Pedro Garcia
P
Lakeland Flying Tigers
Age 24
RHP
6'1" / 190 lbs
A
2026 ROS PROJECTION37 act + 28 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 125116vR 107
ERA4.69
FIP4.69
K%20.9%
BB%10.3%
K-BB%10.6%
ROS IP28
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 65 IP
Grades · Contract
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 13 | 10 | 51 | 202 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 77% | 3.9 | 15.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 4.0% | 3.16 | 4.85 | — |
| 2022 | 20 | ROK | DSL Tigers 2 | 13 | 10 | 51 | 202 | 46 | 11 | 5 | 77% | 3.9 | 22.8% | 5.4% | 17.3% | 2.5% | 3.16 | 3.22 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 8 | 38 | 176 | 39 | 18 | 8 | 67% | 3.2 | 14.9% | 12.6% | 2.3% | 7.8% | 5.40 | 7.72 | — |
| 2023 | 21 | MIX | 2 levels | 12 | 8 | 38 | 176 | 39 | 18 | 8 | 67% | 3.2 | 22.2% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 5.40 | 5.19 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 10 | 59 | 276 | 64 | 38 | 4 | 56% | 3.3 | 16.1% | 16.8% | -0.7% | 2.2% | 5.34 | 5.10 | — |
| 2024 | 22 | MIX | 2 levels | 18 | 10 | 59 | 276 | 64 | 38 | 4 | 56% | 3.3 | 23.2% | 13.8% | 9.4% | 1.4% | 5.34 | 3.74 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 44 | 176 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 10.2% | 10.5% | -0.2% | 4.2% | 2.86 | 5.84 | — |
| 2025 | 23 | MIX | 2 levels | 23 | 0 | 44 | 176 | 26 | 15 | 4 | 0% | 1.9 | 14.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 2.86 | 4.12 | — |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 24 | A | Lakeland Flying Tigers | 25 | 0 | 37 | 199 | 37 | 36 | 7 | 0% | 1.5 | 13.7% | 21.3% | -7.5% | 4.3% | 8.03 | 6.97 | -1.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | DET | 27 | 0 | 28 | 120 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
| ROS | 24 | MLB | DET | — | — | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 20.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 3.0% | 4.69 | 4.69 | — |
| 2026 TOT | 24 | MLB | DET | — | — | 65 | 319 | 62 | 48 | 11 | — | — | 19.5% | 15.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 6.58 | 5.98 | -1.0 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | DET | 27 | 0 | 29 | 122 | 26 | 12 | 4 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| 2027 | 25 | MLB | DET | 11 | 0 | 12 | 51 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 12 | 0 | 12 | 52 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 21.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.18 | +0.1 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 844 | 179 | 81 | 32 | 0% | 1.1 | 21.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 3.0% | 4.59 | 4.18 | +2.9 | ||
| Career | — | 91 | 28 | 230 | 1029 | 147 | 143 | 44 | 31% | 2.5 | 14.3% | 13.9% | 0.4% | 4.3% | 4.82 | 5.99 | -1.6 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 79 | 24 | 200 | 896 | 128 | 124 | 38 | 31% | 2.5 | 14.3% | 13.9% | 0.4% | 4.3% | 4.82 | 5.99 | -1.4 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Pedro Garcia (OGILVIE) | — | — | 4.69 | 20.9% | 10.3% | 3.0% | — | 4.56 | 21.5% | 11.7% | 29 | -0.13 | — | — | — |
| Colby Morris R 2026 · 4.23 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.23 | 20.4% | 10.7% | 2.7% | .291 | 5.76 | 16.2% | 4.4% | 54 | +1.53 | 4.23 | 105 | 86 |
| Brad Deppermann R 2027 · 4.65 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.65 | 17.1% | 9.6% | 3.2% | .289 | 3.44 | 20.0% | 7.8% | 45 | -1.21 | 1.94 | 143 | 86 |
| Ryan Conroy R 2026 · 3.86 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.86 | 22.2% | 9.8% | 2.5% | .353 | 4.73 | 19.3% | 6.7% | 54 | +0.87 | 3.86 | 106 | 86 |
| Kyle Zimmer R 2025 · 3.89 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.89 | 21.8% | 8.6% | 2.8% | .293 | 4.63 | 20.4% | 9.0% | 33 | +0.74 | 2.08 | 276 | 83 |
| Carlo Reyes R 2026 · 4.26 FIP | 24 | SW | 4.26 | 20.4% | 8.6% | 3.2% | .318 | 3.98 | 24.1% | 12.9% | 61 | -0.28 | 2.79 | 229 | 82 |
| Tyler Mitzel R 2025 · 4.21 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.21 | 24.1% | 12.0% | 3.0% | .245 | 4.19 | 22.4% | 14.3% | 96 | -0.02 | 3.95 | 142 | 82 |
| Trent Fennell R 2025 · 3.88 FIP | 23 | SW | 3.88 | 20.6% | 12.2% | 1.8% | .328 | 5.38 | 19.4% | 3.5% | 107 | +1.50 | 3.88 | 163 | 82 |
| Chris Jefferson R 2027 · 3.74 FIP | 25 | SU | 3.74 | 22.4% | 10.2% | 2.3% | .330 | 4.97 | 16.5% | 3.9% | 101 | +1.23 | 3.74 | 140 | 81 |
| Ricardo Velez R 2026 · 4.48 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.48 | 22.4% | 10.9% | 3.5% | .261 | 4.12 | 18.8% | 8.1% | 138 | -0.36 | 3.77 | 166 | 81 |
| Emmanuel Chapman R 2027 · 4.19 FIP | 25 | SW | 4.19 | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.6% | .256 | 4.43 | 18.4% | 2.3% | 111 | +0.24 | 3.87 | 192 | 81 |
| Andrew Bellatti R 2025 · 4.32 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.32 | 19.3% | 8.8% | 3.2% | .288 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.71 | 278 | 81 |
| Kyle Schepel R 2026 · 4.49 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.49 | 23.1% | 10.7% | 3.6% | .233 | 3.63 | 22.1% | 10.4% | 120 | -0.86 | 3.51 | 156 | 80 |
| Jimmy Kingsbury R 2026 · 5.09 FIP | 24 | SW | 5.09 | 18.2% | 9.9% | 4.1% | .304 | 3.92 | 17.8% | 9.2% | 166 | -1.17 | 3.59 | 307 | 80 |
| Austin Ross R 2026 · 4.51 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.51 | 20.7% | 9.6% | 3.5% | .281 | 4.91 | 21.2% | 5.7% | 55 | +0.40 | 4.51 | 121 | 80 |
| Kyle Martin R 2026 · 3.62 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.62 | 21.2% | 9.6% | 2.0% | .345 | 3.45 | 22.4% | 12.5% | 172 | -0.17 | 3.02 | 214 | 80 |
| Hunter Mann R 2026 · 4.27 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.27 | 19.6% | 11.5% | 2.5% | .256 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.01 | 135 | 80 |
| Josh Advocate R 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 24 | SU | 3.58 | 18.8% | 7.3% | 2.1% | .291 | 3.59 | 20.4% | 10.1% | 75 | +0.01 | 3.58 | 118 | 80 |
| Luis Eusebio R 2025 · 4.92 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.92 | 18.2% | 10.6% | 3.7% | .295 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.79 | 131 | 79 |
| Danny Hrbek R 2026 · 4.08 FIP | 24 | SU | 4.08 | 21.3% | 7.5% | 3.3% | .312 | — | — | — | — | — | 4.08 | 100 | 79 |
| Cole Gordon R 2025 · 4.16 FIP | 23 | SU | 4.16 | 22.0% | 12.7% | 2.4% | .243 | 5.20 | 20.9% | 9.5% | 83 | +1.04 | 4.16 | 112 | 79 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 2 | 29 | 21.2% | 10.1% | 1.17 | 4.64 |
| Brandon Maurer ('18) | 4 | 53 | 21.5% | 8.8% | 1.06 | 5.20 |
| Travis Wood ('17) | 3 | 85 | 20.8% | 9.8% | 1.34 | 4.72 |
| José Ruiz ('24) | 5 | 52 | 22.2% | 10.4% | 1.41 | 4.41 |
| Bud Norris ('18) | 4 | 79 | 22.7% | 9.2% | 1.28 | 5.07 |
| Matt Albers ('19) | 5 | 49 | 20.3% | 8.3% | 1.37 | 4.21 |
| Carlos Torres ('17) | 3 | 71 | 20.1% | 9.0% | 0.97 | 3.77 |