Jhorman Bravo

SS FCL Red Sox

Age 19 L/R 6'1" / 176 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2037

OGV OFP35OGV rank#1115ETA2030MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Red Sox R…	134	.241/.333/.336	2	12	24	—	.164/.227/.213
2026	18	ROKBOS	189	.225/.364/.318	2	37	44	—	.172/.266/.245
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBBOS	299	.212/.280/.305	4	8	66	0.0
2028PROJ25% MLB	20	MLBBOS	37	.223/.292/.328	1	1	72	0.0
2029PROJ38% MLB	21	MLBBOS	97	.227/.297/.341	2	2	78	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.1Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2036Service0.0First FA2037

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031Pre-Arb$0.9M2032Pre-Arb$0.9M2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Arb-1$3M+2

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed86

Z-Con%84

Whiff%78

K%75

BB%60

ISO37

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 5.5, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 89%

CompsCarlos Jimenez (age 19) · Juan Villavicencio (age 19) · Eliezer Álvarez (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 99 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.210 / .278 / .302

PA99

HR1

K%25

BB%8

ISO92

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$9M ctrl surplus

Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.3	$0.9M	+$0.3M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2035	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$8M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Red Sox Red	—	134	116	28	1	2	2	16	9	0	12	4	241	333	336	670	95	243	7	12	303	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Red Sox	—	189	151	34	6	1	2	32	31	1	37	7	225	364	318	682	93	260	16	17	313	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	134	122	20	1	1	1	10	11	0	12	4	164	227	213	440	49	163	8	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	189	163	28	4	1	2	20	45	1	37	7	172	266	245	512	74	206	24	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	134	122	20	1	1	1	10	11	0	12	4	164	227	213	440	49	170	8	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Red	—	134	116	28	1	2	2	16	9	0	12	4	241	333	336	670	95	243	7	12	303	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	189	163	28	4	1	2	20	45	1	37	7	172	266	245	512	74	215	24	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Red Sox	—	189	151	34	6	1	2	32	31	1	37	7	225	364	318	682	93	260	16	17	313	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	134	123	20	1	1	1	10	11	0	12	4	163	227	211	439	49	163	8	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	189	166	28	4	1	2	20	45	1	37	7	169	266	241	507	72	206	24	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Red	—	134	123	20	1	1	1	10	11	0	12	4	163	227	211	439	49	163	8	7	203	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Red Sox	—	189	166	28	4	1	2	20	45	1	37	7	169	266	241	507	72	206	24	11	233	44	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	BOS	0%	299	272	58	9	2	4	23	74	2	8	1	212	280	305	585	92	274	25	8	266	66	-12	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	BOS	25%	149	135	29	5	1	2	12	36	1	4	1	218	287	321	608	103	277	24	8	275	72	-5	+0	-1	+2	+3	-0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	BOS	38%	254	230	51	8	2	5	20	61	2	6	1	222	292	335	626	113	278	24	8	283	78	-7	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2030	22	MLB MLE	BOS	45%	363	328	75	12	3	8	29	86	3	9	2	225	296	346	642	120	280	24	8	289	82	-8	+1	-1	+4	+8	0.4
2031	23	MLB MLE	BOS	49%	436	393	90	14	3	10	36	103	4	10	2	228	299	355	654	127	282	24	8	294	85	-8	+1	-1	+5	+9	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	BOS	50%	480	433	99	16	3	11	39	113	5	11	2	231	302	362	664	131	283	24	8	298	87	-7	+1	-0	+5	+10	1.0
2033	25	MLB MLE	BOS	51%	506	454	106	17	4	12	42	119	5	11	2	231	302	365	667	134	283	24	8	299	88	-7	+1	+0	+5	+11	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	BOS	51%	521	468	109	17	4	13	43	122	5	11	2	232	302	367	669	135	283	23	8	300	89	-7	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	BOS	50%	523	470	109	17	4	13	43	123	5	11	2	231	302	364	666	134	283	24	8	298	88	-7	+1	+0	+6	+11	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	BOS	50%	520	467	107	17	4	12	43	124	5	10	2	229	300	360	659	131	282	24	8	296	86	-8	+1	-0	+6	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	BOS	49%	509	458	104	16	3	12	42	123	4	9	2	227	297	354	651	127	281	24	8	292	84	-10	+1	-1	+5	+11	0.7
2038	30	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	496	449	100	16	3	11	40	121	4	8	2	224	294	346	640	123	279	24	8	288	81	-11	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.4
2039	31	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	481	435	96	15	3	10	39	119	4	7	2	220	289	337	626	117	276	25	8	282	77	-13	+1	-2	+5	+10	0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	BOS	25%	37	34	7	1	0	1	3	9	0	1	0	223	292	328	619	105	284	24	8	280	72	-1	+0	-0	+0	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	BOS	38%	97	88	20	3	1	2	8	23	1	2	0	227	297	341	638	114	286	24	8	288	78	-3	+0	-0	+1	+2	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	BOS	45%	165	149	34	6	1	3	13	39	2	4	1	231	301	352	653	122	288	24	8	294	82	-4	+0	-1	+2	+4	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	BOS	49%	215	193	45	8	1	5	18	51	2	5	1	234	304	361	665	128	290	24	8	299	85	-4	+1	-0	+2	+5	0.3
2032	24	MLB CTX	BOS	50%	241	217	52	9	2	6	20	57	2	5	1	236	307	369	675	133	291	24	8	302	87	-4	+1	-0	+3	+5	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	BOS	51%	257	232	56	10	2	6	21	60	2	6	1	237	307	372	679	135	292	23	8	304	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	BOS	51%	267	241	57	10	2	6	22	63	2	6	1	237	307	373	681	136	291	24	8	305	89	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	BOS	50%	264	238	56	10	2	6	22	62	2	6	1	236	307	371	677	135	291	23	8	303	88	-4	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	BOS	50%	260	235	56	10	2	6	21	62	2	5	1	234	305	366	671	132	290	24	8	301	86	-4	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	BOS	49%	248	224	52	9	1	6	20	60	2	5	1	232	302	360	662	128	289	24	8	297	84	-5	+1	-1	+3	+5	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	260	235	54	9	2	6	21	64	2	4	1	229	298	353	652	124	287	25	8	293	81	-6	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	265	240	53	9	1	5	21	66	2	4	1	225	294	344	637	118	285	25	8	287	77	-7	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	2576	2326	542	94	17	58	210	616	21	53	10	233	302	363	665	130	291	24	8	298	81	-48	+7	-4	+28	+56	3.9
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	587	137	24	4	15	53	155	5	13	3	233	302	365	667	131	290	24	8	298	81	-12	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5660	5095	1142	178	40	123	466	1330	49	159	33	224	295	347	643	123	277	23	8	288	81	-103	+13	-9	+57	+116	7.6
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	585	131	20	5	14	54	153	6	18	4	224	297	347	644	123	277	24	8	288	81	-12	+2	-1	+7	+14	0.9

