George Feliz
OF Inland Empire 66ers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21 | ROKSEA | 192 | .227/.330/.387 | 7 | 8 | 36 | — | .158/.234/.281 |
| 2025 | 22 | A/ROK2 orgs | 326 | .253/.331/.426 | 9 | 4 | 48 | — | .187/.245/.318 |
| 2026 | 23 | ASEA | 274 | .208/.284/.318 | 5 | 6 | 11 | — | .139/.199/.202 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBSEA | 324 | .155/.213/.250 | 6 | 4 | 29 | -0.9 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBSEA | 50 | .159/.217/.257 | 1 | 1 | 34 | -0.3 |
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Mariners | — | 196 | 173 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 45 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 283 | 367 | 474 | 841 | 191 | 352 | 23 | 11 | 373 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 170 | 150 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 54 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 193 | 284 | 307 | 591 | 113 | 284 | 32 | 10 | 270 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 137 | 119 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 54 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 218 | 316 | 336 | 652 | 118 | 375 | 39 | 9 | 298 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 192 | 163 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 52 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 227 | 330 | 387 | 716 | 160 | 283 | 27 | 11 | 319 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Modesto Nuts | — | 165 | 152 | 36 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 61 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 237 | 288 | 329 | 617 | 92 | 378 | 37 | 5 | 276 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK | ACL Mariners | — | 161 | 137 | 37 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 270 | 375 | 533 | 908 | 263 | 306 | 20 | 13 | 393 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 274 | 245 | 51 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 102 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 208 | 284 | 318 | 603 | 110 | 326 | 37 | 8 | 273 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 196 | 180 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 161 | 230 | 250 | 480 | 89 | 218 | 28 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 170 | 157 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 79 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 121 | 183 | 185 | 368 | 64 | 217 | 46 | 6 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 137 | 124 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 78 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 121 | 199 | 185 | 384 | 65 | 296 | 57 | 6 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 192 | 171 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 76 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 158 | 234 | 281 | 515 | 123 | 219 | 40 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Modesto Nuts | — | 165 | 155 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 79 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 181 | 221 | 252 | 472 | 71 | 332 | 48 | 4 | 204 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 161 | 145 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 47 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 193 | 269 | 386 | 655 | 193 | 234 | 29 | 8 | 276 | 73 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 274 | 252 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 139 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 139 | 199 | 202 | 402 | 63 | 275 | 51 | 5 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 196 | 180 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 161 | 230 | 250 | 480 | 89 | 213 | 28 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Mariners | — | 196 | 173 | 49 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 45 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 283 | 367 | 474 | 841 | 191 | 352 | 23 | 11 | 373 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 170 | 157 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 79 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 121 | 183 | 185 | 368 | 64 | 231 | 46 | 6 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | ACL Mariners | — | 170 | 150 | 29 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 54 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 193 | 284 | 307 | 591 | 113 | 284 | 32 | 10 | 270 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 137 | 124 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 78 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 121 | 199 | 185 | 384 | 65 | 304 | 57 | 6 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | ACL Mariners | — | 137 | 119 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 54 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 218 | 316 | 336 | 652 | 118 | 375 | 39 | 9 | 298 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 192 | 171 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 76 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 158 | 234 | 281 | 515 | 123 | 231 | 40 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK RAW | ACL Mariners | — | 192 | 163 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 52 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 227 | 330 | 387 | 716 | 160 | 283 | 27 | 11 | 319 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 326 | 300 | 55 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 127 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 183 | 241 | 303 | 545 | 120 | 286 | 39 | 6 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 326 | 289 | 73 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 94 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 253 | 331 | 426 | 757 | 173 | 340 | 29 | 9 | 334 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 274 | 252 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 139 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 139 | 199 | 202 | 402 | 63 | 283 | 51 | 5 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A RAW | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 274 | 245 | 51 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 102 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 208 | 284 | 318 | 603 | 110 | 326 | 37 | 8 | 273 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Mariners | — | 196 | 178 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 55 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 163 | 230 | 253 | 482 | 90 | 218 | 28 | 7 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 170 | 156 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 79 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 122 | 183 | 186 | 369 | 64 | 217 | 46 | 6 | 166 | -1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 137 | 124 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 78 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 121 | 199 | 185 | 384 | 65 | 296 | 57 | 6 | 176 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 192 | 173 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 76 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 156 | 234 | 277 | 511 | 121 | 219 | 40 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 326 | 300 | 55 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 127 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 183 | 241 | 303 | 545 | 120 | 284 | 39 | 6 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 274 | 253 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 139 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 138 | 199 | 202 | 401 | 63 | 275 | 51 | 5 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | ACL Mariners | — | 192 | 173 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 76 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 156 | 234 | 277 | 511 | 121 | 219 | 40 | 7 | 221 | 36 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 326 | 300 | 55 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 127 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 183 | 241 | 303 | 545 | 120 | 284 | 39 | 6 | 240 | 48 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 23 | A MLE | Inland Empire 66ers | — | 274 | 253 | 35 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 139 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 138 | 199 | 202 | 401 | 63 | 275 | 51 | 5 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | SEA | 0% | 324 | 299 | 47 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 144 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 155 | 213 | 250 | 463 | 95 | 267 | 44 | 6 | 211 | 29 | -27 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -0.9 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | SEA | 30% | 165 | 153 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 71 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 160 | 219 | 261 | 480 | 100 | 269 | 43 | 5 | 218 | 34 | -13 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -1.1 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | SEA | 30% | 50 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 159 | 217 | 257 | 474 | 98 | 267 | 44 | 6 | 216 | 34 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.3 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 50 | 46 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 152 | 220 | 239 | 459 | 87 | 261 | 44 | 6 | 216 | 27 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 91 | 13 | 0 | 13 | 39 | 286 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 152 | 220 | 239 | 459 | 87 | 261 | 44 | 6 | 216 | 27 | -51 | +3 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -3.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1598 | 1464 | 223 | 31 | 12 | 26 | 95 | 686 | 25 | 51 | 16 | 152 | 217 | 243 | 460 | 91 | 258 | 43 | 6 | 207 | 27 | -25 | +0 | +0 | -2 | +7 | -2.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 595 | 92 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 279 | 10 | 21 | 7 | 155 | 219 | 249 | 467 | 94 | 262 | 43 | 6 | 207 | 27 | -53 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -4.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AInland Empire 66ers · 274 PAwOBA .269 → .185 (−84)K% 37.2% → 50.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 37.23% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 50.63% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 5.18% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.82% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.39% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.17% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | ×0.980 | 21.84% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.59% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | ×0.980 | 4.38% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.40% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | ×0.980 | 1.20% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.50% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 2.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .269 → .185; ISO .110 → .072; BABIP .326 → .275. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AModesto Nuts · 165 PAwOBA .271 → .204 (−67)K% 37.0% → 48.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 36.97% | ÷1.045 | ×1.360 | — | — | 48.09% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.45% | ÷0.988 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.990 | 3.77% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.21% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.990 | 0.94% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.77% | ÷0.989 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×0.990 | 27.78% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.40% | ÷1.067 | ×0.830 | ×0.981 | ×0.990 | 3.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.20% | ÷1.097 | ×0.910 | ×0.981 | ×0.990 | 1.77% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.20% | ÷0.759 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.990 | 2.29% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 52, 1B 98, 2B 113, 3B 119, K 109, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.0 → −1.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .271 → .204; ISO .092 → .070; BABIP .378 → .332. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 ROKACL Mariners · 161 PAwOBA .385 → .276 (−109)K% 20.5% → 29.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.50% | ÷0.999 | ×1.440 | — | — | 29.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.04% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.965 | 7.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.24% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.965 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.27% | ÷0.942 | ×0.820 | ×0.977 | ×0.965 | 15.00% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.73% | ÷1.046 | ×0.720 | ×0.977 | ×0.965 | 4.37% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.85% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.977 | ×0.965 | 2.90% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.73% | ÷0.886 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.965 | 5.72% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 77, 1B 88, 2B 109, 3B 80, K 100, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 19.5 → −3.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.977.
Result: wOBA .385 → .276; ISO .263 → .198; BABIP .306 → .234. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKACL Mariners · 192 PAwOBA .314 → .221 (−93)K% 27.1% → 39.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 27.08% | ÷0.981 | ×1.440 | — | — | 39.74% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.94% | ÷0.966 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.975 | 6.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.08% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.975 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.52% | ÷0.962 | ×0.820 | ×0.962 | ×0.975 | 18.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.50% | ÷0.970 | ×0.720 | ×0.962 | ×0.975 | 3.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.720 | ×0.962 | ×0.975 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.31% | ÷0.863 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.975 | 5.56% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 92, 2B 94, 3B 130, K 96, BB 93 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 19.5 → −2.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .314 → .221; ISO .160 → .121; BABIP .283 → .219. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKACL Mariners · 137 PAwOBA .293 → .176 (−118)K% 39.4% → 57.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.42% | ÷0.992 | ×1.440 | — | — | 57.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.49% | ÷0.989 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.86% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.92% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 2.07% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.15% | ÷0.987 | ×0.820 | ×1.012 | ×0.985 | 21.66% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.23% | ÷0.993 | ×0.720 | ×1.012 | ×0.985 | 6.67% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.54% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.012 | ×0.985 | 1.10% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.08% | ÷0.945 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 2.50% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 97, 2B 99, 3B 100, K 98, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .293 → .176; ISO .118 → .066; BABIP .375 → .296. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKACL Mariners · 170 PAwOBA .265 → .166 (−100)K% 31.8% → 46.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 31.76% | ÷0.984 | ×1.440 | — | — | 46.49% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.023 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.03% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.18% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.79% | ÷1.014 | ×0.820 | ×0.997 | ×0.995 | 15.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.21% | ÷1.132 | ×0.720 | ×0.997 | ×0.995 | 3.29% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.900 | ×0.720 | ×0.997 | ×0.995 | 2.48% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.08% | ÷1.033 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 1.57% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 107, 1B 103, 2B 126, 3B 80, K 97, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .265 → .166; ISO .113 → .068; BABIP .284 → .217. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Mariners · 196 PAwOBA .363 → .218 (−145)K% 23.0% → 28.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.96% | ÷0.996 | ×1.220 | — | — | 28.12% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.71% | ÷1.026 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 7.27% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.02% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 0.71% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.957 | ×0.680 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 16.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.47% | ÷1.177 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 2.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 3.12% | ÷0.939 | ×0.600 | ×0.950 | ×0.995 | 1.89% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.69% | ÷1.004 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 2.18% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 91, 2B 135, 3B 88, K 99, BB 105 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .363 → .218; ISO .191 → .094; BABIP .352 → .218. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).