Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 10 | 0 | 22 | 89 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 2.2 | 19.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 3.1% | 4.98 | 4.46 | — |
| 2017 | 18 | ROK | GCL Yankees East | 10 | 0 | 22 | 89 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 2.2 | 28.1% | 7.9% | 20.2% | 2.2% | 4.98 | 2.96 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 14 | 14 | 73 | 312 | 57 | 30 | 9 | 100% | 5.2 | 13.5% | 11.3% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 3.45 | 5.87 | — |
| 2019 | 20 | A | Charleston RiverDogs | 14 | 14 | 73 | 312 | 57 | 30 | 9 | 100% | 5.2 | 18.3% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 2.9% | 3.45 | 4.37 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 2 | 12 | 64 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 25% | 1.5 | 15.4% | 26.7% | -11.4% | 0.0% | 7.30 | 5.19 | — |
| 2021 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 8 | 2 | 12 | 64 | 14 | 14 | 1 | 25% | 1.5 | 21.9% | 21.9% | 0.0% | 1.6% | 7.30 | 5.29 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 59 | 253 | 66 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 18.8% | 13.7% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 4.58 | 4.13 | — |
| 2022 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 59 | 253 | 66 | 30 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 26.1% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 1.2% | 4.58 | 3.05 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 12 | 0 | 20 | 87 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 22.1% | 14.5% | 7.6% | 2.8% | 3.20 | 4.63 | — |
| 2023 | 24 | A+ | Hudson Valley Renegades | 12 | 0 | 20 | 87 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0% | 1.6 | 28.7% | 12.6% | 16.1% | 2.3% | 3.20 | 3.56 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 27 | MLB | NYY | 11 | 0 | 12 | 49 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 3.0% | 4.34 | 4.34 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| 2027 | 28 | MLB | NYY | 7 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.42 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 7 | 0 | 7 | 31 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.04 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 191 | 82 | 27 | 0% | 1.1 | 23.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 3.1% | 4.39 | 4.04 | +3.2 | ||
| Career | — | 83 | 16 | 186 | 805 | 136 | 109 | 23 | 19% | 2.2 | 16.9% | 13.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.98 | +0.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 89 | 17 | 200 | 867 | 146 | 117 | 25 | 19% | 2.2 | 16.9% | 13.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.22 | 4.98 | +1.0 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Harold Cortijo (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.34 | 23.4% | 9.4% | 3.0% | — | 4.42 | 23.2% | 13.8% | 20 | +0.08 | — | — | — |
| Tanner Kohlhepp R 2026 · 3.74 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.74 | 23.4% | 7.6% | 3.0% | .276 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.49 | 150 | 76 |
| Caleb Bolden R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.55 | 23.0% | 10.0% | 2.1% | .346 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.06 | 222 | 76 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2027 · 4.14 FIP | 28 | SW | 4.14 | 20.2% | 7.4% | 3.3% | .348 | 3.66 | 23.4% | 13.2% | 86 | -0.48 | 2.38 | 160 | 75 |
| Trevin Michael R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.08 | 23.0% | 9.1% | 3.2% | .230 | 3.59 | 23.5% | 7.2% | 40 | -0.49 | 2.74 | 188 | 75 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 22.7% | 9.4% | 2.9% | .417 | 2.87 | 19.5% | 13.2% | 71 | -1.12 | 1.94 | 143 | 75 |
| Simon Castro R 2026 · 3.16 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.16 | 26.4% | 8.5% | 2.2% | .320 | 3.55 | 26.0% | 17.6% | 128 | +0.39 | 2.85 | 185 | 75 |
| Nick Altermatt R 2025 · 4.51 FIP | 26 | SU | 4.51 | 23.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.25 | 121 | 75 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.86 | 22.9% | 8.0% | 3.1% | .295 | 3.60 | 12.4% | 5.2% | 127 | -0.26 | 3.19 | 269 | 74 |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2028 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 73 |
| Michael Dimock R 2026 · 4.24 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.24 | 18.9% | 7.8% | 3.2% | .339 | 3.34 | 23.5% | 12.8% | 29 | -0.90 | 3.31 | 166 | 73 |
| Carter Rustad R 2024 · 4.84 FIP | 25 | SU | 4.84 | 19.1% | 8.6% | 4.1% | .278 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.35 | 101 | 73 |
| Cristofer Ogando R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 26.8% | 10.9% | 5.0% | .281 | 4.83 | 20.6% | 9.0% | 53 | -0.13 | 3.23 | 179 | 73 |
| Jake Stinnett R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 27 | SW | 4.07 | 21.1% | 12.2% | 2.2% | .301 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.88 | 356 | 73 |
| Edwin Quirarte R 2027 · 3.59 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.59 | 16.7% | 6.2% | 2.0% | .311 | 3.45 | 12.7% | 4.9% | 83 | -0.14 | 3.21 | 157 | 72 |
| Nolan Clenney R 2026 · 4.96 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.96 | 23.3% | 10.7% | 4.5% | .341 | 4.97 | 17.2% | 7.5% | 71 | +0.01 | 3.75 | 223 | 72 |
| Jordan Milbrath R 2026 · 3.88 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.88 | 21.5% | 9.5% | 2.5% | .284 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.26 | 386 | 72 |
| Holt Jones R 2026 · 4.13 FIP | 27 | SU | 4.13 | 24.2% | 11.4% | 3.0% | .316 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.13 | 217 | 72 |
| Derek Gordon R 2024 · 4.72 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.72 | 19.9% | 9.3% | 3.9% | .315 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.72 | 146 | 72 |
| Michael Flynn R 2026 · 3.99 FIP | 27 | SU | 3.99 | 28.2% | 9.7% | 3.7% | .277 | 4.83 | 16.8% | 2.7% | 45 | +0.84 | 3.74 | 163 | 72 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2027 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 72 |