Kelvin Fajardo
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | 18 | ROKDSL Rangers 1 | 241 | .332/.417/.410 | 0 | 1 | 64 | — | .235/.306/.286 |
| 2015 | 19 | ROKDSL Rangers 1 | 270 | .264/.344/.290 | 0 | 9 | 20 | — | .177/.247/.194 |
| 2016 | 20 | ROKAZL Rangers | 172 | .267/.353/.307 | 0 | 5 | 44 | — | .210/.271/.236 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK | DSL Rangers | — | 89 | 78 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 307 | 218 | 525 | 239 | 9 | 10 | 252 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 241 | 205 | 68 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 332 | 417 | 410 | 827 | 78 | 382 | 13 | 10 | 368 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 270 | 231 | 61 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 264 | 344 | 290 | 634 | 26 | 290 | 10 | 7 | 286 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK | AZL Rangers | — | 172 | 150 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 267 | 353 | 307 | 660 | 40 | 288 | 7 | 10 | 305 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 89 | 81 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 148 | 216 | 148 | 364 | 170 | 11 | 7 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 241 | 213 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 235 | 306 | 286 | 593 | 52 | 266 | 16 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 270 | 237 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 177 | 247 | 194 | 441 | 17 | 190 | 12 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 172 | 157 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 210 | 271 | 236 | 506 | 25 | 233 | 10 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 89 | 81 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 148 | 216 | 148 | 364 | 167 | 11 | 7 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers | — | 89 | 78 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 307 | 218 | 525 | 239 | 9 | 10 | 252 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 241 | 213 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 235 | 306 | 286 | 593 | 52 | 279 | 16 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 241 | 205 | 68 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 25 | 32 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 332 | 417 | 410 | 827 | 78 | 382 | 13 | 10 | 368 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 270 | 237 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 177 | 247 | 194 | 441 | 17 | 200 | 12 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK RAW | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 270 | 231 | 61 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 264 | 344 | 290 | 634 | 26 | 290 | 10 | 7 | 286 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 172 | 157 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 210 | 271 | 236 | 506 | 25 | 234 | 10 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK RAW | AZL Rangers | — | 172 | 150 | 40 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 267 | 353 | 307 | 660 | 40 | 288 | 7 | 10 | 305 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 17 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers | — | 89 | 82 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 146 | 216 | 146 | 362 | 170 | 11 | 7 | 181 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2014 | 18 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 241 | 217 | 50 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 39 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 230 | 306 | 281 | 587 | 51 | 266 | 16 | 7 | 263 | 64 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 19 | ROK MLE | DSL Rangers 1 | — | 270 | 246 | 42 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 33 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 171 | 247 | 187 | 434 | 16 | 190 | 12 | 5 | 198 | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2016 | 20 | ROK MLE | AZL Rangers | — | 172 | 157 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 210 | 271 | 236 | 506 | 25 | 233 | 10 | 6 | 233 | 44 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 772 | 688 | 137 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 47 | 99 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 199 | 267 | 227 | 494 | 28 | 228 | 13 | 6 | 224 | 38 | -57 | -2 | +0 | +3 | +17 | -4.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 579 | 116 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 40 | 83 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 200 | 269 | 230 | 498 | 29 | 229 | 13 | 6 | 224 | 38 | -48 | -2 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -3.4 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2016 ROKAZL Rangers · 172 PAwOBA .300 → .233 (−67)K% 7.0% → 10.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 6.98% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 10.05% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.995 | 6.10% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.74% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.995 | 1.25% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.64% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.012 | ×0.995 | 20.35% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.012 | ×0.995 | 3.15% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×1.012 | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 19.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.
Result: wOBA .300 → .233; ISO .040 → .030; BABIP .288 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2015 DSLDSL Rangers 1 · 270 PAwOBA .286 → .198 (−88)K% 10.0% → 12.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 12.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.41% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 5.16% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.96% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×0.995 | 2.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 27.45% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×0.973 | ×0.995 | 18.08% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.973 | ×0.995 | 1.14% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.49% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×0.973 | ×0.995 | 0.28% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×0.995 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.
Result: wOBA .286 → .198; ISO .026 → .016; BABIP .290 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2014 DSLDSL Rangers 1 · 241 PAwOBA .365 → .263 (−102)K% 13.3% → 16.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 13.28% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 16.20% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.96% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 7.02% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.07% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.008 | 1.46% |
| Singles /BIP | 31.79% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.040 | ×1.008 | 22.65% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.78% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.040 | ×1.008 | 3.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.73% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.040 | ×1.008 | 1.09% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.008 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.040.
Result: wOBA .365 → .263; ISO .078 → .051; BABIP .382 → .266. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2013 DSLDSL Rangers · 89 PAwOBA .249 → .181 (−68)K% 9.0% → 11.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 8.99% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 10.97% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.11% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 7.24% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.12% | — | ×0.700 | — | ×1.022 | 0.80% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.680 | ×1.023 | ×1.022 | 17.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.023 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.600 | ×1.023 | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.470 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.023.
Result: wOBA .249 → .181; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .239 → .170. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).