Yirer Garcia — OGILVIE

Yirer GarciaC Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION97 act + 145 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.223 / .299 / .262

PA145

HR0

K%20

BB%8

BABIP284

ISO38

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.7	$9M	+$9M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.8	$8M	+$8M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.7	$7M	+$6M
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+1.5	$6M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.3	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$17M		$45M	+$38M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	186	164	27	1	1	1	18	31	4	5	1	165	263	201	465	37	197	17	10	224	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	186	154	35	2	2	1	28	21	4	5	1	227	360	286	646	58	258	11	15	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	192	167	31	6	0	1	16	38	6	4	2	186	280	240	520	54	231	20	8	236	39	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	192	155	37	7	0	1	27	25	6	4	2	239	370	303	674	65	275	13	14	315	100	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	3 teams	—	357	308	76	5	0	0	33	89	5	6	4	247	329	263	592	16	339	25	9	271	65	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	3 teams	—	357	290	69	6	0	0	51	64	5	6	4	238	361	259	620	21	299	18	14	291	81	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	TB	—	97	88	20	0	1	0	5	21	1	4	0	227	277	250	527	23	294	22	5	228	33	-7	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
YTD	20	A	TB	—	97	85	20	0	1	0	8	15	1	4	0	235	309	259	567	24	282	15	8	259	56	-5	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.1
ROS	20	A	TB	0%	145	130	29	3	1	0	12	29	2	3	0	223	299	262	560	38	276	20	8	257	55	-7	+1	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
ROS	20	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		281	—	—	249	49	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	20	A	TB	—	97	89	20	0	1	0	5	21	1	4	0	225	277	247	524	22	290	22	5	228	33	-7	+1	+0	+2	+3	-0.2
TOT	20	A	TB	—	242	218	49	3	2	0	17	50	3	7	0	225	290	257	547	32	288	21	7	245	46	-15	+1	+0	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	314	280	63	7	1	3	26	62	5	5	1	225	302	289	592	64	279	20	8	274	68	-11	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.4
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	412	368	86	10	2	6	35	81	6	6	1	234	311	321	631	87	281	20	8	286	77	-11	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.9
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	476	426	100	12	2	8	40	93	7	7	1	235	311	329	639	94	282	20	8	293	82	-10	+1	+0	+8	+13	1.4
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	517	460	110	14	2	9	44	101	8	7	2	239	316	337	653	98	284	20	9	297	85	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	520	462	111	14	2	10	45	101	8	7	2	240	318	344	663	104	284	19	9	299	87	-8	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2032	26	MLB	TB	60%	520	462	111	14	2	10	45	101	8	7	2	240	318	344	663	104	284	19	9	300	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2033	27	MLB	TB	57%	520	461	111	14	2	10	46	101	8	7	2	241	320	345	665	104	283	19	9	300	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2034	28	MLB	TB	56%	520	461	111	14	2	10	46	102	8	7	1	241	320	345	665	104	283	20	9	299	87	-8	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.7
2035	29	MLB	TB	59%	520	461	110	13	2	10	46	103	8	6	1	239	318	341	659	102	282	20	9	297	86	-9	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.5
2036	30	MLB	TB	61%	520	461	108	13	2	9	46	104	8	6	1	234	315	330	644	95	281	20	9	294	83	-10	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.3
