Luis Tovar — OGILVIE

Luis Tovar3B DSL LAD Mega

Age 19 R/R 5'11" / 210 lbs ROK HR +8%BB -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 135 proj PA

wRC+†58

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .267 / .286

PA135

HR1

K%28

BB%7

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2038	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL LAD Bautista	—	29	28	8	0	0	0	1	5	0	2	0	286	310	286	596		348	17	3	274	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL LAD Mega	—	162	141	35	7	1	4	20	41	1	2	0	248	346	397	743	149	323	25	12	336	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	29	28	5	0	0	0	1	6	0	2	0	179	207	179	385		231	21	3	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	162	147	22	4	1	2	14	50	1	2	0	150	228	231	460	82	203	31	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	29	28	5	0	0	0	1	6	0	2	0	179	207	179	385		227	21	3	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Bautista	—	29	28	8	0	0	0	1	5	0	2	0	286	310	286	596		348	17	3	274	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	162	147	22	4	1	2	14	50	1	2	0	150	228	231	460	82	211	31	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL LAD Mega	—	162	141	35	7	1	4	20	41	1	2	0	248	346	397	743	149	323	25	12	336	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	29	28	5	0	0	0	1	6	0	2	0	179	207	179	385		231	21	3	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	162	146	22	4	1	2	14	50	1	2	0	151	228	233	461	82	203	31	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Bautista	—	29	28	5	0	0	0	1	6	0	2	0	179	207	179	385		231	21	3	172	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL LAD Mega	—	162	146	22	4	1	2	14	50	1	2	0	151	228	233	461	82	203	31	9	202	23	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	LAD	0%	272	249	52	8	2	3	19	77	2	5	1	208	269	288	558	80	287	28	7	254	58	-14	+1	+0	+1	+6	-0.2
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	LAD	34%	220	200	44	7	2	3	16	61	2	4	2	213	275	302	578	89	289	28	7	262	64	-10	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	LAD	34%	76	70	14	2	0	1	5	21	1	2	1	208	272	295	567	87	282	28	7	258	64	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	76	70	14	2	0	1	5	21	1	2	1	200	263	271	535	71	271	28	7	258	47	-3	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	599	120	17	0	9	43	180	9	17	9	200	265	274	538	73	271	28	7	258	47	-28	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.2
Career	—	MLE		—	546	499	96	15	4	6	40	155	4	10	3	192	258	275	532	82	265	28	7	238	47	-16	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	594	115	18	5	7	48	185	5	12	4	194	260	276	536	82	267	28	7	238	47	-30	+0	+0	+2	+14	-1.4

