Yendry RojasSS Lake Elsinore Storm
Age 21 L/R 6'0" / 185 lbs A HR -7% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036
2026 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 254 proj PA
wRC+†43
AVG/OBP/SLG.196 / .264 / .255
PA254
HR1
SB5
K%24
BB%8
ISO59
MLB%0%
Value2026 · WAR
BAT: -16.2 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-16BATRUN: +0.8 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+1RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: +2.7 runs (Positional adjustment)+3POSREP: +7.2 runs (Replacement-level credit)+7REPTotal WAR: -0.60-0.6WAR
0.00.51.00.10.40.60.70.70.50.40.2+$25M ctrl surplus26272829303132333435
projected WAR paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit
Tools · ContractCON 30 / POW 20
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT30
scouting grade only
POWER20
scouting grade only
EYE40
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2031
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2036
First FA Year   2037
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2026MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2032Pre-Arb$0.9M+0.7$2M+$1M
2033Pre-Arb$1.0M+0.5$1M+$0.7M
2034Arb-1$0.8M+0.4$0.9M+$0.5M
2035Arb-2$0.7M+0.2$0.4M+$0.1M
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $4M $6M +$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Padres 187164 36320 16340 146 220289262551 43267 189 257 55
202217 ROKDSL Padres 187154 43440 26230 146 279383357740 78316 1214 328 109
202318 ROKACL Padres 173145 24221 20576 90 166292228520 62258 3312 239 41
202318 ROKACL Padres 173135 30321 30386 90 222386296682 74296 2217 325 107
202419 ROKACL Padres 189172 27510 12541 102 157216198414 41225 296 188 2
202419 ROKACL Padres 189165 38820 19371 102 230314303617 73292 2010 280 72
202520 ALake Elsinore Storm 266237 39700 23821 125 165241194435 30244 319 204 14
202520 ALake Elsinore Storm 266231 481100 29561 125 208299255554 48267 2111 258 55
▸ 2026 Season
202621 MLBSD 254231 461011 19602 51 199266264530 65263 247 242 43 -16 +1 +0 +3 +7 -0.6
▸ 2027+ Projections   WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ
202722 MLBSD 34% 317286 591213 25743 62 206277287564 80267 238 260 57 -15 +0 +0 +3 +9 -0.3
202823 MLBSD 48% 402363 781625 32924 82 215286311597 96270 238 271 66 -16 +1 +0 +4 +11 0.1
202924 MLBSD 53% 458414 901827 371044 93 217288321609 104272 238 278 71 -15 +1 +0 +5 +13 0.4
203025 MLBSD 55% 489442 961928 401114 93 217288324612 106273 238 282 74 -14 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.6
203126 MLBSD 56% 507455 1012029 421155 103 222295334629 112273 238 284 75 -14 +1 +0 +5 +14 0.7
203227 MLBSD 55% 513460 1012029 431165 103 220293330624 111273 238 284 76 -14 +1 +0 +5 +15 0.7
203328 MLBSD 55% 512459 1012029 431175 93 220294331625 111272 238 283 75 -15 +1 -1 +5 +15 0.5
203429 MLBSD 53% 505452 1002029 431165 93 221296334630 113272 239 281 74 -15 +1 -1 +5 +14 0.4
203530 MLBSD 53% 496447 961928 421154 82 215288320608 105271 238 279 72 -16 +1 -2 +5 +14 0.2
202722 MLBSD 34% 10998 21411 9251 21 214287306593 92264 238 251 50 -6 +0 +0 +1 +3 -0.2
202823 MLBSD 48% 195175 36712 16452 41 206280291571 86267 238 262 58 -9 +0 +0 +2 +6 -0.1
202924 MLBSD 53% 241218 47914 19552 51 216285321606 106269 238 268 64 -10 +1 +0 +3 +7 0.0
203025 MLBSD 55% 268242 521014 22612 51 215286314600 99269 238 272 66 -10 +1 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203126 MLBSD 56% 282254 551115 23643 52 217289327616 110269 238 274 67 -10 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203227 MLBSD 55% 282254 551115 23643 52 217289327616 110269 238 274 68 -10 +0 +0 +3 +8 0.1
203328 MLBSD 55% 280251 551115 24643 51 219295331626 112269 239 273 67 -10 +1 -0 +3 +8 0.1
203429 MLBSD 53% 269242 511014 23622 51 211285310595 99268 239 271 66 -10 +1 -1 +3 +8 -0.0
203530 MLBSD 53% 261235 501014 22612 41 213286315601 102267 238 269 64 -11 +0 -1 +3 +7 -0.1
▸ Career Totals
Career 21871969 42283934 18150120 4011 214287317605 103269 238 270 65 -88 +4 -2 +23 +62 -0.1
/ 162G 650585 12625310 541496 123 215288320608 104270 238 270 65 -26 +1 -1 +7 +18 -0.0
Career 52684727 9941912369 437124749 12838 210284304588 94268 248 268 63 -218 +10 -4 +56 +149 -0.6
/ 162G 650583 1242439 541546 165 213286310597 98271 248 268 63 -27 +1 -1 +7 +18 -0.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
202217 ROKDSL Padres 187154 43440 26230 146 279383357740 78316 1214 328 109 +2 +0 +5 0.8
202318 ROKACL Padres 173135 30321 30386 90 222386296682 74296 2217 325 107 +1 +2 +5 0.8
202419 ROKACL Padres 189165 38820 19371 102 230314303617 73292 2010 280 72 -6 +1 +5 0.1
202520 ALake Elsinore Storm 266231 481100 29561 125 208299255554 48267 2111 258 55 -13 +0 +8 -0.6

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 gamesYRSPAHRSBAVGOBPSLGPOSFLDWARJAWS
#1Mike Mathenylast yr '06
career totals — 7 seasons, 2,830 PA
72,830452244301351+21+317.27.2
/162664110+4.9+7.21.7pk7: 7
#2Sandy Leónlast yr '22
career totals — 9 seasons, 1,648 PA
91,648311209276313+29+566.46.7
/162664120+11.9+22.42.6pk7: 7
#3Ronny Cedenolast yr '13
career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA
92,7834039246289354+28+195.55.6
/162664109+6.7+4.51.3pk7: 6
#4Adam Engellast yr '22
career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA
61,5403047225280350+4+334.24.2
/1626641320+1.8+14.41.8pk7: 4
#5Ryan Goinslast yr '19
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA
71,680226230279335+9+212.02.0
/16266492+3.7+8.50.8pk7: 2
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION
career totals — every cell rolls up across 6 projected seasons
62,4413746217286321+26+181.41.7
/1626641012+7.1+4.90.4pk7: 2
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17
career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA
71,9012139231275323+14-6-1.1-1.1
/162664714+4.9-2.1-0.4pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

Scouting At Match Age Next 3 Yrs Peak 3 Yrs
Comp Age HIT PWR SPD EYE AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR AVG/OBP/SLG ISOBABIP HRSB K%BB% wRC+WAR
Yendry Rojas (OGILVIE) 21 30 20 50 40 196/264/255 58263 15 24% 8% 43 -0.9
Kier Meredith
2022 · A
22 42 36→30 51→60 45 198/268/265 67279 412 29% 8% 47 -1.9 206/304/278 72297 426 29% 9% 68 -0.5 217/333/2685129933525%10%75-0.0
Aaron Shipman
2013 · A
21 39→35 35→30 44→50 48 182/265/240 58277 29 32% 10% 40 -2.4 219/302/285 66307 216 26% 10% 67 -0.5 235/324/2935831912124%11%73-0.1
Richard Rodriguez
2014 · A
21 42 33→30 48→50 48 196/255/237 41245 114 20% 7% 34 -2.8 237/286/279 42293 110 18% 6% 56 -1.3 240/291/2581828901116%7%52-0.5
Oswal Leones
2021 · A
20 41 36→30 46→50 46 196/259/262 66262 412 25% 7% 43 -2.2 196/259/262 66296 38 32% 7% 43 -2.2 176/243/231552712933%7%25-1.1
Shane Mardirosian
2017 · A
21 40→39 36→40 46→45 39 194/238/261 67262 39 26% 4% 33 -2.9 201/254/280 79291 68 31% 6% 45 -2.1 196/265/280833017735%7%50-0.6
Jason Denham
2007 · A
21 40→45 35→40 53→55 44 190/254/251 61280 310 31% 8% 37 -2.6 218/277/298 80290 818 26% 7% 59 -1.1 217/279/2927428482125%7%57-0.8
Terry Serrano
2008 · A
21 41 35→30 46→55 49 191/267/245 53257 213 25% 9% 42 -2.3 202/275/269 67295 316 29% 9% 51 -1.7 195/275/2626729822232%10%46-0.8
Michael De La Cruz
2016 · A
20 41 36→40 45→50 44 192/261/262 70277 49 30% 8% 43 -2.2 192/257/257 65308 310 35% 8% 40 -2.4 156/232/1883126901438%9%10-1.5
Rayneldy Rosario
2019 · A
21 43 34→30 46→55 39 204/235/254 50254 212 21% 3% 28 -3.2 187/231/246 59265 37 29% 5% 25 -3.5 114/161/126121780334%5%-38-1.6
Juan Centeno
2011 · A
21 43 37→45 50→40 44 204/257/271 67265 49 24% 6% 44 -2.1 244/285/305 61305 26 20% 5% 63 -0.8 238/286/35211428111219%5%73-0.1
Omar Guerra
2008 · A
21 41 35→30 48→50 45 193/274/246 53257 29 24% 7% 46 -2.0 220/315/279 59272 211 19% 6% 73 -0.1 229/342/2683927701515%5%79+0.1
Luis Valenzuela
2015 · A
21 41 37→45 55→45 39 197/236/272 76265 47 27% 5% 34 -2.8 241/267/333 92304 57 22% 3% 63 -0.9 257/280/3581003165720%2%71-0.1
Ricardo Andujar
2014 · A
21 40→45 34→30 46→50 48 185/263/239 53253 110 25% 8% 39 -2.5 220/274/279 59285 212 22% 6% 53 -1.5 224/268/2866129721224%5%48-1.0
Jose Dilone
2022 · A
21 39 35→30 49→55 39 186/248/239 53282 211 33% 6% 32 -3.0 194/275/273 79336 612 40% 9% 53 -1.5 172/273/2477531271742%11%43-0.5
Sergio Burruel
2012 · A
21 42 35→30 42→30 47 198/274/259 61274 34 27% 8% 50 -1.8 213/266/275 62297 36 27% 6% 48 -1.9 241/305/316752938120%8%73-0.1
Thomas Milone
2016 · A
21 43→44 36→45 50→55 39 204/250/268 65283 314 28% 5% 40 -2.4 197/250/267 70287 312 31% 6% 40 -2.4 243/298/36912534081729%6%82+0.3
Deivis Nadal
2023 · A
21 37 36→40 48→55 37 175/244/240 65289 314 38% 6% 31 -3.0 173/255/277 104332 919 46% 9% 46 -2.0 140/234/249109282112549%10%28-1.4
Gregori Gonzalez
2010 · A
21 39 35→30 46→55 38 188/230/246 58269 314 30% 5% 25 -3.5 217/258/295 78269 313 20% 4% 50 -1.8 230/267/3178727531517%3%58-0.3
Nelson Molina
2016 · A
21 40 35→40 49→40 45 187/232/237 50224 39 18% 5% 24 -3.6 221/263/287 66280 45 21% 5% 50 -1.8 220/258/283642804422%4%44-1.1
Branden Becker
2018 · A
21 41 35→40 40→30 41 196/240/250 53255 24 23% 5% 30 -3.1 233/275/313 80323 64 28% 5% 62 -0.9 248/286/321733447129%4%64-0.5