Abel Nieves
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 27 | INTLTiburones de … | 48 | .233/.298/.349 | 1 | 0 | 81 | — | |
| 2014 | 28 | INTLTiburones de … | 51 | .234/.294/.277 | 0 | 0 | 66 | — | |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA/INTL2 orgs | 270 | .272/.406/.369 | 5 | 3 | 104 | — | .254/.333/.356 |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 19 | ROK | AZL Angels | — | 81 | 66 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 273 | 407 | 318 | 726 | 45 | 383 | 23 | 16 | 345 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK | Orem Owlz | — | 260 | 220 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 259 | 348 | 336 | 684 | 77 | 298 | 13 | 11 | 304 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 68 | 56 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 143 | 273 | 179 | 451 | 36 | 250 | 35 | 15 | 220 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 275 | 236 | 61 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 45 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 258 | 349 | 347 | 697 | 89 | 309 | 16 | 12 | 313 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 395 | 336 | 107 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 74 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 318 | 411 | 438 | 849 | 119 | 396 | 19 | 13 | 377 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 73 | 61 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 262 | 384 | 295 | 679 | 33 | 348 | 21 | 16 | 323 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 30 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 269 | 345 | 308 | 653 | 38 | 412 | 30 | 10 | 294 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 166 | 139 | 37 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 266 | 386 | 410 | 796 | 144 | 347 | 23 | 16 | 361 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA | Salt Lake Bees | — | 20 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 188 | 350 | 188 | 537 | 300 | 30 | 15 | 277 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 24 | AA | Arkansas Travelers | — | 362 | 310 | 72 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 40 | 58 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 232 | 324 | 306 | 630 | 74 | 274 | 16 | 11 | 285 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 48 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 298 | 349 | 647 | 116 | 273 | 19 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | INTL | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 51 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 294 | 277 | 571 | 43 | 297 | 20 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 133 | 110 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 282 | 402 | 418 | 820 | 136 | 314 | 15 | 16 | 371 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL | Navegantes del Magallanes | — | 137 | 107 | 28 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 262 | 410 | 318 | 728 | 56 | 297 | 12 | 20 | 339 | 116 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2005 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 81 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 296 | 225 | 522 | 28 | 306 | 33 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 260 | 232 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 216 | 272 | 280 | 552 | 65 | 246 | 19 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 68 | 59 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 102 | 197 | 119 | 316 | 17 | 225 | 47 | 10 | 164 | -3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 275 | 246 | 58 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 23 | 61 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 236 | 301 | 317 | 618 | 81 | 294 | 22 | 8 | 271 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 395 | 351 | 98 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 99 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 279 | 350 | 382 | 731 | 103 | 367 | 25 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 73 | 64 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 234 | 329 | 266 | 594 | 31 | 338 | 26 | 12 | 275 | 72 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 30 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 259 | 310 | 296 | 607 | 37 | 379 | 37 | 7 | 247 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 166 | 147 | 32 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 51 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 218 | 307 | 333 | 641 | 116 | 317 | 31 | 11 | 286 | 80 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AAA MLE | Salt Lake Bees | — | 20 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 118 | 250 | 118 | 368 | 263 | 40 | 10 | 215 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | Arkansas Travelers | — | 362 | 324 | 69 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 68 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 213 | 276 | 290 | 566 | 77 | 248 | 19 | 7 | 246 | 53 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | AAA MLE | Rojos del Aguila de Veracruz | — | 133 | 118 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 24 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 254 | 333 | 356 | 689 | 102 | 290 | 18 | 10 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 81 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 296 | 225 | 522 | 28 | 318 | 33 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 19 | ROK RAW | AZL Angels | — | 81 | 66 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 273 | 407 | 318 | 726 | 45 | 383 | 23 | 16 | 345 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 260 | 232 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 216 | 272 | 280 | 552 | 65 | 265 | 19 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK RAW | Orem Owlz | — | 260 | 220 | 57 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 28 | 35 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 259 | 348 | 336 | 684 | 77 | 298 | 13 | 11 | 304 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 305 | 64 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 93 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 210 | 281 | 279 | 559 | 69 | 293 | 27 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 343 | 292 | 69 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 43 | 69 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 236 | 334 | 315 | 649 | 79 | 301 | 20 | 13 | 294 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 395 | 351 | 98 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 99 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 279 | 350 | 382 | 731 | 103 | 376 | 25 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ RAW | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 395 | 336 | 107 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 53 | 74 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 318 | 411 | 438 | 849 | 119 | 396 | 19 | 13 | 377 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 269 | 238 | 54 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 81 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 227 | 313 | 311 | 624 | 84 | 331 | 30 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 269 | 226 | 60 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 41 | 62 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 265 | 381 | 367 | 748 | 102 | 354 | 23 | 15 | 343 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 341 | 72 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 76 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 211 | 277 | 284 | 561 | 73 | 260 | 20 | 7 | 244 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA RAW | 2 teams | — | 382 | 326 | 75 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 64 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 230 | 325 | 301 | 626 | 71 | 275 | 17 | 11 | 285 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 48 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 298 | 349 | 647 | 116 | 273 | 19 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2013 | 27 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 48 | 43 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 233 | 298 | 349 | 647 | 116 | 273 | 19 | 6 | 288 | 81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | INTL MLE | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 51 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 294 | 277 | 571 | 43 | 297 | 20 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2014 | 28 | INTL RAW | Tiburones de La Guaira | — | 51 | 47 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 234 | 294 | 277 | 571 | 43 | 297 | 20 | 6 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 240 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 48 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 250 | 323 | 346 | 669 | 96 | 287 | 18 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL RAW | 2 teams | — | 270 | 217 | 59 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 48 | 37 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 272 | 406 | 369 | 775 | 97 | 305 | 14 | 18 | 355 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2005 | 19 | ROK MLE | AZL Angels | — | 81 | 71 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 197 | 296 | 225 | 522 | 28 | 306 | 33 | 10 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2006 | 20 | ROK MLE | Orem Owlz | — | 260 | 240 | 50 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 50 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 208 | 272 | 271 | 543 | 62 | 246 | 19 | 6 | 235 | 45 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2007 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 343 | 310 | 64 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 93 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 206 | 281 | 274 | 555 | 68 | 280 | 27 | 9 | 250 | 55 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2008 | 22 | A+ MLE | Rancho Cucamonga Quakes | — | 395 | 354 | 98 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 38 | 99 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 277 | 350 | 379 | 728 | 102 | 367 | 25 | 10 | 317 | 101 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2009 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 269 | 237 | 54 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 81 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 228 | 313 | 312 | 626 | 84 | 330 | 30 | 11 | 279 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2010 | 24 | AA MLE | 2 teams | — | 382 | 348 | 72 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 76 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 207 | 277 | 279 | 556 | 72 | 249 | 20 | 7 | 244 | 52 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2015 | 29 | INTL MLE | 2 teams | — | 270 | 242 | 60 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 48 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 248 | 323 | 343 | 666 | 95 | 290 | 18 | 9 | 302 | 91 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2099 | 1868 | 433 | 60 | 16 | 19 | 180 | 493 | 11 | 21 | 20 | 232 | 303 | 312 | 615 | 80 | 302 | 23 | 9 | 258 | 61 | -98 | -4 | +0 | +7 | +45 | -5.0 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 135 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 56 | 153 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 234 | 305 | 315 | 619 | 81 | 304 | 24 | 9 | 258 | 61 | -30 | -1 | +0 | +2 | +14 | -1.5 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2015 AAARojos del Aguila de Veracruz · 133 PAwOBA .362 → .302 (−60)K% 15.0% → 17.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 15.04% | ÷1.009 | ×1.200 | — | — | 17.89% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.79% | ÷1.121 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.972 | 9.44% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.75% | — | ×0.940 | — | ×0.972 | 0.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 26.67% | ÷0.998 | ×0.930 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 25.37% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.33% | ÷1.074 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 2.63% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.900 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.972 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.44% | ÷0.920 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.972 | 3.29% |
