Richer Mata — OGILVIE

Richer MataC DSL Royals Fortuna

Age 18 L/R 6'2" / 154 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 3.5 · 2033

wRC+54

AVG/OBP/SLG.200 / .266 / .291

PA100

HR1

K%31

BB%7

MLB%0%

trajectory · 10 yrs

3.5peak

2033

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+3.3	$32M	+$31M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.5	$34M	+$33M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+3.5	$35M	+$34M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$7M	+3.5	$37M	+$30M
2036	Ext / FA-deal	$11M	+3.4	$37M	+$25M
2037	Ext / FA-deal	$16M	+3.3	$37M	+$21M
Totals		$37M		$211M	+$174M

Career Projections (MLE)

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	119	103	8	1	0	1	14	52	1	4	3	.078	.195	.117	.311	.039	.137	44	12	.161	-19	-16	-0	+0	+2	+3	-1.1
▸ 2026 Season
2026	18	MLB	—	100	92	18	3	1	1	7	31	1	1	0	.196	.260	.283	.543	.087	.289	31	7	.256	54	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
▸ 2027+ Projections — Projections at projected PA · Park-neutral MLB equivalent · Marcel + aging curve
2027	19	MLB 11%	—	192	172	39	7	1	4	16	56	2	4	1	.227	.300	.349	.649	.122	.304	29	8	.290	80	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2028	20	MLB 28%	—	331	294	69	12	2	8	30	94	4	8	2	.235	.314	.371	.685	.136	.310	28	9	.305	91	-3	+1	+0	+6	+9	1.3
2029	21	MLB 48%	—	436	386	91	15	3	11	41	121	6	12	3	.236	.319	.376	.694	.140	.311	28	9	.313	98	-1	+1	+0	+8	+12	2.1
2030	22	MLB 65%	—	511	450	107	18	3	14	49	138	7	15	3	.238	.322	.384	.707	.147	.311	27	10	.321	104	+2	+2	+0	+9	+14	2.8
2031	23	MLB 86%	—	520	456	112	19	3	16	52	138	7	15	3	.246	.332	.406	.738	.160	.311	27	10	.327	108	+5	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.1
2032	24	MLB	—	520	455	112	19	3	16	53	137	7	15	3	.246	.334	.407	.741	.160	.312	26	10	.331	111	+7	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.3
2033	25	MLB	—	520	453	113	19	3	17	55	136	7	15	3	.249	.340	.417	.757	.168	.312	26	11	.334	114	+8	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.5
2034	26	MLB	—	520	453	111	18	3	17	55	136	7	15	3	.245	.336	.411	.747	.166	.313	26	11	.336	115	+9	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.5
2035	27	MLB	—	520	452	111	18	3	17	56	136	7	15	3	.246	.338	.412	.749	.166	.313	26	11	.336	115	+9	+2	+0	+9	+15	3.5
2036	28	MLB	—	520	452	111	18	3	17	56	137	7	14	3	.246	.338	.412	.749	.166	.313	26	11	.335	114	+8	+2	-1	+9	+15	3.4
2037	29	MLB	—	520	451	110	18	3	16	57	139	7	13	2	.244	.338	.404	.741	.160	.312	27	11	.333	113	+7	+2	-1	+9	+15	3.3
2038	30	MLB	—	520	451	109	18	3	16	57	141	7	12	2	.242	.336	.401	.737	.160	.311	27	11	.330	110	+6	+2	-2	+9	+15	3.0
2039	31	MLB	—	504	437	104	17	3	15	55	138	7	9	1	.238	.333	.394	.726	.156	.309	27	11	.326	107	+4	+1	-3	+9	+14	2.7
2040	32	MLB	—	489	426	100	16	3	14	53	137	7	7	0	.235	.329	.385	.714	.150	.308	28	11	.321	104	+2	+1	-4	+9	+14	2.3
2041	33	MLB	—	473	413	95	15	3	13	51	136	6	5	0	.230	.323	.375	.699	.145	.306	29	11	.316	100	-0	+1	-4	+8	+13	1.9
2042	34	MLB	—	433	377	84	13	2	11	47	128	6	3	0	.223	.319	.355	.674	.133	.305	30	11	.309	95	-3	+1	-5	+8	+12	1.3
2043	35	MLB	—	371	323	71	11	2	9	40	113	5	2	0	.220	.315	.350	.665	.130	.303	30	11	.301	89	-5	+0	-6	+7	+11	0.7
2044	36	MLB	—	308	269	58	9	2	7	32	97	4	1	0	.216	.308	.342	.650	.126	.300	31	10	.292	82	-6	+0	-6	+6	+9	0.2
2045	37	MLB	—	245	215	44	7	1	5	25	80	3	1	0	.205	.296	.316	.613	.112	.296	33	10	.283	74	-7	+0	-7	+4	+7	-0.3
2046	38	MLB	—	182	160	32	5	1	3	18	61	2	0	0	.200	.289	.300	.589	.100	.291	34	10	.272	66	-7	+0	-8	+3	+5	-0.6
▸ Career Totals (MLE all levels + projections)
Career	—			8854	7740	1809	296	51	248	919	2482	117	186	35	.234	.324	.381	.705	.148	.309	28	10	.317	101	+11	+23	-46	+158	+251	40.5
/ 162G	—			650	568	133	22	4	18	67	182	9	14	3	.234	.325	.382	.707	.148	.309	28	10	.317	101	+1	+2	-3	+12	+18	3.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Royals Fortuna	119	95	13	2	0	1	22	37	1	4	3	.137	.305	.189	.495	.053	.207	31	18	.250	50	-7	-0	—	—	+3	-0.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Richer Mata (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	.200/.266/.291	.091	.289	1	1	31%	7%	54	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Josue Briceño 2023 · A	18	39→41	42→60	44→40	38	.195/.242/.294	.099	.280	10	5	33%	6%	43	-2.2	.222/.286/.353	.131	.282	14	4	25%	8%	78	+0.2	.228/.304/.389	.161	.273	19	2	23%	9%	94	+0.6
✕Samuel Basallo 2022 · A	17	40→49	43→55	49→45	43	.200/.260/.310	.110	.274	11	5	30%	7%	56	-1.3	.226/.280/.361	.135	.299	16	6	29%	6%	77	+0.1	.233/.291/.410	.177	.289	23	6	27%	7%	93	+1.0
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	44→46	38→45	46→50	44	.204/.277/.282	.078	.314	6	9	34%	9%	56	-1.3	.209/.295/.306	.097	.329	7	14	35%	9%	70	-0.3	.219/.297/.335	.116	.314	10	18	31%	8%	75	+0.0
●Wilin Rosario 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→60	47→45	36	.201/.246/.271	.071	.298	6	7	34%	5%	39	-2.5	.204/.247/.300	.096	.302	9	5	34%	5%	47	-1.9	.265/.302/.457	.192	.301	26	4	21%	5%	107	+1.6
●Jazz Chisholm Jr. 2017 · A	19	42→51	43→60	49→60	34	.206/.248/.311	.105	.320	11	11	38%	5%	50	-1.7	.204/.255/.341	.137	.318	16	11	39%	6%	62	-0.9	.248/.322/.446	.198	.304	27	36	27%	9%	113	+2.3
●Michael Harris II 2021 · A	20	44→54	39→55	52→55	41	.212/.263/.298	.086	.291	6	10	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.258/.304/.406	.148	.329	14	21	25%	5%	99	+1.7	.278/.321/.456	.177	.328	21	21	21%	5%	116	+2.7
★Carlos Correa 2013 · A	18	42→52	40→60	51→55	37	.205/.244/.299	.094	.289	6	8	31%	5%	45	-2.1	.257/.317/.390	.133	.320	11	13	22%	7%	100	+1.7	.284/.360/.488	.204	.328	24	14	20%	10%	137	+4.4
●Oneil Cruz 2018 · A	19	41→51	41→60	45→55	35	.200/.243/.293	.093	.310	8	9	37%	5%	43	-2.2	.217/.257/.339	.122	.316	12	10	34%	5%	62	-0.9	.241/.304/.442	.201	.317	25	22	31%	8%	103	+1.7
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	39→41	42→50	53→55	44	.191/.270/.293	.102	.283	10	11	34%	8%	56	-1.3	.199/.283/.318	.119	.317	11	15	37%	9%	69	-0.4	.216/.296/.349	.133	.314	15	19	33%	9%	78	+0.1
●Jackson Merrill 2022 · A	19	45→55	36→55	52→50	39	.211/.260/.286	.076	.314	3	9	32%	6%	48	-1.9	.251/.293/.383	.132	.306	13	12	22%	5%	88	+0.9	.266/.310/.441	.174	.301	19	10	18%	6%	107	+1.9
●Yonathan Perlaza 2017 · A	18	42→52	39→60	48→50	39	.202/.246/.290	.088	.283	6	14	30%	5%	43	-2.2	.205/.246/.278	.073	.299	4	11	31%	5%	40	-2.4	.235/.307/.417	.182	.303	19	12	28%	9%	100	+1.6
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	45→48	38→50	47→50	42	.212/.267/.289	.077	.296	6	6	29%	6%	53	-1.5	.210/.261/.301	.091	.285	8	7	28%	6%	53	-1.5	.230/.292/.378	.148	.312	16	11	30%	7%	83	+0.4
●Maikel Franco 2011 · A	18	39→49	38→55	49→40	39	.190/.242/.270	.080	.272	5	4	31%	5%	37	-2.6	.217/.256/.335	.118	.271	12	3	24%	4%	60	-1.0	.263/.299/.434	.171	.290	19	2	17%	4%	100	+1.6
●Tim Beckham 2009 · A	19	42→52	38→55	49→50	38	.202/.248/.282	.080	.290	5	7	31%	5%	43	-2.2	.219/.267/.307	.088	.310	5	10	29%	5%	57	-1.2	.248/.301/.421	.173	.319	22	4	28%	6%	100	+1.3
●Brandon Drury 2011 · A	18	36→46	38→60	45→40	33	.178/.219/.255	.076	.265	6	5	34%	4%	24	-3.6	.214/.245/.320	.106	.267	10	3	23%	3%	51	-1.7	.254/.305/.458	.204	.301	25	1	24%	6%	112	+2.0
●Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	39→49	37→45	46→55	46	.186/.258/.260	.074	.246	5	10	25%	8%	42	-2.3	.204/.258/.300	.096	.264	5	11	24%	6%	51	-1.7	.255/.310/.365	.110	.340	6	19	25%	6%	88	+0.5
✕Thairo Estrada 2014 · A	18	44→54	39→50	48→55	41	.211/.266/.306	.095	.271	5	9	23%	5%	56	-1.3	.222/.272/.315	.093	.283	6	9	23%	5%	61	-1.0	.270/.326/.420	.150	.314	17	21	19%	5%	108	+1.8
✕Rio Ruiz 2013 · A	19	43→52	38→50	52→40	41	.204/.260/.295	.091	.293	4	6	30%	7%	51	-1.7	.225/.288/.341	.116	.290	9	6	24%	8%	75	-0.0	.223/.289/.369	.145	.265	17	3	22%	8%	81	+0.2
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	39→45	49→30	44	.199/.267/.286	.087	.275	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	.200/.284/.294	.094	.304	8	4	33%	9%	63	-0.9	.198/.297/.313	.115	.312	12	2	36%	11%	71	-0.2
●Mike Moustakas 2008 · A	19	46→54	38→65	50→45	42	.216/.278/.302	.086	.300	4	6	28%	6%	61	-1.0	.223/.263/.373	.150	.258	18	6	21%	4%	74	-0.1	.258/.320/.491	.233	.260	33	2	16%	7%	121	+3.2

Contract

Career Projections (MLE) Show advanced cols

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Career Path Comps

Career Projections (MLE)