Luis Santos

SS DSL Cubs Blue

Age 19 L/R 5'7" / 162 lbs ROK HR -8% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

OGV OFP35OGV rank#833ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Cubs Blue	134	.269/.351/.420	2	14	36	—	.177/.239/.274
2026	18	ROKDSL Cubs Blue	151	.252/.427/.330	0	17	51	—	.160/.300/.208
2027PROJMLE	19	MLBCHC	261	.230/.304/.321	2	7	79	0.1
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBCHC	45	.237/.311/.340	0	1	83	0.1
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBCHC	112	.239/.314/.350	1	3	87	0.2

Next 3 projected WAR 0.4Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Speed93

Z-Con%92

K%91

Whiff%89

BB%85

wOBA63

Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 0.0 / P90 0.0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 99%

CompsMarcus Lemon (age 19) · Nelson Rada (age 18) · Kendall George (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 78 proj PA

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.228 / .302 / .318

PA78

HR1

K%23

BB%9

ISO91

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$33M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 65 / POW 35

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT65

scouting grade only

POWER35

scouting grade only

EYE66

scouting grade only

SPEED67

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.8	$2M	+$2M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.8	$2M	+$1M
2036	Arb-1	$3M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.2M
2037	Arb-2	$5M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$5M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$6M		$9M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	134	119	32	10	1	2	15	22	0	14	5	269	351	420	771	151	316	16	11	345	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	115	29	3	3	0	32	18	3	17	5	252	427	330	757	78	296	12	21	358	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	134	124	22	7	1	1	10	27	0	14	5	177	239	274	513	97	210	20	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	125	20	2	2	0	22	22	3	17	5	160	300	208	508	48	190	15	15	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	134	124	22	7	1	1	10	27	0	14	5	177	239	274	513	97	219	20	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	134	119	32	10	1	2	15	22	0	14	5	269	351	420	771	151	316	16	11	345	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	125	20	2	2	0	22	22	3	17	5	160	300	208	508	48	192	15	15	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	115	29	3	3	0	32	18	3	17	5	252	427	330	757	78	296	12	21	358	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	134	123	22	7	1	1	10	27	0	14	5	179	239	276	515	98	210	20	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	125	20	2	2	0	22	22	3	17	5	160	300	208	508	48	190	15	15	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	134	123	22	7	1	1	10	27	0	14	5	179	239	276	515	98	210	20	7	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Cubs Blue	—	151	125	20	2	2	0	22	22	3	17	5	160	300	208	508	48	190	15	15	244	51	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	CHC	0%	261	234	54	10	3	2	23	61	2	7	1	230	304	321	625	91	298	23	9	284	79	-7	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	CHC	34%	131	118	27	5	1	1	11	30	1	4	1	234	309	334	642	100	299	23	8	291	83	-3	+0	+0	+1	+3	0.2
2029	21	MLB MLE	CHC	48%	231	207	49	9	2	3	20	53	2	7	1	236	312	344	655	107	300	23	9	296	87	-4	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.5
2030	22	MLB MLE	CHC	54%	342	305	73	13	3	5	30	78	4	10	2	239	314	352	666	113	301	23	9	300	90	-4	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.8
2031	23	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	418	374	90	16	4	7	37	94	4	12	2	240	316	359	674	118	301	22	9	304	92	-4	+2	+0	+4	+9	1.1
2032	24	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	467	418	100	18	4	8	41	105	5	13	3	242	317	364	681	122	301	22	9	306	93	-4	+1	+0	+5	+10	1.3
2033	25	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	495	443	107	19	4	9	44	111	5	14	3	242	317	365	683	123	301	22	9	307	94	-4	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.4
2034	26	MLB MLE	CHC	56%	511	456	111	20	5	9	45	115	5	14	3	242	317	366	683	124	301	23	9	307	94	-4	+2	+0	+5	+11	1.5
2035	27	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	515	459	111	20	5	9	46	117	5	14	3	241	317	363	680	122	301	23	9	306	93	-4	+2	+0	+6	+11	1.4
2036	28	MLB MLE	CHC	55%	511	456	110	20	4	9	45	117	5	13	3	239	315	359	673	119	300	23	9	303	91	-5	+1	-1	+5	+11	1.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	501	447	106	19	4	8	44	116	5	12	3	237	312	353	665	116	299	23	9	300	89	-7	+1	-1	+5	+11	1.0
2038	30	MLB MLE	CHC	53%	489	438	102	18	4	7	43	115	5	11	3	235	309	346	655	111	298	24	9	296	86	-8	+1	-2	+5	+11	0.7
2039	31	MLB MLE	CHC	57%	474	426	98	17	4	7	41	113	4	10	3	231	304	336	641	106	296	24	9	290	82	-10	+1	-3	+5	+10	0.3
2040	32	MLB MLE	CHC	59%	452	407	93	16	4	6	38	110	4	9	4	226	299	325	623	99	292	24	8	283	77	-12	+0	-4	+5	+10	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	CHC	34%	45	41	10	2	1	0	4	10	0	1	0	237	311	340	651	103	304	22	9	295	83	-1	+0	+0	+0	+1	0.1
2029	21	MLB CTX	CHC	48%	112	100	23	4	1	1	10	26	1	3	1	239	314	350	664	110	304	23	9	300	87	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.2
2030	22	MLB CTX	CHC	54%	185	165	40	7	2	3	16	42	2	5	1	241	317	358	674	116	305	23	9	304	90	-2	+1	+0	+2	+4	0.4
2031	23	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	237	211	52	9	3	4	21	53	3	7	1	243	318	364	682	121	305	22	9	307	92	-2	+1	+0	+3	+5	0.6
2032	24	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	264	236	58	11	3	4	23	59	3	8	1	244	319	369	688	124	306	22	9	309	93	-2	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2033	25	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	280	250	61	11	3	5	25	63	3	8	2	245	320	370	690	125	306	22	9	310	94	-2	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2034	26	MLB CTX	CHC	56%	289	259	64	12	3	5	25	65	3	8	2	245	320	371	690	126	305	22	9	310	94	-2	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2035	27	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	286	256	62	11	3	5	25	65	3	8	2	244	319	368	687	124	305	23	9	308	93	-2	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.8
2036	28	MLB CTX	CHC	55%	280	250	61	11	3	5	25	64	3	7	2	242	317	364	681	122	304	23	9	306	91	-3	+1	-0	+3	+6	0.7
2037	29	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	268	239	57	10	3	4	24	62	3	7	1	240	314	358	672	118	304	23	9	303	89	-3	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.6
2038	30	MLB CTX	CHC	53%	257	231	55	10	3	4	22	60	2	6	1	237	311	350	662	113	302	23	9	298	86	-4	+1	-1	+3	+6	0.4
2039	31	MLB CTX	CHC	57%	268	241	57	10	3	4	23	64	2	6	2	233	307	341	648	108	300	24	9	293	82	-6	+0	-2	+3	+6	0.2
2040	32	MLB CTX	CHC	59%	268	241	55	10	2	3	23	65	2	5	2	228	301	329	630	101	296	24	9	285	77	-7	+0	-2	+3	+6	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3039	2720	655	118	33	47	266	698	30	79	18	241	315	360	676	119	306	23	9	303	87	-39	+9	-6	+33	+66	6.3
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	582	140	25	7	10	57	149	6	17	4	241	315	359	674	119	305	23	9	303	87	-8	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.3
Career	—	MLE		—	5900	5273	1236	222	52	90	524	1341	58	176	44	234	311	347	658	113	296	23	9	296	87	-74	+15	-10	+60	+122	11.5
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	136	24	6	10	58	148	6	19	5	234	310	348	658	114	296	23	9	296	87	-9	+2	-1	+7	+14	1.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 DSLDSL Cubs Blue · 151 PAwOBA .353 → .244 (−109)K% 11.9% → 14.5%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	11.92%	÷1.000	×1.220	—	—	14.54%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	21.19%	÷1.000	×0.700	—	×0.995	14.76%
HBP% /PA	1.99%	—	×0.700	—	×0.995	1.38%
Singles /BIP	23.71%	÷1.000	×0.680	×0.974	×0.995	15.63%
Doubles /BIP	3.09%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.974	×0.995	1.80%
Triples /BIP	3.09%	÷1.000	×0.600	×0.974	×0.995	1.80%
Home runs /BIP	0.00%	÷1.000	×0.470	—	×0.995	0.00%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 18.5 → −0.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.974.

Result: wOBA .353 → .244; ISO .078 → .049; BABIP .296 → .190. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 DSLDSL Cubs Blue · 134 PAwOBA .337 → .222 (−114)K% 16.4% → 20.0%

Component	Raw	Park ÷	Level factor ×	GB/FB ×	Age ×	= MLE
K% /PA	16.42%	÷1.001	×1.220	—	—	20.01%
BB% (unintentional) /PA	11.19%	÷1.006	×0.700	—	×1.008	7.85%
HBP% /PA	0.00%	—	×0.700	—	×1.008	0.00%
Singles /BIP	19.59%	÷1.016	×0.680	×1.014	×1.008	13.39%
Doubles /BIP	10.31%	÷0.928	×0.600	×1.014	×1.008	6.81%
Triples /BIP	1.03%	÷1.038	×0.600	×1.014	×1.008	0.61%
Home runs /BIP	2.06%	÷0.926	×0.470	—	×1.008	1.05%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 103, 2B 86, 3B 108, K 100, BB 101 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 18.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.014.

Result: wOBA .337 → .222; ISO .151 → .091; BABIP .316 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Spike Owen'83-'95 * career totals — 13 seasons, 5,615 PA	8.5	5,615	46	82	242*	322*	356*	+55	+30	15.6	15.3
/162	664	5	10	+6.5	+3.6	1.8	pk7: 15
#2Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#5Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.7	3,116	49	81	238	310	354	+33	+24	8.7	7.6
/162	664	10	17	+7.1	+5.1	1.9	pk7: 6
#6Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Santos (OGILVIE)	19	60→65	30→35	62→67	66	228/302/318	90	298	1	2	23%	9%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marcus Lemon 2007 · A	19	49→55	37→40	55→45	52	229/297/306	77	281	3	16	19%	9%	73	-0.6	243/304/333	90	311	4	9	22%	7%	82	-0.0	249/308/338	89	311	4	8	20%	7%	81	-0.0
✕Nelson Rada 2024 · A	18	52→61	36→30	60	51	240/329/312	72	318	3	29	23%	9%	87	+0.4	246/323/306	60	340	2	33	26%	9%	83	+0.1	255/332/312	57	351	2	38	25%	9%	85	+0.2
✕Kendall George 2024 · A	19	55→60	36→30	52→65	48	253/320/322	69	342	3	22	25%	8%	85	+0.2	249/328/307	58	343	2	42	25%	10%	85	+0.2	262/344/315	53	355	2	56	24%	11%	90	+0.4
●Xavier Edwards 2019 · A	19	53→63	37→40	56→60	50	245/308/320	75	309	3	18	21%	8%	80	-0.2	257/303/319	62	306	1	19	15%	6%	77	-0.3	308/366/390	82	353	4	36	13%	8%	116	+2.2
✕Kevyn Castillo 2024 · A	19	49→46	38→50	54→55	53	227/310/317	91	295	4	19	23%	10%	81	-0.1	232/306/336	104	327	8	14	29%	9%	84	+0.1	232/311/351	119	315	11	14	28%	9%	86	+0.2
✕Jaison Chourio 2024 · A	19	49→55	36→40	55	55	224/319/299	75	316	2	18	27%	12%	80	-0.1	232/327/322	90	320	6	23	26%	12%	88	+0.5	235/331/328	92	319	6	27	25%	12%	90	+0.4
✕Forrest Wall 2015 · A	19	48→55	41→45	56→70	47	227/291/331	104	301	7	17	26%	8%	76	-0.4	226/279/325	99	296	7	16	25%	6%	70	-0.8	250/321/350	101	344	8	50	27%	8%	89	+0.3
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Luis Durango 2022 · A	19	50	38→30	54→70	43	233/296/306	73	313	5	25	26%	6%	74	-0.6	213/291/269	56	284	2	28	24%	7%	63	-1.3	249/303/294	44	325	0	54	21%	4%	68	-0.3
✕Hak-Ju Lee 2011 · A	20	54→59	36→40	54→55	45	251/301/319	68	321	2	17	22%	6%	77	-0.3	254/308/346	92	329	4	24	22%	7%	86	+0.3	240/297/328	88	314	4	25	23%	7%	74	-0.4
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Adrian Cardenas 2007 · A	19	47→57	39→45	54→50	43	226/277/312	86	293	6	14	24%	6%	67	-1.1	258/305/354	96	315	6	11	19%	6%	86	+0.3	281/332/373	92	325	5	8	14%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Leo Rivas 2018 · A	20	47→56	37→40	56→65	55	217/314/292	75	284	3	19	23%	11%	78	-0.3	191/275/274	83	293	5	10	33%	10%	59	-1.7	244/357/336	92	322	8	44	24%	14%	103	+1.0
✕Nacho Alvarez Jr. 2023 · A	20	51→54	39→40	55→50	58	237/332/330	93	293	6	14	20%	12%	93	+0.8	243/319/335	92	311	8	14	23%	8%	88	+0.5	244/321/332	88	312	8	14	22%	8%	87	+0.2
✕Carlos Jorge 2022 · A	18	46→56	39→45	62→60	49	216/288/319	103	277	5	24	23%	8%	73	-0.6	208/282/338	130	299	12	26	32%	8%	76	-0.4	193/266/325	132	285	13	29	35%	8%	65	-0.7
●Josue De Paula 2024 · A	19	52→54	38→50	51→55	52	242/326/327	85	316	5	14	23%	10%	89	+0.5	236/331/360	124	307	12	20	25%	12%	99	+1.3	241/338/391	150	298	16	24	23%	12%	106	+1.5
✕Pedro Ramírez 2023 · A	19	50→57	40→45	53→55	44	237/287/335	98	286	6	14	19%	5%	76	-0.4	245/302/345	100	311	7	14	22%	7%	84	+0.1	265/318/375	110	323	9	22	20%	6%	95	+0.8
●Ben Revere 2008 · A	20	51→61	37→40	58→65	45	236/287/321	86	279	2	18	16%	5%	72	-0.7	295/340/373	78	336	2	30	12%	5%	103	+1.6	313/360/382	69	352	2	36	11%	6%	109	+1.5
●Eduardo Quintero 2024 · A	18	46→54	40→45	58→60	53	216/306/324	108	273	5	19	21%	10%	82	-0.0	225/320/342	117	312	9	25	28%	11%	91	+0.7	231/334/361	130	321	12	30	28%	12%	99	+1.0
✕Rudy Martin Jr. 2016 · A	20	50	39→45	60→65	52	228/315/331	103	312	4	16	26%	10%	86	+0.3	205/273/295	90	330	6	26	36%	7%	62	-1.4	220/296/327	107	310	12	41	30%	9%	75	-0.2

Luis Santos

Career Stats + Projections

How the minor-league lines were translated

Career Comps

Career Path Comps