Sebastian Blanco

SS ACL Rockies
Age 19 R/R 6'1" / 181 lbs ROK HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2034
Overview
ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2035
OGV OFP35OGV rank#1053ETA2030MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202517ROKCOL248.345/.453/.45331169—.226/.325/.292
202618A/ROKCOL361.276/.379/.4024964—.213/.293/.301
2027PROJMLE19MLBCOL471.213/.281/.3086867-0.1
2028PROJ25% MLB20MLBCOL81.230/.299/.3511274-0.0
2029PROJ38% MLB21MLBCOL156.234/.304/.36533790.1
Next 3 projected WAR -0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2034Service0.0First FA2035
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Pre-Arb$0.8M2030Pre-Arb$0.8M2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Arb-1$3M2033Arb-2$5M2034Arb-3$8M
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A
Chase%67
BB%44
wOBA27
ISO27
wRC+26
Z-Con%25
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.3 / P90 5.2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 88%
CompsGilberto Celestino (age 19) · Delino DeShields (age 19) · Denzer Guzman (age 19)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†67
AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .279 / .306
PA210
HR3
K%28
BB%7
ISO96
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -8.1 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-8BATRUN: +0.6 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: -0.9 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)-1FLDPOS: +2.2 runs (Positional adjustment)+2POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.10-0.1WAR
0.00.51.00.10.20.30.50.60.627282930313233343536
━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit━ post-control-$0M ctrl surplus
Contract
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2029
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2034
First FA Year   2035
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2029
2029Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.1$0.3M+$0.0M (cut)
2030Pre-Arb$0.8M+0.2$0.6M+$0.0M
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.3$0.9M+$0.3M
2032Arb-1$3M+0.5$1M+$0.0M (cut)
2033Arb-2$5M+0.6$2M+$0.0M (cut)
2034Arb-3$8M+0.6$1M+$0.0M (cut)
Totals $2M $6M +$0.3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202517 ROKDSL Rockies — 248203 70733 33347 112 345453453906 108399 1413 403 69 — — — — — —
202618 AFresno Grizzlies — 9679 18401 11302 21 228337316653 89347 3111 293 52 — — — — — —
202618 ROKACL Rockies — 265222 651633 30527 76 293394432826 140363 2011 365 68 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 248212 48422 24407 112 226325292618 66255 1610 270 69 — — — — — —
202618 A MLEFresno Grizzlies — 9682 16301 8412 21 195283268551 73342 438 245 52 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLEACL Rockies — 265233 511222 19757 76 219297313611 94292 287 269 68 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 248212 48422 24407 112 226325292618 66267 1610 270 69 — — — — — —
202517 ROK RAWDSL Rockies — 248203 70733 33347 112 345453453906 108399 1413 403 69 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLE2 teams — 361315 671523 271169 97 213293302595 89318 327 263 64 — — — — — —
202618 ROK RAW2 teams — 361301 832034 41829 97 276379402781 126359 2311 346 64 — — — — — —
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 248215 48422 24407 112 223325288613 65255 1610 270 69 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLE2 teams — 361322 671523 271169 97 208293295588 87305 327 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202517 ROK MLEDSL Rockies — 248215 48422 24407 112 223325288613 65255 1610 270 69 — — — — — —
202618 ROK MLE2 teams — 361322 671523 271169 97 208293295588 87305 327 263 64 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202719 MLB MLECOL 0% 471428 911736 341316 83 213281308589 96289 287 268 67 -18 +0 -2 +5 +10 -0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202820 MLB MLECOL 25% 326294 641225 24895 62 218288325613 107291 277 278 74 -10 +0 -1 +3 +7 -0.0
202921 MLB MLECOL 38% 408368 811527 311096 83 222294338631 115292 278 285 79 -10 +0 -2 +4 +9 0.2
203022 MLB MLECOL 45% 455410 921739 351197 93 225297347644 121293 268 290 83 -9 +1 -2 +5 +10 0.4
203123 MLB MLECOL 49% 505454 10419311 391317 103 228300353653 125293 268 294 85 -9 +1 -1 +5 +11 0.7
203224 MLB MLECOL 50% 562505 11622312 441448 114 230302359661 129294 268 297 87 -9 +1 -1 +6 +12 1.0
203325 MLB MLECOL 51% 587528 12123313 461508 114 230303359662 129294 268 297 87 -9 +1 +0 +6 +13 1.1
203426 MLB MLECOL 51% 596536 12323313 471538 114 230302359661 129294 268 297 87 -9 +1 +0 +6 +13 1.1
203527 MLB MLECOL 50% 594534 12223313 471538 114 229301356658 128293 268 296 86 -10 +1 +0 +6 +13 1.1
203628 MLB MLECOL 50% 585526 11922312 461528 104 227300352652 125293 268 293 85 -11 +0 -0 +6 +13 0.8
203729 MLB MLECOL 49% 566508 11421311 451498 84 225297346643 121292 268 290 82 -12 +0 -1 +6 +12 0.5
203830 MLB MLECOL 48% 552497 11221311 431477 74 222294339632 117290 278 285 79 -14 -0 -2 +6 +12 0.2
203931 MLB MLECOL 47% 534481 10519310 411447 66 218289330618 111287 278 280 75 -16 -1 -3 +6 +12 -0.2
202820 MLB CTXCOL 25% 8174 17311 6221 21 230299351649 121306 277 292 74 -2 +0 -0 +1 +2 -0.0
202921 MLB CTXCOL 38% 156141 32613 12422 31 234304365669 130307 278 300 79 -4 +0 -1 +2 +3 0.1
203022 MLB CTXCOL 45% 207186 45825 16543 41 238308375683 137307 268 305 83 -4 +0 -1 +2 +4 0.2
203123 MLB CTXCOL 49% 249224 541026 19644 52 240311382693 142308 268 309 85 -4 +0 -1 +3 +5 0.3
203224 MLB CTXCOL 50% 283255 611127 22734 52 242314388701 145309 268 313 87 -4 +0 -0 +3 +6 0.5
203325 MLB CTXCOL 51% 299269 651237 24774 62 243314388702 146309 268 313 87 -4 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.6
203426 MLB CTXCOL 51% 305274 671238 24784 62 242314388702 146309 268 313 87 -5 +0 +0 +3 +7 0.6
203527 MLB CTXCOL 50% 300269 641227 24774 52 241313385698 144308 268 311 86 -5 +0 +0 +3 +6 0.5
203628 MLB CTXCOL 50% 293264 631227 23764 52 239311380691 141307 268 309 85 -5 +0 -0 +3 +6 0.4
203729 MLB CTXCOL 49% 276248 591126 22724 42 237308373681 136306 268 305 82 -6 +0 -1 +3 +6 0.3
203830 MLB CTXCOL 48% 264238 561026 21703 42 234304365669 131304 278 300 79 -6 +0 -1 +3 +6 0.1
203931 MLB CTXCOL 47% 253228 531025 20683 33 230299355654 125301 278 294 75 -7 -1 -1 +3 +5 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 29662670 6361172468 23377340 5222 238309376685 138308 268 307 81 -58 +2 -5 +32 +64 3.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650585 14026515 511699 115 239310378688 138309 268 307 81 -13 +0 -1 +7 +14 0.8
Career— MLE — 70896358 142926439135 5541855106 13255 225298342640 117293 268 288 81 -135 +4 -13 +69 +140 6.8
/ 162G— MLE — 650583 13124412 5117010 125 225299341640 117294 268 288 81 -14 +0 -1 +7 +14 0.7

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKACL Rockies · 265 PAwOBA .361 → .269 (−92)K% 19.6% → 28.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA19.62%÷1.000×1.440——28.26%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.32%÷1.000×0.620—×1.0227.18%
HBP% /PA2.64%—×0.720—×1.0221.94%
Singles /BIP25.29%÷1.000×0.820×1.000×1.02221.21%
Doubles /BIP9.41%÷1.000×0.720×1.000×1.0226.93%
Triples /BIP1.76%÷1.000×0.720×1.000×1.0221.30%
Home runs /BIP1.76%÷1.000×0.780—×1.0221.41%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.000.

Result: wOBA .361 → .269; ISO .140 → .103; BABIP .363 → .292. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 AFresno Grizzlies · 96 PAwOBA .289 → .245 (−44)K% 31.2% → 42.5%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA31.25%÷1.000×1.360——42.50%
BB% (unintentional) /PA11.46%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0508.30%
HBP% /PA2.08%—×0.780—×1.0501.71%
Singles /BIP26.53%÷1.000×0.920×1.050×1.05026.91%
Doubles /BIP8.16%÷1.000×0.830×1.050×1.0507.47%
Triples /BIP0.00%÷1.000×0.910×1.050×1.0500.00%
Home runs /BIP2.04%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0501.71%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 22.0 → +5.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (4.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.

Result: wOBA .289 → .245; ISO .089 → .073; BABIP .347 → .342. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Rockies · 248 PAwOBA .396 → .270 (−126)K% 13.7% → 16.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA13.71%÷1.026×1.220——16.31%
BB% (unintentional) /PA13.31%÷1.007×0.700—×1.0229.45%
HBP% /PA2.82%—×0.700—×1.0222.02%
Singles /BIP33.73%÷1.026×0.680×0.969×1.02222.15%
Doubles /BIP4.14%÷1.107×0.600×0.969×1.0222.23%
Triples /BIP1.78%÷0.900×0.600×0.969×1.0221.17%
Home runs /BIP1.78%÷0.864×0.470—×1.0220.99%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 73, 1B 105, 2B 121, 3B 80, K 105, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.969.

Result: wOBA .396 → .270; ISO .108 → .066; BABIP .399 → .255. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).