Emilker Guzman — OGILVIE

Emilker Guzman P Tri-City Dust Devils

Age 27 RHP 5'10" / 185 lbs A+

2026 ROS PROJECTION0 act + 2 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 120112vR 104

ERA4.56

FIP4.56

K%22.4%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%11.8%

ROS IP2

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 2 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5555

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2017	18	ROK MLE	DSL Angels	17	1	44	166	30	8	0	6%	2.6	12.3%	6.0%	6.3%	0.0%	1.02	2.83	—
2017	18	ROK RAW	DSL Angels	17	1	44	166	30	8	0	6%	2.6	18.1%	4.8%	13.3%	0.0%	1.02	2.28	—
2018	19	ROK MLE	Orem Owlz	13	10	45	183	36	11	2	77%	3.5	13.4%	7.5%	5.9%	1.5%	3.60	3.76	—
2018	19	ROK RAW	Orem Owlz	13	10	45	183	36	11	2	77%	3.5	19.7%	6.0%	13.7%	1.1%	3.60	2.81	—
2021	22	A MLE	Inland Empire 66ers	35	0	52	220	53	12	3	0%	1.5	17.8%	6.4%	11.4%	1.7%	2.26	3.36	—
2021	22	A RAW	Inland Empire 66ers	35	0	52	220	53	12	3	0%	1.5	24.1%	5.5%	18.6%	1.4%	2.26	2.50	—
2022	23	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	40	0	50	213	63	18	2	0%	1.2	22.8%	9.7%	13.1%	1.4%	1.98	3.20	—
2022	23	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	40	0	50	213	63	18	2	0%	1.2	29.6%	8.5%	21.1%	0.9%	1.98	2.18	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	26	0	36	166	42	19	2	0%	1.4	19.5%	13.2%	6.3%	1.5%	3.75	3.96	—
2023	24	A+ MLE	Tri-City Dust Devils	26	0	36	166	42	19	2	0%	1.4	19.5%	13.2%	6.3%	1.5%	3.75	3.96	—
2023	24	A+ RAW	Tri-City Dust Devils	26	0	36	166	42	19	2	0%	1.4	25.3%	11.4%	13.9%	1.2%	3.75	3.07	—
▸ 2026 season — projected remainder (no 2026 stats recorded)
2026	27	MLB	LAA	2	0	2	8	2	1	0	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.7%	11.8%	3.0%	4.56	4.56	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	28	MLB MLE	LAA	20	0	21	88	20	9	3	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	3.1%	4.59	4.62	-0.0
2027	28	MLB CTX	LAA	8	0	8	34	8	4	1	0%	1.0	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	3.1%	4.59	4.62	-0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		7	0	8	32	7	3	1	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	3.1%	4.59	4.24	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	184	79	26	0%	1.1	22.4%	10.7%	11.7%	3.1%	4.59	4.24	+0.7
Career	—	MLE		131	11	227	948	165	80	12	8%	1.7	17.4%	8.5%	8.9%	1.3%	2.46	3.41	-0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		116	10	200	836	146	71	11	8%	1.7	17.4%	8.5%	8.9%	1.3%	2.46	3.41	-0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Emilker Guzman (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.56	22.4%	10.7%	3.0%	—	4.62	22.4%	11.7%	21	+0.06	—	—	—
Ricardo Velez R 2023 · 4.44 FIP	24	SU	4.44	22.4%	10.9%	3.4%	.261	4.09	18.8%	8.1%	138	-0.35	3.83	166	84
Joe Colón J R 2017 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	20.4%	12.1%	2.4%	.315	—	—	—	—	—	3.27	113	83
Kaleb Bowman R 2023 · 3.88 FIP	26	SU	3.88	22.0%	7.5%	3.1%	.333	4.55	17.5%	6.5%	168	+0.67	3.88	202	82
Spencer Bivens R 2022 · 4.86 FIP	28	SU	4.86	19.8%	13.5%	3.1%	.265	3.86	18.0%	10.2%	272	-1.00	3.52	390	81
Michael Flynn R 2023 · 4.31 FIP	26	SU	4.31	26.5%	11.2%	3.7%	.299	4.42	20.8%	10.2%	92	+0.11	3.89	168	81
Michael Dimock R 2017 · 4.12 FIP	27	SU	4.12	18.9%	7.8%	2.9%	.339	3.37	23.5%	12.8%	29	-0.75	3.08	166	81
Ronald Peña R 2019 · 4.55 FIP	27	SU	4.55	20.5%	12.6%	2.9%	.355	4.49	16.5%	6.1%	39	-0.06	3.72	187	81
Harrison Cohen R 2023 · 4.56 FIP	24	SU	4.56	22.4%	13.4%	3.0%	.282	4.21	22.0%	8.7%	119	-0.35	2.12	165	80
Brad Deppermann R 2023 · 4.25 FIP	27	SU	4.25	22.7%	9.4%	3.4%	.417	2.87	19.5%	13.2%	71	-1.38	1.94	143	80
Luis Mateo R 2017 · 4.60 FIP	27	SU	4.60	17.6%	11.2%	2.9%	.309	5.55	8.6%	-4.8%	43	+0.95	3.48	160	80
Cole Sulser R 2017 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	22.6%	10.2%	1.9%	.321	2.85	28.2%	18.4%	140	-0.67	2.39	547	80
Tyler Sturdevant R 2015 · 4.37 FIP	29	SU	4.37	21.3%	8.5%	3.6%	.241	3.97	18.5%	11.9%	118	-0.40	3.44	149	80
Grant Sides R 2016 · 3.83 FIP	27	SU	3.83	22.4%	11.9%	2.0%	.247	3.31	21.7%	11.9%	47	-0.52	3.31	159	80
Taylor Williams R 2018 · 3.52 FIP	27	SU	3.52	24.2%	8.9%	2.4%	.309	4.35	22.5%	12.7%	108	+0.83	2.51	309	80
Nolan Clenney R 2023 · 4.79 FIP	27	SU	4.79	22.6%	10.1%	4.2%	.341	4.58	17.2%	7.5%	71	-0.21	3.73	223	80
Hunter Parsons R 2023 · 4.88 FIP	26	SU	4.88	22.0%	10.0%	4.3%	.274	6.70	25.5%	9.0%	29	+1.82	4.73	183	79
Austin Ross R 2016 · 3.81 FIP	27	SU	3.81	22.9%	8.0%	3.0%	.295	3.67	12.4%	5.2%	127	-0.14	3.16	269	79
Jose Rafael De Paula R 2018 · 5.07 FIP	27	SU	5.07	22.2%	11.4%	4.4%	.256	4.43	23.3%	9.7%	39	-0.64	2.64	315	79
Sam Gardner R 2023 · 4.04 FIP	26	SU	4.04	23.8%	15.1%	1.9%	.298	3.07	26.7%	16.7%	73	-0.97	2.28	118	79
Rob Scahill R 2015 · 3.91 FIP	28	SU	3.91	16.9%	7.7%	2.3%	.288	3.34	17.9%	10.1%	171	-0.57	3.06	201	79