Cesar Gonzalez — OGILVIE

Cesar GonzalezC Stockton Ports

Age 21 R/R 6'2" / 165 lbs A HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION211 act + 140 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.184 / .272 / .265

PA140

HR2

K%31

BB%9

BABIP264

ISO80

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 40

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER40

scouting grade only

EYE59

scouting grade only

SPEED51

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Arb-1	$1M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$18M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	71	56	13	1	0	0	8	13	6	1	1	232	386	250	636	18	295	18	11	287	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	71	50	14	1	0	0	14	8	6	1	1	280	486	300	786	20	326	11	20	383	152	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	180	158	22	3	0	2	16	42	6	1	2	139	244	196	441	57	175	23	9	209	18	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	180	147	32	6	0	3	27	29	6	1	2	218	361	320	681	102	252	16	15	322	105	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	46	42	6	1	1	0	3	20	1	0	0	143	217	214	432	71	273	43	7	188	2	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	46	41	10	3	1	0	4	14	1	0	0	244	326	366	692	122	370	30	9	314	98	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	—	147	130	19	7	1	0	13	55	1	0	1	146	229	215	445	69	244	37	9	208	17	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	20	ROK	2 teams	—	147	123	27	11	1	0	20	38	1	0	1	220	333	325	659	106	307	26	14	299	87	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	21	A	OAK	—	211	181	33	5	0	3	20	83	8	5	1	182	292	260	552	77	309	39	9	251	50	-12	+1	+0	+4	+6	-0.2
YTD	21	A	OAK	—	211	173	39	6	0	4	28	62	8	5	1	225	359	329	688	104	321	29	13	321	104	+1	+1	+0	+4	+6	1.1
ROS	21	A	OAK	0%	140	124	23	4	0	2	12	44	3	3	1	184	272	265	537	80	278	31	9	258	56	-7	+0	+0	+3	+4	-0.0
ROS	21	MLB	OAK	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	241	43	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	21	A	OAK	—	211	182	33	5	0	3	20	83	8	5	1	181	292	258	550	77	306	39	9	251	50	-12	+1	+0	+4	+6	-0.2
TOT	21	A	OAK	—	351	305	56	9	0	5	32	127	11	8	2	183	284	262	546	79	289	36	9	254	53	-19	+1	+0	+6	+10	-0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	22	MLB	OAK	34%	326	288	57	11	1	5	29	99	6	6	1	198	285	295	580	97	279	30	9	270	64	-13	+1	+0	+6	+9	0.3
2028	23	MLB	OAK	48%	406	360	74	14	1	8	36	120	7	7	2	206	290	317	607	111	281	30	9	277	70	-14	+1	+0	+7	+12	0.6
2029	24	MLB	OAK	53%	457	405	85	16	2	9	41	133	8	8	2	210	295	326	621	116	282	29	9	282	74	-13	+1	+0	+8	+13	0.9
2030	25	MLB	OAK	55%	482	428	90	17	2	10	43	139	8	9	2	210	294	329	624	119	283	29	9	284	76	-13	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.0
2031	26	MLB	OAK	56%	495	438	91	17	2	10	45	143	9	9	2	208	295	324	619	116	282	29	9	285	76	-13	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.1
2032	27	MLB	OAK	55%	497	439	93	17	2	11	46	143	9	10	2	212	300	335	634	123	282	29	9	285	76	-13	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.1
2033	28	MLB	OAK	55%	494	436	91	17	2	10	46	143	9	9	2	209	297	326	623	117	282	29	9	284	75	-14	+1	-1	+9	+14	1.0
2034	29	MLB	OAK	58%	485	429	90	17	2	10	45	142	8	9	2	210	297	329	625	119	281	29	9	282	74	-14	+1	-1	+9	+14	0.8
2027	22	MLB	OAK	34%	112	99	20	4	0	2	10	34	2	2	0	202	288	303	591	101	276	30	9	254	53	-6	+0	+0	+2	+3	-0.0
2028	23	MLB	OAK	48%	197	174	36	7	1	4	18	58	3	4	1	207	292	328	620	121	278	29	9	262	59	-9	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.0
2029	24	MLB	OAK	53%	241	213	44	8	1	5	22	70	4	4	1	207	293	324	617	117	280	29	9	267	62	-10	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.1
2030	25	MLB	OAK	55%	264	233	48	9	1	5	24	76	5	5	1	206	294	318	611	112	280	29	9	269	64	-11	+1	+0	+5	+7	0.2
2031	26	MLB	OAK	56%	276	244	51	9	1	6	25	79	5	5	1	209	296	328	623	119	280	29	9	270	65	-11	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2032	27	MLB	OAK	55%	273	241	50	9	1	6	25	79	5	5	1	207	295	328	623	120	280	29	9	270	65	-11	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.2
2033	28	MLB	OAK	55%	270	238	50	9	1	6	25	78	5	5	1	210	299	332	630	122	279	29	9	269	64	-11	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.2
2034	29	MLB	OAK	58%	281	248	51	9	1	6	26	82	5	5	1	206	294	323	616	117	278	29	9	267	62	-12	+1	-1	+5	+8	0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1914	1691	350	64	7	40	175	556	34	35	7	207	294	324	618	117	281	29	9	267	63	-81	+4	-1	+34	+54	1.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	119	22	2	14	59	189	12	12	2	207	295	326	620	118	281	29	9	267	63	-27	+2	-0	+12	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	4226	3733	754	142	16	77	383	1236	81	72	20	202	290	310	601	108	277	29	9	274	68	-152	+6	-2	+75	+120	4.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	574	116	22	2	12	59	190	12	11	3	202	289	310	600	108	277	29	9	274	68	-23	+1	-0	+12	+18	0.7

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2022	17	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	71	50	14	1	0	0	14	8	6	1	1	280	486	300	786	20	326	11	20	383	152	+4	-0	—	—	+2	0.6
2023	18	ROK	DSL Athletics	—	180	147	32	6	0	3	27	29	6	1	2	218	361	320	681	102	252	16	15	322	105	+1	-1	—	—	+5	0.6
2024	19	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	46	41	10	3	1	0	4	14	1	0	0	244	326	366	692	122	370	30	9	314	98	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
2025	20	A	Stockton Ports	—	46	39	7	2	0	0	5	12	0	0	0	179	273	231	503	51	241	26	11	230	34	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	20	ROK	ACL Athletics	—	101	84	20	9	1	0	15	26	1	0	1	238	360	369	729	131	339	26	15	331	111	+1	-0	—	—	+3	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Brendan Ryanlast yr '15 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,872 PA	9	2,872	19	67	234	295	315	+30	+85	10.6	11.0
	/162	664	4	15	234	295	315	+6.9	+19.7	2.5	pk7: 11
#4Mike Mathenylast yr '06 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA	7	2,830	45	2	244	301	351	+21	+31	7.2	7.2
	/162	664	11	0	244	301	351	+4.9	+7.2	1.7	pk7: 7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	9	1,648	31	1	209	276	313	+29	+56	6.4	6.7
#5Sandy Leónlast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA	/162	664	12	0	209	276	313	+11.9	+22.4	2.6	pk7: 7
#6J.P. Arencibialast yr '15 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,650 PA	5	1,650	78	2	213	260	414	+29	-4	4.2	4.2
	/162	664	31	1	213	260	414	+11.9	-1.7	1.7	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 5 projected seasons	5	2,111	41	39	208	290	322	+38	+20	3.5	3.5
	/162	664	13	12	208	290	322	+11.9	+6.3	1.1	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Cesar Gonzalez (OGILVIE)	21	20→25	35→40	46→51	59	183/284/262	79	289	5	8	36%	9%	53	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Adrian Abreu 2012 · A	21	39	38→40	47→55	47	190/263/273	82	247	5	9	24%	8%	47	-1.9	212/292/300	88	256	8	17	19%	9%	67	-0.5	209/299/290	80	241	9	25	16%	10%	66	-0.2
✕Franklin Tineo 2017 · A	22	36	38→45	46→50	45	179/245/253	75	239	5	10	26%	7%	35	-2.8	198/277/298	100	282	8	10	30%	8%	60	-1.0	201/298/325	124	262	10	12	25%	10%	74	-0.0
✕Christian Cerda 2023 · A	20	40→37	40	50→40	50	194/278/287	93	254	6	9	25%	9%	58	-1.2	189/282/293	104	252	11	4	27%	11%	62	-0.9	173/268/275	101	223	12	2	27%	11%	50	-1.2
✕Aaron McKeithan 2022 · A	22	40	38→40	49→40	40	194/261/274	80	272	6	7	29%	6%	47	-1.9	217/294/301	84	283	8	4	25%	7%	69	-0.4	216/298/285	69	279	7	1	23%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Gilberto Vizcarra 2019 · A	20	35	38→45	47→40	46	171/243/241	71	215	6	3	23%	7%	32	-3.0	206/263/288	82	261	6	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	226/269/325	99	274	9	1	21%	4%	62	-0.3
✕Willy Diaz 2015 · A	21	36	36→40	45→40	46	170/263/235	65	253	4	5	32%	9%	40	-2.4	187/263/267	80	309	5	4	37%	8%	46	-2.0	184/258/270	86	308	5	2	39%	8%	42	-0.8
✕Chris Roller 2018 · A	21	37	37→50	53→55	45	178/254/255	77	243	4	12	27%	8%	40	-2.4	208/276/322	114	297	8	11	31%	7%	66	-0.6	179/262/313	134	284	16	16	40%	8%	57	-0.7
✕Andy Paz 2015 · A	22	38	38→40	45	44	185/245/261	75	253	6	5	28%	7%	37	-2.7	210/264/277	67	293	4	6	28%	7%	48	-1.9	226/270/274	48	296	3	7	23%	6%	46	-0.7
✕Antonio Negron 2007 · A	21	40	41→45	42→50	50	194/285/294	100	244	9	10	23%	9%	63	-0.8	211/289/317	106	264	10	10	23%	8%	71	-0.3	206/289/314	108	245	12	12	21%	9%	69	-0.2
✕Misael Urbina 2023 · A	21	38→29	42→45	49→50	44	189/258/299	110	261	8	12	30%	8%	53	-1.5	172/250/256	84	262	6	9	34%	9%	38	-2.6	154/242/228	74	235	5	8	33%	9%	26	-2.0
✕Juan Mora 2021 · A	21	43	42→45	53→55	49	209/289/317	108	255	9	14	21%	8%	71	-0.3	228/292/345	117	310	10	10	28%	6%	79	+0.3	224/280/333	110	298	10	8	27%	5%	68	-0.2
✕Deivi Mejia 2011 · A	21	40	39→40	43→30	44	193/264/278	85	266	7	5	29%	8%	50	-1.8	212/259/304	92	276	7	4	25%	4%	53	-1.5	224/268/311	87	267	6	1	18%	3%	59	-0.4
✕Glenn Santiago 2022 · A	21	43	40	51→45	49	207/278/298	91	250	7	11	20%	7%	60	-1.0	201/261/288	87	294	7	8	32%	7%	50	-1.7	184/247/261	77	274	7	8	33%	7%	35	-1.1
✕Nelson Medina 2022 · A	21	39	38→45	53→50	47	187/270/270	84	274	5	15	31%	9%	51	-1.7	185/255/279	94	336	7	13	43%	8%	46	-2.0	134/194/209	75	291	5	16	52%	6%	-1	-1.8
✕Jorge Alcantara 2013 · A	21	42	41→45	50	43	201/271/299	98	298	8	11	33%	8%	58	-1.2	193/263/287	94	294	6	14	34%	8%	51	-1.7	147/226/244	97	221	6	25	34%	8%	24	-0.9
✕Tomás Nido 2015 · A	21	44	39→45	49→30	43	212/267/299	87	285	6	7	27%	6%	56	-1.3	233/264/343	110	303	11	2	26%	4%	65	-0.7	240/274/351	111	288	9	0	19%	4%	69	-0.3
✕Max George 2017 · A	21	38→36	39→45	47→55	43	183/270/267	84	278	6	10	34%	8%	50	-1.7	176/256/272	96	242	8	19	29%	7%	46	-2.0	155/243/267	112	213	11	23	32%	7%	36	-1.6
✕Wynston Sawyer 2013 · A	21	40	38→45	46→45	48	192/255/265	72	234	6	5	20%	7%	42	-2.3	208/265/308	100	261	9	4	23%	6%	57	-1.2	220/307/327	107	283	10	2	24%	9%	79	+0.1
✕Rey Duran 2009 · A	20	36	41→50	49→40	41	183/243/277	94	256	9	6	31%	6%	40	-2.4	213/267/338	125	268	14	5	25%	6%	66	-0.6	210/263/349	139	246	19	2	23%	5%	65	-0.3
✕Victor Duarte 2022 · A	21	39	38→30	48→45	42	188/251/269	81	260	6	7	29%	6%	42	-2.3	199/274/280	81	291	6	6	31%	8%	55	-1.4	183/255/250	66	251	6	11	27%	8%	37	-0.7