Matthew Moses — OGILVIE

Matthew MosesSS DSL Brewers Gold

Age 18 R/R 5'11" / 183 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION70 act + 50 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+63

AVG/OBP/SLG.191 / .240 / .298

PA50

HR1

K%28

BB%6

BABIP250

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 43 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT43

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE48

scouting grade only

SPEED53

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.6	$8M	+$8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$8M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.7	$7M	+$7M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.7	$7M	+$5M
2036	Arb-2	$5M	+1.6	$6M	+$4M
2037	Arb-3	$7M	+1.4	$5M	+$3M
Totals		$19M		$41M	+$34M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	144	134	19	8	0	3	8	39	1	5	3	142	196	269	464	127	172	27	6	205	15	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	144	126	27	12	0	4	14	24	1	5	3	214	294	405	698	190	232	17	10	307	93	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	70	65	12	2	0	2	5	22	0	2	0	185	243	308	551	123	244	31	7	246	46	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
YTD	18	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	70	62	17	3	0	3	8	15	0	2	0	274	357	468	825	194	318	21	11	366	138	+3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.6
ROS	18	ROK	—	0%	50	47	9	2	0	1	3	14	0	1	0	191	240	298	538	106	275	28	6	268	63	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
ROS	18	MLB	—	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		275	—	—	268	63	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	—	—	70	66	12	2	0	2	5	22	0	2	0	182	243	303	546	121	238	31	7	246	46	-4	+0	+0	+1	+2	-0.1
TOT	18	ROK	—	—	120	112	21	4	0	3	8	36	0	3	0	188	242	304	545	116	247	30	7	255	53	-6	+1	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	210	191	42	9	1	5	15	56	2	4	1	220	284	356	640	136	279	27	7	279	72	-7	+0	+0	+2	+6	0.2
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	345	314	70	14	2	8	25	90	3	7	2	223	287	357	643	134	282	26	7	287	78	-9	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.5
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	447	406	91	19	2	11	33	115	5	9	2	224	291	362	653	138	283	26	7	292	81	-9	+1	+0	+5	+13	0.9
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	519	470	107	22	3	13	38	132	6	11	3	228	294	370	664	143	284	25	7	295	84	-9	+1	+0	+6	+15	1.2
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	568	515	118	24	3	15	42	144	6	12	3	229	295	375	670	146	285	25	7	297	85	-9	+1	+0	+6	+16	1.4
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	600	543	125	25	3	16	45	152	7	12	3	230	297	376	673	145	286	25	8	298	86	-9	+1	+0	+6	+17	1.6
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	618	560	128	26	3	16	46	156	7	13	3	229	295	371	667	143	286	25	7	299	87	-9	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.7
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	627	568	130	26	3	17	47	158	7	13	3	229	296	375	671	146	286	25	7	299	87	-9	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.7
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	628	568	130	26	3	17	48	159	7	13	3	229	297	375	672	146	286	25	8	299	87	-9	+1	+0	+7	+18	1.7
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	624	564	128	26	3	16	48	159	7	13	3	227	296	369	664	142	285	25	8	298	87	-9	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.6
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	615	555	127	26	3	16	48	158	7	12	3	229	298	373	671	144	285	26	8	297	85	-10	+1	-1	+7	+17	1.4
2038	30	MLB	—	53%	604	545	123	25	3	15	47	156	7	11	3	226	295	365	661	139	284	26	8	294	83	-11	+1	-2	+6	+17	1.1
2039	31	MLB	—	52%	590	533	118	24	3	14	46	155	6	11	3	221	291	356	647	135	282	26	8	290	80	-13	+1	-3	+6	+17	0.8
2027	19	MLB	—	34%	72	66	14	3	0	2	5	19	1	1	0	212	278	348	626	136	279	26	7	279	72	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	20	MLB	—	48%	167	151	34	7	1	4	12	43	2	3	1	225	291	364	655	139	282	26	7	287	78	-4	+0	+0	+2	+5	0.3
2029	21	MLB	—	54%	242	219	49	10	1	6	18	62	3	5	1	224	292	361	652	137	283	26	7	292	81	-5	+1	+0	+3	+7	0.5
2030	22	MLB	—	57%	294	267	59	12	1	7	22	75	3	6	1	221	288	352	640	131	284	26	7	295	84	-5	+1	+0	+3	+8	0.7
2031	23	MLB	—	58%	327	296	68	14	2	8	24	83	4	7	2	230	296	372	668	142	285	25	7	297	85	-5	+1	+0	+4	+9	0.8
2032	24	MLB	—	57%	342	310	71	14	2	9	25	86	4	7	2	229	295	374	669	145	286	25	7	298	86	-5	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2033	25	MLB	—	57%	351	318	73	15	2	9	26	89	4	7	2	230	296	374	670	145	286	25	7	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2034	26	MLB	—	57%	355	321	74	15	2	9	27	90	4	7	2	231	298	374	672	143	286	25	8	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+10	1.0
2035	27	MLB	—	55%	348	315	73	15	2	9	26	88	4	7	2	232	299	378	676	146	286	25	7	299	87	-5	+1	+0	+4	+10	0.9
2036	28	MLB	—	55%	343	310	71	14	2	9	26	87	4	7	2	229	297	374	671	145	285	25	8	298	87	-5	+1	-0	+4	+10	0.9
2037	29	MLB	—	53%	329	297	68	14	2	8	25	84	4	6	2	229	298	370	668	141	285	26	8	297	85	-5	+0	-1	+4	+9	0.7
2038	30	MLB	—	53%	318	287	64	13	1	8	25	82	3	6	1	223	292	359	651	136	284	26	8	294	83	-6	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.6
2039	31	MLB	—	52%	308	278	60	12	1	7	24	81	3	6	1	216	285	342	627	126	282	26	8	290	80	-7	+1	-1	+3	+9	0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3796	3436	778	158	19	95	285	969	43	75	19	226	294	366	660	140	285	26	8	296	85	-66	+7	-4	+41	+108	8.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	588	133	27	3	16	49	166	7	13	3	226	293	364	657	138	285	26	8	296	85	-11	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.5
Career	—			—	7189	6513	1465	302	35	183	539	1843	78	147	38	225	292	366	658	141	283	26	7	293	83	-140	+14	-7	+77	+204	15.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	589	132	27	3	17	49	167	7	13	3	224	291	367	658	143	282	26	8	293	83	-13	+1	-1	+7	+18	1.4

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	144	126	27	12	0	4	14	24	1	5	3	214	294	405	698	190	232	17	10	307	93	-1	-0	—	—	+4	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	10	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
	/162	664	17	9	246	292	387	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#2Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#3John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#4Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#5Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#6Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	8	3,916	99	78	228	291	369	+42	+24	8.8	7.5
	/162	664	17	13	228	291	369	+7.1	+4.1	1.5	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Matthew Moses (OGILVIE)	18	38→43	43→48	48→53	48	188/242/304	116	247	3	3	30%	7%	53	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Ronarsy Ledesma 2011 · A	18	44	44→45	53→50	41	217/277/335	118	288	11	9	28%	6%	69	-0.4	219/286/320	101	286	6	11	24%	6%	69	-0.4	226/280/337	111	291	6	11	23%	4%	69	-0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Jeral Perez 2023 · A	18	42→41	47→50	49→45	47	214/282/352	138	263	14	7	24%	8%	76	+0.1	208/286/358	150	281	18	7	31%	9%	80	+0.4	201/277/358	157	269	20	6	32%	8%	73	-0.1
✕Yohan Matos 2015 · A	18	44	43→45	51→45	42	216/276/330	114	300	10	8	30%	7%	68	-0.5	192/252/275	83	305	6	8	36%	7%	43	-2.2	166/241/231	64	289	0	11	39%	8%	24	-0.7
●Gabriel Gonzalez 2022 · A	18	43→53	46→50	52→45	43	216/277/348	132	271	12	10	25%	6%	73	-0.1	235/292/359	124	285	14	8	22%	5%	82	+0.5	253/307/382	129	303	14	6	21%	5%	91	+0.9
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Mairoshendrick Martinus 2023 · A	18	41→37	45	51→55	41	205/265/332	127	282	12	11	31%	6%	64	-0.8	178/230/270	92	318	9	13	44%	6%	33	-2.9	192/243/304	112	295	12	19	37%	5%	45	-1.1
●Dilson Herrera 2013 · A	19	44→54	43→50	51→50	43	214/269/331	117	274	9	13	25%	6%	65	-0.7	241/291/379	138	314	14	12	26%	6%	86	+0.8	258/308/400	143	315	15	13	23%	6%	96	+1.3
✕Jorge Mateo 2013 · A	18	44→46	40→50	51→65	48	211/282/302	91	281	6	10	26%	9%	63	-0.9	210/268/306	96	286	7	34	27%	7%	58	-1.2	222/263/355	133	288	13	49	27%	5%	66	-0.2
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
✕Jeferson Quero 2023 · A	20	44→42	44→50	49→45	41	219/269/335	116	284	12	9	27%	6%	66	-0.6	226/283/364	138	283	16	7	25%	7%	79	+0.3	225/289/370	145	269	18	4	23%	7%	82	+0.3
✕Noelvi Marte 2021 · A	19	44→53	44→50	50→55	42	218/268/339	121	285	11	12	27%	6%	66	-0.6	230/295/375	145	298	17	16	27%	8%	88	+0.9	233/300/377	144	296	17	19	26%	8%	87	+0.7
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	102	+1.8	224/283/382	158	270	19	2	24%	5%	86	+0.4
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	72	-0.2	235/300/339	104	298	6	12	22%	8%	80	+0.4	254/315/362	108	309	9	16	20%	7%	88	+0.7
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42	45	53→60	45	210/279/333	123	274	12	11	27%	8%	70	-0.3	194/289/295	101	275	9	22	30%	11%	66	-0.6	172/263/292	120	248	13	35	34%	10%	51	-0.7
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Jonathan Galvez 2010 · A	19	44→46	42→50	50→55	49	212/297/322	110	288	9	12	28%	10%	75	-0.0	215/276/339	124	320	12	16	34%	7%	70	-0.3	230/282/341	111	315	10	15	29%	6%	69	-0.3
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
●Trevor Story 2012 · A	19	42→49	43→60	54→55	44	208/271/317	109	280	11	13	29%	7%	63	-0.9	191/252/319	128	296	13	13	38%	7%	56	-1.3	247/315/451	204	301	24	25	26%	8%	113	+2.3