Enderson Amaya — OGILVIE

Enderson Amaya P DSL CLE Goryl

+0.0 WAR

Age 19 RHP 5'11" / 165 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037 peak 0.6 · 2031

ERA4.39

FIP4.39

xFIP—

SIERA—

K%22.2%

BB%9.5%

K-BB%12.7%

IP36

trajectory · 10 yrs

0.6peak

2031

K†5560

Career (MLE) + Projections

Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	K%	BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
2025	18	ROK	DSL CLE Goryl	11	6	42	180	33	17	1	12.5%	11.8%	0.5%	5.53	3.81	+0.5
▸ 2026 Season
2026	19	MLB	—	36	—	36	152	34	14	4	22.2%	9.5%	2.9%	4.39	4.39	+0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging
2027	20	MLB	—	38	—	38	160	36	15	5	22.8%	9.1%	2.8%	4.31	4.26	+0.3
2028	21	MLB	—	40	—	40	168	39	15	5	23.2%	8.8%	2.8%	4.23	4.16	+0.4
2029	22	MLB	—	42	—	42	176	42	15	5	24.1%	8.4%	2.7%	4.10	4.00	+0.4
2030	23	MLB	—	43	—	43	183	45	15	5	24.8%	8.1%	2.7%	3.98	3.89	+0.5
2031	24	MLB	—	44	—	44	187	48	15	5	25.4%	7.8%	2.7%	3.87	3.80	+0.6
2032	25	MLB	—	45	—	45	190	49	15	5	25.7%	7.7%	2.7%	3.79	3.74	+0.6
2033	26	MLB	—	45	—	45	190	49	15	5	25.9%	7.7%	2.7%	3.75	3.72	+0.6
2034	27	MLB	—	45	—	45	189	49	15	5	26.0%	7.7%	2.7%	3.74	3.73	+0.6
2035	28	MLB	—	44	—	44	186	48	14	5	25.9%	7.8%	2.7%	3.75	3.75	+0.6
2036	29	MLB	—	43	—	43	182	47	14	5	25.8%	7.8%	2.7%	3.78	3.80	+0.6
2037	30	MLB	—	42	—	42	176	45	14	5	25.6%	7.9%	2.8%	3.83	3.86	+0.5
2038	31	MLB	—	40	—	40	170	43	14	5	25.4%	8.1%	2.9%	3.89	3.94	+0.5
2039	32	MLB	—	39	—	39	163	41	13	5	25.1%	8.2%	3.0%	3.97	4.02	+0.4
▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected)
Career	—			11	6	42	180	22	21	1	12.5%	11.8%	0.5%	5.53	3.81	+0.5
/ 200 IP	—			52	28	200	850	104	99	5	12.5%	11.8%	0.5%	5.53	3.81	+3.4

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Enderson Amaya (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.39	22.2%	9.5%	2.9%	—	4.14	23.4%	14.6%	119	-0.25	—	—	—
Eccel Correa R 2027 · 4.34 FIP	20	SU	4.34	19.4%	11.9%	2.5%	.316	4.01	14.2%	3.6%	122	-0.33	3.99	157	94
Yordin Chalas R 2026 · 4.60 FIP	19	SU	4.60	17.3%	10.6%	2.9%	.294	3.94	19.9%	7.8%	116	-0.66	3.68	140	93
Luis Victorino R 2026 · 4.27 FIP	19	SU	4.27	18.9%	12.8%	2.1%	.301	4.96	15.9%	-5.0%	84	+0.69	4.27	118	93
Brandon Komar R 2027 · 4.74 FIP	20	SU	4.74	17.7%	11.6%	3.0%	.327	4.93	16.7%	5.7%	198	+0.19	3.03	538	92
Alimber Santa R 2025 · 4.85 FIP	18	SU	4.85	17.0%	11.4%	3.2%	.304	5.09	20.9%	1.8%	125	+0.24	3.38	216	91
Harold Cortijo R 2025 · 4.46 FIP	18	SU	4.46	19.1%	9.8%	3.1%	.309	5.60	13.5%	2.2%	73	+1.14	4.15	179	90
Carlos Jimenez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP	19	SU	4.16	20.6%	12.9%	2.1%	.274	5.22	20.4%	-0.0%	141	+1.06	4.07	257	90
Blake Workman R 2027 · 4.00 FIP	20	SU	4.00	18.9%	9.5%	2.4%	.307	3.94	23.8%	19.5%	105	-0.06	3.11	213	90
Randry De Leon R 2026 · 4.63 FIP	19	SU	4.63	18.0%	11.5%	2.9%	.284	4.37	22.2%	-2.6%	32	-0.26	4.37	105	90
Luis Aguilar R 2026 · 4.49 FIP	19	SU	4.49	17.6%	10.3%	2.9%	.356	4.25	16.7%	6.7%	111	-0.24	3.51	146	90
Alec Kisena R 2026 · 4.01 FIP	19	SU	4.01	17.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.306	—	—	—	—	—	3.55	248	90
Audry Lugo R 2027 · 4.05 FIP	20	SU	4.05	18.5%	11.4%	2.0%	.247	5.31	15.6%	-0.4%	77	+1.26	4.05	113	89
Eddy Yean R 2025 · 4.56 FIP	18	SU	4.56	16.8%	10.3%	2.9%	.284	4.76	17.7%	3.4%	120	+0.20	3.83	393	89
Jose Diaz R 2026 · 3.97 FIP	19	SU	3.97	17.9%	10.4%	1.9%	.326	5.60	19.2%	1.1%	64	+1.63	3.93	189	89
Reibyn Corona R 2026 · 4.93 FIP	19	SU	4.93	17.0%	13.1%	2.9%	.290	5.58	14.5%	1.7%	63	+0.65	4.46	190	89
Kevin Rodriguez R 2025 · 4.37 FIP	18	SU	4.37	17.4%	12.8%	2.0%	.279	4.12	16.7%	7.6%	41	-0.25	2.34	188	89
Joel Garcia R 2026 · 4.26 FIP	19	SU	4.26	18.4%	13.0%	1.9%	.341	3.91	16.7%	9.5%	72	-0.35	3.11	104	89
Tyler Gray R 2028 · 4.49 FIP	21	SU	4.49	18.2%	11.7%	2.6%	.333	4.39	11.9%	3.6%	72	-0.10	4.39	119	89
Austin Mason R 2028 · 4.41 FIP	21	SU	4.41	17.1%	11.6%	2.4%	.289	4.06	16.2%	6.5%	151	-0.35	3.60	179	88
Logan Gragg R 2027 · 4.12 FIP	20	SU	4.12	17.4%	9.5%	2.3%	.343	5.21	15.2%	8.2%	202	+1.09	4.12	412	88

Contract

ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Ext / FA-deal	$0.9M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2033	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2034	Ext / FA-deal	$1.0M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2035	Ext / FA-deal	$0.8M	+0.6	$3M	+$2M
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$4M		$12M	+$8M