Factors used: level-wide AAA factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 84, 1B 100, 2B 115, 3B 80, K 102, BB 124 — applied at half strength. Age: age 30 vs a level average of 27.2 → −2.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .362 → .302; ISO .136 → .109; BABIP .314 → .290. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAArkansas Travelers · 362 PAwOBA .281 → .246 (−34)K% 16.0% → 18.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.02% | ÷1.043 | ×1.220 | — | — | 18.75% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 11.05% | ÷1.084 | ×0.700 | — | ×0.998 | 7.12% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.55% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×0.998 | 0.48% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.41% | ÷1.085 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 20.80% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.38% | ÷0.932 | ×0.840 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 2.25% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.59% | ÷0.900 | ×0.940 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 1.74% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.19% | ÷0.864 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.998 | 1.10% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 117, 2B 86, 3B 80, K 109, BB 117 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 24.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .281 → .246; ISO .074 → .078; BABIP .274 → .248. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2010 AAASalt Lake Bees · 20 PAwOBA .272 → .215 (−57)K% 30.0% → 39.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷0.980 | ×1.290 | — | — | 39.50% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.00% | ÷1.016 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.033 | 10.82% |
| HBP% /PA | 5.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.033 | 5.06% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.00% | ÷1.060 | ×0.900 | — | ×1.033 | 26.32% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.035 | ×0.810 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.011 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.033 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 102, 1B 112, 2B 100, 3B 107, K 96, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 25 vs a level average of 27.2 → +3.3% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.2 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .272 → .215; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .300 → .263. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 166 PAwOBA .352 → .286 (−66)K% 22.9% → 30.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.89% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 30.67% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 15.66% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 10.99% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.60% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.47% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.74% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 24.30% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.95% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 4.21% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.988 | 2.34% |
| Home runs /BIP | 2.97% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.988 | 2.70% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .352 → .286; ISO .144 → .117; BABIP .347 → .317. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAASalt Lake Bees · 73 PAwOBA .316 → .275 (−41)K% 20.5% → 26.5%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.290 | — | — | 26.51% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 16.44% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×1.048 | 12.23% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.980 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 30.43% | ÷1.000 | ×0.900 | ×1.043 | ×1.048 | 29.94% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.35% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.043 | ×1.048 | 3.85% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.810 | ×1.043 | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.048 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row PCL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 27.2 → +4.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.2 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.043.
Result: wOBA .316 → .275; ISO .033 → .028; BABIP .348 → .338. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2009 AAArkansas Travelers · 30 PAwOBA .286 → .247 (−40)K% 30.0% → 36.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 36.60% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.012 | 7.08% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.870 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 35.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.012 | 32.86% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.840 | — | ×1.012 | 5.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.940 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.012 | 0.00% |
Factors used: league row TL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 24.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .286 → .247; ISO .038 → .032; BABIP .412 → .379. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2008 A+Rancho Cucamonga Quakes · 395 PAwOBA .370 → .317 (−53)K% 18.7% → 25.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.73% | ÷1.000 | ×1.340 | — | — | 25.10% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 13.42% | ÷1.000 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.998 | 9.51% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.998 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.39% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 28.03% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.16% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 7.87% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.76% | ÷1.000 | ×0.760 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.61% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.53% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×0.998 | 1.40% |
Factors used: league row CAL. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .370 → .317; ISO .119 → .102; BABIP .396 → .367. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2007 ACedar Rapids Kernels · 275 PAwOBA .310 → .271 (−39)K% 16.4% → 22.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 16.36% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 22.25% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 8.28% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.61% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | ×1.050 | — | 23.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 4.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | ×1.050 | — | 3.65% |
| Triples /BIP | 2.62% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | ×1.050 | — | 2.50% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.42% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .310 → .271; ISO .089 → .080; BABIP .309 → .294. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .