Kevin Rodriguez — OGILVIE

Kevin Rodriguez P Fredericksburg Nationals

Age 25 RHP 6'1" / 145 lbs A

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 124116vR 108

ERA4.77

FIP4.77

K%18.4%

BB%9.9%

K-BB%8.5%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2019	18	ROK MLE	DSL Nationals	15	1	30	137	35	14	2	7%	2.0	17.4%	12.8%	4.6%	2.0%	2.67	4.37	—
2019	18	ROK RAW	DSL Nationals	15	1	30	137	35	14	2	7%	2.0	25.5%	10.2%	15.3%	1.5%	2.67	3.03	—
2021	20	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	13	0	20	86	18	8	3	0%	1.5	14.2%	11.6%	2.6%	4.8%	5.40	6.01	—
2021	20	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	13	0	20	86	18	8	3	0%	1.5	20.9%	9.3%	11.6%	3.5%	5.40	4.45	—
2022	21	ROK MLE	FCL Nationals	15	0	21	92	26	5	0	0%	1.4	19.2%	6.8%	12.4%	0.0%	1.31	2.34	—
2022	21	ROK RAW	FCL Nationals	15	0	21	92	26	5	0	0%	1.4	28.3%	5.4%	22.8%	0.0%	1.31	1.31	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	38	1	70	293	74	23	8	3%	1.8	18.7%	9.3%	9.4%	3.9%	3.88	4.82	—
2023	22	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	38	1	70	293	74	23	8	3%	1.8	18.7%	9.3%	9.4%	3.9%	3.88	4.82	—
2023	22	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	38	1	70	293	74	23	8	3%	1.8	25.3%	7.8%	17.4%	2.7%	3.88	3.46	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	29	0	47	203	33	18	1	0%	1.6	12.0%	10.5%	1.6%	0.6%	4.37	3.74	—
2024	23	A MLE	Fredericksburg Nationals	29	0	47	203	33	18	1	0%	1.6	12.0%	10.5%	1.6%	0.6%	4.37	3.74	—
2024	23	A RAW	Fredericksburg Nationals	29	0	47	203	33	18	1	0%	1.6	16.3%	8.9%	7.4%	0.5%	4.37	3.12	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	25	MLB	WSH	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	18.4%	9.9%	8.5%	2.9%	4.77	4.77	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	26	MLB MLE	WSH	41	0	43	180	35	18	5	0%	1.0	19.5%	9.8%	9.7%	2.9%	4.69	4.67	-0.1
2027	26	MLB CTX	WSH	17	0	18	76	15	7	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	9.8%	9.7%	2.9%	4.69	4.67	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	77	15	7	2	0%	1.1	19.5%	9.8%	9.7%	2.9%	4.69	4.29	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	165	77	22	0%	1.1	19.5%	9.8%	9.7%	2.9%	4.69	4.29	+0.6
Career	—	MLE		110	2	188	811	133	82	19	2%	1.7	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	2.4%	3.69	4.32	-0.1
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		117	2	200	863	141	87	21	2%	1.7	16.4%	10.1%	6.3%	2.4%	3.69	4.32	-0.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Kevin Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.77	18.4%	9.9%	2.9%	—	4.67	19.5%	9.7%	43	-0.10	—	—	—
Jacob Bosiokovic R 2019 · 3.84 FIP	25	SU	3.84	17.2%	9.8%	1.7%	.289	4.21	24.7%	12.1%	62	+0.37	3.84	181	88
Kyle Whitten R 2023 · 4.35 FIP	24	SU	4.35	18.0%	9.5%	2.9%	.296	5.17	17.6%	7.7%	37	+0.82	4.32	152	87
Jordan Milbrath R 2017 · 4.05 FIP	25	SU	4.05	19.9%	10.4%	2.4%	.272	3.61	19.6%	9.7%	129	-0.44	3.19	386	87
Carlos Alvarado R 2015 · 4.90 FIP	25	SU	4.90	16.3%	10.0%	3.5%	.342	4.15	24.3%	14.8%	78	-0.75	2.68	102	87
Daniel Corcino R 2016 · 4.37 FIP	25	SU	4.37	17.2%	7.5%	3.2%	.238	4.76	19.4%	8.2%	263	+0.39	3.84	299	86
Roman Mendez R 2015 · 4.31 FIP	25	SU	4.31	19.1%	8.1%	3.3%	.275	4.52	20.2%	10.4%	118	+0.21	4.12	230	86
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	86
Austin Ross R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	20.7%	9.6%	3.4%	.281	5.19	21.2%	5.7%	55	+0.78	4.41	121	86
Josh Hejka R 2022 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	16.7%	10.8%	2.9%	.363	3.93	15.8%	8.7%	77	-0.72	2.91	198	85
Max Alba R 2023 · 4.47 FIP	24	SU	4.47	20.6%	12.6%	2.7%	.290	5.15	16.7%	9.9%	244	+0.68	4.47	299	85
Confesor Lara R 2016 · 4.26 FIP	25	SU	4.26	16.4%	11.0%	2.1%	.329	—	—	—	—	—	3.74	111	85
Brad Schreiber R 2016 · 4.06 FIP	25	SU	4.06	16.5%	7.9%	2.5%	.304	4.23	17.3%	4.6%	57	+0.17	3.81	171	85
Bryan Pope R 2023 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	19.4%	9.5%	2.4%	.332	5.20	12.7%	-0.3%	22	+1.24	3.96	148	85
Barrett Loseke R 2022 · 4.42 FIP	25	SU	4.42	21.7%	10.1%	3.4%	.311	5.31	22.6%	11.3%	22	+0.89	4.42	152	85
Thomas Balboni Jr. R 2023 · 3.99 FIP	23	SU	3.99	17.5%	10.9%	1.8%	.331	3.47	28.1%	14.3%	79	-0.52	2.99	122	85
Will Latcham R 2021 · 4.30 FIP	25	SU	4.30	18.8%	11.5%	2.4%	.279	—	—	—	—	—	3.52	134	84
Brian Glowicki R 2019 · 4.41 FIP	24	SU	4.41	16.4%	8.3%	3.0%	.275	3.92	26.0%	14.1%	62	-0.49	2.31	189	84
Stephen Villines R 2019 · 3.96 FIP	24	SU	3.96	16.8%	8.5%	2.2%	.280	3.15	20.6%	14.7%	40	-0.81	2.14	156	84
Mark Peterson R 2016 · 4.65 FIP	25	SU	4.65	17.8%	8.8%	3.5%	.287	4.78	13.7%	1.8%	52	+0.13	4.65	185	84
Jason Ruffcorn R 2023 · 4.02 FIP	25	SU	4.02	17.8%	10.7%	1.9%	.315	4.20	18.5%	8.7%	173	+0.18	4.01	280	84

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.4	37	19.0%	9.8%	1.12	4.72
José Ruiz ('24)	1.3	52	22.2%	10.4%	1.41	4.41
Josh Winckowski ('24)	1.2	77	18.3%	8.2%	1.13	4.21
Roansy Contreras ('24)	1.2	77	19.5%	10.1%	1.36	4.78
Joe Biagini ('19)	1.6	81	19.1%	7.8%	1.28	4.86
Robert Gsellman ('21)	1.7	67	18.4%	7.8%	0.96	4.38
Alex Young ('23)	1.3	52	19.5%	8.6%	1.61	4.43