Santiago Almao

SS ACL Rangers

Age 19 S/R 5'7" / 160 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#721ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rangers R…	189	.309/.439/.441	2	14	59	—	.191/.299/.259
2026	18	ROKTEX	153	.289/.389/.344	0	5	60	—	.237/.309/.281
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTEX	263	.227/.297/.308	2	5	73	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTEX	45	.231/.303/.324	1	1	78	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBTEX	112	.234/.307/.336	2	3	83	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%99

K%97

Z-Con%94

wRC+41

Speed41

wOBA35

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.0 / P90 11, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 83%

CompsJaison Chourio (age 19) · Xavier Edwards (age 19) · Luis Lara (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 79 proj PA

wRC+†73

AVG/OBP/SLG.225 / .295 / .305

PA79

HR1

K%22

BB%8

ISO81

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$27M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 55 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT55

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	189	152	47	10	2	2	33	27	2	14	2	309	439	441	879	132	360	14	17	395	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	153	128	37	5	1	0	20	14	1	5	3	289	389	344	733	55	319	9	13	332	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	189	162	31	6	1	1	23	33	2	14	2	191	299	259	559	68	226	17	12	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	153	135	32	4	1	0	13	20	1	5	3	237	309	281	590	44	259	13	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	189	162	31	6	1	1	23	33	2	14	2	191	299	259	559	68	231	17	12	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	189	152	47	10	2	2	33	27	2	14	2	309	439	441	879	132	360	14	17	395	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	153	135	32	4	1	0	13	20	1	5	3	237	309	281	590	44	274	13	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	153	128	37	5	1	0	20	14	1	5	3	289	389	344	733	55	319	9	13	332	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	189	162	31	6	1	1	23	33	2	14	2	191	299	259	559	68	226	17	12	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	153	138	32	4	1	0	13	20	1	5	3	232	309	275	584	43	259	13	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	189	162	31	6	1	1	23	33	2	14	2	191	299	259	559	68	226	17	12	256	59	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	153	138	32	4	1	0	13	20	1	5	3	232	309	275	584	43	259	13	8	257	60	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	263	237	54	9	2	2	22	58	2	5	1	227	297	308	605	81	289	22	8	276	73	-9	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	132	119	27	5	1	1	11	29	1	3	1	231	303	322	625	91	291	22	8	284	78	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	232	209	49	8	2	3	19	51	2	6	2	234	307	334	641	100	292	22	8	290	83	-5	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	342	306	73	12	3	5	29	74	4	8	2	237	309	344	653	107	293	22	8	295	86	-6	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	419	377	90	15	3	7	35	91	4	10	3	239	312	351	663	113	294	22	8	299	88	-6	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	467	419	100	17	3	8	40	101	5	11	3	240	313	357	670	117	295	22	9	302	90	-5	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	495	445	107	18	4	9	42	107	5	12	3	241	314	358	672	118	295	22	8	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	511	458	111	19	4	9	43	110	5	12	4	241	313	359	672	118	294	22	8	303	91	-6	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	515	461	111	19	4	9	44	112	5	12	4	240	313	356	669	117	294	22	9	301	90	-6	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	TEX	55%	511	458	109	18	4	9	43	112	5	11	4	238	311	352	663	114	293	22	8	299	88	-7	+1	-1	+5	+11	1.0
2037	29	MLB MLE	TEX	53%	501	449	105	18	3	8	42	112	5	10	4	236	308	346	654	110	292	22	8	295	86	-8	+0	-1	+5	+11	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	489	441	102	17	3	8	41	110	4	10	4	233	305	339	643	106	291	22	8	291	83	-10	+0	-2	+5	+11	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	TEX	60%	474	428	98	16	3	7	39	109	4	8	4	229	300	329	629	100	288	23	8	285	79	-12	+0	-3	+5	+10	0.1
2040	32	MLB MLE	TEX	61%	452	408	92	15	3	6	37	106	4	7	6	224	294	317	612	94	285	23	8	278	74	-14	-1	-4	+5	+10	-0.4
2028	20	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	45	41	9	1	0	1	4	10	0	1	0	231	303	324	626	93	291	22	9	285	78	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	112	101	24	4	1	2	9	24	1	3	1	234	307	336	643	102	292	21	8	291	83	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	185	165	39	6	1	3	16	40	2	5	1	237	310	347	657	109	293	22	9	297	86	-3	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	237	213	51	8	2	4	20	51	2	6	2	239	312	355	667	115	293	22	8	300	88	-3	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	264	237	57	9	2	5	22	57	3	7	2	241	314	361	675	120	294	22	8	303	90	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	280	251	60	10	2	5	24	61	3	7	2	241	314	362	676	121	294	22	9	304	91	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	289	259	63	10	2	6	25	62	3	7	2	241	314	363	677	121	294	21	9	304	91	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	286	257	62	10	2	6	24	62	3	7	2	240	313	360	673	120	294	22	8	303	90	-3	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	TEX	55%	280	251	60	10	2	5	24	62	3	6	2	239	311	355	667	117	293	22	9	300	88	-4	+0	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	TEX	53%	268	240	57	9	2	5	23	60	3	6	2	236	309	349	658	113	292	22	9	297	86	-4	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	279	251	59	9	2	5	23	63	3	5	2	233	305	342	647	108	291	23	8	292	83	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	TEX	60%	282	255	58	9	2	4	23	65	2	5	3	229	301	332	633	103	288	23	8	286	79	-7	-0	-2	+3	+6	0.0
2040	32	MLB CTX	TEX	61%	277	250	57	9	2	4	23	65	2	4	4	224	295	320	615	95	285	23	8	279	74	-8	-1	-2	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3084	2771	656	104	22	55	260	682	30	69	25	237	309	350	659	113	294	22	8	297	84	-52	+4	-6	+33	+67	4.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	139	22	5	12	55	144	6	15	5	238	310	354	665	116	295	22	8	297	84	-11	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5961	5347	1254	210	43	91	507	1295	57	141	49	235	308	341	649	106	291	22	9	293	84	-95	+7	-10	+60	+122	8.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	137	23	5	10	55	141	6	15	5	235	307	343	650	108	292	22	8	293	84	-11	+1	-1	+7	+14	1.0

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Rangers · 153 PAwOBA .328 → .257 (−71)K% 9.2% → 13.2%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	9.15%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	13.18%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	13.07%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	8.29%
HBP% /PA	0.65%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.48%
Singles /BIP	27.19%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.988	×1.022	22.52%
Doubles /BIP	4.39%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.988	×1.022	3.19%
Triples /BIP	0.88%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.988	×1.022	0.64%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.988.

Result: wOBA .328 → .257; ISO .055 → .042; BABIP .319 → .259. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 189 PAwOBA .390 → .256 (−134)K% 14.3% → 17.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	14.29%	÷1.004	×1.220	—	—	17.36%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	17.46%	÷1.034	×0.700	—	×1.022	12.09%
HBP% /PA	1.06%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.76%
Singles /BIP	26.40%	÷0.993	×0.680	×0.950	×1.022	17.57%
Doubles /BIP	8.00%	÷1.108	×0.600	×0.950	×1.022	4.21%
Triples /BIP	1.60%	÷0.900	×0.600	×0.950	×1.022	1.04%
Home runs /BIP	1.60%	÷1.259	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.61%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 99, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .390 → .256; ISO .132 → .070; BABIP .360 → .226. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Kevin Stocker'93-'00 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,197 PA	4.8	3,197	23	45	241*	324*	337*	+34	+8	6.4	6.5
/162	664	5	9	+7.1	+1.8	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.8	3,164	51	69	237	305	346	+34	+24	7.1	6.2
/162	664	11	15	+7.1	+5.0	1.5	pk7: 5
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Santiago Almao (OGILVIE)	19	55	30	60	60	225/295/305	80	289	1	2	22%	8%	73	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Luis Lara 2024 · A	19	46→56	36→40	52→60	49	218/283/285	67	271	3	18	20%	7%	63	-1.3	235/308/311	76	297	4	28	21%	8%	79	-0.2	245/323/325	80	308	5	31	20%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Diego Velasquez 2024 · A	20	49→59	40	50	46	234/299/328	94	301	7	12	24%	7%	80	-0.2	253/321/334	81	323	4	15	21%	8%	88	+0.5	262/334/335	73	332	3	18	20%	8%	91	+0.6
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Aron Estrada 2024 · A	19	47→54	41→50	52→55	54	220/310/327	107	272	6	9	20%	10%	84	+0.2	247/301/365	118	304	11	21	22%	6%	88	+0.5	258/306/387	130	312	14	21	21%	5%	93	+0.7
✕Dameury Pena 2024 · A	18	49→59	36→30	53→55	51	226/285/298	73	256	2	16	13%	7%	67	-1.1	228/286/308	80	252	6	15	12%	7%	70	-0.9	241/299/311	70	264	6	18	11%	6%	73	-0.4
✕Cole Miles 2007 · A	20	49→52	37→30	57→55	51	228/307/306	77	293	4	19	22%	9%	78	-0.3	236/285/296	60	294	3	15	19%	6%	65	-1.2	238/283/292	53	295	3	15	19%	5%	60	-1.1
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Ricardo Ferreira 2015 · A	20	46	36→30	55→60	54	207/312/275	67	298	3	21	28%	12%	74	-0.6	231/313/303	72	312	3	22	24%	10%	79	-0.2	242/324/311	68	323	3	29	23%	10%	82	+0.0
✕Johnny Ascanio 2022 · A	19	48	36→40	50→45	50	221/309/292	71	287	2	15	22%	8%	76	-0.4	212/277/284	72	291	4	10	26%	7%	61	-1.5	209/293/268	60	273	4	7	23%	9%	62	-0.8
✕Yonny Hernández 2017 · A	19	44→54	34→30	53→60	55	197/283/248	51	232	1	19	14%	9%	56	-1.9	222/305/277	55	273	1	24	17%	9%	70	-0.8	266/328/324	58	317	2	17	16%	7%	85	+0.1
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
●Angel Genao 2023 · A	19	44→54	37→45	51→50	49	208/286/276	68	285	4	12	26%	9%	63	-1.3	249/303/357	108	317	7	11	22%	7%	86	+0.3	271/329/396	125	328	10	12	19%	8%	104	+1.3
✕Juan Brito 2021 · A	19	45→50	39→50	53→45	49	213/277/301	88	254	6	13	18%	7%	65	-1.2	229/306/349	120	287	11	10	22%	9%	87	+0.4	231/317/370	139	276	13	9	20%	10%	94	+0.8
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1

Santiago Almao

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps