Fabian Dorta — OGILVIE

Fabian DortaC DSL Tigers 1

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 173 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION54 act + 36 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.188 / .278 / .219

PA36

HR0

K%22

BB%8

BABIP250

ISO31

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.9	$10M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$9M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+1.9	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$8M	+1.8	$6M	+$4M
Totals		$22M		$49M	+$41M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	45	41	7	2	0	0	3	9	0	4	1	171	227	220	447	49	212	20	7	214	22	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	45	39	10	3	0	0	5	6	0	4	1	256	341	333	674	77	294	13	11	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	DET	—	54	46	12	2	1	0	4	9	2	2	0	261	346	348	694	87	308	17	7	294	83	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
YTD	18	ROK	DET	—	54	44	14	3	1	0	6	6	2	2	0	318	423	432	855	114	350	11	11	374	144	+3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.6
ROS	18	ROK	DET	0%	36	32	6	1	0	0	3	8	1	1	0	188	278	219	497	31	292	22	8	275	68	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	18	MLB	DET	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		288	—	—	261	58	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	DET	—	54	47	12	2	1	0	4	9	2	2	0	255	346	340	687	85	300	17	7	294	83	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
TOT	18	ROK	DET	—	90	78	18	3	1	0	7	17	3	3	0	231	318	295	613	64	286	19	8	286	77	-2	+1	+0	+2	+3	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	DET	34%	145	132	30	6	1	1	10	32	2	3	0	227	292	311	602	83	292	22	7	282	74	-4	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.3
2028	20	MLB	DET	48%	293	265	62	12	2	4	21	65	5	5	1	234	302	340	642	106	294	22	7	290	80	-7	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2029	21	MLB	DET	54%	409	369	87	17	3	6	30	90	7	7	1	236	305	347	652	111	295	22	7	295	84	-8	+1	+0	+7	+12	1.3
2030	22	MLB	DET	57%	491	443	106	20	4	8	37	107	8	9	1	239	309	357	666	117	296	22	8	298	86	-8	+1	+0	+9	+14	1.7
2031	23	MLB	DET	58%	520	468	111	21	4	8	39	113	8	9	2	237	307	350	657	113	297	22	8	300	88	-7	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2032	24	MLB	DET	57%	520	468	113	21	4	9	39	113	8	9	2	241	311	361	672	120	297	22	8	302	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2033	25	MLB	DET	57%	520	468	113	21	4	9	39	113	8	9	2	241	311	361	672	120	298	22	8	304	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2034	26	MLB	DET	57%	520	468	113	21	4	9	39	113	8	9	2	241	311	361	672	120	297	22	8	304	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2035	27	MLB	DET	55%	520	467	112	21	4	9	40	113	8	9	2	240	311	360	670	120	297	22	8	304	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2036	28	MLB	DET	55%	520	467	112	21	4	9	40	114	8	9	1	240	311	360	670	120	297	22	8	303	90	-6	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2037	29	MLB	DET	53%	520	466	112	21	4	9	41	115	8	8	1	240	313	361	673	120	296	22	8	301	89	-7	+1	-1	+9	+15	1.8
2038	30	MLB	DET	57%	520	466	111	21	4	9	41	116	8	7	1	238	311	358	669	120	295	22	8	299	87	-8	+1	-2	+9	+15	1.5
2039	31	MLB	DET	60%	504	452	106	20	4	8	39	114	8	6	1	235	307	350	656	115	292	23	8	294	83	-9	+1	-3	+9	+14	1.2
2040	32	MLB	DET	61%	489	440	101	18	4	7	38	113	8	5	1	230	302	336	639	107	289	23	8	289	79	-12	+1	-4	+9	+14	0.8
2041	33	MLB	DET	62%	473	426	94	17	3	6	37	111	7	4	1	221	294	317	611	96	285	23	8	282	74	-14	+0	-4	+8	+13	0.4
2027	19	MLB	DET	34%	50	45	9	2	0	0	4	11	1	1	0	200	280	244	524	44	288	22	8	268	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2028	20	MLB	DET	48%	142	129	30	6	1	2	10	31	2	3	0	233	298	341	639	109	289	22	7	274	68	-5	+1	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	21	MLB	DET	54%	222	200	47	9	2	3	16	49	4	4	1	235	305	345	650	110	290	22	7	279	71	-7	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.4
2030	22	MLB	DET	57%	278	251	58	11	2	4	21	61	4	5	1	231	301	339	639	108	291	22	8	282	74	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	23	MLB	DET	58%	299	270	64	12	2	5	22	65	5	5	1	237	306	352	658	115	292	22	7	284	76	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	24	MLB	DET	57%	296	267	63	12	2	5	22	64	5	5	1	236	306	352	658	116	293	22	7	286	77	-8	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2033	25	MLB	DET	57%	295	266	63	12	2	5	22	64	5	5	1	237	307	353	661	117	293	22	7	287	78	-7	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	26	MLB	DET	57%	294	265	63	12	2	5	22	64	5	5	1	238	308	355	663	117	293	22	7	288	78	-7	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	27	MLB	DET	55%	289	260	61	11	2	5	22	63	5	5	1	235	307	350	657	115	293	22	8	288	78	-7	+1	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2036	28	MLB	DET	55%	286	257	60	11	2	5	22	63	5	5	1	233	306	350	657	117	292	22	8	287	78	-7	+1	-0	+5	+8	0.6
2037	29	MLB	DET	53%	278	250	59	11	2	5	22	61	4	4	1	236	308	356	664	120	291	22	8	285	76	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2038	30	MLB	DET	57%	297	267	62	11	2	5	23	66	5	4	1	232	305	345	650	112	290	22	8	282	74	-9	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.4
2039	31	MLB	DET	60%	300	269	61	11	2	4	23	68	5	4	1	227	300	327	627	100	288	23	8	278	71	-10	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.3
2040	32	MLB	DET	61%	300	269	60	11	2	4	23	69	5	3	1	223	296	323	620	100	285	23	8	273	67	-11	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.1
2041	33	MLB	DET	62%	295	265	58	10	2	4	23	70	5	2	0	219	294	317	610	98	281	24	8	267	62	-13	+0	-3	+5	+8	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3921	3531	818	152	27	61	297	869	65	60	12	232	303	342	645	110	289	22	8	282	74	-117	+7	-9	+70	+111	6.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	135	25	4	10	49	144	11	10	2	231	302	338	641	108	288	22	8	282	74	-19	+1	-1	+12	+18	1.1
Career	—			—	7045	6338	1496	281	53	111	536	1559	110	113	20	236	307	350	656	114	294	22	8	297	85	-116	+15	-15	+126	+200	21.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	585	138	26	5	10	49	144	10	10	2	236	306	349	655	113	294	22	8	297	85	-11	+1	-1	+12	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	45	39	10	3	0	0	5	6	0	4	1	256	341	333	674	77	294	13	11	304	91	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Brad Ausmuslast yr '10 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,296 PA	11	4,296	39	39	244	319	326	+39	+43	12.4	12.0
	/162	664	6	6	244	319	326	+6.1	+6.6	1.9	pk7: 12
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,974	63	63	238	305	353	+71	+36	12.4	10.0
	/162	664	11	10	238	305	353	+11.9	+6.0	2.1	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fabian Dorta (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	231/318/295	64	286	0	3	19%	8%	77	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Axiel Plaz 2023 · A	17	50	44→50	51→40	46	234/316/364	130	329	9	7	30%	9%	94	+1.3	178/267/296	118	287	12	3	39%	8%	57	-1.2	197/268/340	143	263	20	2	32%	7%	66	-0.3
✕Héctor Sánchez 2009 · A	19	51→50	42→50	47→30	51	245/318/356	112	286	9	5	17%	8%	92	+1.2	241/295/348	107	294	9	3	20%	6%	80	+0.4	252/291/373	121	310	13	0	22%	4%	83	+0.3
✕Richi Sanchez 2014 · A	20	52	40→45	50	57	243/333/344	100	295	6	10	18%	11%	95	+1.4	217/286/295	78	282	3	7	22%	8%	63	-0.9	202/252/280	79	255	0	6	20%	6%	40	-0.6
✕Diego Cartaya 2022 · A	20	45→33	53→50	48→30	41	229/296/397	168	315	22	4	33%	7%	95	+1.4	189/272/340	151	273	19	3	36%	8%	70	-0.3	166/249/303	138	237	18	1	37%	8%	49	-1.2
✕Miguel Sosa 2023 · A	19	47	44→30	42→45	55	230/320/351	122	284	11	6	22%	11%	92	+1.2	216/315/324	108	347	10	5	36%	12%	83	+0.6	190/308/281	91	347	9	1	42%	14%	69	-0.1