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 ROKFCL Red Sox · 189 PAwOBA .314 → .233 (−81)K% 16.4% → 23.6%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.40%	÷1.000	×1.440	—	—	23.62%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	16.93%	÷1.000	×0.620	—	×1.022	10.73%
HBP% /PA	0.53%	—	×0.720	—	×1.022	0.39%
Singles /BIP	20.83%	÷1.000	×0.820	×0.973	×1.022	17.00%
Doubles /BIP	5.00%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.973	×1.022	3.58%
Triples /BIP	0.83%	÷1.000	×0.720	×0.973	×1.022	0.60%
Home runs /BIP	1.67%	÷1.000	×0.780	—	×1.022	1.33%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.973.

Result: wOBA .314 → .233; ISO .093 → .072; BABIP .260 → .206. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Red Sox Red · 134 PAwOBA .301 → .203 (−98)K% 6.7% → 8.4%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	6.72%	÷0.974	×1.220	—	—	8.42%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.94%	÷1.095	×0.700	—	×1.022	7.80%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.022	0.00%
Singles /BIP	21.50%	÷1.017	×0.680	×1.009	×1.022	14.83%
Doubles /BIP	0.93%	÷0.998	×0.600	×1.009	×1.022	0.58%
Triples /BIP	1.87%	÷1.150	×0.600	×1.009	×1.022	1.01%
Home runs /BIP	1.87%	÷0.880	×0.470	—	×1.022	1.02%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 130, K 95, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.009.

Result: wOBA .301 → .203; ISO .095 → .055; BABIP .243 → .163. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Alex Gonzalez'94-'06 * career totals — 12 seasons, 5,528 PA	8.3	5,528	137	97	232*	290*	379*	+55	+6	8.3	10.0
/162	664	16	12	+6.6	+0.8	1.0	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	5.7	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
/162	664	14	6	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
#4Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.0	2,676	60	55	228	295	354	+29	+0	5.7	5.1
/162	664	15	14	+7.1	+0.0	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#6Frank Duffy'70-'79 * career totals — 7 seasons, 2,924 PA	4.4	2,924	26	49	234*	283*	348*	+30	-2	0.9	2.1
/162	664	6	11	+6.7	-0.5	0.2	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jhorman Bravo (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	210/278/302	91	274	1	3	25%	8%	66	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2014 · A	19	36→46	37→45	50→55	46	176/242/253	76	228	4	12	24%	7%	41	-3.0	231/280/336	105	295	5	13	22%	6%	74	-0.6	254/307/364	110	341	6	19	26%	6%	88	+0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	36→46	37→50	52→50	44	176/243/245	69	250	4	14	30%	8%	39	-3.1	199/256/296	97	299	6	9	33%	7%	55	-1.9	221/286/368	148	299	15	9	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Manuel Pena 2022 · A	18	38→48	38→50	50	45	187/249/259	72	249	5	15	26%	7%	45	-2.7	204/254/287	83	304	5	9	32%	6%	53	-2.1	238/273/365	128	316	15	5	29%	4%	76	-0.4
✕Angel Guzman 2024 · A	18	39	39→45	51→55	51	190/275/281	91	246	6	9	24%	9%	61	-1.5	193/294/290	97	272	8	10	29%	11%	70	-0.8	182/294/282	100	260	9	9	30%	12%	65	-0.4
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2024 · A	19	40→43	40→45	50→60	54	191/279/282	92	228	7	12	19%	10%	62	-1.4	201/284/307	106	276	10	23	29%	9%	70	-0.8	195/276/301	106	276	11	32	31%	9%	63	-0.9
✕Angel Ortiz 2022 · A	19	42→45	41→50	46→45	44	206/261/296	90	269	9	9	26%	7%	57	-1.8	207/257/302	95	281	7	7	27%	6%	57	-1.8	227/286/370	143	294	13	8	26%	7%	82	+0.0
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	38→48	37→50	51→50	46	184/251/255	71	245	5	16	26%	8%	45	-2.7	213/271/308	95	288	7	14	27%	7%	64	-1.3	228/292/360	132	326	11	7	31%	7%	81	-0.1
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	194/267/288	94	272	9	17	30%	8%	59	-1.6	221/287/321	100	309	7	21	28%	8%	73	-0.6	269/328/372	103	341	7	29	22%	7%	97	+0.9
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	45→46	37→55	49→50	47	212/272/292	80	272	4	8	22%	7%	61	-1.5	214/265/314	100	290	7	9	27%	6%	63	-1.4	238/297/408	169	279	21	11	23%	7%	95	+0.5
✕Elis Cuevas 2024 · A	19	41	37→40	51→65	45	195/270/275	80	270	3	14	27%	8%	57	-1.8	199/275/294	95	266	9	32	27%	7%	63	-1.3	188/268/283	95	252	12	43	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Jean Carlos Sio 2023 · A	19	38→48	36→45	52→50	52	175/254/238	63	212	3	16	18%	9%	42	-2.9	209/290/287	78	270	5	12	23%	9%	67	-1.1	224/303/331	107	289	11	12	25%	8%	79	-0.2
✕Jesús Báez 2024 · A	19	35→41	40→55	45	46	177/246/265	88	234	7	9	27%	8%	46	-2.6	218/275/368	150	257	19	8	23%	6%	80	-0.1	226/279/407	181	249	27	8	22%	6%	89	+0.4
✕Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→55	55→60	47	200/270/292	91	260	7	13	25%	8%	60	-1.6	205/256/277	72	300	3	25	30%	6%	51	-2.3	240/291/409	169	325	21	27	32%	5%	95	+0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Aroon Escobar 2024 · A	19	38→46	36→45	51→55	54	178/277/245	67	211	4	16	17%	9%	55	-2.0	218/300/318	100	261	10	17	20%	9%	78	-0.3	224/302/327	104	269	12	19	21%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Isan Díaz 2015 · A	19	34→43	39→55	47→45	40	170/236/260	90	270	6	8	37%	7%	40	-3.0	210/275/349	139	306	13	8	34%	8%	76	-0.4	212/290/379	167	275	21	5	30%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Luis Valenzuela 2013 · A	19	41	37→45	51→45	45	196/255/276	80	259	4	6	25%	7%	51	-2.3	211/250/290	79	273	4	8	23%	5%	51	-2.2	263/285/365	102	319	5	7	19%	2%	78	-0.1

Jhorman Bravo

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps