Robert Alvarez

C DSL CLE Goryl

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 160 lbs ROK HR -15%K -5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL CLE Mendo…	128	.155/.250/.173	0	0	-20	—	.096/.169/.105
2026	18	ROKDSL CLE Goryl	133	.214/.382/.301	2	7	32	—	.144/.275/.198
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBPIT	243	.214/.287/.288	2	4	65	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBPIT	68	.218/.292/.299	1	1	70	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBPIT	161	.221/.295/.310	2	3	74	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%77

Whiff%73

Speed73

K%67

Chase%63

Z-Con%57

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsCooper Pratt (age 19) · Rubén Tejada (age 19) · Luisangel Acuña (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 111 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.212 / .284 / .285

PA111

HR1

K%26

BB%8

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$23M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 53 / POW 36

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT53

scouting grade only

POWER36

scouting grade only

EYE63

scouting grade only

SPEED52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	110	17	2	0	0	13	25	1	0	0	155	250	173	423	18	193	20	10	203	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	—	133	103	22	1	1	2	26	24	2	7	1	214	382	301	683	87	253	18	20	323	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	114	11	1	0	0	9	31	1	0	0	96	169	105	275	9	124	24	7	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	133	111	16	1	1	1	18	29	2	7	1	144	275	198	473	54	163	22	14	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	114	11	1	0	0	9	31	1	0	0	96	169	105	275	9	128	24	7	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	110	17	2	0	0	13	25	1	0	0	155	250	173	423	18	193	20	10	203	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	133	111	16	1	1	1	18	29	2	7	1	144	275	198	473	54	181	22	14	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL CLE Goryl	—	133	103	22	1	1	2	26	24	2	7	1	214	382	301	683	87	253	18	20	323	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	117	11	1	0	0	9	31	1	0	0	94	169	103	272	9	124	24	7	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	133	112	16	1	1	1	18	29	2	7	1	143	275	196	471	54	163	22	14	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Mendoza	—	128	117	11	1	0	0	9	31	1	0	0	94	169	103	272	9	124	24	7	138	-20	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL CLE Goryl	—	133	112	16	1	1	1	18	29	2	7	1	143	275	196	471	54	163	22	14	216	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	PIT	0%	243	219	47	7	2	2	20	62	2	4	1	214	287	288	574	74	286	26	8	264	65	-10	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	PIT	34%	199	178	39	6	1	2	17	50	2	4	1	218	292	301	593	83	288	25	9	271	70	-7	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	PIT	48%	332	297	66	10	2	4	28	83	4	6	2	221	296	312	608	91	289	25	8	277	74	-10	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	PIT	54%	429	385	86	13	3	6	36	106	5	9	3	224	299	322	621	97	290	25	8	282	77	-12	+1	+0	+8	+9	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	493	443	100	15	3	8	42	121	5	10	3	227	301	330	631	103	291	25	9	286	80	-12	+1	+0	+9	+11	0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	520	465	107	16	4	9	44	127	6	10	4	229	303	336	640	107	292	24	8	290	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	PIT	57%	520	465	107	16	4	9	44	127	6	10	4	229	304	338	641	109	292	24	8	290	83	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	PIT	56%	520	466	107	16	4	9	44	127	5	10	4	229	304	338	642	109	292	24	8	290	83	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	466	107	16	4	9	44	127	5	10	4	228	303	335	638	107	291	24	8	289	82	-11	+0	+0	+9	+11	1.0
2036	28	MLB MLE	PIT	55%	520	466	106	16	3	9	44	129	5	9	4	226	301	331	631	104	290	25	8	286	80	-12	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.8
2037	29	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	520	466	104	16	3	8	44	130	5	9	4	224	298	324	622	101	289	25	8	282	77	-14	+0	-1	+9	+11	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	PIT	53%	520	466	103	15	3	8	44	132	5	8	4	221	294	316	610	96	287	25	8	278	74	-16	+0	-2	+9	+11	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	PIT	52%	504	452	98	14	3	7	42	130	5	7	6	216	289	306	595	90	284	26	8	272	70	-18	-1	-3	+9	+11	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	PIT	34%	68	61	13	2	0	1	6	17	1	1	0	218	292	299	591	81	289	25	9	270	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	PIT	48%	161	144	32	5	1	2	14	40	2	3	1	221	295	310	605	89	290	25	9	276	74	-5	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	PIT	54%	233	208	47	7	2	3	20	58	3	5	2	224	298	319	617	95	291	25	9	281	77	-6	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	279	250	57	9	2	4	24	68	3	6	2	226	301	326	627	100	292	24	9	285	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	294	264	61	10	2	5	25	72	3	6	2	228	303	333	635	105	293	24	9	288	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	PIT	57%	294	264	61	10	2	5	25	72	3	6	2	228	303	334	637	106	293	24	9	289	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	PIT	56%	294	264	61	10	2	5	25	72	3	6	2	228	303	334	637	106	292	24	9	289	83	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	288	258	59	9	2	5	25	71	3	6	2	227	302	332	634	104	292	25	9	287	82	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	PIT	55%	285	256	57	9	2	4	24	70	3	5	2	225	300	327	627	102	291	25	8	285	80	-7	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	278	249	56	9	2	4	24	70	3	5	2	223	297	321	618	98	289	25	9	281	77	-7	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	PIT	53%	274	246	54	8	2	4	23	69	3	4	2	220	293	313	607	93	287	25	8	276	74	-8	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52%	263	237	51	8	2	3	22	68	2	4	3	216	289	304	592	88	284	26	8	270	70	-9	-0	-1	+5	+6	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3011	2701	609	96	21	45	257	747	32	57	22	225	300	327	627	101	294	25	9	283	75	-77	+3	-4	+54	+65	4.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	132	21	5	10	55	161	7	12	5	226	300	331	631	105	295	25	8	283	75	-17	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5969	5340	1179	174	39	90	509	1477	62	111	45	221	296	319	615	98	286	25	9	279	75	-150	+3	-7	+102	+124	7.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	582	128	19	4	10	55	161	7	12	5	220	295	318	613	98	284	25	8	279	75	-17	+0	-1	+12	+14	0.8