2037	31	MLB	TB	62%	504	447	104	12	2	9	45	103	7	6	1	233	313	329	641	96	279	20	9	290	80	-11	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.0
2038	32	MLB	TB	63%	473	421	95	11	1	8	42	98	7	5	1	226	306	314	620	88	276	21	9	285	76	-13	+1	-4	+8	+13	0.6
2039	33	MLB	TB	64%	430	383	84	9	1	6	38	91	6	4	1	219	300	295	595	76	272	21	9	278	71	-14	+0	-4	+8	+12	0.2
2040	34	MLB	TB	59%	375	334	71	7	1	5	33	82	5	3	1	213	293	284	577	72	267	22	9	271	65	-15	+0	-5	+7	+11	-0.2
2027	21	MLB	TB	34%	108	96	21	2	0	1	9	21	2	2	0	219	299	271	570	52	283	19	8	265	61	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2028	22	MLB	TB	48%	200	178	43	5	1	3	17	39	3	3	1	242	318	331	650	90	285	20	8	276	70	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.3
2029	23	MLB	TB	54%	258	230	55	7	1	4	22	51	4	4	1	239	316	330	647	91	287	20	9	283	75	-7	+0	+0	+5	+7	0.5
2030	24	MLB	TB	55%	287	257	61	7	1	5	24	56	4	4	1	237	312	331	643	93	288	20	8	288	78	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2031	25	MLB	TB	56%	291	260	63	8	1	5	25	56	4	4	1	242	318	338	657	96	288	19	9	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2032	26	MLB	TB	60%	312	277	67	8	1	6	27	60	5	4	1	242	320	343	663	101	288	19	9	291	81	-7	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.8
2033	27	MLB	TB	57%	298	266	65	8	1	6	26	58	4	4	1	244	321	350	671	105	288	19	9	291	81	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2034	28	MLB	TB	56%	291	259	61	7	1	5	26	57	4	4	1	236	315	328	643	93	287	20	9	290	80	-7	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	29	MLB	TB	59%	305	270	65	8	1	5	27	60	5	4	1	241	321	333	655	93	286	20	9	288	78	-7	+0	-1	+5	+9	0.6
2036	30	MLB	TB	61%	316	280	66	8	1	5	28	63	5	4	1	236	316	325	641	89	285	20	9	285	76	-8	+0	-1	+6	+9	0.5
2037	31	MLB	TB	62%	313	277	64	7	1	5	28	64	5	4	1	231	313	318	631	87	283	20	9	281	73	-9	+0	-2	+6	+9	0.4
2038	32	MLB	TB	63%	298	266	62	7	1	5	26	62	4	3	1	233	311	323	634	90	280	21	9	276	69	-10	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.1
2039	33	MLB	TB	64%	274	244	55	6	1	4	24	58	4	3	1	225	305	307	613	82	276	21	9	270	65	-11	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.1
2040	34	MLB	TB	59%	222	198	43	4	1	3	19	49	3	2	0	217	295	293	588	76	272	22	9	262	59	-10	+0	-3	+4	+6	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3773	3359	791	92	13	62	328	754	56	49	12	235	314	326	640	91	285	20	9	282	74	-109	+5	-12	+67	+107	5.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	579	137	16	2	11	57	130	10	8	2	237	316	328	644	92	286	20	9	282	74	-19	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.0
Career	—			—	7501	6656	1538	179	26	115	656	1510	116	101	25	231	311	318	629	87	280	20	9	287	78	-190	+10	-20	+134	+213	15.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	577	134	16	2	10	57	131	10	9	2	232	313	319	631	87	282	20	9	287	78	-16	+1	-2	+12	+18	1.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	186	154	35	2	2	1	28	21	4	5	1	227	360	286	646	58	258	11	15	309	95	-1	+1	—	—	+5	0.5
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	192	155	37	7	0	1	27	25	6	4	2	239	370	303	674	65	275	13	14	315	100	-0	+0	—	—	+5	0.5
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	220	183	45	2	0	0	28	43	3	3	1	246	355	257	612	11	312	20	13	287	78	-5	+0	—	—	+6	0.1
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	35	23	11	1	0	0	8	2	2	3	1	478	636	522	1.158	43	500	6	23	497	238	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.7
2025	19	INTL	Perth Heat	—	102	84	13	3	0	0	15	19	0	0	2	155	283	190	473	36	200	19	15	229	34	-8	-1	—	—	+3	-0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	9	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.9
	/162	664	7	7	253	291	351	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,013	65	50	233	309	324	+72	+36	9.5	8.1
	/162	664	11	8	233	309	324	+11.9	+6.0	1.6	pk7: 7
#6Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yirer Garcia (OGILVIE)	20	40	20	40	50	225/290/257	32	288	0	7	21%	7%	46	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Anneury Peguero 2007 · A	20	43	35→30	44→50	48	201/266/259	58	253	2	7	20%	7%	45	-2.1	211/289/268	57	271	3	12	21%	9%	57	-1.2	205/293/243	38	260	2	16	20%	10%	50	-0.6
✕Juan Heredia 2012 · A	20	45	35→30	38→50	52	207/291/269	62	274	2	6	23%	10%	59	-1.1	202/293/262	60	264	2	11	21%	10%	58	-1.2	188/302/244	56	248	0	15	21%	12%	55	-0.6
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2016 · A	20	47	33→30	44→50	46	218/273/262	43	264	1	6	17%	6%	48	-1.9	214/271/269	55	255	2	8	16%	6%	49	-1.8	211/269/239	28	236	0	8	10%	6%	37	-0.7
✕David Hernandez 2007 · A	20	43	35→40	44→55	46	200/269/256	56	264	2	6	24%	7%	46	-2.0	224/284/297	73	278	4	11	19%	7%	62	-0.9	227/289/294	67	277	3	14	18%	7%	60	-0.4
✕Roy Morales 2015 · A	20	46	36→30	42→45	49	208/267/273	66	229	3	5	11%	6%	49	-1.8	222/287/282	60	261	3	5	15%	6%	60	-1.0	271/335/332	61	323	4	8	16%	7%	90	+0.4
✕Andy Paz 2013 · A	20	49	36→40	44→45	51	228/300/296	67	288	2	6	20%	8%	69	-0.4	194/255/265	71	271	5	5	28%	7%	42	-2.3	208/262/276	68	271	6	4	24%	7%	43	-0.5
✕Simon Vasquez 2009 · A	21	45	35→40	40→50	49	210/285/271	61	269	2	4	22%	8%	56	-1.3	227/286/308	81	283	4	7	20%	6%	66	-0.6	253/299/341	88	301	2	9	16%	5%	79	+0.1
✕Angel Rosario 2012 · A	20	46	36→30	41→30	51	212/284/285	72	259	2	3	18%	8%	59	-1.1	201/262/279	78	260	4	4	23%	6%	49	-1.8	186/231/268	83	225	4	0	19%	4%	30	-0.6
✕Yonderman Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	46	32→30	41→50	44	212/268/246	33	277	1	7	23%	6%	42	-2.3	239/295/291	52	304	2	12	20%	7%	65	-0.7	245/305/293	47	315	2	13	21%	7%	67	-0.2
✕Gernaldo Castillo 2009 · A	20	43	33→30	44→50	56	195/278/239	44	225	1	10	13%	9%	46	-2.0	205/286/255	50	261	2	7	20%	9%	53	-1.5	203/298/226	23	263	0	6	20%	11%	50	-0.8
✕Jean Carrillo 2016 · A	19	44	34→30	40→30	52	200/284/256	55	243	1	4	17%	8%	53	-1.5	206/260/276	70	255	4	4	20%	6%	46	-2.0	185/230/229	44	267	4	1	31%	4%	17	-1.3
✕Brallan Perez 2016 · A	20	50	34→30	47→50	52	231/299/281	50	266	1	10	13%	7%	64	-0.8	243/297/303	60	291	4	9	17%	6%	69	-0.4	236/292/279	43	298	2	7	20%	6%	56	-0.7
✕Jesus Alastre 2017 · A	20	48	35→30	44→50	42	225/281/286	61	280	2	9	20%	4%	58	-1.2	226/272/304	78	311	4	8	27%	4%	59	-1.1	249/282/342	92	348	4	9	28%	2%	67	-0.1
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	39	34→40	43→50	49	181/263/236	55	238	1	7	23%	8%	39	-2.5	188/251/276	88	288	7	6	35%	6%	43	-2.2	203/266/291	88	284	10	16	30%	7%	50	-0.7
✕Lyonell James 2023 · A	20	47	35→30	46→45	48	220/285/284	64	276	2	6	20%	7%	59	-1.1	213/267/286	73	265	4	5	20%	5%	52	-1.6	205/255/268	63	248	4	2	18%	4%	40	-1.4
✕Marco Hernandez 2018 · A	20	45	36→40	38→45	47	209/275/278	70	242	3	6	15%	6%	54	-1.4	219/287/300	81	266	5	7	18%	7%	65	-0.7	186/281/263	76	234	8	3	22%	9%	51	-0.3
✕Erlin Cerda 2014 · A	20	44	36→40	47→55	52	201/284/278	77	243	2	11	17%	8%	59	-1.1	210/279/284	74	273	1	14	22%	7%	57	-1.2	200/259/263	64	270	0	16	24%	6%	40	-0.7
✕Angel Manzanarez 2017 · A	20	44	33→30	46→50	49	204/265/246	42	247	1	10	17%	7%	40	-2.4	203/256/261	58	252	3	5	19%	6%	40	-2.4	190/240/228	38	226	2	0	16%	6%	23	-1.3
✕Jesus Castillo 2023 · A	20	49→44	33→30	48→55	46	227/289/271	44	293	1	15	22%	7%	57	-1.2	208/314/252	44	297	2	19	27%	12%	66	-0.6	220/292/258	38	327	3	16	31%	8%	52	-0.6
✕Shaydron Buckridge 2007 · A	19	46	35→30	48→50	45	214/275/271	58	272	3	5	22%	6%	52	-1.6	219/291/274	55	280	2	7	21%	7%	60	-1.0	259/340/295	36	306	0	9	14%	9%	82	+0.2