Fabian Dorta — OGILVIE

Fabian DortaC DSL Tigers 1

Age 18 R/R 5'10" / 173 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION95 act + 9 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†74

AVG/OBP/SLG.125 / .222 / .125

PA9

HR0

K%22

BB%11

BABIP290

ISO84

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$46M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+1.0	$4M	+$1M
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+0.8	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$14M		$23M	+$17M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Tigers 1	—	45	39	10	3	0	0	5	6	0	4	1	256	341	333	674	77	294	13	11	304	92	-0	+0	—	—	+1	0.1
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	45	41	8	2	0	0	3	9	0	4	1	195	250	244	494	49	225	20	7	220	35	-3	+0	—	—	+1	-0.2
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	45	41	8	2	0	0	3	9	0	4	1	195	250	244	494	49	242	20	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Tigers 1	—	45	39	10	3	0	0	5	6	0	4	1	256	341	333	674	77	294	13	11	304	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	45	42	8	2	0	0	3	9	0	4	1	190	250	238	488	48	225	20	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Tigers 1	—	45	42	8	2	0	0	3	9	0	4	1	190	250	238	488	48	225	20	7	220	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	DET	—	95	83	21	3	1	1	6	20	4	2	1	253	333	349	683	96	312	21	6	291	83	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	DET	—	95	79	26	4	1	1	10	14	4	2	1	329	430	443	873	114	379	15	11	388	83	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	DET	0%	9	8	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	125	222	125	347		294	22	11	277	74	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	DET	—	104	91	22	3	1	1	7	22	4	2	1	242	324	330	653	88	300	21	7	290	82	-2	+0	+0	+2	+2	0.2
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	DET	34%	145	131	30	5	1	2	10	34	3	2	1	229	299	328	627	99	295	23	7	285	79	-4	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.2
2028	20	MLB MLE	DET	48%	293	265	62	11	2	4	21	67	5	5	1	234	302	336	638	102	297	23	7	292	84	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2029	21	MLB MLE	DET	54%	409	368	88	15	3	7	30	93	8	7	2	239	310	353	664	114	297	23	7	297	87	-6	+1	+0	+7	+9	1.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	DET	57%	491	442	106	18	3	9	37	111	9	9	2	240	311	355	667	115	298	23	8	301	90	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	DET	58%	520	466	113	19	4	10	39	117	10	9	2	242	315	365	679	122	299	22	8	303	91	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	DET	57%	520	466	113	19	4	10	39	117	10	9	2	242	315	365	679	122	300	22	8	305	93	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2033	25	MLB MLE	DET	57%	520	466	114	19	4	11	39	117	10	9	2	245	317	373	690	129	300	22	8	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2034	26	MLB MLE	DET	57%	520	466	114	19	4	11	39	117	10	9	2	245	317	373	690	129	300	22	8	308	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2035	27	MLB MLE	DET	55%	520	465	113	19	3	11	40	117	10	9	2	243	317	368	684	125	300	22	8	308	94	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2036	28	MLB MLE	DET	55%	520	465	113	19	3	11	40	118	10	9	2	243	317	368	684	125	299	23	8	307	94	-4	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	DET	53%	520	464	112	19	3	10	41	119	10	9	2	241	317	360	676	119	298	23	8	305	92	-5	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	DET	53%	520	464	110	18	3	10	41	120	10	9	2	237	313	353	666	116	297	23	8	302	90	-6	+1	-2	+9	+11	1.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	DET	52%	504	451	106	18	3	9	39	118	9	9	2	235	309	348	657	113	295	23	8	298	88	-7	+1	-3	+9	+11	1.1
2040	32	MLB MLE	DET	52%	489	439	101	16	3	9	38	117	9	8	2	230	305	342	646	112	292	24	8	292	84	-9	+1	-4	+9	+11	0.7
2041	33	MLB MLE	DET	56%	473	425	96	15	3	8	37	115	8	8	2	226	300	332	632	106	288	24	8	285	79	-12	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.4
2042	34	MLB MLE	DET	52%	429	386	85	13	2	7	33	107	7	7	2	220	293	319	612	98	282	25	8	277	74	-14	+1	-5	+8	+9	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	DET	34%	50	45	11	2	0	1	4	12	1	1	0	244	320	356	676	111	291	24	8	268	79	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	DET	48%	142	128	30	5	1	2	10	33	3	3	1	234	305	336	641	102	292	23	7	275	84	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
2029	21	MLB CTX	DET	54%	222	200	48	8	2	4	16	51	4	4	1	240	309	360	669	120	293	23	7	279	87	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.6
2030	22	MLB CTX	DET	57%	278	250	59	10	2	5	21	63	5	5	1	236	308	352	660	116	293	23	8	283	90	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.8
2031	23	MLB CTX	DET	58%	299	269	64	11	2	5	22	67	6	5	1	238	310	349	659	112	294	22	7	285	91	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	DET	57%	296	267	64	11	2	6	22	67	5	5	1	240	310	363	673	124	295	23	7	287	93	-3	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2033	25	MLB CTX	DET	57%	295	266	64	11	2	6	22	66	5	5	1	241	311	365	675	124	295	22	7	288	94	-2	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2034	26	MLB CTX	DET	57%	294	264	64	11	2	6	22	66	6	5	1	242	315	367	682	125	295	22	7	289	94	-2	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2035	27	MLB CTX	DET	55%	289	260	62	10	2	6	22	65	5	5	1	238	310	362	672	123	295	22	8	289	94	-2	+1	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2036	28	MLB CTX	DET	55%	286	257	61	10	2	6	22	65	5	5	1	237	310	362	672	125	294	23	8	288	94	-2	+1	-0	+5	+6	1.0
2037	29	MLB CTX	DET	53%	278	249	59	10	2	5	22	64	5	5	1	237	312	353	665	116	294	23	8	286	92	-3	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.8
2038	30	MLB CTX	DET	53%	274	246	57	9	2	5	21	63	5	5	1	232	305	346	651	114	292	23	8	284	90	-3	+1	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2039	31	MLB CTX	DET	52%	263	235	55	9	2	5	21	62	5	4	1	234	310	353	664	119	290	24	8	280	88	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.6
2040	32	MLB CTX	DET	52%	254	227	51	8	1	4	20	61	5	4	1	225	302	322	623	97	287	24	8	274	84	-5	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2041	33	MLB CTX	DET	56%	265	238	53	8	2	4	20	65	5	4	1	223	297	324	620	101	283	25	8	268	79	-7	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.2
2042	34	MLB CTX	DET	52%	221	198	42	6	1	3	17	55	4	3	1	212	288	298	586	86	278	25	8	260	74	-7	+0	-3	+4	+5	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4006	3599	844	139	27	73	304	925	74	68	15	235	307	349	656	114	295	23	8	282	88	-52	+8	-10	+72	+87	10.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	137	23	4	12	49	150	12	11	2	235	307	349	656	115	295	23	8	282	88	-9	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.7
Career	—	MLE		—	7447	6678	1585	264	48	139	567	1715	138	131	31	237	310	354	664	116	297	23	8	299	88	-99	+13	-20	+132	+160	19.1
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	583	138	23	4	12	49	150	12	11	3	237	309	352	660	115	297	23	8	299	88	-9	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	5.0	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
/162	664	17	4	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	6.1	4,058	76	71	239	308	355	+72	+36	13.7	10.9
/162	664	12	12	+11.9	+5.9	2.2	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Fabian Dorta (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	226/293/311	85	294	0	1	24%	7%	74	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→50	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	58	-1.7	242/287/359	117	276	12	5	17%	5%	82	-0.0	243/286/377	134	275	16	5	18%	5%	84	+0.1
✕Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	74	-0.6	226/277/349	123	297	11	12	27%	6%	76	-0.4	254/305/388	134	310	14	13	22%	6%	92	+0.7
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Bo Naylor 2019 · A	19	44→43	39→55	52→50	46	210/278/299	89	296	6	9	30%	8%	65	-1.2	190/247/308	118	273	11	8	33%	7%	55	-1.9	213/305/387	174	267	21	12	27%	11%	94	+0.7
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	43	196/259/277	81	254	5	7	24%	6%	53	-2.1	212/289/284	72	268	5	9	21%	9%	66	-1.1	221/317/274	53	274	5	10	19%	11%	72	-0.3
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→48	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	67	-1.1	211/270/308	97	287	7	34	27%	7%	64	-1.3	213/255/343	130	274	13	52	27%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→44	41→45	56→55	44	216/286/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	206/315/327	121	297	9	23	30%	12%	86	+0.3	203/309/335	132	285	10	26	29%	12%	83	+0.1
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	43	37→45	48→60	37	200/274/282	82	301	4	8	32%	5%	61	-1.5	219/296/323	104	314	8	15	31%	6%	78	-0.3	223/301/336	113	317	11	20	31%	6%	80	-0.1
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44→50	38→45	47→55	45	210/277/286	76	271	6	9	24%	6%	62	-1.4	207/267/292	85	318	6	15	35%	6%	59	-1.6	229/275/344	115	283	10	21	22%	5%	72	-0.5
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	43	39→45	45	45	208/273/291	82	251	7	4	20%	6%	61	-1.5	229/300/339	110	282	10	5	21%	7%	83	+0.1	229/297/349	120	270	13	3	20%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Miguel Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→41	36→50	48→40	46	204/270/273	69	249	3	9	19%	6%	57	-1.8	209/279/329	120	264	12	3	25%	7%	73	-0.6	212/319/354	142	290	16	3	30%	10%	93	+0.3
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→46	42→50	44→50	46	226/320/334	108	300	8	7	26%	8%	90	+0.6	212/310/340	128	285	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.4	217/303/361	144	274	17	12	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→49	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	77	-0.3	209/280/296	87	296	5	4	29%	7%	65	-1.2	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Manny Piña 2006 · A	19	45	36→55	51→40	43	209/278/277	68	264	3	7	21%	5%	61	-1.5	211/260/277	66	248	3	4	16%	4%	53	-2.1	261/312/396	136	311	13	3	20%	6%	97	+0.7
✕Francisco Herrera 2012 · A	18	46	40→45	47→30	49	220/280/315	95	261	7	8	19%	7%	70	-0.9	225/284/324	99	267	9	5	19%	6%	73	-0.6	225/284/320	95	260	10	3	17%	6%	71	-0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps