Brainerh Palacios

Brainerh PalaciosC DSL Tampa Bay

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 160 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION129 act + 86 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†46

AVG/OBP/SLG.179 / .256 / .244

PA86

HR1

K%26

BB%8

BABIP236

ISO64

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 35 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT35

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED45

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.9	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$2M	+1.0	$4M	+$3M
2036	Arb-2	$3M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.7M
2037	Arb-3	$3M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.3M
Totals		$11M		$18M	+$14M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	191	169	29	3	1	0	15	52	3	7	4	172	251	201	453	30	240	27	8	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	191	158	35	4	1	0	26	36	3	7	4	222	342	259	602	38	278	19	14	284	76	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	129	115	18	2	0	3	11	35	2	1	2	157	242	252	494	96	195	27	9	223	29	-10	-1	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	129	109	24	3	0	4	17	24	2	1	2	220	336	358	694	138	247	19	13	317	101	+0	-1	+0	+2	+4	0.6
ROS	18	ROK	TB	0%	86	78	14	2	0	1	7	22	1	1	1	179	256	244	499	64	253	26	8	246	46	-5	-0	+0	+2	+2	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		257	—	—	239	41	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TB	—	129	116	18	2	0	3	11	35	2	1	2	155	242	250	492	95	192	27	9	223	29	-10	-1	+0	+2	+4	-0.5
TOT	18	ROK	TB	—	215	193	32	4	0	4	18	57	3	2	3	166	248	249	496	83	212	27	8	232	36	-16	-1	+0	+4	+6	-0.7
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	260	235	48	8	1	4	20	66	3	4	2	204	275	298	573	94	261	25	8	260	57	-13	+0	+0	+5	+7	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	384	345	73	12	2	7	31	95	5	6	2	212	286	319	605	107	265	25	8	270	65	-15	+0	+0	+7	+11	0.3
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	476	428	91	15	2	9	38	116	7	7	3	213	288	320	608	107	267	24	8	276	69	-16	+0	+0	+8	+13	0.6
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	520	466	100	16	3	10	42	126	7	8	4	215	289	326	616	112	269	24	8	280	72	-16	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.8
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	520	465	101	16	3	11	43	125	7	8	4	217	293	335	629	118	269	24	8	282	74	-15	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	520	465	101	16	3	11	43	125	7	8	4	217	293	335	629	118	270	24	8	283	75	-15	+0	+0	+9	+15	0.9
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	520	465	101	16	3	11	43	125	7	8	4	217	293	335	629	118	270	24	8	284	75	-14	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2034	26	MLB	TB	60%	520	465	101	16	3	11	43	125	7	8	4	217	293	335	629	118	270	24	8	284	76	-14	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2035	27	MLB	TB	62%	520	464	100	16	2	11	44	125	7	8	4	216	293	330	623	114	270	24	8	284	76	-14	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.0
2036	28	MLB	TB	63%	520	464	100	16	2	11	44	126	7	8	4	216	293	330	623	114	269	24	8	283	75	-15	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.9
2037	29	MLB	TB	65%	520	464	100	16	2	11	44	127	7	8	3	216	293	330	623	114	268	24	8	281	73	-16	+0	-1	+9	+15	0.8
2038	30	MLB	TB	65%	520	464	98	16	2	10	44	128	7	8	3	211	289	319	608	108	267	25	8	278	71	-17	+0	-2	+9	+15	0.6
2039	31	MLB	TB	65%	504	449	94	15	2	9	43	126	7	7	3	209	289	312	600	102	265	25	9	274	68	-18	+0	-3	+9	+14	0.3
2040	32	MLB	TB	65%	489	437	90	14	2	9	42	124	7	7	3	206	286	309	595	103	261	25	9	269	64	-20	+0	-4	+9	+14	-0.1
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	89	81	16	3	0	1	7	22	1	1	1	198	270	272	541	74	265	25	8	253	52	-5	-0	+0	+2	+3	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	186	167	35	5	1	3	15	46	2	3	1	210	283	305	588	96	269	25	8	261	58	-9	+0	+0	+3	+5	-0.0
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	258	231	50	8	1	5	21	63	4	4	2	216	293	325	618	108	271	24	8	267	63	-11	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.1
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	294	264	58	9	2	6	24	71	4	5	2	220	295	337	632	117	272	24	8	271	65	-12	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	299	269	59	9	2	6	24	72	4	5	2	219	293	335	628	115	273	24	8	273	67	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	296	266	58	9	2	6	24	71	4	5	2	218	293	335	627	117	274	24	8	274	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	295	265	58	9	2	6	24	71	4	5	2	219	294	336	629	117	274	24	8	275	68	-11	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.3
2034	26	MLB	TB	60%	314	281	62	10	2	6	26	75	4	5	2	221	296	335	630	114	274	24	8	275	68	-11	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.4
2035	27	MLB	TB	62%	323	288	64	10	2	7	27	78	5	5	2	222	300	344	644	122	273	24	8	275	68	-12	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.4
2036	28	MLB	TB	63%	329	293	65	10	2	7	28	80	5	5	2	222	301	341	642	119	273	24	9	274	68	-12	+0	-0	+6	+9	0.3
2037	29	MLB	TB	65%	338	301	66	10	2	7	29	82	5	5	2	219	299	336	634	116	272	24	9	272	66	-13	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.2
2038	30	MLB	TB	65%	338	301	65	10	2	6	29	83	5	5	2	216	296	322	618	106	271	25	9	269	64	-14	+0	-1	+6	+10	0.1
2039	31	MLB	TB	65%	328	293	61	9	1	6	28	82	4	5	2	208	286	307	593	99	268	25	9	265	61	-14	+0	-2	+6	+9	-0.1
2040	32	MLB	TB	65%	318	284	59	9	1	6	27	81	4	4	2	208	286	310	596	102	265	25	8	260	57	-15	+0	-2	+6	+9	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4005	3585	776	120	22	78	333	977	55	62	26	216	293	327	621	111	274	24	8	270	65	-160	+2	-7	+72	+113	2.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	126	19	4	13	54	159	9	10	4	216	293	330	623	113	274	24	8	270	65	-26	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.3
Career	—			—	7070	6323	1341	213	33	136	586	1733	96	111	52	212	289	321	610	109	268	25	8	276	70	-242	+1	-10	+126	+200	7.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	124	20	3	13	54	159	9	10	5	213	290	325	616	112	269	24	8	276	70	-22	+0	-1	+12	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	191	158	35	4	1	0	26	36	3	7	4	222	342	259	602	38	278	19	14	284	76	-5	-0	—	—	+5	-0.0

