Juan Fraide
P
Fayetteville Woodpeckers
Age 20
RHP
5'11" / 161 lbs
A
peak 0.3 · 2027
2026 ROS PROJECTION45 act + 18 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 117108vR 99
ERA4.33
FIP4.33
K%22.8%
BB%9.3%
K-BB%13.5%
ROS IP18
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 62 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 9 | 5 | 30 | 116 | 25 | 10 | 0 | 56% | 3.3 | 14.7% | 10.8% | 3.9% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 3.23 | — |
| 2025 | 19 | ROK | FCL Astros | 9 | 5 | 30 | 116 | 25 | 10 | 0 | 56% | 3.3 | 21.6% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 0.0% | 3.00 | 2.43 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 20 | A | Fayetteville Woodpeckers | 10 | 6 | 45 | 177 | 55 | 14 | 3 | 60% | 4.5 | 22.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 2.3% | 3.02 | 3.69 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | HOU | 2 | 2 | 18 | 75 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 100% | 8.9 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.33 | +0.0 |
| ROS | 20 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 22.8% | 9.3% | 13.5% | 2.9% | 4.33 | 4.33 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 20 | MLB | HOU | — | — | 62 | 252 | 72 | 21 | 5 | — | — | 28.6% | 8.3% | 20.3% | 2.1% | 3.39 | 3.87 | +0.5 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | HOU | 3 | 3 | 20 | 84 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 100% | 6.7 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 21 | MLB | HOU | 1 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 10.0 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 4.22 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 1 | 1 | 10 | 42 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 100% | 9.8 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.84 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 29 | 29 | 200 | 844 | 203 | 81 | 20 | 100% | 6.9 | 23.2% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 2.9% | 4.26 | 3.84 | +3.7 | ||
| Career | — | 19 | 11 | 75 | 293 | 56 | 29 | 4 | 58% | 3.9 | 19.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 1.4% | 3.01 | 3.51 | +1.2 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 51 | 29 | 200 | 785 | 151 | 78 | 11 | 58% | 3.9 | 19.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 1.4% | 3.01 | 3.51 | +4.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Juan Fraide (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.33 | 22.8% | 9.3% | 2.9% | — | 4.22 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 20 | -0.11 | — | — | — |
| Alejandro Rivera R 2025 · 3.30 FIP | 19 | SP- | 3.30 | 24.1% | 10.7% | 1.6% | .302 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.30 | 116 | 84 |
| Joelvis Del Rosario R 2026 · 3.85 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.85 | 22.5% | 8.0% | 3.0% | .315 | 4.81 | 14.6% | 6.0% | 197 | +0.96 | 3.13 | 286 | 82 |
| Dualvert Gutierrez R 2026 · 3.14 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.14 | 23.5% | 9.1% | 1.6% | .352 | 4.24 | 15.9% | 2.2% | 78 | +1.10 | 3.14 | 130 | 82 |
| Connor Cooke R 2028 · 3.47 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.47 | 23.7% | 8.4% | 2.4% | .350 | 4.29 | 24.6% | 10.4% | 56 | +0.82 | 2.92 | 103 | 82 |
| Peyton Remy R 2027 · 3.57 FIP | 21 | SP- | 3.57 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 2.0% | .280 | 4.82 | 16.3% | 5.2% | 140 | +1.25 | 3.57 | 286 | 80 |
| Robert Colina R 2026 · 4.46 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.46 | 19.0% | 9.8% | 3.1% | .312 | 3.70 | 21.5% | 12.7% | 111 | -0.76 | 3.25 | 266 | 80 |
| Miguel Rodriguez R 2026 · 3.30 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.30 | 19.5% | 10.1% | 1.0% | .329 | 5.83 | 19.9% | 7.7% | 108 | +2.53 | 2.55 | 272 | 80 |
| Porter Hodge R 2026 · 4.18 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.18 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 2.9% | .336 | 3.40 | 24.3% | 10.5% | 249 | -0.78 | 2.98 | 349 | 79 |
| Hunter Gregory R 2029 · 3.98 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.98 | 21.2% | 8.7% | 2.9% | .374 | 4.64 | 20.5% | 7.6% | 188 | +0.66 | 3.18 | 234 | 79 |
| Michael Knorr R 2029 · 4.03 FIP | 23 | SP- | 4.03 | 23.6% | 11.1% | 2.8% | .312 | 5.16 | 22.3% | 9.9% | 93 | +1.13 | 4.03 | 152 | 79 |
| Adrian Ardines R 2025 · 4.08 FIP | 19 | SP- | 4.08 | 18.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | .285 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.35 | 114 | 79 |
| Felix Arronde R 2026 · 4.42 FIP | 20 | SW | 4.42 | 20.2% | 12.1% | 2.7% | .275 | 4.69 | 16.3% | 6.9% | 299 | +0.27 | 4.13 | 397 | 79 |
| Joshua Quezada R 2026 · 4.34 FIP | 20 | SP- | 4.34 | 18.3% | 11.7% | 2.4% | .293 | 4.27 | 19.3% | 10.1% | 73 | -0.07 | 3.48 | 153 | 78 |
| Gabe Bierman R 2027 · 5.08 FIP | 21 | SP- | 5.08 | 21.3% | 11.8% | 4.2% | .277 | 4.65 | 16.2% | 4.0% | 187 | -0.43 | 4.20 | 301 | 78 |
| Anderson Brito R 2026 · 3.39 FIP | 20 | SP- | 3.39 | 27.5% | 11.9% | 2.0% | .231 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 7.4% | 82 | +0.44 | 3.24 | 135 | 78 |
| Kobe Robinson R 2027 · 4.60 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.60 | 23.2% | 14.3% | 3.0% | .296 | 3.45 | 18.8% | 4.9% | 84 | -1.15 | 2.98 | 107 | 76 |
| Rico Garcia R 2029 · 3.21 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.21 | 18.8% | 7.0% | 1.5% | .316 | 3.82 | 19.8% | 11.5% | 296 | +0.61 | 3.21 | 566 | 76 |
| Geno Encina R 2027 · 4.22 FIP | 21 | SW | 4.22 | 16.5% | 6.8% | 3.0% | .325 | 7.60 | 12.0% | 2.3% | 76 | +3.38 | 4.22 | 200 | 76 |
| Colin Fields R 2029 · 3.48 FIP | 23 | SP- | 3.48 | 20.5% | 10.3% | 1.5% | .246 | 4.20 | 21.6% | 12.8% | 184 | +0.72 | 3.07 | 229 | 76 |
| Chad Donato R 2028 · 3.85 FIP | 22 | SP- | 3.85 | 20.9% | 11.4% | 2.0% | .333 | 3.99 | 21.4% | 12.6% | 184 | +0.14 | 2.91 | 439 | 76 |