Ivan Torres — OGILVIE

Ivan TorresC DSL Tampa Bay

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 220 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION57 act + 56 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†83

AVG/OBP/SLG.224 / .321 / .265

PA56

HR0

K%20

BB%9

BABIP289

ISO41

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+2.8	$14M	+$14M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.9	$14M	+$13M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.9	$13M	+$12M
2035	Arb-1	$6M	+2.9	$12M	+$9M
2036	Arb-2	$9M	+2.8	$10M	+$7M
2037	Arb-3	$13M	+2.7	$9M	+$5M
Totals		$31M		$72M	+$61M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	135	110	28	7	0	0	12	17	12	4	2	255	388	318	706	64	298	13	9	303	90	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	135	102	30	8	0	0	20	12	12	4	2	294	463	373	835	78	330	9	15	392	158	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	57	46	14	1	0	0	7	7	4	0	0	304	439	326	765	22	359	12	12	352	128	+2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.4
YTD	18	ROK	TB	—	57	41	16	1	0	0	12	5	4	0	0	390	561	415	976	24	444	9	21	459	209	+7	+0	+0	+1	+2	1.0
ROS	18	ROK	TB	0%	56	49	11	2	0	0	5	11	2	1	0	224	321	265	587	41	298	20	9	293	83	-1	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
ROS	18	MLB	TB	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		302	—	—	272	67	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	TB	—	57	47	14	1	0	0	7	7	4	0	0	298	439	319	758	21	350	12	12	352	128	+2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.4
TOT	18	ROK	TB	—	113	95	25	3	0	0	12	18	6	1	0	263	381	295	675	32	325	16	11	323	105	+1	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	203	177	43	7	1	2	18	42	6	2	1	243	333	328	661	85	301	21	9	303	90	-2	+0	+0	+4	+6	0.7
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	339	296	74	12	2	5	30	70	10	4	1	250	339	355	694	105	301	21	9	308	94	-2	+0	+0	+6	+10	1.4
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	443	388	95	15	2	7	39	91	13	5	1	245	334	348	682	103	302	21	9	313	98	-1	+1	+0	+8	+13	2.0
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	516	450	112	18	2	9	46	105	15	6	2	249	339	358	696	109	303	20	9	317	101	+0	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.5
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	520	454	114	18	2	10	46	105	15	6	2	251	340	366	705	115	304	20	9	320	103	+2	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.7
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	520	454	114	18	2	10	46	105	15	6	2	251	340	366	705	115	305	20	9	322	105	+3	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.8
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	520	454	114	18	2	10	46	105	15	6	2	251	340	366	705	115	305	20	9	324	106	+4	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2034	26	MLB	TB	57%	520	454	115	18	2	11	46	105	15	6	2	253	342	374	716	121	305	20	9	325	107	+4	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2035	27	MLB	TB	55%	520	453	115	18	2	11	47	105	15	6	2	254	344	375	719	121	304	20	9	325	107	+4	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.9
2036	28	MLB	TB	55%	520	453	114	18	2	11	47	106	15	5	2	252	342	373	715	121	304	20	9	324	106	+4	+0	-1	+9	+15	2.8
2037	29	MLB	TB	53%	520	452	113	18	2	10	48	107	15	5	1	250	342	365	707	115	303	21	9	322	105	+3	+1	-1	+9	+15	2.7
2038	30	MLB	TB	53%	520	452	113	18	2	10	48	108	15	4	1	250	342	365	707	115	302	21	9	319	103	+2	+0	-2	+9	+15	2.4
2039	31	MLB	TB	52%	504	439	108	17	2	9	46	106	14	4	1	246	337	355	692	109	300	21	9	315	99	-0	+0	-3	+9	+14	2.1
2040	32	MLB	TB	52%	489	427	103	16	2	9	45	105	14	3	1	241	333	351	685	110	296	21	9	310	95	-3	+0	-4	+9	+14	1.7
2041	33	MLB	TB	52%	473	414	97	14	2	8	43	104	13	2	1	234	326	336	661	101	293	22	9	303	90	-5	+0	-4	+8	+13	1.3
2042	34	MLB	TB	47%	435	381	87	12	2	7	39	98	12	1	0	228	319	325	645	97	287	23	9	295	84	-8	+0	-5	+8	+12	0.8
2027	19	MLB	TB	34%	70	62	15	2	0	1	6	14	2	1	0	242	329	323	651	81	305	20	9	283	75	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	TB	48%	164	144	36	6	1	2	14	34	5	2	1	250	337	347	685	97	306	21	9	289	79	-4	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.4
2029	21	MLB	TB	54%	240	210	52	8	1	4	21	49	7	3	1	248	336	352	689	105	306	20	9	294	83	-5	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.7
2030	22	MLB	TB	57%	292	256	64	10	1	5	26	59	8	3	1	250	338	355	693	105	307	20	9	298	86	-5	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.9
2031	23	MLB	TB	58%	299	262	66	10	2	5	26	61	9	3	1	252	340	363	703	111	308	20	9	300	88	-4	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.0
2032	24	MLB	TB	57%	296	260	67	10	2	6	26	60	8	3	1	258	344	381	724	123	309	20	9	303	90	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2033	25	MLB	TB	57%	295	259	67	10	2	6	26	59	8	3	1	259	345	382	727	124	309	20	9	305	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2034	26	MLB	TB	57%	294	258	65	10	1	6	26	59	8	3	1	252	339	368	707	116	309	20	9	306	92	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2035	27	MLB	TB	55%	289	253	64	10	1	6	26	58	8	3	1	253	341	372	713	119	308	20	9	306	92	-3	+0	+0	+5	+8	1.1
2036	28	MLB	TB	55%	286	250	64	10	1	6	26	58	8	3	1	256	345	376	721	120	308	20	9	305	91	-3	+0	-0	+5	+8	1.0
2037	29	MLB	TB	53%	278	242	60	9	1	5	26	57	8	3	1	248	341	355	696	107	307	21	9	303	90	-3	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.9
2038	30	MLB	TB	53%	274	239	59	9	1	5	25	57	8	2	1	247	338	356	694	109	306	21	9	300	88	-4	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.8
2039	31	MLB	TB	52%	263	230	57	9	1	5	24	55	7	2	1	248	337	361	698	113	304	21	9	296	85	-5	+0	-1	+5	+7	0.6
2040	32	MLB	TB	52%	254	222	54	8	1	4	23	55	7	2	0	243	333	342	676	99	300	22	9	291	81	-6	+0	-2	+5	+7	0.5
2041	33	MLB	TB	52%	245	214	51	7	1	4	22	54	7	1	0	238	329	336	666	98	297	22	9	284	76	-7	+0	-2	+4	+7	0.3
2042	34	MLB	TB	47%	205	178	42	6	1	3	19	46	6	1	0	236	330	331	662	96	291	22	9	276	70	-7	+0	-2	+4	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4044	3540	883	134	18	73	362	835	114	38	12	249	338	359	698	110	306	21	9	298	86	-64	+3	-10	+72	+115	11.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	569	143	22	3	12	58	134	18	6	2	251	339	364	703	112	308	21	9	298	86	-10	+0	-2	+12	+18	1.9
Career	—			—	7753	6757	1670	264	31	139	697	1595	231	76	24	247	338	357	695	110	302	21	9	316	100	+1	+6	-20	+138	+220	35.2
/ 162G	—			—	650	566	141	22	3	12	58	134	19	6	2	249	339	362	701	113	304	21	9	316	100	+0	+0	-2	+12	+18	2.9

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	135	102	30	8	0	0	20	12	12	4	2	294	463	373	835	78	330	9	15	392	158	+9	+0	—	—	+4	1.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Matt Wieterslast yr '19 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,387 PA	11	4,387	146	9	250	313	411	+78	+81	30.0	28.4
	/162	664	22	1	250	313	411	+11.9	+12.2	4.5	pk7: 27
#2Carlos Ruizlast yr '17 career totals — 12 seasons, 4,069 PA	12	4,069	71	25	264	350	391	+73	+6	25.2	24.6
	/162	664	12	4	264	350	391	+11.9	+1.0	4.1	pk7: 24
#3Alex Avilalast yr '21 career totals — 13 seasons, 3,638 PA	13	3,638	105	8	233	348	393	+65	+46	26.7	24.5
	/162	664	19	1	233	348	393	+11.9	+8.5	4.9	pk7: 22
#4Jordy Mercerlast yr '21 career totals — 9 seasons, 3,394 PA	9	3,394	66	13	257	315	387	+35	+50	17.0	16.7
	/162	664	13	3	257	315	387	+6.9	+9.8	3.3	pk7: 17
#5Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	4,157	75	38	248	334	360	+74	+36	19.2	15.1
	/162	664	12	6	248	334	360	+11.9	+5.8	3.1	pk7: 11
#6Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	6	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
	/162	664	19	8	230	304	380	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Ivan Torres (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	263/381/295	32	325	0	1	16%	11%	105	+0.6	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	41→50	50→40	52	218/297/315	97	275	8	8	23%	10%	73	-0.1	225/288/361	136	282	16	4	25%	8%	81	+0.4	266/326/405	139	311	16	3	19%	8%	106	+1.6
●Dilson Herrera 2012 · A	18	46→56	39→50	50	47	218/290/315	98	283	4	13	23%	7%	70	-0.3	228/279/361	133	299	12	12	27%	6%	77	+0.1	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Osleivis Basabe 2019 · A	18	51→61	38→45	49→50	48	238/291/324	86	288	3	12	18%	7%	71	-0.3	236/280/312	76	293	3	12	19%	5%	63	-0.8	270/315/371	102	328	4	17	18%	5%	90	+0.8
●Elvis Andrus 2006 · A	17	47→57	39→50	47→60	46	226/288/308	82	287	6	9	23%	7%	66	-0.6	232/281/307	75	309	4	22	25%	6%	63	-0.9	277/330/410	133	307	11	23	13%	7%	107	+2.4
●Miguel Vargas 2019 · A	19	51→53	39→55	52→50	46	239/296/332	93	306	5	8	23%	7%	76	+0.0	248/300/371	123	304	11	8	21%	6%	88	+0.9	221/322/407	185	244	21	11	19%	12%	106	+1.7
✕Edmundo Sosa 2014 · A	18	48→49	40→55	47→50	50	227/285/322	95	254	7	9	14%	7%	69	-0.4	218/265/304	86	270	6	8	21%	5%	56	-1.3	252/297/422	170	304	19	9	23%	4%	99	+0.8
●Otto Lopez 2018 · A	19	46→56	36→50	49→55	47	217/276/288	71	263	3	9	18%	6%	56	-1.3	241/285/321	80	301	4	11	20%	5%	67	-0.5	285/333/422	137	320	13	21	15%	6%	112	+2.1
●Eduardo Valencia 2019 · A	19	50→56	35→55	44→30	47	230/283/295	64	275	2	7	16%	6%	60	-1.0	210/263/273	63	256	2	6	18%	6%	46	-2.0	246/304/423	177	292	24	1	24%	6%	102	+1.1
●Starlin Castro 2008 · A	18	49→59	37→50	53→50	48	229/281/296	67	267	4	11	16%	6%	60	-1.0	252/293/341	89	302	4	13	17%	5%	76	+0.1	293/334/419	126	332	8	18	14%	5%	108	+2.6
●Luis Urías 2015 · A	18	50→60	34→55	46→45	50	230/288/286	55	266	2	11	14%	6%	60	-1.0	262/320/333	71	297	4	8	12%	6%	86	+0.8	232/333/399	167	273	21	3	22%	11%	108	+1.7
●Iván Herrera 2018 · A	18	50→56	37→50	44→50	42	233/299/311	78	320	3	5	27%	6%	72	-0.2	230/292/318	88	307	7	4	26%	6%	71	-0.3	276/369/436	160	338	18	13	22%	11%	130	+2.7
●Josmil Pinto 2007 · A	18	42→52	38→55	44→40	47	204/259/282	78	245	6	5	19%	7%	47	-1.9	204/266/305	101	247	8	4	20%	7%	57	-1.2	251/317/419	167	299	19	0	22%	8%	105	+1.7
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	43	39→45	45	45	208/273/291	82	251	7	4	20%	6%	56	-1.3	229/300/339	110	282	10	5	21%	7%	81	+0.4	228/295/347	119	269	13	3	20%	6%	77	+0.0
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	42→44	37→45	47→60	37	197/271/278	80	298	4	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	219/295/319	100	315	8	15	31%	6%	74	-0.1	224/303/332	108	321	10	20	31%	6%	76	+0.1
●Thairo Estrada 2014 · A	18	44→54	39→55	48→55	41	210/265/306	95	269	5	9	23%	5%	56	-1.3	224/273/318	94	286	6	9	23%	5%	63	-0.9	280/334/443	164	322	19	21	19%	6%	118	+2.4
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Sebastian Valle 2008 · A	18	46→49	38→50	43→40	49	216/286/302	86	264	5	6	20%	8%	65	-0.7	209/261/312	103	271	8	4	25%	5%	56	-1.3	229/281/373	143	303	16	2	29%	6%	78	+0.1
●Gleyber Torres 2015 · A	18	46→53	37→60	46→50	46	215/278/291	75	295	4	10	27%	8%	58	-1.2	227/282/326	99	319	7	13	29%	7%	69	-0.4	259/345/399	140	294	17	6	17%	11%	113	+2.9
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9