Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips:
RAW = as recorded ·
CTX = with park/league context ·
A+C = actual + context combined ·
MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park. Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors. WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025
17
ROKMLE
DSL Mariners
11
5
36
164
31
11
2
45%
3.3
12.9%
8.4%
4.5%
1.8%
7.50
4.08
—
2025
17
ROKMLE
DSL Mariners
11
5
36
164
31
11
2
45%
3.3
12.9%
8.4%
4.5%
1.8%
7.50
4.08
—
2025
17
ROKRAW
DSL Mariners
11
5
36
164
31
11
2
45%
3.3
18.9%
6.7%
12.2%
1.2%
7.50
3.02
—
2026
18
ROKMLE
DSL Mariners
12
12
48
208
33
14
2
100%
4.0
10.8%
8.4%
2.4%
1.3%
3.02
3.99
—
2026
18
ROKMLE
DSL Mariners
12
12
48
208
33
14
2
100%
4.0
10.8%
8.4%
2.4%
1.3%
3.02
3.99
—
2026
18
ROKRAW
DSL Mariners
12
12
48
208
33
14
2
100%
4.0
15.9%
6.7%
9.1%
1.0%
3.02
3.14
—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027
19
MLB
SEA
6
6
26
110
19
9
3
100%
4.3
16.9%
8.5%
8.4%
2.9%
4.71
4.71
+0.1
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028
20
MLBMLE
SEA
10
10
45
190
35
16
5
100%
4.5
18.6%
8.4%
10.2%
2.8%
4.58
4.53
+0.2
2029
21
MLBMLE
SEA
10
10
47
199
39
16
6
100%
4.7
19.7%
8.2%
11.5%
2.8%
4.46
4.39
+0.3
2030
22
MLBMLE
SEA
10
10
50
209
44
17
6
100%
5.0
21.0%
7.9%
13.1%
2.7%
4.30
4.21
+0.4
2031
23
MLBMLE
SEA
10
10
52
217
47
17
6
100%
5.2
21.8%
7.6%
14.2%
2.7%
4.17
4.08
+0.5
2032
24
MLBMLE
SEA
9
9
53
223
50
16
6
100%
5.9
22.3%
7.4%
15.0%
2.7%
4.06
3.99
+0.6
2033
25
MLBMLE
SEA
9
9
54
226
51
16
6
100%
5.9
22.7%
7.2%
15.5%
2.7%
3.99
3.94
+0.6
2034
26
MLBMLE
SEA
9
9
54
226
52
16
6
100%
5.9
22.9%
7.2%
15.7%
2.7%
3.95
3.92
+0.6
2035
27
MLBMLE
SEA
9
9
53
223
51
16
6
100%
5.9
22.9%
7.3%
15.6%
2.7%
3.95
3.95
+0.6
2028
20
MLBCTX
SEA
5
5
22
93
17
8
3
100%
4.4
18.6%
8.4%
10.2%
2.8%
4.54
4.49
+0.1
2029
21
MLBCTX
SEA
7
7
34
144
28
12
4
100%
4.9
19.7%
8.2%
11.5%
2.7%
4.42
4.35
+0.2
2030
22
MLBCTX
SEA
8
8
42
177
37
14
5
100%
5.2
21.0%
7.9%
13.1%
2.7%
4.26
4.17
+0.3
2031
23
MLBCTX
SEA
9
9
46
194
42
15
5
100%
5.1
21.8%
7.6%
14.2%
2.6%
4.13
4.04
+0.4
2032
24
MLBCTX
SEA
9
9
49
207
46
15
5
100%
5.4
22.3%
7.4%
15.0%
2.6%
4.02
3.95
+0.5
2033
25
MLBCTX
SEA
9
9
50
211
48
15
5
100%
5.6
22.7%
7.2%
15.5%
2.6%
3.95
3.90
+0.6
2034
26
MLBCTX
SEA
8
8
51
215
49
16
6
100%
6.4
22.9%
7.2%
15.7%
2.6%
3.91
3.88
+0.6
2035
27
MLBCTX
SEA
8
8
50
211
48
15
6
100%
6.2
22.9%
7.3%
15.6%
2.6%
3.91
3.91
+0.6
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career
—
RAW
63
63
344
1453
317
110
38
100%
5.5
21.8%
7.6%
14.3%
2.6%
4.10
3.66
+5.2
/ 200 IP
—
RAW
36
36
200
844
184
64
22
100%
5.5
21.8%
7.6%
14.3%
2.6%
4.10
3.66
+3.0
Career
—
MLE
23
17
84
372
44
31
6
74%
3.6
11.7%
8.4%
3.3%
1.6%
4.95
4.03
+3.8
/ 200 IP
—
MLE
55
41
200
889
104
75
14
74%
3.6
11.7%
8.4%
3.3%
1.6%
4.95
4.03
+1.9
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.