Luis Tovar3B DSL LAD Bautista
Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 210 lbs ROK HR +15%K -3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.6 · 2035
wRC+†51
AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .263 / .285
PA44
HR0
K%31
BB%7
MLB%0%
BAT: -2.4 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-2BATRUN: +0.2 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+0POSREP: +1.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+1REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
trajectory · 10 yrs
3.5peak
2034

Contract

ESTIMATED  ·  service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032Ext / FA-deal$0.9M+3.1$30M+$29M
2033Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+3.3$32M+$32M
2034Ext / FA-deal$1.0M+3.5$35M+$34M
2035Ext / FA-deal$7M+3.6$38M+$31M
2036Ext / FA-deal$11M+3.4$37M+$25M
2037Ext / FA-deal$15M+3.2$35M+$20M
Totals $36M $207M +$171M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 2928 6000 170 20 .214.241.214.456 .000.286 243 .188 2 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.2
▸ 2026 Season
202618 MLBLAD 4441 7100 3140 10 .171.227.195.422 .024.291 327 .252 51 -2 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
202719 MLB 11%LAD 135121 27413 11402 31 .223.299.347.646 .124.306 308 .287 78 -3 +0 +0 +0 +4 0.1
202820 MLB 28%LAD 286255 601027 25814 72 .235.313.373.686 .137.312 289 .306 92 -2 +1 +0 +1 +8 0.7
202921 MLB 48%LAD 403357 8614311 381105 112 .241.323.389.712 .148.312 279 .317 101 +0 +1 +0 +1 +11 1.5
203022 MLB 65%LAD 487429 10417314 481297 143 .242.329.394.722 .152.312 2610 .325 107 +4 +2 +0 +2 +14 2.1
203123 MLB 86%LAD 544477 11819417 551427 163 .247.334.411.745 .164.313 2610 .331 111 +7 +2 +0 +2 +15 2.7
203224 MLBLAD 581508 12620419 601508 173 .248.337.415.752 .167.313 2610 .335 115 +10 +2 +0 +2 +16 3.1
203325 MLBLAD 603526 13121420 641558 174 .249.339.418.758 .169.314 2611 .338 117 +12 +2 +0 +2 +17 3.3
203426 MLBLAD 615535 13422420 661589 183 .250.343.419.761 .168.314 2611 .340 118 +13 +2 +0 +2 +17 3.5
203527 MLBLAD 617536 13422420 671599 183 .250.343.418.761 .168.314 2611 .340 118 +13 +2 +0 +2 +17 3.6
203628 MLBLAD 614534 13221420 671598 163 .247.340.414.754 .167.314 2611 .339 117 +12 +2 -1 +2 +17 3.4
203729 MLBLAD 605526 13121420 661588 152 .249.342.418.760 .169.313 2611 .337 116 +11 +2 -1 +2 +17 3.2
203830 MLBLAD 595517 12720419 651588 142 .246.339.410.749 .164.312 2711 .334 113 +9 +2 -2 +2 +17 2.8
203931 MLBLAD 582505 12219418 641578 101 .242.336.402.738 .160.311 2711 .330 111 +7 +2 -3 +2 +16 2.5
204032 MLBLAD 564490 11718417 621557 80 .239.333.396.729 .157.309 2711 .325 107 +4 +2 -4 +2 +16 2.1
204133 MLBLAD 534464 10817315 581507 50 .233.327.379.706 .147.308 2811 .320 103 +2 +1 -4 +2 +15 1.6
204234 MLBLAD 486424 9715313 531416 40 .229.323.370.693 .142.306 2911 .313 98 -1 +1 -5 +2 +14 1.0
204335 MLBLAD 431377 8413311 461295 20 .223.315.361.676 .138.304 3011 .305 92 -4 +0 -6 +2 +12 0.5
204436 MLBLAD 370324 691029 391154 10 .213.305.340.645 .127.301 3111 .296 85 -6 +0 -6 +1 +10 -0.1
204537 MLBLAD 305266 56827 32984 10 .211.305.335.639 .124.298 3210 .286 77 -8 +0 -7 +1 +9 -0.5
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career 94308240 197631262280 9902565124 20032 .240.330.395.725 .155.312 2710 .325 107 +72 +27 -38 +34 +267 36.9
/ 162G 650568 13622419 681779 142 .239.330.393.723 .153.312 2710 .325 107 +5 +2 -3 +2 +18 2.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 2928 8000 150 20 .286.310.286.596 .000.348 173 .274 68 -1 +0 +1 0.0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luis Tovar (OGILVIE) 18 .200/.263/.285 .085.291 01 31% 7% 51 -0.1
Franmil Reyes
2013 · A
18 42→52 40→65 50→45 42 .204/.266/.299 .095.285 610 29% 7% 55 -1.4 .208/.259/.302 .094.287 76 28% 6% 53 -1.5 .256/.325/.480.224.31434029%9%126+2.6
Brandon Drury
2011 · A
18 36→46 38→60 45→40 33 .178/.219/.255 .076.265 65 34% 4% 24 -3.6 .214/.245/.320 .106.267 103 23% 3% 51 -1.7 .254/.305/.458.204.30125124%6%112+2.0
Maikel Franco
2011 · A
18 39→49 38→55 49→40 39 .190/.242/.270 .080.272 54 31% 5% 37 -2.6 .217/.256/.335 .118.271 123 24% 4% 60 -1.0 .263/.299/.434.171.29019217%4%100+1.6
Carlos Correa
2013 · A
18 42→52 40→60 51→55 37 .205/.244/.299 .094.289 68 31% 5% 45 -2.1 .257/.317/.390 .133.320 1113 22% 7% 100 +1.7 .284/.360/.488.204.328241420%10%137+4.4
Eloy Jiménez
2016 · A
19 40→50 40→65 49→40 39 .197/.240/.291 .094.269 77 29% 5% 41 -2.3 .251/.286/.404 .153.321 164 26% 4% 91 +1.1 .273/.314/.492.219.31430023%5%125+2.3
Mark Vientos
2018 · A
18 43→50 40→60 42→30 38 .207/.253/.302 .095.293 84 31% 5% 50 -1.7 .206/.255/.327 .121.274 143 29% 6% 59 -1.1 .246/.306/.451.204.32128031%7%109+2.0
Wilin Rosario
2007 · A
18 42→52 38→60 47→45 36 .201/.246/.271 .071.298 67 34% 5% 39 -2.5 .204/.247/.300 .096.302 95 34% 5% 47 -1.9 .265/.302/.457.192.30126421%5%107+1.6
Gleyber Torres
2015 · A
18 46→54 37→60 46→50 46 .215/.278/.292 .076.296 410 27% 8% 58 -1.2 .231/.286/.324 .093.321 613 28% 7% 69 -0.4 .258/.343/.395.138.29316617%11%111+2.7
Jose Alvarez
2008 · A
19 41→51 38→60 49→50 38 .197/.247/.279 .082.270 58 28% 5% 42 -2.3 .198/.241/.288 .090.275 68 29% 3% 41 -2.3 .293/.324/.482.189.31826917%2%126+2.8
Thairo Estrada
2014 · A
18 44→54 39→50 48→55 41 .211/.266/.306 .095.271 59 23% 5% 56 -1.3 .222/.272/.315 .093.283 69 23% 5% 61 -1.0 .270/.326/.420.150.314172119%5%108+1.8
Alex Liddi
2007 · A
18 43→53 39→60 52→50 35 .205/.243/.299 .094.302 610 33% 4% 44 -2.1 .213/.261/.326 .113.308 98 32% 5% 59 -1.1 .241/.296/.424.182.33620533%6%99+1.7
Steven Souza Jr.
2008 · A
19 37→47 41→60 49→55 38 .182/.248/.279 .096.291 87 38% 7% 43 -2.2 .191/.250/.282 .091.285 814 34% 6% 44 -2.1 .258/.336/.452.194.336232529%10%124+2.2
Tim Beckham
2009 · A
19 42→52 38→55 49→50 38 .202/.248/.282 .080.290 57 31% 5% 43 -2.2 .219/.267/.307 .088.310 510 29% 5% 57 -1.2 .248/.301/.421.173.31922428%6%100+1.3
Ricky Cabrera
2023 · A
18 43 38→45 48→60 37 .201/.274/.283 .082.302 48 32% 5% 56 -1.3 .218/.294/.318 .100.311 815 31% 6% 73 -0.1 .220/.298/.329.109.312112030%6%75-0.0
Renato Núñez
2012 · A
18 41→51 41→60 43→30 35 .205/.239/.302 .097.278 94 30% 3% 44 -2.1 .212/.255/.338 .126.283 134 29% 4% 61 -1.0 .238/.308/.452.215.27831126%7%111+1.7
Jackson Chourio
2022 · A
18 44→54 42→55 49→55 45 .217/.279/.319 .102.277 1010 25% 7% 66 -0.6 .233/.280/.389 .156.311 1819 30% 6% 85 +0.7 .261/.307/.430.168.314192623%6%101+1.8
Cheslor Cuthbert
2011 · A
18 42→52 41→50 49→45 35 .201/.249/.301 .100.304 76 35% 5% 49 -1.8 .215/.263/.317 .102.277 104 25% 6% 59 -1.1 .250/.304/.396.146.29217120%7%95+0.7
Ramón Urías
2012 · A
18 42→52 37→50 47→50 46 .201/.276/.273 .072.254 46 22% 6% 54 -1.4 .211/.274/.284 .073.251 46 17% 5% 55 -1.4 .277/.345/.403.127.328131419%5%112+1.6
Lane Thomas
2015 · A
19 45→51 37→55 51→55 43 .210/.271/.289 .080.308 39 31% 8% 54 -1.4 .192/.258/.279 .087.311 612 37% 8% 47 -1.9 .248/.312/.427.179.308211325%7%107+2.0
José Fermín
2017 · A
18 43→51 38→45 48→55 44 .204/.260/.288 .084.278 48 27% 7% 50 -1.8 .202/.252/.277 .075.241 410 17% 5% 43 -2.2 .241/.336/.380.139.254142611%10%103+0.9