Diego Gonzalez
SS Clearwater Threshers| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | ROKPHI | 100 | .258/.340/.371 | 2 | 0 | 38 | — | .183/.240/.247 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+/A/ROK/INTL2 orgs | 257 | .226/.324/.344 | 4 | 2 | 52 | — | .192/.276/.274 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+/APHI | 198 | .179/.285/.214 | 2 | 1 | 14 | — | .149/.233/.183 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBPHI | 248 | .178/.250/.249 | 2 | 4 | 42 | -0.2 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBPHI | 25 | .184/.255/.266 | 0 | 0 | 48 | -0.1 |
Tools · ContractCON 20 / POW 20
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | DSL Phillies Red | — | 163 | 146 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 274 | 338 | 356 | 694 | 82 | 310 | 13 | 7 | 310 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 140 | 123 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 276 | 364 | 341 | 706 | 65 | 354 | 19 | 11 | 326 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 100 | 89 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 340 | 371 | 711 | 112 | 309 | 19 | 10 | 324 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 31 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 120 | 290 | 120 | 410 | 167 | 23 | 19 | 223 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 152 | 132 | 35 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 33 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 265 | 362 | 394 | 756 | 129 | 333 | 22 | 11 | 344 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 22 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 176 | 300 | 294 | 594 | 118 | 200 | 18 | 9 | 255 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 52 | 47 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 191 | 240 | 340 | 580 | 149 | 211 | 17 | 6 | 248 | 54 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 30 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 250 | 333 | 583 | 111 | 238 | 20 | 3 | 243 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 168 | 141 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 41 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 170 | 291 | 191 | 482 | 21 | 225 | 24 | 12 | 237 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies Red | — | 163 | 150 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 193 | 244 | 240 | 484 | 47 | 223 | 17 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 140 | 129 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 202 | 264 | 240 | 505 | 39 | 286 | 28 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 100 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 240 | 247 | 487 | 65 | 246 | 28 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 31 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 111 | 226 | 111 | 337 | 144 | 29 | 13 | 159 | -6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 152 | 137 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 46 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 212 | 289 | 307 | 596 | 95 | 303 | 30 | 8 | 267 | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 22 | 18 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 250 | 278 | 528 | 111 | 145 | 27 | 5 | 203 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 30 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 222 | 250 | 333 | 583 | 111 | 216 | 27 | 3 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 168 | 147 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 52 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 136 | 230 | 156 | 387 | 20 | 193 | 31 | 8 | 185 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies Red | — | 163 | 150 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 193 | 244 | 240 | 484 | 47 | 230 | 17 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Phillies Red | — | 163 | 146 | 40 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 274 | 338 | 356 | 694 | 82 | 310 | 13 | 7 | 310 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 140 | 129 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 202 | 264 | 240 | 505 | 39 | 289 | 28 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | FCL Phillies | — | 140 | 123 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 276 | 364 | 341 | 706 | 65 | 354 | 19 | 11 | 326 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 100 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 240 | 247 | 487 | 65 | 250 | 28 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK RAW | FCL Phillies | — | 100 | 89 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 258 | 340 | 371 | 711 | 112 | 309 | 19 | 10 | 324 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 257 | 227 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 76 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 189 | 273 | 273 | 546 | 84 | 265 | 30 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | 4 teams | — | 257 | 221 | 50 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 53 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 226 | 324 | 344 | 668 | 118 | 275 | 21 | 11 | 302 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 198 | 174 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 149 | 233 | 184 | 417 | 34 | 207 | 30 | 8 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 198 | 168 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 47 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 179 | 285 | 214 | 499 | 36 | 228 | 24 | 11 | 238 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Phillies Red | — | 163 | 152 | 29 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 191 | 244 | 237 | 481 | 46 | 223 | 17 | 5 | 218 | 34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 140 | 128 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 39 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 203 | 264 | 242 | 506 | 39 | 286 | 28 | 7 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 100 | 93 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 183 | 240 | 247 | 487 | 65 | 246 | 28 | 6 | 224 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 257 | 229 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 76 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 188 | 273 | 271 | 543 | 83 | 262 | 30 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 198 | 177 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 147 | 233 | 181 | 414 | 34 | 196 | 30 | 8 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 4 teams | — | 257 | 229 | 43 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 76 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 188 | 273 | 271 | 543 | 83 | 262 | 30 | 9 | 244 | 51 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 198 | 177 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 60 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 147 | 233 | 181 | 414 | 34 | 196 | 30 | 8 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | PHI | 0% | 248 | 225 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 65 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 178 | 250 | 249 | 498 | 71 | 238 | 26 | 7 | 231 | 42 | -17 | +0 | +0 | +3 | +5 | -0.2 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | PHI | 30% | 84 | 77 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 183 | 255 | 263 | 518 | 80 | 241 | 26 | 7 | 239 | 48 | -5 | +0 | +0 | +1 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | PHI | 30% | 25 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 184 | 255 | 266 | 521 | 82 | 241 | 28 | 8 | 240 | 48 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 25 | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 240 | 217 | 457 | 43 | 250 | 28 | 8 | 240 | 38 | -2 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 104 | 26 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 182 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 174 | 240 | 217 | 457 | 43 | 250 | 28 | 8 | 240 | 38 | -40 | +0 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1000 | 903 | 164 | 26 | 2 | 7 | 71 | 267 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 182 | 252 | 238 | 490 | 56 | 246 | 27 | 7 | 224 | 38 | -9 | +0 | +0 | +2 | +3 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 587 | 107 | 17 | 1 | 5 | 46 | 174 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 182 | 252 | 240 | 492 | 58 | 246 | 27 | 7 | 224 | 38 | -42 | +2 | +0 | +7 | +14 | -2.0 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 AClearwater Threshers · 168 PAwOBA .236 → .185 (−51)K% 24.4% → 31.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.40% | ÷1.065 | ×1.360 | — | — | 31.16% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.90% | ÷0.975 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.43% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.38% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.920 | ×0.962 | — | 19.76% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.975 | ×0.830 | ×0.962 | — | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.923 | ×0.910 | ×0.962 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.00% | ÷1.083 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.74% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 117, 1B 106, 2B 95, 3B 85, K 113, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.962.
Result: wOBA .236 → .185; ISO .021 → .015; BABIP .225 → .193. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 30 PAwOBA .245 → .216 (−29)K% 20.0% → 26.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 26.14% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 3.33% | ÷1.093 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 1.85% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.81% | ÷0.966 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 21.69% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.76% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 4.06% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 93, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .245 → .216; ISO .111 → .097; BABIP .238 → .216. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AClearwater Threshers · 152 PAwOBA .335 → .267 (−68)K% 21.7% → 30.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.71% | ÷0.982 | ×1.360 | — | — | 30.06% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.18% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 8.05% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.97% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.25% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 23.23% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.06% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 5.59% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.01% | ÷1.132 | ×0.910 | ×1.027 | ×1.015 | 0.85% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.03% | ÷1.115 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 2.21% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 126, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.027.
Result: wOBA .335 → .267; ISO .129 → .097; BABIP .333 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 31 PAwOBA .219 → .159 (−60)K% 22.6% → 28.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.58% | ÷1.023 | ×1.310 | — | — | 28.92% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 19.35% | ÷0.972 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 12.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.67% | ÷1.035 | ×0.870 | — | ×1.027 | 14.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.946 | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.926 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 89, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .219 → .159; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .167 → .144. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 ROKFCL Phillies · 22 PAwOBA .274 → .203 (−71)K% 18.2% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.18% | ÷1.042 | ×1.440 | — | — | 25.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.09% | ÷0.982 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 5.65% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.55% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 3.22% |
| Singles /BIP | 7.69% | ÷1.073 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 5.79% |
| Doubles /BIP | 15.38% | ÷1.015 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 10.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.994 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.924 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 115, 2B 103, 3B 99, K 108, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .274 → .203; ISO .118 → .092; BABIP .200 → .145. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 ROKFCL Phillies · 100 PAwOBA .316 → .224 (−92)K% 19.0% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.00% | ÷0.989 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.14% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 0.72% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.29% | ÷1.028 | ×0.820 | ×1.032 | ×0.995 | 19.90% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.71% | ÷1.023 | ×0.720 | ×1.032 | ×0.995 | 4.13% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.938 | ×0.720 | ×1.032 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.028 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 2.16% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 106, 1B 106, 2B 105, 3B 88, K 98, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.032.
Result: wOBA .316 → .224; ISO .112 → .078; BABIP .309 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Phillies · 140 PAwOBA .319 → .229 (−90)K% 19.3% → 27.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.29% | ÷1.004 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.65% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.43% | ÷0.989 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 7.22% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 0.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.08% | ÷0.981 | ×0.820 | ×1.026 | ×1.008 | 23.39% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.178 | ×0.720 | ×1.026 | ×1.008 | 5.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.026 | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 136, 3B 100, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.026.
Result: wOBA .319 → .229; ISO .065 → .039; BABIP .354 → .286. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 DSLDSL Phillies Red · 163 PAwOBA .308 → .218 (−90)K% 13.5% → 16.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.50% | ÷0.995 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.55% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.36% | ÷1.054 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 4.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.23% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 0.87% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.00% | ÷0.970 | ×0.680 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 18.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.65% | ÷0.965 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 3.71% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.150 | ×0.600 | ×1.050 | ×1.008 | 0.45% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.81% | ÷1.096 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.35% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 119, 1B 94, 2B 93, 3B 130, K 99, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .308 → .218; ISO .082 → .049; BABIP .310 → .223. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .