CJ Rodriguez
C Midland RockHounds| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24 | A+OAK | 272 | .201/.322/.236 | 0 | 0 | 29 | — | .162/.256/.192 |
| 2025 | 25 | AA/A+OAK | 179 | .167/.290/.220 | 1 | 0 | 8 | — | .126/.222/.164 |
| 2026 | 26 | AAOAK | 102 | .310/.400/.322 | 0 | 0 | 88 | — | .297/.360/.308 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 27 | MLBOAK | 2 | .211/.290/.277 | 0 | 0 | 59 | -0.0 | |
| 2028PROJ27% MLB | 28 | MLBOAK | 34 | .212/.290/.279 | 0 | 0 | 60 | -0.0 |
Tools · ContractCON 49 / POW 30
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run 1-3 WAR low.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 86 | 81 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 200 | 222 | 422 | 62 | 176 | 15 | 5 | 192 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Stockton Ports | — | 295 | 241 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 56 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 388 | 349 | 736 | 83 | 324 | 19 | 15 | 336 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 281 | 248 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 265 | 270 | 536 | 85 | 230 | 22 | 9 | 244 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 272 | 229 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 322 | 236 | 558 | 35 | 251 | 18 | 14 | 270 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 37 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 278 | 71 | 349 | 95 | 22 | 19 | 201 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 142 | 122 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 28 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 189 | 293 | 254 | 547 | 66 | 234 | 20 | 11 | 257 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA | Midland RockHounds | — | 102 | 87 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 310 | 400 | 322 | 722 | 11 | 365 | 15 | 13 | 332 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 86 | 82 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 176 | 207 | 384 | 61 | 163 | 20 | 3 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 295 | 256 | 60 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 73 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 234 | 325 | 293 | 618 | 59 | 295 | 25 | 10 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 281 | 256 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 207 | 207 | 414 | 59 | 200 | 30 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 272 | 240 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 256 | 192 | 447 | 29 | 213 | 23 | 10 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 37 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 67 | 222 | 67 | 289 | 87 | 27 | 14 | 153 | -10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 142 | 127 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 142 | 221 | 189 | 410 | 47 | 184 | 26 | 8 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 102 | 91 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 297 | 360 | 308 | 668 | 11 | 345 | 18 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 86 | 82 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 176 | 207 | 384 | 61 | 169 | 20 | 3 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | Stockton Ports | — | 86 | 81 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 200 | 222 | 422 | 62 | 176 | 15 | 5 | 192 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 295 | 255 | 60 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 73 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 235 | 325 | 294 | 619 | 59 | 312 | 25 | 10 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A RAW | Stockton Ports | — | 295 | 241 | 64 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 44 | 56 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 266 | 388 | 349 | 736 | 83 | 324 | 19 | 15 | 336 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 281 | 256 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 148 | 207 | 207 | 414 | 59 | 208 | 30 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 281 | 248 | 46 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 61 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 185 | 265 | 270 | 536 | 85 | 230 | 22 | 9 | 244 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 272 | 240 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 256 | 192 | 447 | 29 | 218 | 23 | 10 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ RAW | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 272 | 229 | 46 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 38 | 48 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 201 | 322 | 236 | 558 | 35 | 251 | 18 | 14 | 270 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 179 | 158 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 127 | 216 | 165 | 380 | 38 | 170 | 26 | 8 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ RAW | 2 teams | — | 179 | 150 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 167 | 290 | 220 | 510 | 53 | 209 | 20 | 13 | 246 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 102 | 91 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 297 | 360 | 308 | 668 | 11 | 360 | 18 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA RAW | Midland RockHounds | — | 102 | 87 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 310 | 400 | 322 | 722 | 11 | 365 | 15 | 13 | 332 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 86 | 83 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 145 | 176 | 205 | 381 | 60 | 163 | 20 | 3 | 157 | -8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Stockton Ports | — | 295 | 259 | 60 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 73 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 232 | 325 | 290 | 615 | 58 | 295 | 25 | 10 | 280 | 76 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 281 | 260 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 83 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 146 | 207 | 204 | 411 | 58 | 200 | 30 | 6 | 190 | 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 272 | 240 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 256 | 192 | 447 | 29 | 213 | 23 | 10 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 179 | 159 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 126 | 216 | 164 | 379 | 38 | 164 | 26 | 8 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 102 | 92 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 293 | 360 | 304 | 664 | 11 | 345 | 18 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Lansing Lugnuts | — | 272 | 240 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 27 | 63 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 163 | 256 | 192 | 447 | 29 | 213 | 23 | 10 | 211 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | A+ MLE | 2 teams | — | 179 | 159 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 126 | 216 | 164 | 379 | 38 | 164 | 26 | 8 | 180 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026 | 26 | AA MLE | Midland RockHounds | — | 102 | 92 | 27 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 293 | 360 | 304 | 664 | 11 | 345 | 18 | 9 | 298 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB MLE | OAK | 2% | 200 | 178 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 45 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 205 | 285 | 266 | 551 | 61 | 267 | 22 | 9 | 256 | 59 | -10 | +0 | +0 | +4 | +4 | 0.0 |
| ▸ 2027 — real world (MLB) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 27 | MLB CTX | OAK | 2% | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 211 | 290 | 277 | 567 | 65 | 275 | 0 | 0 | 262 | 59 | -0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | +0 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 28 | MLB MLE | OAK | 27% | 128 | 115 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 206 | 284 | 268 | 553 | 63 | 267 | 23 | 9 | 257 | 60 | -6 | -0 | -1 | +2 | +3 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 28 | MLB CTX | OAK | 27% | 34 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 212 | 290 | 279 | 569 | 67 | 275 | 24 | 9 | 263 | 60 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 34 | 31 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 265 | 226 | 491 | 32 | 261 | 24 | 9 | 263 | 40 | -2 | +0 | -0 | +1 | +1 | -0.0 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 593 | 115 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 57 | 153 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194 | 265 | 226 | 491 | 32 | 261 | 24 | 9 | 263 | 40 | -31 | +0 | -4 | +12 | +14 | -0.9 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1427 | 1272 | 234 | 37 | 2 | 6 | 120 | 349 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 184 | 262 | 230 | 492 | 46 | 243 | 24 | 8 | 227 | 40 | -10 | +0 | -1 | +4 | +5 | -0.3 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 107 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 55 | 159 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 262 | 233 | 495 | 48 | 244 | 24 | 8 | 227 | 40 | -31 | +0 | -2 | +12 | +14 | -0.8 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2026 AAMidland RockHounds · 102 PAwOBA .331 → .298 (−32)K% 14.7% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 14.71% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 17.94% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.75% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.988 | 8.81% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 36.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.044 | ×0.988 | 34.26% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | ×1.044 | ×0.988 | 1.20% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | ×1.044 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 26 vs a level average of 24.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.044.
Result: wOBA .331 → .298; ISO .011 → .010; BABIP .365 → .345. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 142 PAwOBA .253 → .187 (−66)K% 19.7% → 25.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 19.72% | ÷0.969 | ×1.270 | — | — | 25.84% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.27% | ÷1.048 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.978 | 7.47% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.41% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.978 | 1.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.09% | ÷1.078 | ×0.920 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 14.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.32% | ÷1.199 | ×0.810 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 3.48% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.990 | ×0.978 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.06% | ÷0.921 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.978 | 0.90% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 116, 2B 140, 3B 130, K 94, BB 110 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 22.8 → −2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.990.
Result: wOBA .253 → .187; ISO .066 → .047; BABIP .234 → .184. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2025 AAMidland RockHounds · 37 PAwOBA .203 → .153 (−51)K% 21.6% → 26.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.62% | ÷0.988 | ×1.220 | — | — | 26.70% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 18.92% | ÷1.078 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 12.26% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.70% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 2.35% |
| Singles /BIP | 10.00% | ÷1.012 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 9.07% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.131 | ×0.840 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.150 | ×0.940 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.043 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 102, 2B 126, 3B 130, K 98, BB 116 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .203 → .153; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .095 → .087. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 272 PAwOBA .266 → .211 (−55)K% 17.6% → 23.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 17.65% | ÷0.974 | ×1.270 | — | — | 23.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.97% | ÷0.974 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 10.06% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.10% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.86% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.55% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 18.54% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.31% | ÷0.992 | ×0.810 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 2.62% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.55% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.981 | ×0.988 | 0.40% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.867 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 107, 2B 98, 3B 130, K 95, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.981.
Result: wOBA .266 → .211; ISO .035 → .027; BABIP .251 → .213. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Lansing Lugnuts · 281 PAwOBA .243 → .190 (−53)K% 21.7% → 29.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.71% | ÷0.938 | ×1.270 | — | — | 29.41% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.90% | ÷1.036 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 6.09% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.71% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.56% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.04% | ÷0.991 | ×0.920 | ×0.967 | ×0.998 | 14.38% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.95% | ÷0.946 | ×0.810 | ×0.967 | ×0.998 | 5.75% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.967 | ×0.998 | 0.38% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.07% | ÷1.209 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 0.71% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 142, 1B 98, 2B 89, 3B 130, K 88, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.967.
Result: wOBA .243 → .190; ISO .085 → .063; BABIP .230 → .200. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AStockton Ports · 295 PAwOBA .335 → .280 (−56)K% 19.0% → 24.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.98% | ÷1.049 | ×1.360 | — | — | 24.61% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 14.92% | ÷1.029 | ×0.690 | — | — | 10.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.36% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 1.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.03% | ÷0.967 | ×0.920 | ×0.994 | — | 25.56% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.95% | ÷1.092 | ×0.830 | ×0.994 | — | 4.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.030 | ×0.910 | ×0.994 | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.62% | ÷1.003 | ×0.800 | — | — | 1.29% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 101, 1B 93, 2B 118, 3B 106, K 110, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.994.
Result: wOBA .335 → .280; ISO .083 → .066; BABIP .324 → .295. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AStockton Ports · 86 PAwOBA .189 → .157 (−32)K% 15.1% → 20.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.12% | ÷1.020 | ×1.360 | — | — | 20.15% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 4.65% | ÷1.028 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 3.17% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.71% | ÷0.971 | ×0.920 | ×0.985 | ×1.015 | 13.92% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.94% | ÷0.981 | ×0.830 | ×0.985 | ×1.015 | 2.49% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.902 | ×0.910 | ×0.985 | ×1.015 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.47% | ÷1.165 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 1.02% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 133, 1B 94, 2B 96, 3B 80, K 104, BB 106 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.985.
Result: wOBA .189 → .157; ISO .062 → .045; BABIP .176 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).