Carlos Salazar

SS DSL Tampa Bay

Age 19 R/R 5'10" / 165 lbs ROK HR -6%H +4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKTB	74	.214/.389/.268	0	0	42	—	.150/.292/.183
2026	18	ROKDSL Tampa Bay	175	.243/.361/.307	1	9	30	—	.171/.271/.219
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBTB	285	.219/.292/.293	2	5	68	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBTB	79	.225/.299/.308	1	2	73	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBTB	172	.228/.303/.318	2	4	77	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 Rk

Whiff%78

K%71

Z-Con%71

Chase%47

Speed39

BB%31

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 97%

CompsIsiah Kiner-Falefa (age 19) · Luisangel Acuña (age 19) · Cooper Pratt (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 146 proj PA

wRC+†68

AVG/OBP/SLG.217 / .289 / .290

PA146

HR1

K%25

BB%8

ISO74

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$17M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 56 / POW 34

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT56

scouting grade only

POWER34

scouting grade only

EYE61

scouting grade only

SPEED54

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.7M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.4	$0.8M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$3M		$5M	+$2M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Rays	—	74	56	12	3	0	0	13	14	3	0	3	214	389	268	657	54	279	19	18	314	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	140	34	6	0	1	22	30	4	9	4	243	361	307	669	64	289	17	13	300	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	74	60	9	2	0	0	9	17	3	0	3	150	292	183	475	33	200	23	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	146	25	4	0	1	16	37	4	9	4	171	271	219	490	48	191	21	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	74	60	9	2	0	0	9	17	3	0	3	150	292	183	475	33	205	23	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Rays	—	74	56	12	3	0	0	13	14	3	0	3	214	389	268	657	54	279	19	18	314	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	146	25	4	0	1	16	37	4	9	4	171	271	219	490	48	212	21	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	140	34	6	0	1	22	30	4	9	4	243	361	307	669	64	289	17	13	300	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	74	62	9	2	0	0	9	17	3	0	3	145	292	177	469	32	200	23	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	153	25	4	0	1	16	37	4	9	4	163	271	209	480	46	191	21	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Rays	—	74	62	9	2	0	0	9	17	3	0	3	145	292	177	469	32	200	23	12	231	42	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Tampa Bay	—	175	153	25	4	0	1	16	37	4	9	4	163	271	209	480	46	191	21	9	212	30	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	TB	0%	285	256	57	10	2	2	23	71	4	5	1	219	292	293	584	74	291	25	8	268	68	-11	+1	+0	+3	+6	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	TB	34%	230	207	46	8	1	2	18	57	3	4	1	223	297	306	603	83	293	25	8	276	73	-7	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.0
2029	21	MLB MLE	TB	48%	356	319	71	12	2	4	29	87	5	7	2	226	300	317	618	91	294	24	8	282	77	-10	+1	+0	+4	+8	0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	TB	54%	446	401	92	16	3	6	36	108	6	9	3	228	303	327	630	98	294	24	8	286	80	-11	+1	+0	+5	+10	0.5
2031	23	MLB MLE	TB	57%	506	452	105	18	3	8	42	121	7	11	3	231	305	334	640	104	295	24	8	290	83	-10	+1	+0	+5	+11	0.7
2032	24	MLB MLE	TB	57%	545	487	114	20	3	9	45	130	8	12	4	233	307	341	648	108	296	24	8	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2033	25	MLB MLE	TB	57%	568	508	118	20	3	10	47	136	8	12	4	233	308	342	650	109	296	24	8	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+12	0.9
2034	26	MLB MLE	TB	56%	580	519	121	21	3	10	48	138	8	12	4	233	308	343	651	110	296	24	8	294	85	-10	+1	+0	+6	+13	1.0
2035	27	MLB MLE	TB	55%	583	522	121	21	3	10	48	140	8	12	4	232	307	341	647	109	295	24	8	293	84	-11	+1	+0	+6	+13	0.9
2036	28	MLB MLE	TB	55%	580	519	120	21	3	9	48	141	8	11	4	230	305	336	641	106	295	24	8	291	83	-12	+1	-1	+6	+13	0.7
2037	29	MLB MLE	TB	53%	571	512	117	20	3	9	47	140	7	10	4	228	302	330	632	102	294	25	8	287	80	-13	+0	-1	+6	+12	0.4
2038	30	MLB MLE	TB	53%	561	503	113	19	3	8	46	139	7	9	5	225	299	323	622	98	292	25	8	283	78	-15	-0	-2	+6	+12	0.1
2039	31	MLB MLE	TB	52%	548	492	109	18	3	7	44	138	7	8	6	221	294	313	608	92	290	25	8	277	74	-17	-1	-3	+6	+12	-0.3
2028	20	MLB CTX	TB	34%	79	72	16	3	0	1	6	19	1	2	0	225	299	308	606	82	296	24	8	277	73	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	TB	48%	172	154	35	6	1	2	14	42	2	4	1	228	303	318	621	90	297	24	8	283	77	-5	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	TB	54%	242	216	49	8	1	3	20	59	4	5	2	231	305	328	633	97	298	24	8	288	80	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.2
2031	23	MLB CTX	TB	57%	286	257	60	10	2	4	23	69	4	6	2	233	308	335	643	102	299	24	8	292	83	-6	+0	+0	+3	+6	0.4
2032	24	MLB CTX	TB	57%	308	276	65	11	2	5	25	74	4	7	2	235	309	342	651	107	300	24	8	295	85	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2033	25	MLB CTX	TB	57%	321	288	67	11	2	5	26	77	4	7	2	235	310	343	653	108	300	24	8	295	85	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2034	26	MLB CTX	TB	56%	328	293	69	12	2	5	27	78	5	7	2	235	310	344	653	108	299	24	8	296	85	-6	+1	+0	+4	+7	0.6
2035	27	MLB CTX	TB	55%	323	289	67	11	2	5	27	78	4	7	2	234	309	341	650	107	299	24	8	294	84	-6	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2036	28	MLB CTX	TB	55%	318	285	66	11	2	5	26	77	4	6	2	233	307	337	644	104	298	24	8	292	83	-7	+0	-0	+3	+7	0.4
2037	29	MLB CTX	TB	53%	305	273	63	10	2	5	25	75	4	5	2	230	304	331	635	100	297	25	8	288	80	-7	+0	-1	+3	+7	0.2
2038	30	MLB CTX	TB	53%	295	265	61	10	2	4	24	73	4	5	2	228	301	324	625	96	296	25	8	284	78	-8	+0	-1	+3	+6	0.1
2039	31	MLB CTX	TB	52%	286	257	57	9	1	4	23	72	4	4	3	224	296	314	611	91	293	25	8	278	74	-9	-0	-1	+3	+6	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3263	2925	675	112	19	48	266	793	44	65	22	231	304	331	636	101	298	24	8	290	79	-72	+4	-4	+35	+71	3.4
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	583	135	22	4	10	53	158	9	13	4	232	305	334	640	103	299	24	8	290	79	-14	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.7
Career	—	MLE		—	6469	5778	1310	225	34	94	535	1565	91	129	52	227	302	326	629	100	292	24	8	285	79	-142	+6	-7	+67	+135	6.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	581	131	23	3	9	54	157	9	13	5	225	302	322	624	96	291	24	8	285	79	-15	+1	-1	+7	+14	0.6

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#2Dick Schofield'83-'96 * career totals — 12 seasons, 4,928 PA	7.4	4,928	56	120	227*	307*	330*	+52	+19	9.4	10.0
/162	664	8	16	+7.1	+2.5	1.3	pk7: 11
#3Cliff Penningtonlast yr '17 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,108 PA	4.7	3,108	36	84	243	310	341	+28	+29	9.2	9.5
/162	664	8	18	+5.9	+6.2	2.0	pk7: 10
#4Jose Uribe'84-'93 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,369 PA	5.1	3,369	19	74	240*	300*	338*	+36	+27	7.8	7.7
/162	664	4	15	+7.1	+5.3	1.5	pk7: 8
#5Ronny Cedenolast yr '13 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,783 PA	4.2	2,783	40	39	246	289	354	+28	+19	5.5	5.6
/162	664	10	9	+6.7	+4.5	1.3	pk7: 6
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	5.1	3,410	51	66	230	301	332	+37	+21	5.6	5.1
/162	664	10	13	+7.1	+4.1	1.1	pk7: 5
#6Lennie Merullo'41-'47 * career totals — 6 seasons, 2,264 PA	3.4	2,264	6	38	234*	283*	339*	+24	+15	3.3	3.3
/162	664	2	11	+7.1	+4.4	1.0	pk7: 3

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Carlos Salazar (OGILVIE)	19	51→56	29→34	49→54	61	217/289/290	74	291	1	3	25%	8%	68	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2014 · A	19	51→58	34→40	50→55	44	236/285/290	53	305	2	14	22%	6%	64	-1.3	241/294/285	44	301	1	9	19%	6%	67	-1.1	265/312/343	78	301	6	21	14%	5%	87	+0.3
✕Luisangel Acuña 2021 · A	19	46→56	37→45	51→60	54	217/290/290	73	257	3	13	16%	9%	67	-1.1	237/295/343	106	326	11	30	28%	7%	81	-0.1	250/307/357	107	337	11	39	27%	7%	86	+0.2
✕Cooper Pratt 2024 · A	19	49→52	37→40	54→55	41	226/288/305	78	332	4	11	31%	6%	70	-0.9	228/299/323	95	293	8	23	23%	8%	78	-0.3	229/306/324	95	284	8	29	21%	9%	81	-0.1
✕Rubén Tejada 2009 · A	19	47→57	36→40	47→50	47	220/280/288	68	271	3	9	19%	6%	63	-1.4	249/304/321	72	295	3	9	16%	6%	79	-0.2	264/320/329	64	312	2	6	15%	6%	86	+0.3
✕Tim Lopes 2013 · A	19	48→58	37→45	55	47	222/273/314	92	274	2	8	19%	6%	65	-1.2	233/277/307	74	298	3	13	21%	5%	65	-1.2	267/317/348	81	330	3	20	19%	6%	87	+0.3
✕Nick Allen 2018 · A	19	43→53	37→40	49→50	42	205/255/273	69	279	4	10	27%	6%	49	-2.4	210/260/281	71	273	2	14	22%	5%	53	-2.1	253/316/328	75	310	5	13	19%	8%	84	+0.1
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Braulio Vasquez 2018 · A	19	47	34→40	52→65	44	215/281/268	53	304	1	15	28%	7%	59	-1.7	198/257/271	73	304	5	8	34%	6%	51	-2.3	189/270/268	79	286	5	32	33%	8%	53	-0.8
✕José Mejía 2024 · A	18	47→45	37→40	52→50	50	220/299/296	76	279	4	16	21%	8%	72	-0.7	209/295/292	83	249	5	20	17%	9%	70	-0.8	206/298/295	89	251	6	19	19%	10%	70	-0.4
✕Derrik Gibson 2010 · A	20	48→56	37→40	56→55	45	224/290/300	76	303	3	16	26%	7%	70	-0.9	206/266/261	55	280	1	18	25%	7%	51	-2.3	246/312/318	73	319	3	11	22%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Cristofer Torin 2024 · A	19	46→55	38→40	54→50	54	219/299/292	73	262	5	19	18%	9%	72	-0.7	235/310/323	88	290	7	11	20%	9%	82	+0.0	243/315/341	98	290	8	10	18%	9%	86	+0.3
✕Jonathan Ornelas 2019 · A	19	46→56	40→45	53→50	44	219/282/318	99	308	7	14	30%	8%	70	-0.8	209/265/301	92	294	7	10	29%	6%	60	-1.6	251/312/338	87	342	8	12	27%	7%	83	+0.1
✕Johan Rojas 2021 · A	20	46→56	37→45	51→65	45	215/269/298	83	268	3	11	20%	6%	61	-1.5	227/275/338	111	290	9	31	24%	5%	72	-0.7	260/302/359	100	326	7	41	21%	5%	85	+0.2
✕Raynel Delgado 2019 · A	19	50→56	36→40	50→60	45	226/293/294	68	335	3	11	31%	9%	69	-0.9	208/262/282	74	311	4	10	32%	6%	55	-2.0	246/311/338	92	338	7	32	27%	8%	82	+0.0
✕Oswald Peraza 2019 · A	19	44→54	35→50	54→60	41	204/271/267	63	292	2	12	29%	6%	55	-1.9	229/284/316	87	301	8	20	25%	6%	71	-0.8	235/294/370	135	296	16	30	26%	6%	85	+0.2
✕Ryan Brett 2011 · A	19	47→57	37→45	54→60	42	219/270/295	76	299	3	17	26%	6%	60	-1.6	240/286/340	100	292	6	24	19%	6%	76	-0.4	266/307/374	108	325	8	30	20%	5%	89	+0.4
✕Darell Hernaiz 2021 · A	19	45→55	39→45	52→50	44	212/278/299	87	312	7	9	32%	8%	65	-1.2	240/287/333	93	302	8	17	22%	5%	76	-0.4	268/325/364	96	311	7	12	15%	7%	94	+0.7
✕Edinson Rincon 2010 · A	19	47→56	37→45	48→30	45	218/288/289	71	313	4	5	30%	8%	66	-1.1	233/279/353	120	293	12	2	24%	5%	78	-0.3	255/295/362	107	317	10	1	22%	5%	82	+0.0
✕Andruw Monasterio 2016 · A	19	43→53	36→45	53→55	48	202/265/267	65	246	3	13	19%	7%	52	-2.2	213/267/272	59	274	2	10	21%	6%	54	-2.0	241/316/348	107	322	9	15	26%	9%	89	+0.4
✕Brennen Davis 2019 · A	19	48→43	36→50	51→45	46	221/300/290	68	306	3	12	26%	8%	72	-0.7	233/303/375	142	314	15	8	29%	7%	93	+0.8	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0

Carlos Salazar

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps