Jhose Brea

P DSL Athletics

Age 19 RHP 6'2" / 190 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKOAK	13	5	33	5.51	4.02	17.6%	12.7%	—	K 12.0% · BB 15.8% · FIP 5.34
2026	18	ROKOAK	11	11	43	3.56	4.45	19.7%	18.7%	—	K 13.4% · BB 23.3% · FIP 5.72
2027PROJ	19	MLBOAK	5	5	24	6.01	6.01	18.1%	19.5%	-0.3
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBOAK	4	4	20	5.63	5.49	19.4%	16.4%	-0.1

Next 2 projected WAR -0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 98%

CompsJose Pena Jr. (age 19) · Jefferson Jean (age 19) · Anderson Munoz (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 147139vR 131

ERA6.01

FIP6.01

K%18.1%

BB%19.5%

K-BB%-1.4%

Proj IP24

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 24 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†4545

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	13	5	33	142	25	18	2	38%	2.5	12.0%	15.8%	-3.9%	2.3%	5.51	5.34	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	13	5	33	142	25	18	2	38%	2.5	12.0%	15.8%	-3.9%	2.3%	5.51	5.34	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	13	5	33	142	25	18	2	38%	2.5	17.6%	12.7%	4.9%	1.4%	5.51	4.02	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	11	43	193	38	36	2	100%	3.9	13.4%	23.3%	-9.9%	1.5%	3.56	5.72	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Athletics	11	11	43	193	38	36	2	100%	3.9	13.4%	23.3%	-9.9%	1.5%	3.56	5.72	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Athletics	11	11	43	193	38	36	2	100%	3.9	19.7%	18.7%	1.0%	1.0%	3.56	4.45	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	OAK	5	5	24	101	18	20	3	100%	4.8	18.1%	19.5%	-1.4%	2.9%	6.01	6.01	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	OAK	9	9	41	171	33	28	5	100%	4.5	19.4%	16.4%	3.0%	2.9%	5.63	5.49	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	OAK	4	4	20	84	16	14	2	100%	5.0	19.4%	16.4%	3.0%	2.9%	5.63	5.49	-0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		4	4	20	84	16	14	2	100%	5.0	19.4%	16.4%	3.0%	2.9%	5.63	5.11	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		43	43	200	844	160	140	20	100%	4.6	19.4%	16.4%	3.0%	2.9%	5.63	5.11	-0.5
Career	—	MLE		24	16	76	335	43	68	6	67%	3.2	12.8%	20.1%	-7.4%	1.8%	4.40	5.56	-0.3
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		63	42	200	885	113	178	16	67%	3.2	12.8%	20.1%	-7.4%	1.8%	4.40	5.56	-1.3

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Jhose Brea (OGILVIE)	—	—	6.01	18.1%	19.5%	2.9%	—	5.49	19.4%	3.0%	41	-0.52	—	—	—
Jose Pena Jr. R 2022 · 5.48 FIP	19	SP-	5.48	15.0%	18.7%	2.3%	.269	4.62	19.2%	3.1%	124	-0.86	3.48	176	89
Jefferson Jean R 2024 · 6.45 FIP	19	SP-	6.45	18.3%	21.5%	4.0%	.311	4.79	16.9%	-0.3%	87	-1.66	4.79	132	89
Anderson Munoz R 2018 · 5.90 FIP	19	SP-	5.90	14.4%	18.2%	3.1%	.306	4.35	25.7%	13.3%	73	-1.55	4.15	109	88
Lisandro Almonte R 2021 · 4.89 FIP	19	SP-	4.89	16.3%	16.4%	2.0%	.298	4.93	19.6%	4.9%	78	+0.04	3.81	128	87
Brailin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.19 FIP	18	SP-	5.19	15.8%	17.8%	2.1%	.322	4.82	16.8%	2.1%	76	-0.37	4.15	168	87
Edgar Isea R 2022 · 5.51 FIP	19	SP-	5.51	19.3%	20.3%	2.7%	.371	5.19	21.4%	-4.1%	98	-0.32	4.50	162	87
Junior Mieses R 2019 · 4.87 FIP	19	SP-	4.87	19.9%	19.2%	1.9%	.296	6.10	18.9%	-1.2%	134	+1.23	4.87	236	86
Samuel Colmenares R 2024 · 6.21 FIP	19	SP-	6.21	17.3%	21.0%	3.5%	.292	3.85	15.8%	8.0%	31	-2.36	3.85	123	86
Jordany Chirinos R 2024 · 4.89 FIP	18	SP-	4.89	16.2%	18.6%	1.4%	.312	5.29	12.2%	-5.4%	46	+0.40	3.40	126	85
Yerlin Rodriguez R 2021 · 5.73 FIP	19	SP-	5.73	20.0%	23.6%	2.4%	.378	4.63	19.9%	0.7%	112	-1.10	3.84	244	85
Daniel Corniel R 2023 · 5.15 FIP	19	SP-	5.15	20.3%	17.1%	2.9%	.364	4.37	15.7%	3.2%	140	-0.78	3.50	218	85
Dennis Santana R 2015 · 5.67 FIP	19	SP	5.67	15.3%	20.0%	2.4%	.319	3.48	20.3%	8.8%	268	-2.19	2.82	782	84
Kyle Larsen R 2024 · 5.54 FIP	21	SP-	5.54	15.8%	17.9%	2.8%	.274	4.95	19.9%	6.2%	83	-0.59	4.83	143	83
Danny Flatt R 2024 · 6.12 FIP	20	SP-	6.12	14.5%	15.7%	4.1%	.304	5.81	13.0%	-1.9%	76	-0.31	5.37	122	83
Keythel Key R 2023 · 5.77 FIP	19	SP-	5.77	13.7%	20.1%	2.3%	.290	5.29	18.8%	2.9%	228	-0.48	4.98	272	83
Chris Viall R 2016 · 5.86 FIP	20	SP-	5.86	18.9%	21.9%	2.9%	.314	5.06	21.3%	5.8%	88	-0.80	4.89	108	82
Denis Diaz R 2015 · 5.51 FIP	20	SP-	5.51	12.7%	16.6%	2.5%	.264	5.65	11.9%	-4.9%	92	+0.14	3.39	129	82
Tyrone Yulie R 2021 · 6.80 FIP	19	SP	6.80	19.7%	22.1%	4.7%	.324	5.30	18.1%	2.7%	166	-1.50	4.87	265	82
Jackson Fristoe R 2023 · 6.07 FIP	22	SP-	6.07	17.0%	24.2%	2.5%	.258	6.12	15.3%	-2.9%	112	+0.05	4.81	139	82
Omar Victorino R 2024 · 5.88 FIP	19	SP-	5.88	19.5%	30.3%	1.1%	.302	5.30	13.2%	-5.7%	97	-0.58	5.26	182	81

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	32	18.9%	17.6%	1.11	5.77
Brian Bruney ('12)	1.3	43	21.2%	15.8%	0.94	4.68
Matt Anderson ('05)	1.3	51	19.3%	13.5%	1.05	5.19
Doug Creek ('05)	1.4	58	22.2%	15.1%	1.52	5.32
Dwayne Henry ('84-'95, -1 WAR*)	1.7	67	23.8%*	14.2%*	0.90*	5.02*
Lloyd Allen ('69-'75, -5 WAR*)	1.5	59	19.8%*	13.9%*	0.79*	5.99*
Ron Piche ('60-'66, -3 WAR*)	1.1	44	20.6%*	12.8%*	1.14*	5.06*