo R 2021 · 4.77 FIP	19	SW	4.77	22.7%	17.5%	2.5%	.293	5.26	18.1%	-0.4%	155	+0.49	4.48	293	83
Keegan Collett R 2019 · 5.05 FIP	21	SW	5.05	21.9%	24.6%	1.2%	.321	4.68	29.1%	9.0%	84	-0.37	3.93	184	82
Jordan Brink R 2016 · 5.96 FIP	23	SW	5.96	18.3%	19.2%	3.6%	.233	—	—	—	—	—	3.99	132	82
Elison Joseph R 2021 · 5.31 FIP	20	SU	5.31	17.4%	19.2%	2.3%	.254	4.55	23.5%	6.8%	133	-0.76	3.32	217	82
Darlin Pinales R 2023 · 6.68 FIP	20	SW	6.68	17.0%	27.6%	2.8%	.350	4.44	21.7%	1.1%	117	-2.24	3.61	214	81
Angel Peralta R 2024 · 6.70 FIP	17	SW	6.70	19.0%	29.7%	2.6%	.200	4.28	15.9%	2.0%	84	-2.42	3.81	107	81
Hudson Leach R 2024 · 5.37 FIP	22	SU	5.37	20.5%	20.0%	2.7%	.261	4.54	20.9%	3.1%	71	-0.83	2.77	101	81
Ismael Aquino R 2019 · 4.89 FIP	20	SU	4.89	17.0%	16.5%	2.1%	.354	5.58	14.1%	-1.5%	14	+0.69	3.99	122	80
Tanner Cooper R 2021 · 4.71 FIP	21	SW	4.71	17.1%	14.1%	2.3%	.338	5.15	14.4%	6.7%	121	+0.44	4.51	148	80
Daniel Lloyd R 2021 · 5.40 FIP	20	SU	5.40	20.4%	22.4%	2.2%	.367	4.15	18.0%	8.5%	226	-1.25	3.59	319	80
Nicolas Cruz R 2024 · 4.84 FIP	20	SW	4.84	19.2%	16.1%	2.4%	.437	3.32	20.4%	11.4%	117	-1.52	3.01	194	79
Sandy Gaston R 2022 · 5.39 FIP	20	SU	5.39	22.3%	25.9%	1.6%	.252	5.25	20.0%	-0.5%	125	-0.14	4.17	310	79
Erian Rodriguez R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	20	SU	5.51	16.2%	19.8%	2.3%	.378	4.16	16.2%	3.6%	241	-1.35	3.81	287	79
James Acuna R 2021 · 5.12 FIP	23	SU	5.12	21.3%	17.0%	3.0%	.302	4.33	19.4%	4.6%	60	-0.79	4.33	107	79
Jordy Luciano R 2022 · 4.97 FIP	21	SU	4.97	24.9%	22.3%	2.1%	.306	5.33	17.1%	-4.8%	80	+0.36	4.97	104	79

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	25	20.5%	17.5%	1.11	5.62
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*
Gene Harris ('89-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.2	40	20.0%*	12.5%*	0.98*	4.96*