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	5.9	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
/162	664	24	9	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#4Randy Hundley'64-'77 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,797 PA	5.7	3,797	82	12	236*	295*	383*	+68	+0	8.0	8.7
/162	664	14	2	+11.8	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 9
#5Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
#6Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.7	3,122	49	57	226	296	327	+56	+28	6.3	5.6
/162	664	10	12	+11.9	+6.0	1.3	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Robert Alvarez (OGILVIE)	19	48→53	31→36	47→52	63	212/284/285	73	286	1	2	26%	8%	65	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2009 · A	19	47→57	36→40	47→50	47	220/280/288	68	271	3	9	19%	6%	63	-1.4	249/304/321	72	295	3	9	16%	6%	79	-0.2	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	51→58	34→40	50→55	44	236/285/290	53	305	2	14	22%	6%	64	-1.3	241/294/285	44	301	1	9	19%	6%	67	-1.1	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	45→55	40→45	49→50	48	215/278/314	99	274	7	9	23%	8%	68	-1.0	227/295/327	100	280	6	12	20%	8%	78	-0.3	265/326/372	107	319	9	16	19%	7%	96	+0.8
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕George Lombard Jr. 2024 · A	19	51→48	39→45	48→55	49	232/311/316	85	335	6	12	30%	10%	81	-0.1	208/291/311	103	304	8	22	31%	9%	74	-0.6	208/297/325	117	296	10	23	30%	10%	77	-0.3
✕Jadher Areinamo 2023 · A	19	47→55	35→45	45→55	47	218/278/282	64	272	2	7	20%	6%	61	-1.5	242/281/336	94	284	7	15	17%	5%	74	-0.6	248/287/352	104	282	9	18	15%	5%	79	-0.2
✕Juan Fernandez 2017 · A	18	48→58	37→40	45→50	52	224/309/297	73	285	4	5	21%	9%	76	-0.4	212/273/299	87	269	6	4	22%	6%	63	-1.4	239/301/321	82	296	8	9	21%	6%	75	-0.3
✕Adrián Sugastey 2022 · A	19	51	37→40	49→40	42	244/287/314	70	318	5	5	24%	5%	71	-0.8	222/270/304	82	282	6	3	22%	5%	62	-1.4	225/265/311	86	256	8	3	15%	4%	60	-0.7
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Miguel Rodríguez 2024 · A	18	48	35→40	45	58	218/327/282	64	261	2	10	16%	11%	82	-0.0	223/312/301	78	263	5	7	16%	9%	80	-0.2	228/321/301	73	263	6	6	15%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	44	37→45	46→55	51	205/287/284	78	263	3	8	22%	9%	65	-1.2	197/282/292	95	244	7	14	21%	8%	65	-1.2	200/269/297	97	251	8	12	23%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Onil Perez 2022 · A	19	45	37→40	45→55	58	209/297/284	75	249	5	10	17%	11%	69	-0.9	214/275/286	72	274	3	14	21%	7%	61	-1.5	222/294/289	67	273	3	21	18%	8%	67	-0.6
✕Alexander Albertus 2023 · A	18	48	35→45	54→45	60	217/327/281	64	275	2	9	20%	13%	80	-0.1	229/324/321	92	284	8	10	20%	11%	88	+0.4	229/322/327	98	289	9	8	22%	11%	87	+0.1
✕Manuel Palencia 2022 · A	19	45	35→40	48→40	47	210/268/274	64	254	2	9	18%	6%	55	-1.9	216/272/269	53	248	1	6	13%	7%	55	-1.9	224/277/259	35	251	0	4	10%	6%	51	-0.5
✕Josh Morgan 2015 · A	19	52→57	35→45	45→40	51	240/324/298	58	290	2	6	17%	8%	82	+0.0	253/313/325	72	305	5	5	17%	6%	83	+0.1	256/310/332	76	305	6	4	17%	6%	81	-0.1
✕Luis Caicuto 2023 · A	20	51	38→45	46→50	46	241/301/323	82	302	5	7	21%	6%	78	-0.3	211/281/274	63	283	2	5	24%	7%	61	-1.5	197/271/279	82	244	7	8	21%	7%	57	-0.7
✕Cam Maron 2010 · A	19	47→57	40	50→40	47	223/290/317	95	292	7	7	25%	8%	74	-0.6	241/309/329	88	308	7	5	22%	8%	83	+0.1	245/318/319	74	316	4	2	22%	9%	82	-0.0

Robert Alvarez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps