Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 0 | 62 | 270 | 47 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 14.3% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 0.7% | 3.65 | 2.94 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 0 | 62 | 270 | 47 | 12 | 2 | 0% | 1.9 | 17.4% | 4.4% | 13.0% | 0.7% | 3.65 | 2.58 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 2 | 54 | 243 | 55 | 21 | 6 | 6% | 1.6 | 16.7% | 10.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 4.70 | 4.87 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 3 levels | 33 | 2 | 54 | 243 | 55 | 21 | 6 | 6% | 1.6 | 22.6% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 2.5% | 4.70 | 3.68 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 57 | 253 | 48 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.7% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 2.3% | 3.77 | 3.73 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | MIX | 3 levels | 38 | 0 | 57 | 253 | 48 | 12 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 19.0% | 4.7% | 14.2% | 1.2% | 3.77 | 2.73 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 29 | 132 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 15.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.28 | 5.06 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 27 | 0 | 29 | 132 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 18.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 2.3% | 6.28 | 4.08 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | AAA | Round Rock Express | 26 | 0 | 36 | 189 | 32 | 26 | 20 | 0% | 1.4 | 15.8% | 11.4% | 4.4% | 8.3% | 10.16 | 7.75 | -1.4 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | TEX | 18 | 0 | 19 | 80 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.9% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.47 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 55 | 269 | 49 | 33 | 22 | — | — | 18.1% | 12.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.20 | 6.62 | -1.3 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | TEX | — | — | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | — | — | 20.9% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 3.0% | 4.47 | 4.09 | +0.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 19 | 0 | 20 | 84 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | TEX | 6 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0% | 1.0 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.56 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 6 | 0 | 7 | 28 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.25 | +0.0 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 181 | 90 | 30 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.8% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 3.2% | 4.55 | 4.25 | +2.7 | ||
| Career | — | 157 | 2 | 238 | 1087 | 170 | 91 | 36 | 1% | 1.5 | 15.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 5.23 | 4.65 | +2.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 132 | 2 | 200 | 915 | 143 | 76 | 30 | 1% | 1.5 | 15.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 5.23 | 4.65 | +1.8 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Josh Hejka (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.47 | 20.9% | 8.7% | 3.0% | — | 4.64 | 20.8% | 11.8% | 20 | +0.17 | — | — | — |
| Tyler Sturdevant R 2026 · 4.07 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.07 | 21.3% | 8.5% | 3.1% | .241 | 4.06 | 18.5% | 11.9% | 118 | -0.01 | 3.28 | 149 | 87 |
| Diego Moreno R 2026 · 3.76 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.76 | 21.0% | 8.2% | 2.5% | .347 | 2.99 | 17.8% | 11.9% | 54 | -0.77 | 2.22 | 187 | 84 |
| David Hernandez R 2027 · 4.32 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.32 | 22.9% | 7.6% | 4.0% | .287 | 3.20 | 24.9% | 18.4% | 192 | -1.12 | 2.56 | 268 | 84 |
| Gerardo Sanchez R 2025 · 3.49 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.49 | 21.6% | 8.4% | 2.1% | .355 | 3.55 | 20.5% | 15.1% | 56 | +0.06 | 2.51 | 137 | 83 |
| Drew Storen R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.86 | 19.5% | 7.3% | 2.7% | .289 | 4.49 | 19.4% | 8.4% | 10 | +0.63 | 2.36 | 172 | 82 |
| Wirfin Obispo R 2027 · 4.87 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.87 | 18.6% | 12.2% | 3.3% | .292 | 1.30 | 28.6% | 24.5% | 126 | -3.57 | 1.30 | 218 | 82 |
| Cory Gearrin R 2026 · 3.55 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.55 | 22.1% | 7.5% | 2.5% | .283 | 3.52 | 22.2% | 13.6% | 174 | -0.03 | 3.15 | 272 | 81 |
| Chris Martin R 2026 · 3.28 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.28 | 18.1% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .319 | 3.06 | 20.9% | 19.2% | 42 | -0.22 | 1.76 | 416 | 81 |
| Marc Magliaro R 2025 · 3.72 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.72 | 19.6% | 7.3% | 2.5% | .307 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.62 | 125 | 80 |
| Ryan Cook R 2025 · 4.69 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.69 | 16.5% | 9.9% | 3.1% | .297 | 4.04 | 25.1% | 14.3% | 50 | -0.65 | 4.04 | 102 | 80 |
| Jhan Mariñez R 2026 · 4.16 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.16 | 21.2% | 7.9% | 3.4% | .331 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.23 | 253 | 80 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez R 2027 · 4.81 FIP | 30 | SU | 4.81 | 18.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | .373 | 3.58 | 18.5% | 9.3% | 93 | -1.23 | 3.37 | 170 | 80 |
| Nick Merkel R 2025 · 3.85 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.85 | 17.9% | 6.9% | 2.5% | .333 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.08 | 201 | 80 |
| Francisco Mendoza R 2025 · 4.11 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.11 | 17.9% | 7.7% | 2.8% | .344 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.13 | 120 | 80 |
| Coleman Huntley III R 2026 · 4.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.19 | 24.4% | 10.9% | 3.2% | .311 | 2.38 | 20.9% | 12.6% | 25 | -1.81 | 2.38 | 160 | 79 |
| Pedro Beato R 2026 · 4.86 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.86 | 19.2% | 8.5% | 4.2% | .275 | 3.73 | 18.5% | 11.1% | 152 | -1.13 | 3.40 | 295 | 79 |
| Edwin Jackson R 2028 · 3.69 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.69 | 17.5% | 8.8% | 1.8% | .244 | 4.74 | 17.6% | 7.8% | 377 | +1.05 | 3.69 | 521 | 79 |
| Jonathan Broxton R 2028 · 3.57 FIP | 31 | SU | 3.57 | 24.5% | 8.2% | 2.7% | .325 | 3.78 | 21.7% | 13.5% | 76 | +0.21 | 3.57 | 137 | 79 |
| Dustin Molleken R 2027 · 3.61 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.61 | 20.4% | 11.7% | 1.4% | .287 | 4.00 | 20.6% | 8.4% | 77 | +0.39 | 3.35 | 129 | 79 |
| Ryan Brasier R 2025 · 4.03 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.03 | 25.0% | 7.7% | 3.8% | .289 | 3.03 | 24.2% | 17.9% | 130 | -1.00 | 2.27 | 426 | 79 |