Daniel Rodriguez

SS ACL Rangers

Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 165 lbs ROK HR +15%BB +5% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#482ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Rangers R…	207	.228/.433/.289	0	12	57	—	.165/.325/.207
2026	18	ROKTEX	175	.302/.395/.490	4	13	78	—	.231/.302/.365
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBTEX	285	.208/.290/.302	3	6	70	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTEX	49	.213/.296/.319	1	1	75	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBTEX	118	.217/.301/.331	2	3	79	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.3Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed91

ISO80

Whiff%72

wRC+69

wOBA62

K%39

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 4.9, comp-based) · star 2% · didn't stick 88%

CompsJhostynxon Garcia (age 19) · Tyler Rodriguez (age 18) · Jonathan Galvez (age 18)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 91 proj PA

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .288 / .299

PA91

HR1

K%28

BB%9

ISO94

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$4M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$4M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rangers Red	—	207	149	34	5	2	0	50	41	4	12	3	228	433	289	722	60	309	20	24	347	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	ACL Rangers	—	175	149	45	6	5	4	18	41	5	13	4	302	395	490	885	188	390	23	10	386	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	207	164	27	3	2	0	35	50	4	12	3	165	325	207	532	43	220	24	17	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	175	156	36	4	4	3	11	59	5	13	4	231	302	365	668	135	330	34	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	207	164	27	3	2	0	35	50	4	12	3	165	325	207	532	43	233	24	17	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rangers Red	—	207	149	34	5	2	0	50	41	4	12	3	228	433	289	722	60	309	20	24	347	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	175	156	36	4	4	3	11	59	5	13	4	231	302	365	668	135	347	34	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	ACL Rangers	—	175	149	45	6	5	4	18	41	5	13	4	302	395	490	885	188	390	23	10	386	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	207	166	27	3	2	0	35	50	4	12	3	163	325	205	530	42	220	24	17	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	175	157	36	4	4	3	11	59	5	13	4	229	302	363	665	134	330	34	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rangers Red	—	207	166	27	3	2	0	35	50	4	12	3	163	325	205	530	42	220	24	17	253	57	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	ACL Rangers	—	175	157	36	4	4	3	11	59	5	13	4	229	302	363	665	134	330	34	6	283	78	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TEX	0%	285	254	52	8	3	3	26	78	3	6	1	208	290	302	592	94	284	27	9	271	70	-10	+1	+1	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TEX	34%	143	127	26	4	1	2	13	39	2	3	1	213	296	316	612	103	286	27	9	279	75	-4	+0	+1	+2	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	TEX	48%	244	217	46	7	2	4	22	65	3	5	1	217	300	327	627	111	287	27	9	285	79	-6	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.4
2030	22	MLB MLE	TEX	54%	355	314	68	11	3	6	33	93	5	8	2	220	303	336	639	116	288	26	9	290	82	-7	+1	+2	+4	+8	0.7
2031	23	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	428	380	85	14	4	8	39	111	6	9	3	223	305	343	648	121	289	26	9	293	85	-8	+1	+2	+5	+9	0.9
2032	24	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	474	421	94	16	4	9	44	122	6	10	3	225	307	349	655	124	290	26	9	296	87	-8	+1	+2	+5	+10	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	TEX	57%	501	443	99	16	4	10	46	129	7	11	3	225	307	349	656	124	290	26	9	297	87	-8	+1	+2	+5	+11	1.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	TEX	56%	516	456	102	17	4	10	48	133	7	11	3	225	307	349	656	124	290	26	9	296	87	-8	+1	+2	+6	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	TEX	60%	520	460	102	17	4	10	48	134	7	11	3	224	306	346	652	123	290	26	9	295	86	-9	+1	+2	+6	+11	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	TEX	62%	516	456	102	17	4	10	48	134	7	10	3	222	304	342	646	120	289	26	9	292	84	-10	+1	+2	+6	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	TEX	63%	505	448	98	16	4	9	46	133	6	9	3	220	301	336	637	116	288	26	9	289	82	-11	+1	+1	+5	+11	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	TEX	63%	493	439	95	15	4	9	45	131	6	8	3	217	298	328	626	112	286	27	9	285	79	-12	+0	+0	+5	+11	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	TEX	65%	477	426	91	15	4	8	43	129	5	7	4	213	293	319	612	106	283	27	9	279	75	-14	-0	-1	+5	+10	0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	TEX	34%	49	44	9	1	0	1	4	13	1	1	0	213	296	319	615	106	286	27	8	281	75	-1	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	TEX	48%	118	104	22	3	1	2	11	31	2	3	1	217	301	331	632	113	287	26	9	287	79	-3	+0	+1	+1	+3	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	TEX	54%	193	170	38	6	2	4	18	51	3	4	1	221	304	340	644	120	288	26	9	292	82	-4	+0	+1	+2	+4	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	242	215	47	7	2	5	22	63	3	5	1	223	306	348	654	124	289	26	9	295	85	-4	+1	+1	+3	+5	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	268	237	53	8	2	6	25	69	4	6	2	226	308	353	661	128	290	26	9	298	87	-4	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	TEX	57%	283	251	56	9	2	6	26	73	4	6	2	226	308	354	662	128	290	26	9	299	87	-4	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	TEX	56%	291	258	58	9	3	6	27	75	4	6	2	226	308	354	661	128	290	26	9	298	87	-5	+0	+1	+3	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	TEX	60%	311	275	63	10	3	7	29	80	4	7	2	225	307	351	658	126	289	26	9	297	86	-5	+1	+1	+3	+7	0.7
2036	28	MLB CTX	TEX	62%	319	283	64	10	3	7	29	83	4	6	2	223	305	346	651	123	288	26	9	294	84	-6	+0	+1	+3	+7	0.6
2037	29	MLB CTX	TEX	63%	317	281	63	10	3	6	29	83	4	6	2	220	302	340	642	120	287	26	9	291	82	-7	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	TEX	63%	313	277	61	9	3	6	29	83	4	5	2	218	299	332	631	115	286	27	9	286	79	-8	+0	+0	+3	+7	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	TEX	65%	310	275	58	9	2	5	28	84	4	4	3	213	294	322	617	109	283	27	9	280	75	-9	-0	-0	+3	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3014	2670	592	91	26	61	277	788	41	59	20	222	305	344	648	122	289	26	9	293	82	-62	+4	+8	+32	+65	4.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	576	128	20	6	13	60	170	9	13	4	222	305	345	651	123	290	26	9	293	82	-13	+1	+2	+7	+14	1.1
Career	—	MLE		—	5645	4989	1088	175	49	99	529	1487	77	129	39	218	303	332	635	114	288	26	9	289	82	-109	+8	+16	+56	+114	8.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	574	125	20	6	11	61	171	9	15	4	218	302	331	633	113	289	26	9	289	82	-13	+1	+2	+7	+14	1.1

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Rangers · 175 PAwOBA .378 → .283 (−95)K% 23.4% → 33.7%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	23.43%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	33.74%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	10.29%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	6.52%
HBP% /PA	2.86%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	2.10%
Singles /BIP	27.78%	÷1.000	×0.820	×1.050	×1.022	24.45%
Doubles /BIP	5.56%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.022	4.29%
Triples /BIP	4.63%	÷1.000	×0.720	×1.050	×1.022	3.58%
Home runs /BIP	3.70%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	2.95%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .378 → .283; ISO .188 → .138; BABIP .390 → .330. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rangers Red · 207 PAwOBA .344 → .253 (−91)K% 19.8% → 24.1%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	19.81%	÷1.004	×1.220	—	—	24.07%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	24.15%	÷1.034	×0.700	—	×1.022	16.72%
HBP% /PA	1.93%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	1.38%
Singles /BIP	25.00%	÷0.993	×0.680	×1.050	×1.022	18.39%
Doubles /BIP	4.63%	÷1.108	×0.600	×1.050	×1.022	2.69%
Triples /BIP	1.85%	÷0.900	×0.600	×1.050	×1.022	1.33%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.259	×0.470	—	×1.022	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 152, 1B 99, 2B 122, 3B 80, K 101, BB 107 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .344 → .253; ISO .060 → .043; BABIP .309 → .220. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#2Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Gene Michael'66-'75 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,095 PA	4.7	3,095	15	22	233*	291*	316*	+32	+27	4.6	5.8
/162	664	3	5	+6.8	+5.8	1.0	pk7: 7
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.7	3,105	57	62	221	300	339	+33	+16	5.8	5.2
/162	664	12	13	+7.1	+3.4	1.2	pk7: 5

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Daniel Rodriguez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	206/288/299	93	284	1	2	28%	9%	70	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	41→44	38→50	47→50	54	193/285/279	86	256	5	8	25%	11%	63	-1.3	188/262/304	116	277	10	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Tyler Rodriguez 2024 · A	18	41	38→40	49→55	55	196/307/275	79	247	6	14	22%	11%	73	-0.6	208/326/276	68	266	5	17	21%	11%	80	-0.1	203/334/262	59	262	5	20	21%	12%	79	-0.1
✕Jonathan Galvez 2009 · A	18	42→51	37→50	51→55	58	197/311/267	70	262	5	9	24%	13%	72	-0.7	215/290/330	115	309	10	14	31%	9%	77	-0.3	244/294/364	120	343	10	23	30%	5%	83	+0.1
✕Aroon Escobar 2024 · A	19	38→46	36→45	51→55	54	178/277/245	67	211	4	16	17%	9%	55	-2.0	218/300/318	100	261	10	17	20%	9%	78	-0.3	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Oswaldo Linares 2022 · A	19	41	36→40	47→40	59	189/305/249	60	253	3	8	24%	13%	66	-1.1	188/293/264	76	260	6	5	27%	12%	64	-1.3	167/279/236	69	235	7	2	29%	12%	52	-0.8
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→48	41→50	56→55	44	216/287/317	101	287	8	14	26%	7%	73	-0.6	213/317/337	124	303	10	23	29%	12%	90	+0.6	212/316/350	138	296	11	26	29%	12%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	40→46	40→45	50→55	58	188/306/284	96	264	6	16	28%	14%	74	-0.5	205/300/295	90	282	5	20	26%	11%	74	-0.6	219/288/322	102	278	9	23	23%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Joendry Vargas 2024 · A	18	44→51	40→45	52→55	53	213/288/305	92	259	7	17	20%	9%	70	-0.8	215/273/324	109	300	9	18	30%	7%	69	-0.9	226/269/345	120	310	11	19	30%	5%	70	-0.4
✕Juan Mora 2019 · A	19	44	37→45	46→55	51	205/287/284	78	263	3	8	22%	9%	65	-1.2	197/282/292	95	244	7	14	21%	8%	65	-1.2	200/269/297	97	251	8	12	23%	6%	60	-0.7
✕Jesus Hernandez 2024 · A	20	42	37→40	51→55	53	199/281/271	72	257	5	13	23%	10%	60	-1.6	199/278/287	88	284	6	18	29%	9%	63	-1.4	199/280/289	90	282	6	24	29%	9%	62	-0.7
✕Robert Gonzalez 2021 · A	20	40	39→40	54→60	52	186/296/275	89	275	5	8	30%	12%	68	-1.0	190/293/264	74	252	5	17	24%	10%	64	-1.3	151/292/187	36	182	3	30	16%	14%	48	-0.8
✕Jermaine Palacios 2015 · A	19	42→50	36→45	55→50	53	194/287/270	75	252	1	13	22%	10%	63	-1.4	231/274/324	93	290	5	10	21%	5%	68	-1.0	241/273/344	103	303	7	10	22%	3%	70	-0.5
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	37→47	36→45	54→50	59	173/286/238	65	220	3	15	21%	12%	57	-1.8	191/267/256	65	260	3	9	25%	8%	52	-2.2	213/284/310	97	279	9	16	25%	7%	68	-0.5
✕Gilberto Celestino 2017 · A	18	44→53	39→45	54→55	48	206/278/298	92	275	5	13	25%	9%	65	-1.2	213/265/301	88	288	6	11	27%	6%	60	-1.6	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5

Daniel Rodriguez

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps