Yirer Garcia — OGILVIE

Yirer GarciaC Charleston RiverDogs

Age 20 R/R 5'11" / 165 lbs A HR +6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION142 act + 21 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.158 / .238 / .158

PA21

HR0

K%19

BB%10

BABIP273

ISO39

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$28M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 40 / POW 20

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT40

scouting grade only

POWER20

scouting grade only

EYE50

scouting grade only

SPEED40

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$2M	+$0.2M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$5M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2023	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	186	154	35	2	2	1	28	21	4	5	1	227	360	286	646	58	258	11	15	309	95	-1	+1	—	—	+4	0.4
2024	18	ROK	FCL Rays	—	192	155	37	7	0	1	27	25	6	4	2	239	370	303	674	65	275	13	14	315	100	-0	+0	—	—	+4	0.4
2025	19	A	Charleston RiverDogs	—	220	183	45	2	0	0	28	43	3	3	1	246	355	257	612	11	312	20	13	287	81	-5	+0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2025	19	ROK	FCL Rays	—	35	23	11	1	0	0	8	2	2	3	1	478	636	522	1.158	43	500	6	23	497	222	+5	+0	—	—	+1	0.6
2025	19	INTL	Perth Heat	—	102	84	13	3	0	0	15	19	0	0	2	155	283	190	473	36	200	19	15	229	41	-7	-1	—	—	+2	-0.6
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	186	164	28	1	1	1	18	31	4	5	1	171	269	207	476	37	206	17	10	224	38	-14	+1	—	—	+4	-0.9
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	192	167	32	6	0	1	16	37	6	4	2	192	286	246	531	54	227	19	8	238	47	-12	+0	—	—	+4	-0.8
2025	19	A MLE	Charleston RiverDogs	—	220	193	44	2	0	0	18	61	3	3	1	228	304	238	542	10	305	28	8	247	53	-12	+0	—	—	+5	-0.7
2025	19	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	35	26	11	1	0	0	5	3	2	3	1	423	545	462	1.007	38	401	9	14	418	169	+3	+0	—	—	+1	0.4
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	186	164	28	1	1	1	18	31	4	5	1	171	269	207	476	37	205	17	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	186	154	35	2	2	1	28	21	4	5	1	227	360	286	646	58	258	11	15	309	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	192	167	32	6	0	1	16	37	6	4	2	192	286	246	531	54	237	19	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK RAW	FCL Rays	—	192	155	37	7	0	1	27	25	6	4	2	239	370	303	674	65	275	13	14	315	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	357	309	76	4	0	0	32	89	5	6	4	246	327	259	585	13	338	25	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A RAW	3 teams	—	357	290	69	6	0	0	51	64	5	6	4	238	361	259	620	21	299	18	14	291	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	186	162	28	1	1	1	18	31	4	5	1	173	269	210	479	37	206	17	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	192	168	32	6	0	1	16	37	6	4	2	190	286	244	530	54	227	19	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	357	317	76	4	0	0	32	89	5	6	4	240	327	252	579	13	318	25	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	186	162	28	1	1	1	18	31	4	5	1	173	269	210	479	37	206	17	10	224	38	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK MLE	FCL Rays	—	192	168	32	6	0	1	16	37	6	4	2	190	286	244	530	54	227	19	8	238	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A MLE	3 teams	—	357	317	76	4	0	0	32	89	5	6	4	240	327	252	579	13	318	25	9	270	69	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	20	A MLE	TB	—	142	128	25	0	1	0	8	30	3	6	0	195	259	211	470	16	253	21	6	212	30	-12	+1	+0	+3	+3	-0.5
▸ 2026 season
YTD	20	A RAW	TB	—	142	124	26	0	1	0	12	21	3	6	0	210	295	226	521	16	250	15	8	245	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	20	A MLE	TB	0%	21	19	3	0	0	0	2	4	0	0	0	158	238	158	396		267	19	10	250	55	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	20	A MLE	TB	—	163	147	28	0	1	0	10	34	3	6	0	190	256	204	460	14	246	21	6	217	33	-13	+1	+0	+3	+4	-0.5
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	21	MLB MLE	TB	34%	314	281	63	7	1	3	25	61	5	5	1	224	299	288	587	64	271	19	8	269	68	-12	+1	+0	+6	+7	0.1
2028	22	MLB MLE	TB	48%	412	369	83	9	1	6	33	80	7	6	1	225	301	304	604	79	274	19	8	281	76	-12	+1	+0	+7	+9	0.5
2029	23	MLB MLE	TB	54%	476	426	99	11	2	8	39	92	8	7	1	232	309	324	633	92	276	19	8	288	81	-11	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.9
2030	24	MLB MLE	TB	55%	517	460	108	13	2	9	43	99	9	7	1	235	312	330	643	96	277	19	8	293	84	-10	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2031	25	MLB MLE	TB	56%	520	463	110	13	2	10	43	99	9	7	1	238	315	339	654	102	277	19	8	295	86	-9	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2032	26	MLB MLE	TB	60%	520	462	110	13	2	10	44	99	9	7	1	238	317	340	656	102	277	19	8	296	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2033	27	MLB MLE	TB	57%	520	462	109	13	2	10	44	99	9	7	1	236	315	338	652	102	277	19	8	296	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.3
2034	28	MLB MLE	TB	56%	520	461	109	13	2	10	45	100	9	7	1	236	317	338	655	102	276	19	9	295	86	-9	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.2
2035	29	MLB MLE	TB	59%	520	461	108	12	2	10	45	101	9	6	1	234	315	334	649	100	275	19	9	293	84	-10	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.0
2036	30	MLB MLE	TB	61%	520	461	107	12	2	9	45	102	9	6	1	232	313	325	638	93	274	20	9	290	82	-11	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.9
2037	31	MLB MLE	TB	62%	504	447	101	11	1	9	44	101	8	6	1	226	307	315	622	89	272	20	9	286	80	-12	+1	-3	+9	+11	0.6
2038	32	MLB MLE	TB	63%	473	421	94	10	1	8	41	96	8	5	1	223	304	309	613	86	269	20	9	281	76	-13	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.2
2039	33	MLB MLE	TB	64%	430	383	83	8	1	7	37	90	7	4	1	217	297	298	595	81	266	21	9	274	72	-14	+0	-4	+8	+9	-0.1
2027	21	MLB CTX	TB	34%	108	96	21	2	0	1	9	21	2	2	0	219	299	271	570	52	278	19	8	262	68	-4	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.1
2028	22	MLB CTX	TB	48%	200	179	42	5	1	3	16	39	3	3	1	235	308	324	632	89	281	20	8	274	76	-6	+0	+0	+4	+4	0.2
2029	23	MLB CTX	TB	54%	258	231	55	7	1	4	21	50	4	4	1	238	312	329	642	91	283	19	8	282	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2030	24	MLB CTX	TB	55%	287	256	61	7	1	5	24	55	5	4	1	238	316	332	648	94	284	19	8	287	84	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2031	25	MLB CTX	TB	56%	291	260	63	8	1	6	24	55	5	4	1	242	318	350	668	108	284	19	8	289	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2032	26	MLB CTX	TB	60%	312	278	67	8	1	6	26	59	5	4	1	241	317	342	659	101	284	19	8	290	86	-5	+0	+0	+6	+7	0.8
2033	27	MLB CTX	TB	57%	298	266	64	8	1	6	25	57	5	4	1	241	318	346	663	105	284	19	8	290	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	28	MLB CTX	TB	56%	291	259	62	7	1	6	25	56	5	4	1	239	318	344	662	104	283	19	9	289	86	-5	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	29	MLB CTX	TB	59%	305	271	65	8	1	6	26	59	5	4	1	240	318	343	661	103	283	19	9	287	84	-6	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.6
2036	30	MLB CTX	TB	61%	316	281	67	8	1	6	27	62	5	4	1	238	316	338	654	100	281	20	9	284	82	-7	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.5
2037	31	MLB CTX	TB	62%	313	278	65	7	1	6	27	63	5	4	1	234	313	331	644	97	279	20	9	280	80	-8	+0	-2	+6	+7	0.4
2038	32	MLB CTX	TB	63%	298	265	61	7	1	5	26	61	5	3	1	230	311	321	632	91	276	20	9	274	76	-9	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.1
2039	33	MLB CTX	TB	64%	274	245	55	6	1	4	23	57	4	3	0	224	301	306	608	82	272	21	8	268	72	-9	+1	-3	+5	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3551	3165	748	88	12	64	299	694	58	47	11	236	314	332	646	96	282	20	8	283	78	-78	+5	-9	+63	+77	5.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	579	137	16	2	12	55	127	11	9	2	237	315	333	648	97	282	20	8	283	78	-14	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	7002	6216	1423	156	22	111	596	1380	121	95	20	229	309	315	623	86	275	20	9	284	78	-140	+11	-15	+112	+136	10.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	577	131	14	2	10	55	128	11	9	2	227	306	310	617	83	273	20	8	284	78	-15	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.1

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Dioner Navarrolast yr '16 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,544 PA	5.3	3,544	77	14	250	308	370	+63	-1	12.1	11.6
/162	664	14	3	+11.9	-0.2	2.3	pk7: 11
#4Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#5Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#6Adeiny Hechavarríalast yr '20 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,288 PA	5.0	3,288	37	35	253	291	351	+32	+46	8.6	8.8
/162	664	7	7	+6.5	+9.3	1.7	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.7	3,792	62	48	231	306	320	+68	+32	8.7	7.5
/162	664	11	8	+11.9	+5.6	1.5	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Yirer Garcia (OGILVIE)	20	40	20	40	50	209/285/242	33	267	0	5	20%	8%	55	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Kelvin Fajardo 2016 · A	20	47	33→30	44→50	46	218/273/262	43	264	1	6	17%	6%	54	-2.0	214/271/269	55	255	2	8	16%	6%	55	-2.0	211/269/239	28	236	0	8	10%	6%	45	-0.8
✕David Hernandez 2007 · A	20	43	35→40	44→55	46	200/269/256	56	264	2	6	24%	7%	52	-2.2	224/284/297	73	278	4	11	19%	7%	66	-1.1	227/289/294	67	277	3	14	18%	7%	64	-0.5
✕Juan Heredia 2012 · A	20	45	35→30	38→50	52	207/291/269	62	274	2	6	23%	10%	63	-1.3	202/293/262	60	264	2	11	21%	10%	63	-1.4	188/302/244	56	248	0	15	21%	12%	60	-0.7
✕Simon Vasquez 2009 · A	21	45	35→40	40→50	49	210/285/271	61	269	2	4	22%	8%	61	-1.5	227/286/308	81	283	4	7	20%	6%	70	-0.9	253/299/341	88	301	2	9	16%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Roy Morales 2015 · A	20	46	36→30	42→45	49	208/267/273	66	229	3	5	11%	6%	55	-2.0	224/288/284	60	262	3	5	15%	6%	65	-1.2	271/334/327	56	322	3	8	16%	7%	89	+0.2
✕Andy Paz 2013 · A	20	49	36→40	44→45	51	228/300/296	67	288	2	6	20%	8%	72	-0.7	194/255/266	72	271	5	5	28%	7%	49	-2.4	214/269/283	68	275	5	4	23%	7%	54	-0.5
✕Angel Rosario 2012 · A	20	46	36→30	41→30	51	212/284/285	72	259	2	3	18%	8%	64	-1.3	201/262/279	78	260	4	4	23%	6%	54	-2.0	186/231/268	83	225	4	0	19%	4%	38	-0.7
✕Brallan Perez 2016 · A	20	50	34→30	47→50	52	231/299/281	50	266	1	10	13%	7%	68	-1.0	242/297/303	61	289	4	9	17%	6%	72	-0.7	237/293/280	43	295	2	7	19%	6%	62	-0.8
✕Gernaldo Castillo 2009 · A	20	43	33→30	44→50	56	195/278/239	44	225	1	10	13%	9%	53	-2.1	205/286/255	50	261	2	7	20%	9%	59	-1.7	203/298/226	23	263	0	6	20%	11%	56	-0.9
✕Jesus Alastre 2017 · A	20	48	35→30	44→50	42	225/281/286	61	280	2	9	20%	4%	63	-1.4	225/272/301	76	309	4	8	27%	4%	62	-1.4	250/283/334	84	348	4	9	28%	2%	69	-0.2
✕Yonderman Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	46	32→30	41→50	44	212/268/246	33	277	1	7	23%	6%	49	-2.4	239/295/291	52	304	2	12	20%	7%	69	-0.9	245/305/293	47	315	2	13	21%	7%	71	-0.3
✕Marco Hernandez 2018 · A	20	45	36→40	38→45	47	209/275/278	70	242	3	6	15%	6%	59	-1.6	219/287/300	81	266	5	7	18%	7%	69	-0.9	185/278/262	77	233	8	3	22%	9%	56	-0.4
✕Erlin Cerda 2014 · A	20	44	36→40	47→55	52	201/284/278	77	243	2	11	17%	8%	63	-1.3	210/279/283	73	274	1	14	22%	7%	62	-1.4	200/260/264	64	272	0	16	25%	6%	48	-0.7
✕Juan Zabala 2019 · A	20	39	34→40	43→50	49	181/263/236	55	238	1	7	23%	8%	46	-2.6	188/252/275	87	288	7	6	35%	6%	50	-2.3	206/268/289	83	286	8	16	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Onil Perez 2023 · A	20	44	37→30	46→55	48	207/272/285	78	269	3	7	23%	8%	59	-1.6	214/275/285	71	269	3	17	20%	7%	60	-1.6	211/278/275	64	260	3	21	19%	7%	57	-0.9
✕Xavier Fernández 2015 · A	20	42	35→45	41→40	45	196/249/258	61	247	2	4	21%	6%	44	-2.8	221/268/312	91	267	8	3	20%	5%	63	-1.3	236/287/356	119	281	13	2	20%	6%	79	-0.1
✕Manuel Palencia 2023 · A	20	49	35→40	47→40	50	228/288/289	60	267	2	8	15%	7%	65	-1.2	226/273/283	57	271	2	5	16%	6%	58	-1.7	227/264/272	45	280	0	2	18%	4%	49	-0.6
✕Lyonell James 2023 · A	20	48	36→30	46→45	48	223/290/290	67	279	2	6	20%	7%	67	-1.1	215/270/287	72	267	4	5	20%	6%	59	-1.7	208/259/269	61	250	4	2	18%	5%	49	-1.4
✕Pedro Gonzalez 2012 · A	20	47	35→30	47→30	47	217/286/273	55	266	2	4	18%	6%	62	-1.4	215/264/307	92	268	7	3	22%	4%	61	-1.5	207/244/319	112	250	10	0	21%	3%	57	-0.4
✕Shaydron Buckridge 2007 · A	19	46	35→30	48→50	45	214/275/271	58	272	3	5	22%	6%	57	-1.8	219/291/274	55	280	2	7	21%	7%	65	-1.2	259/340/295	36	306	0	9	14%	9%	84	+0.1

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps