Juan Rojas

SS FCL Astros

Age 19 L/R 6'1" / 190 lbs ROK HR -6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Astros Or…	199	.286/.464/.374	2	11	67	—	.186/.332/.236
2026	18	ROKHOU	162	.252/.442/.357	1	7	72	—	.205/.344/.291
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBHOU	272	.204/.293/.281	2	5	66	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBHOU	76	.212/.301/.301	1	2	72	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBHOU	169	.216/.305/.315	2	4	77	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

BB%84

wRC+76

Chase%68

wOBA64

Z-Con%52

Speed48

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 1, comp-based) · star 3% · didn't stick 92%

CompsMarco Vargas (age 19) · Daniel Montesino (age 19) · Yeniel Laboy (age 20)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 135 proj PA

wRC+†66

AVG/OBP/SLG.202 / .291 / .278

PA135

HR1

K%27

BB%10

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$19M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 25

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER25

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.6	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.3	$0.6M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$6M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	147	42	5	1	2	44	37	5	11	5	286	464	374	838	88	360	19	22	389	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	FCL Astros	—	162	115	29	7	1	1	34	36	5	7	4	252	442	357	798	104	346	22	21	359	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	161	30	3	1	1	30	45	5	11	5	186	332	236	568	50	236	23	15	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	162	127	26	6	1	1	22	52	5	7	4	205	344	291	635	87	283	32	14	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	161	30	3	1	1	30	45	5	11	5	186	332	236	568	50	246	23	15	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	147	42	5	1	2	44	37	5	11	5	286	464	374	838	88	360	19	22	389	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	162	127	26	6	1	1	22	52	5	7	4	205	344	291	635	87	325	32	14	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	FCL Astros	—	162	115	29	7	1	1	34	36	5	7	4	252	442	357	798	104	346	22	21	359	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	162	30	3	1	1	30	45	5	11	5	185	332	235	566	49	236	23	15	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	162	134	26	6	1	1	22	52	5	7	4	194	344	276	620	82	283	32	14	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Astros Orange	—	199	162	30	3	1	1	30	45	5	11	5	185	332	235	566	49	236	23	15	267	67	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	FCL Astros	—	162	134	26	6	1	1	22	52	5	7	4	194	344	276	620	82	283	32	14	274	72	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	HOU	0%	272	239	48	8	2	2	27	74	4	5	1	204	293	281	574	77	282	27	10	266	66	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	HOU	34%	220	193	40	7	1	2	22	59	3	5	1	209	299	297	596	88	284	27	10	275	72	-7	+1	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	HOU	48%	348	306	65	11	2	5	34	92	5	7	2	213	303	311	614	97	286	26	10	282	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	HOU	54%	441	389	84	14	3	7	43	115	6	10	3	217	306	322	628	105	287	26	10	287	80	-10	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	501	440	98	17	3	9	49	129	7	11	3	220	308	330	639	110	288	26	10	291	83	-10	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	541	475	105	18	3	10	53	138	8	12	4	222	310	337	647	115	289	26	10	294	85	-9	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	HOU	57%	565	497	111	19	4	10	55	144	8	12	4	223	310	339	649	116	289	25	10	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+6	+12	1.0
2034	26	MLB MLE	HOU	56%	577	508	113	19	4	11	56	148	8	12	4	223	310	339	649	116	289	26	10	295	86	-10	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	HOU	55%	580	510	114	19	4	11	57	149	8	12	4	222	309	336	646	115	288	26	10	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	HOU	59%	578	508	111	19	3	10	57	150	8	11	4	220	307	332	639	112	288	26	10	291	83	-12	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	HOU	61%	569	502	110	19	3	10	55	149	7	10	4	218	305	326	630	108	286	26	10	288	81	-13	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.5
2038	30	MLB MLE	HOU	62%	559	493	106	18	3	9	54	148	7	9	4	215	301	318	620	103	285	26	10	283	78	-15	+0	-2	+6	+12	0.2
2039	31	MLB MLE	HOU	63%	546	482	102	17	3	8	52	147	7	8	5	211	297	309	605	98	282	27	10	278	74	-17	-0	-3	+6	+12	-0.2
2028	20	MLB CTX	HOU	34%	76	68	15	3	1	1	7	20	1	2	0	212	301	301	602	90	288	26	9	277	72	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	HOU	48%	169	148	32	6	1	2	17	45	2	4	1	216	305	315	620	99	290	27	10	284	77	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	HOU	54%	239	210	47	8	2	4	24	62	3	5	2	220	308	325	634	106	291	26	10	289	80	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	284	250	56	10	2	5	28	73	4	6	2	223	310	334	644	111	292	26	10	293	83	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	306	269	60	11	2	5	30	78	4	7	2	225	312	341	653	116	293	25	10	297	85	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	HOU	57%	319	281	63	11	2	6	31	82	4	7	2	225	313	342	654	117	293	26	10	297	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2034	26	MLB CTX	HOU	56%	326	286	65	12	2	6	32	83	5	7	2	225	313	342	655	117	293	25	10	297	86	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	HOU	55%	322	283	63	11	2	6	32	83	4	7	2	224	312	340	651	115	293	26	10	296	85	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	HOU	59%	342	301	67	12	2	6	33	89	5	7	2	222	310	335	645	113	292	26	10	293	83	-7	+1	-0	+4	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	HOU	61%	347	305	68	12	2	6	34	91	5	6	2	220	307	329	636	109	291	26	10	290	81	-8	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.3
2038	30	MLB CTX	HOU	62%	348	307	66	12	2	5	34	92	4	6	3	217	304	322	625	104	289	26	10	286	78	-9	+0	-1	+4	+8	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	HOU	63%	345	305	66	12	2	5	33	93	4	5	3	213	299	312	611	99	286	27	10	280	74	-11	-0	-2	+4	+7	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3423	3013	668	120	22	57	335	891	45	69	23	222	309	333	642	111	293	26	10	291	81	-75	+5	-4	+37	+74	3.7
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	572	127	23	4	11	64	169	9	13	4	222	311	334	644	112	293	26	10	291	81	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6521	5710	1239	210	39	105	652	1702	94	140	52	217	307	323	630	106	288	26	10	287	81	-138	+7	-7	+66	+133	6.3
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	569	123	21	4	10	65	170	9	14	5	216	306	320	626	104	288	26	10	287	81	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	4.9	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
/162	664	20	13	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#3Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#4Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	5.4	3,555	59	70	219	303	327	+38	+24	6.1	5.5
/162	664	11	13	+7.1	+4.5	1.1	pk7: 5
#5George Strickland'50-'60 * career totals — 8 seasons, 3,266 PA	4.9	3,266	36	12	219*	302*	329*	+28	+19	3.8	5.0
/162	664	7	2	+5.7	+3.8	0.8	pk7: 6
#6Lena Blackburne'10-'27 * career totals — 5 seasons, 2,086 PA	3.1	2,086	4	54	215*	288*	334*	+13	+11	2.0	2.0
/162	664	1	17	+4.2	+3.4	0.6	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Rojas (OGILVIE)	19	45	25	55	60	202/291/278	77	282	1	3	27%	10%	66	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Marco Vargas 2024 · A	19	45→46	37→40	50→60	57	208/302/289	81	267	4	13	22%	12%	72	-0.7	214/295/280	66	304	3	25	27%	10%	67	-1.1	220/295/283	63	320	3	36	29%	9%	65	-0.6
✕Daniel Montesino 2023 · A	19	46	38→40	48→45	50	212/301/299	87	300	5	8	28%	10%	74	-0.5	199/264/269	70	309	2	9	33%	7%	53	-2.1	176/234/225	50	289	0	8	36%	6%	29	-1.1
✕Yeniel Laboy 2024 · A	20	43	37→30	52→45	47	200/283/268	68	287	5	8	29%	9%	61	-1.5	199/274/263	64	285	4	7	29%	8%	55	-1.9	166/248/183	18	241	0	3	28%	9%	26	-1.3
✕Jeremy Arocho 2018 · A	19	43→44	38→30	53→60	41	204/261/287	83	286	4	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	223/282/290	67	291	2	11	22%	7%	64	-1.3	230/324/274	45	312	0	26	23%	11%	74	-0.3
✕Adrian Santana 2024 · A	19	44→49	37→30	52→60	45	206/278/282	76	295	4	10	29%	8%	61	-1.5	217/263/276	59	271	2	32	19%	6%	53	-2.1	228/274/284	56	276	2	38	17%	5%	56	-1.3
✕Raynel Delgado 2019 · A	19	50→56	36→40	50→60	45	226/293/294	68	335	3	11	31%	9%	69	-0.9	208/262/282	74	311	4	10	32%	6%	55	-2.0	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Victor Arias 2023 · A	19	43→50	37→45	49→50	47	199/284/273	74	302	3	11	32%	10%	62	-1.4	217/300/325	108	317	8	16	31%	9%	80	-0.2	226/304/342	116	321	9	18	30%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Yendry Rojas 2024 · A	19	42	35→30	53→50	51	195/284/257	62	268	3	13	26%	10%	59	-1.7	186/253/240	54	272	2	13	29%	8%	42	-2.9	166/230/204	39	243	0	15	29%	7%	24	-1.6
✕Elis Cuevas 2024 · A	19	41	37→40	51→65	45	195/270/275	80	270	3	14	27%	8%	57	-1.8	199/275/294	95	266	9	32	27%	7%	63	-1.3	188/268/283	95	252	12	43	29%	7%	56	-0.8
✕Derek Bernard 2024 · A	18	43→46	40	54→50	47	206/274/303	97	275	7	16	26%	8%	65	-1.2	215/276/314	99	339	7	13	36%	7%	68	-1.0	218/283/320	102	353	8	12	38%	8%	68	-0.5
✕Rafael Ramirez Jr. 2024 · A	19	39	39→40	51→45	52	184/289/271	87	279	5	10	32%	12%	64	-1.3	183/279/280	97	312	6	8	38%	11%	62	-1.4	181/284/294	113	294	8	6	37%	12%	65	-0.6
✕Jose Escobar 2024 · A	19	46→56	39→40	55→45	42	220/276/306	85	277	6	14	22%	5%	65	-1.2	227/297/326	99	296	8	9	24%	7%	78	-0.3	236/304/334	98	303	8	8	23%	7%	80	-0.1
✕Esteban González 2022 · A	19	45	37→45	55	47	206/288/291	85	281	2	12	25%	8%	68	-1.0	208/275/302	94	298	6	18	30%	6%	65	-1.2	207/269/318	111	298	8	29	32%	5%	64	-0.5
✕Emil Turbi 2024 · A	19	44	37→40	50	50	201/292/280	79	280	2	12	26%	10%	67	-1.1	185/261/244	59	329	2	9	40%	8%	47	-2.6	139/215/159	21	300	0	9	49%	7%	9	-1.0
✕Samuel Gil 2024 · A	19	44→46	38→30	49→50	49	209/281/286	77	274	5	9	24%	9%	63	-1.3	207/282/262	55	276	2	9	23%	9%	58	-1.7	203/281/245	42	265	1	9	22%	9%	51	-1.5
✕Ronny Hernandez 2024 · A	19	44→53	39→40	49→30	46	211/281/302	91	288	6	4	28%	8%	67	-1.1	227/301/310	83	296	7	3	24%	9%	76	-0.4	229/306/323	94	287	11	1	22%	10%	79	-0.1
✕James Beresford 2008 · A	19	48→58	34→30	49→45	43	224/270/272	48	290	2	10	23%	6%	54	-2.0	240/287/281	41	306	1	7	20%	6%	63	-1.4	286/319/337	51	336	1	6	15%	4%	84	+0.1
✕Victor Rodrigues 2024 · A	19	42	37→30	47→50	51	198/275/273	75	246	5	10	21%	9%	58	-1.7	215/298/280	65	272	5	7	21%	10%	69	-0.9	213/306/263	50	270	4	5	20%	11%	66	-0.5
✕Michael De La Cruz 2015 · A	19	41	35→40	46→50	53	191/283/246	55	262	2	10	26%	11%	55	-1.9	187/254/251	64	288	3	9	33%	8%	45	-2.7	169/235/228	58	266	2	10	34%	7%	30	-1.3
✕Jorge Minyety 2010 · A	19	44	34→30	50	57	200/297/258	58	260	1	14	21%	12%	63	-1.3	214/284/278	64	299	2	9	27%	9%	62	-1.4	225/293/261	35	317	0	4	26%	9%	58	-0.4

Juan Rojas

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps