Ryan Higgins — OGILVIE

Ryan Higgins3B Bowie Baysox

Age 26 R/R 6'0" / 200 lbs AA HR +9% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034

2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 247 proj PA

wRC+†49

AVG/OBP/SLG.182 / .244 / .277

PA20

HR0

K%33

BB%6

ISO97

MLB%2%

Value2026 · WAR

trajectory · projected WAR by year

Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 38

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT20

scouting grade only

POWER38

scouting grade only

EYE40

scouting grade only

SPEED48

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2029

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2034

First FA Year 2035

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$0.0M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2022	22	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	93	84	16	4	1	2	5	29	3	0	2	190	261	333	594	143	259	31	5	266	66	-4	-1	—	—	+2	-0.3
2022	22	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	177	153	31	8	2	2	21	52	3	4	2	203	311	320	631	118	293	29	12	292	84	-3	+0	—	—	+4	0.0
2023	23	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	260	226	49	12	1	6	20	74	10	10	5	217	309	358	667	142	289	28	8	300	89	-3	+0	—	—	+6	0.2
2023	23	A	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	21	18	4	4	0	0	2	8	1	0	0	222	333	444	778	222	400	38	10	346	120	+1	+0	—	—	+0	0.1
2023	23	ROK	FCL Orioles	—	17	13	3	0	0	0	2	5	2	0	1	231	412	231	643		375	29	12	328	108	+0	-0	—	—	+0	0.0
2024	24	AA	Bowie Baysox	—	257	222	43	7	0	7	20	88	8	6	2	194	284	320	604	126	281	34	8	271	70	-9	+0	—	—	+6	-0.3
2024	24	A+	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	56	49	13	2	1	1	4	18	1	0	1	265	333	408	741	143	375	32	7	320	103	+0	-0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2022	22	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	93	86	12	3	1	1	3	39	3	0	2	140	196	233	428	93	238	42	3	201	22	-9	-1	—	—	+2	-0.8
2022	22	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	177	161	24	6	1	1	13	70	3	4	2	149	226	217	443	68	257	40	7	211	29	-15	+0	—	—	+4	-1.1
2023	23	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	260	232	38	9	1	5	14	101	10	10	5	164	242	276	518	112	239	39	5	222	36	-20	+0	—	—	+6	-1.4
2023	23	A MLE	Delmarva Shorebirds	—	21	19	2	2	0	0	1	11	1	0	0	105	190	211	401	105	301	52	5	206	26	-2	+0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2023	23	ROK MLE	FCL Orioles	—	17	14	2	0	0	0	1	7	2	0	1	143	294	143	437		300	41	6	217	33	-1	-0	—	—	+0	-0.1
2024	24	AA MLE	Bowie Baysox	—	257	229	34	5	0	4	13	111	8	6	2	148	220	223	443	74	250	43	5	201	22	-24	+0	—	—	+6	-1.8