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	9	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
	/162	664	10	9	246	289	354	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,178	80	64	214	287	323	+75	+36	5.4	4.7
	/162	664	13	10	214	287	323	+11.9	+5.7	0.9	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Brainerh Palacios (OGILVIE)	18	35	20	45	50	166/248/249	83	212	4	2	27%	8%	36	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Manuel Falcon 2008 · A	18	43	35→30	49→50	41	200/260/254	54	286	2	8	29%	6%	41	-2.3	227/283/274	47	287	1	10	20%	6%	56	-1.3	240/298/272	32	295	0	11	17%	6%	60	-0.4
✕Hidekel Abreu 2016 · A	18	42	36→40	49→50	45	199/266/263	64	280	3	8	28%	8%	46	-2.0	223/284/304	81	293	5	10	24%	7%	63	-0.8	237/299/317	80	300	6	12	21%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Richard Rodriguez 2012 · A	19	39	36→30	48→50	45	186/255/247	61	260	3	12	28%	8%	37	-2.6	210/266/251	41	261	1	14	19%	7%	42	-2.3	233/291/254	20	278	0	16	15%	7%	50	-0.6
✕Andrés Nolaya 2023 · A	18	41	35→45	44→55	47	190/278/250	60	289	2	10	32%	10%	49	-1.8	189/258/257	68	296	3	15	34%	8%	41	-2.3	194/269/271	76	278	5	22	30%	7%	48	-0.6
✕Jose Astudillo 2022 · A	18	43	37→30	52→50	46	204/257/278	73	249	3	9	19%	6%	46	-2.0	230/283/304	74	270	3	15	15%	6%	63	-0.9	293/336/390	97	320	8	19	10%	4%	104	+0.6
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2014 · A	18	44	35→30	46→50	48	204/261/260	56	246	3	6	18%	7%	43	-2.2	222/278/270	48	270	1	6	17%	6%	52	-1.6	224/280/257	33	266	0	6	15%	6%	49	-0.7
✕Marco Guzman 2013 · A	18	37	35→45	47→50	47	176/257/242	66	244	2	8	26%	8%	38	-2.6	198/263/278	80	251	4	7	22%	8%	49	-1.8	227/264/332	105	291	6	8	23%	5%	60	-0.3
✕Juan Alonso 2022 · A	18	42→32	37→40	43→50	40	199/260/273	73	295	4	10	32%	6%	46	-2.0	184/285/263	79	357	5	9	44%	10%	56	-1.3	152/269/228	75	334	5	7	49%	11%	40	-1.1
✕Marco Soto 2022 · A	18	41	36→30	52→50	41	195/262/260	64	278	3	10	29%	6%	44	-2.1	202/257/256	54	271	2	8	25%	5%	40	-2.4	184/237/220	36	252	1	8	26%	5%	21	-0.9
✕Francisco Aponte 2009 · A	18	43	36→30	49→60	46	205/268/268	64	265	4	9	23%	7%	48	-1.9	230/305/289	59	291	2	17	20%	8%	69	-0.4	221/287/267	45	270	0	22	16%	8%	54	-0.5
✕Rafael P Valera 2013 · A	18	43	35→30	48→55	46	201/273/256	55	281	2	11	27%	8%	47	-1.9	206/289/259	53	271	1	14	22%	9%	56	-1.3	212/285/276	64	296	0	7	26%	8%	54	-0.4
✕Jean Carrillo 2015 · A	18	42	35→30	44→30	46	194/277/254	60	258	2	4	24%	7%	50	-1.8	200/266/264	64	239	3	4	17%	7%	46	-2.0	206/262/261	56	255	4	1	20%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Abrahan Gutierrez 2018 · A	18	43→45	37→40	48→40	42	207/251/284	76	266	4	4	23%	5%	44	-2.1	217/263/295	78	273	6	4	22%	5%	52	-1.6	220/294/315	95	295	8	2	26%	8%	68	-0.2
✕Ramon Coronel 2010 · A	18	45	36→30	45	43	211/260/278	68	255	3	5	18%	4%	46	-2.0	227/269/285	58	279	2	8	18%	5%	51	-1.7	242/277/290	49	293	1	9	17%	4%	53	-0.4
✕Raul Juarez 2016 · A	18	37	38→45	45→40	37	182/242/262	80	251	5	7	29%	4%	36	-2.7	207/265/290	83	274	7	5	26%	5%	53	-1.5	203/259/274	71	266	8	3	26%	4%	44	-0.5
✕Elio Castillo 2012 · A	18	43	35→30	48→50	49	202/273/265	63	251	2	8	20%	8%	50	-1.8	213/285/265	52	263	2	8	18%	7%	55	-1.4	213/278/238	26	263	0	8	18%	7%	43	-0.6
✕Edward Duran 2023 · A	19	43→45	35→40	48→50	47	200/268/269	69	262	2	7	23%	7%	49	-1.8	224/299/299	75	294	4	8	23%	8%	69	-0.4	225/304/305	79	304	5	8	25%	8%	70	-0.2
✕Alixon Suarez 2012 · A	18	39	36→45	43→40	48	187/274/249	62	250	4	3	25%	8%	47	-1.9	195/268/275	80	256	5	4	24%	7%	51	-1.7	183/257/267	85	235	5	2	23%	7%	42	-0.7
✕Rafael Herrera 2019 · A	18	43	35→40	52→50	45	200/267/266	67	269	2	12	25%	7%	47	-1.9	218/286/298	80	291	4	12	24%	8%	63	-0.8	229/304/310	81	297	4	17	22%	9%	71	-0.1