Luis Tovar3B DSL LAD Mega
Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 210 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
2026 ROS PROJECTION95 act + 63 ros · stats below = ROS only
wRC+†36
AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .253 / .303
PA63
HR1
K%33
BB%6
BABIP295
ISO101
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -17.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-17BATRUN: +0.4 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +0.6 runs (Positional adjustment)+1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+4REPTotal WAR: -1.20-1.2WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.1-0.4-0.62628
Tools · Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 2928 6000 170 20 214241214456 286 243 188 2
202517 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 2928 8000 150 20 286310286596 348 173 274 68
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD18 ROKLAD 9588 12111 7420 10 136200205405 68244 447 163 -17 -13 +0 +0 +0 +3 -1.0
YTD18 ROKLAD 9584 16111 11290 10 190284262546 71278 3112 257 55 -5 +0 +0 +0 +3 -0.2
ROS18 ROKLAD 0% 6359 12111 4210 10 202253303556 101283 336 232 36 -5 +0 +0 +0 +2 -0.2
ROS18 MLBLAD 0% 01 0000 000 00 279 226 31 +0 +0
FULL18 ROKLAD 9589 12111 7420 10 135200202402 67239 447 163 -17 -13 +0 +0 +0 +3 -1.0
TOT18 ROKLAD 158147 24222 11630 20 163221244465 81267 407 191 4 -17 +0 +0 +1 +4 -1.2
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202719 MLBLAD 34% 135124 24312 9431 20 194254282536 89283 327 243 44 -8 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.4
202820 MLBLAD 48% 286261 52724 20903 41 199264287551 88286 317 254 52 -15 +0 +0 +1 +8 -0.6
202719 MLBLAD 34% 4643 8101 3150 10 186239279518 93280 337 235 38 -3 +0 +0 +0 +1 -0.2
202820 MLBLAD 48% 139127 25312 10441 21 197261283544 87282 327 244 45 -9 +0 +0 +0 +4 -0.4
▸ Career Totals
Career 185171 33413 13591 31 193255281536 88273 327 242 44 -12 +0 +0 +1 +5 -0.6
/ 162G 650601 11714411 462074 114 195259286545 92274 327 242 44 -41 +1 +0 +2 +18 -2.1
Career 513472 941147 341614 91 199259284542 85284 317 245 45 -32 +1 +0 +2 +15 -1.4
/ 162G 650598 1191459 432045 111 199259284543 85284 317 245 45 -40 +2 +0 +2 +18 -1.8

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202517 ROKDSL LAD Bautista 2928 8000 150 20 286310286596 348 173 274 68 -1 +0 +1 0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#2Chad Moellerlast yr '09
career totals — 10 seasons, 1,524 PA
101,524292226288351+19+143.84.3
/162664131+8.5+6.21.6pk7: 5
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA
91,7564716227293367+6+83.03.5
/162664186+2.4+3.01.1pk7: 4
#4Juan Castrolast yr '10
career totals — 11 seasons, 2,352 PA
112,352344237273341+10+211.02.7
/162664101+3.0+5.80.3pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 2 projected seasons
222933201260286+1+1-0.5-0.3
/162664910+2.4+2.9-1.5pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Luis Tovar (OGILVIE) 18 163/221/244 81267 22 40% 7% 4 -1.2
Mariel Bautista
2016 · A
18 41→34 38→45 50 40 197/258/282 85286 58 31% 6% 48 -1.9 226/275/318 92287 614 22% 5% 63 -0.8 239/283/34010128981819%4%70-0.1
Juan Batista
2019 · A
18 36 36→40 45→55 38 173/231/237 64263 39 34% 6% 24 -3.5 193/262/272 79283 415 30% 8% 46 -2.0 150/228/2196926122340%8%16-1.4
Romer Cuadrado
2016 · A
18 39→37 37→40 44→45 39 186/244/255 69278 410 33% 6% 34 -2.8 198/260/287 89313 78 36% 7% 50 -1.8 201/257/294933138536%6%47-1.3
Ronny Brito
2017 · A
18 39 37→45 47→50 45 183/260/259 77269 39 31% 8% 43 -2.2 190/241/289 99320 97 41% 6% 42 -2.3 158/205/27411629015349%5%22-1.1
Wilfredo Lara
2022 · A
18 39 40 47→55 38 190/252/284 94282 78 34% 6% 46 -2.0 182/254/272 90271 712 33% 8% 44 -2.1 174/252/2669225281432%8%39-1.4
Rolando Espinosa
2019 · A
18 33 36→40 47→55 36 165/216/225 60261 311 36% 6% 14 -4.2 177/241/251 74294 411 38% 6% 32 -3.0 160/237/25595302112947%8%32-1.4
Amador Arias
2019 · A
18 34 39→45 48→50 45 170/242/253 83225 713 27% 7% 34 -2.8 186/256/285 99277 912 34% 7% 48 -1.9 118/203/228110217141150%8%10-1.7
Brayan Hernandez
2016 · A
18 39 38→45 46→55 39 189/239/267 78276 510 32% 6% 34 -2.8 205/247/300 95290 814 30% 5% 46 -2.0 203/235/30510227792030%4%40-1.2
Simon Juan
2023 · A
18 38 38→45 56→50 38 183/245/263 80272 514 33% 6% 37 -2.6 188/242/284 96295 99 37% 6% 41 -2.3 186/239/293108289121038%6%40-1.0
Rafael Mejia
2017 · A
19 37 39→40 47→50 38 184/237/267 83263 76 32% 5% 34 -2.8 198/237/320 122278 147 33% 4% 49 -1.8 206/233/374168276241035%2%56-0.3
Alexander Benua
2022 · A
18 36 35→40 54→55 39 170/242/232 61261 213 33% 6% 28 -3.2 190/257/267 77288 516 34% 6% 44 -2.1 181/251/2628128661736%6%38-0.9
Neyfy Castillo
2019 · A
18 37→29 36→50 54→55 39 177/242/241 64278 416 36% 6% 30 -3.1 181/246/275 94298 813 39% 7% 41 -2.3 170/240/302132292171645%7%43-1.2
Roni Cabrera
2023 · A
18 39 38→45 51→55 38 186/249/260 74297 510 37% 6% 39 -2.5 189/259/297 108290 1012 36% 7% 53 -1.5 159/234/278120248121739%7%35-0.8
Aneudis Mordán
2022 · A
18 39→29 37→45 49→40 42 181/254/252 71296 47 38% 8% 39 -2.5 181/244/272 91279 96 36% 7% 40 -2.4 163/227/27210923515436%7%29-1.2
Omar Meregildo
2016 · A
18 34→33 39→50 46→30 37 164/242/254 90284 55 41% 7% 35 -2.8 179/240/264 85284 55 36% 6% 35 -2.8 172/240/29912728515143%7%44-1.1
Ibrahim McKenzie
2012 · A
18 37 38→45 46→45 37 175/265/255 81283 46 36% 6% 46 -2.0 188/251/274 86278 74 33% 5% 43 -2.2 170/226/252822449233%3%24-1.0
Roberto Duncan
2011 · A
18 39 34→40 51→45 43 182/259/233 51275 27 32% 8% 37 -2.7 182/279/254 72269 57 31% 9% 52 -1.6 148/268/223752167731%10%39-0.8
Estarlyn Morales
2011 · A
18 39 38→40 47→50 40 185/258/264 79296 58 37% 8% 43 -2.2 192/254/267 75241 58 21% 7% 42 -2.3 199/257/2949525181323%7%49-0.7
Amado Nunez
2016 · A
18 38 35→45 50→45 37 182/232/242 60278 36 34% 5% 26 -3.4 201/236/272 71300 47 33% 4% 34 -2.8 208/239/291833125534%4%37-1.0
Israel Mota
2014 · A
18 39 37→45 47→50 45 186/266/260 74272 47 31% 8% 46 -2.0 197/247/292 95286 89 32% 5% 45 -2.1 192/240/304112265121131%5%43-0.7