2024	24	A+ MLE	Aberdeen IronBirds	—	56	50	11	2	1	1	3	24	1	0	1	220	278	360	638	140	321	43	5	246	53	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	270	246	38	9	2	3	17	109	6	4	4	154	227	244	471	89	259	40	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A RAW	2 teams	—	270	237	47	12	3	4	26	81	6	4	4	198	294	325	619	127	281	30	10	283	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	298	265	42	11	1	5	16	119	13	10	6	158	241	264	506	106	257	40	5	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ RAW	3 teams	—	298	257	56	16	1	6	24	87	13	10	6	218	316	358	674	140	299	29	8	305	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	313	279	46	7	1	5	16	135	9	6	3	165	234	251	484	86	289	43	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA RAW	2 teams	—	313	271	56	9	1	8	24	106	9	6	3	207	293	336	629	129	300	34	8	280	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	22	A MLE	2 teams	—	270	245	38	9	2	3	17	109	6	4	4	155	227	245	472	90	250	40	6	208	27	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	298	267	42	11	1	5	16	119	13	10	6	157	241	262	504	105	247	40	5	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	313	285	46	7	1	5	16	135	9	6	3	161	234	246	479	84	263	43	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	23	A+ MLE	3 teams	—	298	267	42	11	1	5	16	119	13	10	6	157	241	262	504	105	247	40	5	221	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	24	AA MLE	2 teams	—	313	285	46	7	1	5	16	135	9	6	3	161	234	246	479	84	263	43	5	209	28	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 season
2026	26	MLB MLE	BAL	2%	20	19	3	1	0	0	1	7	0	0	0	158	200	211	411	53	261	35	5	240	49	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.7
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	27	MLB MLE	BAL	27%	260	237	45	9	1	5	16	82	5	5	2	190	256	300	555	110	264	32	6	248	54	-14	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.8
2028	28	MLB MLE	BAL	40%	312	283	55	11	1	6	20	97	6	5	2	194	262	304	566	110	266	31	6	253	57	-16	+0	-1	+1	+7	-0.9
2027	27	MLB CTX	BAL	27%	70	65	11	2	0	1	4	22	1	1	0	169	229	246	475	77	268	31	6	239	54	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.2
2028	28	MLB CTX	BAL	40%	124	113	21	4	0	2	8	38	2	2	1	186	252	274	526	88	270	31	6	244	57	-6	+0	-0	+0	+3	-0.4
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	194	178	32	6	0	3	12	60	3	3	1	180	244	264	508	84	250	31	6	242	40	-10	+0	-0	+1	+4	-0.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	596	107	20	0	10	40	201	10	10	3	180	243	263	506	84	250	31	6	242	40	-34	+1	-1	+2	+14	-1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	1473	1329	229	48	6	24	86	549	39	30	17	172	243	272	515	99	268	37	6	228	40	-31	+0	-1	+2	+13	-1.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	586	102	21	3	11	38	242	17	13	8	174	245	276	521	102	270	37	6	228	40	-34	+0	-1	+2	+14	-1.9

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ryan Higgins (OGILVIE)	26	20	38	48	40	182/244/277	96	261	4	5	33%	6%	49	-1.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Chris Roller 2023 · AA	26	38	39→45	50→55	41	183/248/269	86	262	6	14	31%	6%	47	-2.5	191/270/312	121	306	13	16	39%	8%	66	-1.1	174/262/298	124	289	15	19	41%	9%	58	-1.1
✕McCarthy Tatum 2022 · AA	26	34→25	41→50	45→50	35	172/236/266	94	276	10	6	40%	6%	42	-2.9	201/258/317	116	289	11	10	33%	5%	62	-1.4	201/254/329	128	278	11	11	31%	4%	60	-0.5
✕Chris Sharpe 2022 · AAA	26	37→39	42→45	45→50	39	185/255/296	111	276	9	10	35%	7%	57	-1.8	191/270/296	105	294	8	13	35%	8%	62	-1.4	163/254/261	99	255	6	16	35%	9%	49	-1.1
✕Toby Welk 2022 · AA	25	38→34	43→45	48→45	42	194/260/306	112	266	11	9	30%	7%	61	-1.5	205/263/313	108	295	10	7	32%	7%	63	-1.4	195/242/310	115	279	11	0	33%	5%	53	-0.6
✕Caleb Hamilton 2021 · AAA	26	39	41→45	45	43	195/255/293	98	270	8	9	30%	7%	55	-1.9	181/266/305	124	275	14	6	37%	10%	63	-1.4	141/235/256	115	206	16	3	39%	10%	39	-1.0
✕Jack Conley 2022 · AAA	25	35	41→45	50→45	39	175/237/270	95	265	8	7	36%	7%	43	-2.8	201/267/311	110	285	10	8	31%	7%	64	-1.3	188/261/294	106	261	9	5	30%	7%	54	-1.0
✕Mike Salvatore 2023 · A	26	32	42→40	49→45	41	168/229/263	95	238	11	5	34%	7%	38	-3.2	192/259/282	90	264	8	8	28%	8%	54	-2.0	175/250/251	77	232	6	7	26%	9%	40	-1.1
✕Bryan Arias 2023 · AA	26	39	43→45	51→50	40	191/266/297	106	296	11	14	37%	8%	61	-1.5	204/277/306	102	299	9	14	32%	8%	67	-1.1	198/298/294	96	261	9	24	25%	10%	69	-0.2
✕Ryan Metzler 2019 · AAA	26	40	40	50	38	196/250/283	87	289	8	15	33%	6%	51	-2.3	205/260/298	93	305	8	12	33%	6%	57	-1.8	147/203/184	38	244	3	8	39%	6%	9	-1.0
✕Jackson Cluff 2023 · AA	26	36→30	40→45	48→60	36	177/241/266	89	277	7	11	37%	6%	45	-2.7	186/269/301	115	281	11	21	35%	9%	63	-1.4	179/271/301	122	264	12	28	34%	10%	62	-0.8
✕Jordan Betts 2018 · AA	26	37→28	44→45	46→40	36	186/234/301	115	285	12	5	38%	6%	49	-2.4	202/251/310	108	297	11	5	34%	6%	57	-1.8	187/232/277	90	267	11	0	33%	5%	40	-1.9
✕Connor Justus 2021 · AA	26	37→38	37→40	43→45	44	179/255/251	73	251	5	8	29%	7%	47	-2.6	194/257/270	76	290	5	7	32%	7%	51	-2.3	168/234/218	51	258	3	3	33%	7%	28	-2.1
✕Zach Watson 2023 · AA	26	35→33	44→45	51→50	32	183/224/298	115	280	13	13	39%	4%	45	-2.7	195/241/312	117	286	12	15	35%	5%	55	-2.0	166/209/288	122	225	15	24	33%	4%	35	-1.2
✕Connor Kaiser 2022 · AA	25	37	43→45	47→50	44	189/257/298	109	258	11	5	31%	8%	57	-1.8	192/267/306	114	292	12	14	36%	9%	63	-1.3	172/260/273	101	275	11	16	38%	10%	51	-1.1
✕Wade Gaynor 2014 · AA	26	37→45	43→45	49→50	39	189/250/305	116	272	11	9	34%	6%	56	-1.9	184/229/303	119	264	12	12	34%	5%	47	-2.5	166/206/285	119	233	12	13	34%	5%	32	-2.6
✕Camden Duzenack 2021 · AA	26	35→36	46→50	48→50	39	184/244/306	122	245	15	10	31%	6%	55	-2.0	208/254/339	131	279	15	10	30%	5%	65	-1.2	211/259/339	128	274	14	10	28%	5%	64	-0.6
✕Gunnar Heidt 2018 · AA	25	39→41	42→45	47→50	39	194/249/297	103	281	10	12	34%	6%	54	-2.0	198/251/298	100	305	9	13	36%	6%	55	-2.0	203/255/298	95	293	7	9	31%	6%	54	-1.3
✕Rogelio Noris 2017 · AAA	27	39→31	43→45	47→45	34	198/237/298	100	267	12	7	31%	3%	49	-2.4	219/259/338	119	278	14	8	26%	4%	67	-1.1	222/252/336	114	267	15	4	23%	3%	61	-0.6
✕Grae Kessinger 2023 · AA	25	35→31	44→45	49→50	44	183/254/292	109	241	13	18	30%	8%	55	-1.9	205/280/316	111	277	12	12	28%	9%	70	-0.8	179/261/273	93	244	9	8	29%	9%	52	-0.9
✕Mark Thomas 2014 · AA	26	38→41	42→45	48→45	38	192/238/297	105	260	9	6	29%	5%	49	-2.4	174/227/294	120	256	12	5	35%	6%	45	-2.7	145/197/276	131	201	15	3	36%	5%	27	-1.5