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#2Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 1 projected seasons	0.3	211	2	4	211	269	295	+1	+0	-0.3	-0.1
/162	664	7	12	+2.4	+1.6	-0.8	pk7: 0
#5Abraham Torolast yr '25 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,561 PA	2.4	1,561	39	16	220	282	351	-1	-8	-0.5	-0.5
/162	664	17	7	-0.2	-3.2	-0.2	pk7: -0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Tovar (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	206/267/286	79	287	1	2	28%	7%	58	-0.4	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Rudy van Heydoorn 2008 · A	19	35	37→40	46→50	41	173/237/247	74	261	4	10	34%	7%	38	-3.2	169/266/252	83	245	7	8	31%	10%	52	-2.2	142/256/221	79	200	9	6	31%	11%	41	-1.0
✕Jose Cordoba 2022 · A	19	38	38→40	45→55	40	184/244/257	73	246	5	8	27%	5%	43	-2.8	198/254/290	92	276	7	10	29%	6%	54	-2.0	203/257/294	91	267	4	15	24%	5%	53	-0.9
✕Ronny Brito 2018 · A	19	36	38→45	50	39	174/236/254	80	268	5	10	35%	7%	39	-3.1	201/250/308	107	346	11	5	42%	6%	57	-1.8	161/214/283	122	296	17	1	49%	6%	37	-1.2
✕Ismael Alcantara 2019 · A	20	36→30	38→45	50	43	177/250/254	77	257	5	13	32%	7%	45	-2.7	207/272/309	102	322	8	15	36%	7%	65	-1.2	191/253/307	116	283	12	16	35%	6%	55	-0.9
✕Yordyn Calderon 2013 · A	19	33	39→45	46→50	43	168/240/251	83	236	7	10	31%	7%	41	-3.0	191/266/296	105	275	9	11	32%	7%	61	-1.5	185/266/298	114	262	10	13	31%	8%	59	-0.8
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Jose Meza 2022 · A	19	39→42	37→40	46→50	43	187/268/261	74	272	4	9	30%	7%	54	-2.0	196/281/287	91	276	8	7	29%	9%	64	-1.3	191/284/291	101	272	10	5	31%	10%	65	-0.5
✕Jose Colmenares 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	47→50	45	194/259/280	86	254	7	8	26%	7%	54	-2.0	210/288/337	127	293	13	8	31%	9%	78	-0.3	174/246/297	123	248	13	14	34%	7%	51	-0.9
✕Freili Encarnacion 2024 · A	19	39→33	37→50	52→50	37	185/252/253	68	288	4	11	35%	6%	45	-2.7	195/246/296	101	295	10	11	36%	4%	53	-2.1	184/237/297	113	271	13	10	36%	4%	47	-1.4
✕Franklin Correa 2015 · A	19	37	38→40	48→50	43	179/253/258	79	261	5	10	32%	8%	47	-2.6	184/236/265	81	288	6	7	36%	5%	41	-3.0	155/195/226	71	251	6	4	39%	3%	15	-1.2
✕Adrian De Leon 2023 · A	19	41	37→40	47→45	46	194/269/265	72	268	4	7	28%	8%	55	-2.0	194/292/269	75	320	6	5	37%	9%	65	-1.2	160/270/224	63	280	5	3	40%	10%	47	-1.1
✕Andres Regnault 2018 · A	19	36	36→45	46→45	43	175/246/237	62	253	4	6	31%	7%	39	-3.1	208/272/308	100	260	8	7	22%	6%	65	-1.2	204/273/325	121	234	12	6	18%	6%	69	-0.4
✕Victor Tademo 2018 · A	19	37	37→40	52→55	39	182/236/252	70	264	4	14	31%	6%	38	-3.2	194/241/254	60	283	3	7	31%	5%	40	-3.1	183/218/203	20	254	0	3	27%	4%	17	-1.3
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Jesus Galiz 2023 · A	19	37	42→45	49→40	41	187/250/292	105	255	9	5	30%	6%	53	-2.1	203/260/303	100	308	8	3	35%	6%	59	-1.6	195/253/292	98	300	8	2	36%	5%	53	-1.0
✕Wilfredo Lara 2023 · A	19	37→43	37→45	49→50	41	177/245/254	77	258	4	10	31%	7%	42	-2.9	196/268/297	101	275	9	13	30%	8%	61	-1.5	186/266/282	96	258	8	18	29%	9%	55	-1.1
✕Roni Cabrera 2024 · A	19	39	38→45	54→55	47	186/265/271	85	255	5	11	27%	8%	55	-2.0	182/254/288	106	286	10	14	37%	7%	54	-2.0	162/238/271	109	264	12	18	41%	8%	43	-1.2
✕Gabriel Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	40→42	39→40	49→40	40	194/260/282	89	272	6	6	30%	6%	55	-2.0	211/265/294	83	314	6	4	33%	6%	59	-1.7	207/268/289	82	307	7	3	33%	7%	57	-1.1
✕George Feliz 2022 · A	19	39	40→45	53→45	43	192/254/284	92	262	7	10	29%	7%	53	-2.1	167/229/252	85	294	7	13	43%	6%	36	-3.3	160/223/268	108	267	13	9	43%	6%	36	-1.2
✕Dennys Riera 2023 · A	18	34	38→40	50	39	169/229/246	77	248	5	6	33%	6%	34	-3.5	162/235/226	64	222	3	6	27%	6%	34	-3.5	156/245/214	58	204	3	7	23%	6%	36	-0.9

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps