Lester Suarez — OGILVIE

Lester SuarezC DSL Red Sox Red

Age 17 R/R 6'0" / 189 lbs ROK HR -5%K -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION152 act + 14 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†79

AVG/OBP/SLG.231 / .286 / .308

PA14

HR0

K%29

BB%7

BABIP280

ISO77

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$48M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 42

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER42

scouting grade only

EYE56

scouting grade only

SPEED47

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$5M	+$4M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.0	$4M	+$4M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+1.0	$4M	+$2M
2036	Arb-2	$7M	+1.0	$4M	+$1M
2037	Arb-3	$10M	+0.9	$2M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$14M		$24M	+$16M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	16	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	74	13	0	0	1	7	19	6	0	0	176	299	216	515	41	222	22	8	256	59	-4	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	76	11	0	0	1	5	27	6	0	0	145	253	184	437	39	195	31	6	188	13	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	76	11	0	0	1	5	27	6	0	0	145	253	184	437	39	208	31	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK RAW	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	74	13	0	0	1	7	19	6	0	0	176	299	216	515	41	222	22	8	256	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	76	11	0	0	1	5	27	6	0	0	145	253	184	437	39	195	31	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	16	ROK MLE	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	76	11	0	0	1	5	27	6	0	0	145	253	184	437	39	195	31	6	188	13	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	17	ROK MLE	BOS	—	152	124	24	7	1	2	16	37	10	0	0	194	333	315	648	121	253	24	11	289	82	-3	+0	+0	+3	+3	0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	17	ROK RAW	BOS	—	152	114	29	9	1	3	26	26	10	0	0	254	433	430	863	175	299	17	17	391	82	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	17	ROK MLE	BOS	0%	14	13	3	1	0	0	1	4	0	0	0	231	286	308	593	77	275	29	7	285	79	-0	+0	+0	+0	+0	0.0
TOT	17	ROK MLE	BOS	—	166	137	27	8	1	2	17	41	10	0	0	197	329	314	643	117	260	25	10	289	81	-4	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	18	MLB MLE	BOS	34%	218	191	41	8	1	4	19	55	6	3	1	215	306	330	635	115	275	25	9	286	80	-5	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.4
2028	19	MLB MLE	BOS	48%	355	311	69	14	2	7	31	88	10	5	2	222	312	347	660	125	279	25	9	294	85	-6	+0	+0	+6	+8	0.8
2029	20	MLB MLE	BOS	54%	459	403	90	18	3	9	40	112	13	7	3	223	314	350	663	127	281	24	9	299	89	-6	+0	+0	+8	+10	1.2
2030	21	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	520	454	102	20	3	11	46	125	15	9	3	225	317	355	671	130	282	24	9	303	91	-6	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.6
2031	22	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	520	454	102	20	3	11	46	124	15	9	3	225	317	355	671	130	283	24	9	305	92	-5	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.7
2032	23	MLB MLE	BOS	58%	520	454	102	20	3	11	46	124	15	9	3	225	317	355	671	130	283	24	9	307	94	-4	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2033	24	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	520	454	103	20	3	11	46	124	15	9	3	227	318	357	675	130	284	24	9	308	95	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2034	25	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	520	454	104	20	3	12	46	123	15	9	3	229	320	366	686	137	284	24	9	309	95	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2035	26	MLB MLE	BOS	57%	520	454	103	20	3	12	46	123	15	9	3	227	318	363	682	137	284	24	9	309	95	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.8
2036	27	MLB MLE	BOS	56%	520	453	103	20	3	12	47	124	15	9	3	227	320	364	685	137	284	24	9	309	95	-3	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.9
2037	28	MLB MLE	BOS	55%	520	453	102	20	3	11	47	124	15	9	3	225	318	355	674	130	283	24	9	308	94	-3	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.7
2038	29	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	520	452	102	20	3	11	48	125	15	9	3	226	320	356	677	131	282	24	9	306	93	-4	+1	-1	+9	+11	1.6
2039	30	MLB MLE	BOS	53%	520	452	101	20	3	11	48	127	15	8	3	223	318	354	672	131	281	24	9	303	91	-5	+0	-2	+9	+11	1.4
2040	31	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	504	439	97	19	3	10	46	124	14	8	3	221	315	346	661	125	279	25	9	299	88	-7	+0	-3	+9	+11	1.1
2041	32	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	489	427	91	18	2	9	45	123	14	7	3	213	309	328	637	115	275	25	9	293	85	-9	+0	-4	+9	+11	0.7
2042	33	MLB MLE	BOS	52%	473	414	86	16	2	9	43	121	13	7	2	208	302	321	623	114	271	26	9	287	80	-11	+1	-4	+8	+10	0.4
2043	34	MLB MLE	BOS	47%	439	384	77	14	2	7	40	115	12	6	2	201	296	302	598	102	265	26	9	278	74	-13	+0	-5	+8	+10	-0.1
2027	18	MLB CTX	BOS	34%	75	67	14	3	0	1	6	19	2	1	0	209	293	299	592	90	280	25	8	269	80	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
2028	19	MLB CTX	BOS	48%	172	150	33	7	1	3	15	42	5	3	1	220	312	340	652	120	284	24	9	276	85	-3	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.4
2029	20	MLB CTX	BOS	54%	249	218	49	10	1	5	22	61	7	4	1	225	316	349	664	124	286	24	9	281	89	-3	+0	+0	+4	+5	0.7
2030	21	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	294	258	59	12	2	6	26	71	8	5	2	229	318	360	679	132	287	24	9	284	91	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	0.9
2031	22	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	299	263	60	12	2	6	26	72	8	5	2	228	316	357	674	129	288	24	9	287	92	-3	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2032	23	MLB CTX	BOS	58%	301	262	61	13	2	6	27	72	9	5	2	233	326	366	692	134	289	24	9	288	94	-2	+0	+0	+5	+7	1.0
2033	24	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	297	261	60	12	2	6	26	71	8	5	2	230	319	360	679	130	290	24	9	289	95	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2034	25	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	295	259	59	12	2	6	26	70	8	5	2	228	317	359	676	131	290	24	9	290	95	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2035	26	MLB CTX	BOS	57%	294	258	59	12	2	6	26	70	8	5	2	229	318	360	679	132	289	24	9	290	95	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2036	27	MLB CTX	BOS	56%	289	253	57	12	1	6	26	69	8	5	2	225	317	352	669	126	289	24	9	290	95	-2	+0	+0	+5	+6	1.0
2037	28	MLB CTX	BOS	55%	286	250	57	12	1	6	26	68	8	5	2	228	320	356	676	128	289	24	9	289	94	-2	+0	-0	+5	+6	0.9
2038	29	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	278	243	55	11	1	6	25	67	8	5	2	226	319	354	673	128	288	24	9	287	93	-2	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.8
2039	30	MLB CTX	BOS	53%	274	239	54	11	1	6	25	67	8	4	2	226	320	356	676	130	286	24	9	285	91	-3	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.7
2040	31	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	263	230	50	10	1	5	24	65	7	4	2	217	310	335	645	117	284	25	9	281	88	-4	+0	-1	+5	+6	0.5
2041	32	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	254	222	49	10	1	5	23	64	7	4	1	221	313	342	656	122	281	25	9	275	85	-5	+0	-2	+5	+6	0.4
2042	33	MLB CTX	BOS	52%	245	214	45	9	1	4	22	63	7	3	1	210	305	318	622	107	276	26	9	269	80	-6	+0	-2	+4	+5	0.2
2043	34	MLB CTX	BOS	47%	207	180	37	7	1	3	19	54	6	3	1	206	302	306	608	100	270	26	9	260	74	-6	+0	-2	+4	+4	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	4372	3827	858	175	22	86	390	1065	122	71	27	224	316	349	665	125	287	24	9	283	89	-51	+3	-10	+78	+95	11.8
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	569	127	26	3	13	58	158	18	11	4	223	315	348	663	125	284	24	9	283	89	-8	+1	-1	+12	+14	1.8
Career	—	MLE		—	8238	7192	1589	308	45	169	736	2012	238	132	46	221	314	347	661	126	281	24	9	300	89	-98	+8	-20	+146	+177	21.7
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	567	125	24	4	13	58	159	19	10	4	220	313	346	659	125	281	24	9	300	89	-8	+1	-2	+12	+14	1.7

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jason Castrolast yr '22 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,381 PA	5.1	3,381	97	6	227	312	387	+60	+77	22.5	21.6
/162	664	19	1	+11.9	+15.1	4.4	pk7: 21
#2Freddy Galvislast yr '21 career totals — 10 seasons, 4,238 PA	6.4	4,238	109	57	246	292	387	+42	+68	18.0	17.6
/162	664	17	9	+6.6	+10.6	2.8	pk7: 17
#3Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	6.0	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
/162	664	22	1	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Derek Norrislast yr '17 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,195 PA	3.3	2,195	63	26	230	304	380	+39	+50	13.7	13.7
/162	664	19	8	+11.9	+15.1	4.1	pk7: 14
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	6.7	4,472	92	72	223	311	350	+80	+40	15.4	11.9
/162	664	14	11	+11.9	+5.9	2.3	pk7: 8
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	4.3	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
/162	664	15	8	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lester Suarez (OGILVIE)	17	40→45	37→42	42→47	56	207/301/312	105	275	1	1	25%	8%	79	-0.0	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→46	42→50	44→50	46	226/320/334	108	300	8	7	26%	8%	90	+0.6	212/310/340	128	285	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.4	217/303/361	144	274	17	12	26%	7%	88	+0.4
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→49	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	77	-0.3	209/280/296	87	296	5	4	29%	7%	65	-1.2	230/307/340	110	300	10	3	25%	9%	83	+0.0
✕Ali Sánchez 2015 · A	18	47	39→45	42→40	47	226/292/305	79	288	7	8	23%	8%	72	-0.7	218/267/274	56	278	3	6	21%	5%	54	-2.0	237/288/332	95	305	11	1	25%	6%	73	-0.3
●Elvis Andrus 2006 · A	17	47→57	39→50	47→60	46	226/288/308	82	287	6	9	23%	7%	70	-0.8	233/282/307	74	310	4	22	25%	6%	68	-1.0	277/330/414	137	310	11	19	14%	7%	105	+1.6
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	62	-1.4	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	66	-1.1	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	67	-0.4
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	43	39→45	45	45	208/273/291	82	251	7	4	20%	6%	61	-1.5	229/300/339	110	282	10	5	21%	7%	83	+0.1	229/297/349	120	270	13	3	20%	6%	81	-0.0
✕Jesus Rodriguez 2021 · A	19	46→55	42→45	49→50	46	224/285/337	113	288	9	9	25%	8%	76	-0.4	235/301/339	104	297	6	12	21%	8%	82	+0.0	256/318/360	105	310	9	16	19%	7%	92	+0.5
✕Francisco Ventura 2017 · A	18	48	40	41→40	54	228/297/319	92	260	7	6	15%	9%	76	-0.4	221/275/291	70	307	4	5	27%	7%	61	-1.5	222/262/247	25	337	0	0	32%	5%	42	-0.7
✕Alexander Campos 2018 · A	18	46	37→40	39→45	51	214/291/283	68	279	4	8	23%	9%	66	-1.1	195/266/265	70	306	4	9	34%	8%	53	-2.1	209/308/288	79	290	8	4	28%	11%	73	-0.2
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→46	41→50	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	68	-1.0	209/282/325	116	301	11	8	32%	8%	73	-0.6	222/288/367	145	291	16	4	28%	6%	82	-0.0
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	44	40→45	41→30	46	209/281/300	92	252	7	4	20%	6%	67	-1.1	214/271/302	88	274	7	4	24%	5%	63	-1.4	190/234/269	79	257	8	1	28%	3%	40	-0.9
✕Samuel Basallo 2022 · A	17	39→49	43→55	49→45	43	197/258/309	111	269	11	5	30%	7%	60	-1.6	226/280/360	134	299	15	6	28%	6%	80	-0.2	229/288/395	166	286	21	6	27%	7%	88	+0.4
●Moisés Ballesteros 2022 · A	18	45→55	40→50	50→40	52	216/294/311	95	269	7	8	22%	9%	74	-0.5	225/287/355	130	281	15	4	24%	8%	81	-0.1	255/314/382	127	304	14	3	20%	7%	96	+0.9
✕Ismerling Mota 2016 · A	18	48	43→45	46→40	44	236/282/343	107	278	12	5	20%	5%	76	-0.4	203/250/282	79	267	6	4	25%	5%	50	-2.3	180/231/230	51	220	3	0	19%	5%	30	-0.9
✕Aroon Escobar 2023 · A	18	42→45	39→45	47→55	48	202/296/282	81	254	6	12	22%	8%	70	-0.9	210/296/305	95	253	9	16	20%	9%	74	-0.5	215/297/320	105	260	12	19	21%	8%	77	-0.2
✕Francisco Herrera 2012 · A	18	46	40→45	47→30	49	220/280/315	95	261	7	8	19%	7%	70	-0.9	225/284/324	99	267	9	5	19%	6%	73	-0.6	225/284/320	95	260	10	3	17%	6%	71	-0.3
✕Jose Ovalles 2012 · A	18	42	40→45	47→40	52	202/296/293	91	253	8	4	22%	10%	72	-0.7	208/277/318	110	251	9	5	20%	7%	70	-0.9	202/266/322	119	235	10	4	18%	6%	64	-0.4
✕Edgardo Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	49	44→45	46→30	44	239/287/352	113	265	11	4	15%	4%	80	-0.1	226/272/321	95	290	8	5	24%	4%	67	-1.1	180/204/231	51	260	9	0	34%	2%	21	-0.8
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Meibrys Viloria 2015 · A	18	45→47	40→45	46→40	48	218/285/316	97	280	7	5	24%	8%	72	-0.7	233/285/324	91	297	6	3	22%	6%	72	-0.7	243/287/342	99	309	8	2	23%	5%	75	-0.2

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps