Lester Suarez — OGILVIE

Lester SuarezC DSL Red Sox Red

Age 17 R/R 6'0" / 189 lbs ROK H +3% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION77 act + 51 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†70

AVG/OBP/SLG.211 / .273 / .317

PA51

HR1

K%27

BB%6

BABIP278

ISO106

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.8	$9M	+$9M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.9	$9M	+$8M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+2.0	$9M	+$8M
2035	Arb-1	$4M	+2.0	$8M	+$7M
2036	Arb-2	$6M	+2.0	$7M	+$5M
2037	Arb-3	$9M	+1.9	$7M	+$4M
Totals		$22M		$49M	+$41M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2026 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	76	11	0	0	1	5	27	6	0	0	145	253	184	437	39	208	31	6	199	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	16	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	74	13	0	0	1	7	19	6	0	0	176	299	216	515	41	222	22	8	256	54	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	17	ROK	BOS	—	77	66	15	4	1	2	5	20	4	0	0	227	320	409	729	182	283	26	6	281	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
YTD	17	ROK	BOS	—	77	63	17	5	1	2	8	14	4	0	0	270	387	476	863	206	306	18	10	375	145	+4	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.8
ROS	17	ROK	BOS	0%	51	47	10	2	0	1	3	14	1	0	0	211	273	317	590	106	287	27	6	277	70	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.1
ROS	17	MLB	BOS	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		293	—	—	262	58	—	—	+0	+0	—	—
FULL	17	ROK	BOS	—	77	67	15	4	1	2	5	20	4	0	0	224	320	403	723	179	277	26	6	281	73	-2	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.1
TOT	17	ROK	BOS	—	128	113	25	6	1	3	8	34	5	0	0	221	301	371	671	150	281	26	6	279	72	-4	+0	+0	+2	+4	0.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	18	MLB	BOS	34%	173	155	34	6	1	3	12	45	4	1	0	219	292	329	621	110	284	26	7	278	71	-6	+0	+0	+3	+5	0.3
2028	19	MLB	BOS	48%	319	287	63	11	2	6	22	82	7	2	1	220	291	334	626	115	287	26	7	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+6	+9	0.7
2029	20	MLB	BOS	54%	433	389	88	16	3	9	31	110	10	3	1	226	300	352	652	126	289	25	7	293	82	-9	+0	+0	+8	+12	1.2
2030	21	MLB	BOS	57%	520	464	106	19	4	11	38	131	13	4	1	228	305	358	663	129	290	25	7	297	85	-9	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.6
2031	22	MLB	BOS	58%	520	464	107	19	4	11	38	130	13	4	1	231	307	360	667	129	291	25	7	300	87	-7	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.7
2032	23	MLB	BOS	58%	520	464	108	19	4	12	38	129	13	4	1	233	309	369	677	136	292	25	7	302	89	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.8
2033	24	MLB	BOS	57%	520	464	108	19	4	12	38	129	13	4	1	233	309	369	677	136	292	25	7	304	91	-6	+0	+0	+9	+15	1.9
2034	25	MLB	BOS	57%	520	464	108	19	4	12	38	129	13	4	1	233	309	369	677	136	293	25	7	305	91	-5	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2035	26	MLB	BOS	57%	520	464	109	19	4	13	38	129	13	4	1	235	311	377	688	142	292	25	7	305	92	-5	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2036	27	MLB	BOS	56%	520	463	109	19	4	13	39	129	13	4	1	235	313	378	691	143	292	25	8	306	92	-5	+0	+0	+9	+15	2.0
2037	28	MLB	BOS	55%	520	463	107	19	4	12	39	130	13	4	1	231	309	367	676	136	292	25	8	304	91	-5	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.9
2038	29	MLB	BOS	53%	520	462	107	19	4	12	40	131	13	3	1	232	311	368	679	136	291	25	8	303	90	-6	+0	-1	+9	+15	1.7
2039	30	MLB	BOS	53%	520	462	105	18	3	12	40	132	13	3	1	227	307	357	664	130	289	25	8	300	88	-7	+0	-2	+9	+15	1.5
2040	31	MLB	BOS	52%	504	449	101	18	3	11	38	130	12	3	1	225	303	352	654	127	287	26	8	296	84	-9	+0	-3	+9	+14	1.2
2041	32	MLB	BOS	56%	489	437	95	16	3	10	37	128	12	2	1	217	296	336	633	119	284	26	8	290	80	-11	+0	-4	+9	+14	0.8
2027	18	MLB	BOS	34%	59	54	11	2	0	1	4	15	1	0	0	204	271	296	567	93	290	25	7	265	61	-3	+0	+0	+1	+2	0.0
2028	19	MLB	BOS	48%	155	139	32	6	1	3	11	40	4	1	0	230	305	353	658	122	293	26	7	273	67	-6	+0	+0	+3	+4	0.2
2029	20	MLB	BOS	54%	235	210	49	9	2	5	17	60	6	2	1	233	309	367	676	133	295	26	7	279	72	-8	+0	+0	+4	+7	0.3
2030	21	MLB	BOS	57%	294	264	61	11	2	6	21	74	7	2	1	231	305	356	661	125	296	25	7	283	75	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.5
2031	22	MLB	BOS	58%	299	268	63	12	2	7	22	75	7	2	1	235	310	373	683	138	297	25	7	286	77	-8	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.6
2032	23	MLB	BOS	58%	301	269	64	12	2	7	22	75	7	2	1	238	312	375	688	138	298	25	7	288	79	-7	+0	+0	+5	+9	0.7
2033	24	MLB	BOS	57%	297	266	63	12	2	7	22	74	7	2	1	237	312	376	688	139	298	25	7	290	80	-7	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2034	25	MLB	BOS	57%	295	264	63	12	2	7	22	73	7	2	1	239	314	379	693	140	299	25	7	291	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2035	26	MLB	BOS	57%	294	263	62	11	2	7	22	73	7	2	1	236	312	373	684	137	298	25	7	292	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.8
2036	27	MLB	BOS	56%	289	258	61	11	2	7	22	72	7	2	1	236	314	376	690	140	298	25	8	292	81	-6	+0	+0	+5	+8	0.7
2037	28	MLB	BOS	55%	286	255	60	11	2	7	22	71	7	2	1	235	313	376	690	141	298	25	8	291	81	-6	+0	-0	+5	+8	0.7
2038	29	MLB	BOS	53%	278	248	59	11	2	7	21	70	7	2	1	238	315	383	698	145	297	25	8	289	79	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.6
2039	30	MLB	BOS	53%	274	244	56	10	2	6	21	70	7	2	1	230	309	361	669	131	295	26	8	286	77	-7	+0	-1	+5	+8	0.5
2040	31	MLB	BOS	52%	263	235	55	10	2	6	20	68	6	1	1	234	310	370	681	136	293	26	8	282	74	-8	-0	-1	+5	+7	0.3
2041	32	MLB	BOS	56%	275	245	56	10	2	6	21	72	7	1	0	229	308	359	667	131	290	26	8	276	70	-9	+0	-2	+5	+8	0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3894	3483	815	150	27	89	290	982	94	25	12	234	310	369	679	135	299	25	7	286	77	-102	+0	-6	+70	+110	7.4
/ 162G	—			—	650	581	137	25	5	15	48	164	16	4	2	236	312	373	685	138	301	25	7	286	77	-17	+0	-1	+12	+18	1.2
Career	—			—	7256	6474	1476	258	51	161	534	1835	182	49	14	228	305	358	663	130	291	25	7	298	86	-114	+4	-10	+130	+206	21.9
/ 162G	—			—	650	580	132	23	5	14	48	164	16	4	1	228	304	357	661	129	291	25	7	298	86	-10	+0	-1	+12	+18	2.0

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	16	ROK	DSL Red Sox Blue	—	87	74	13	0	0	1	7	19	6	0	0	176	299	216	515	41	222	22	8	256	54	-5	+0	—	—	+2	-0.2

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Miguel Olivolast yr '13 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,947 PA	11	3,947	144	53	241	275	417	+70	+53	19.1	18.9
	/162	664	24	9	241	275	417	+11.9	+8.8	3.2	pk7: 19
#2Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	11	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.6	16.1
	/162	664	11	2	241	318	351	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#3Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#4John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#5Zack Cozartlast yr '19 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,350 PA	8	3,350	85	21	246	300	398	+33	+38	14.2	14.8
	/162	664	17	4	246	300	398	+6.6	+7.6	2.8	pk7: 15
#6Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 9 projected seasons	9	3,973	88	28	230	302	361	+71	+36	12.5	10.0
	/162	664	15	5	230	302	361	+11.9	+6.0	2.1	pk7: 8

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Lester Suarez (OGILVIE)	17	—	—	—	—	221/301/371	150	281	3	0	26%	6%	72	+0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Samuel Basallo 2022 · A	17	39→48	43→55	49→45	43	197/258/309	111	269	11	5	30%	7%	55	-1.4	225/279/360	135	298	16	6	29%	6%	76	+0.1	230/287/406	176	286	23	6	28%	7%	89	+0.8
✕Victor Heredia 2018 · A	18	45	38→50	49→30	42	211/275/293	82	307	6	6	31%	7%	57	-1.2	221/268/323	102	290	9	4	26%	5%	62	-0.9	221/264/326	105	281	10	1	25%	4%	63	-0.3
✕Michael Arroyo 2023 · A	18	48→42	42→50	44→50	45	227/318/334	107	303	8	7	26%	7%	88	+0.9	214/310/343	129	287	12	8	28%	8%	88	+0.9	219/307/369	150	281	18	13	27%	8%	90	+0.9
✕Ricardo Cova 2022 · A	18	44	38→50	47→55	44	212/278/287	75	273	6	9	24%	6%	57	-1.2	209/268/294	85	323	7	15	35%	6%	55	-1.4	235/286/365	130	286	14	20	22%	5%	78	+0.1
✕Ramon Mendoza 2019 · A	18	46→51	41→45	48→45	46	220/292/328	108	287	7	4	25%	7%	74	-0.1	209/280/297	88	296	5	4	29%	7%	61	-1.0	232/306/347	116	310	11	3	27%	9%	82	+0.3
✕Ravel Santana 2010 · A	18	39	42→50	48→55	44	192/269/294	102	269	10	9	31%	8%	56	-1.3	219/288/360	141	283	16	15	27%	8%	81	+0.4	220/291/383	163	271	20	20	26%	8%	85	+0.3
●Óscar Hernández 2011 · A	18	40	44→50	48→40	43	200/263/313	114	250	11	5	25%	6%	59	-1.1	236/308/404	168	278	21	4	23%	7%	102	+1.8	224/283/382	158	270	19	2	24%	5%	86	+0.4
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Luis Alvarez 2008 · A	18	43	39→45	45	45	208/273/291	82	251	7	4	20%	6%	56	-1.3	229/300/339	110	282	10	5	21%	7%	81	+0.4	228/295/347	119	269	13	3	20%	6%	77	+0.0
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→47	36→55	49→30	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	43	-2.2	204/277/283	79	275	6	5	26%	8%	56	-1.3	231/286/395	164	298	21	0	29%	7%	87	+0.4
✕Victor Rodrigues 2023 · A	18	41	38→30	49→50	44	197/261/279	83	254	5	7	24%	6%	49	-1.8	211/290/283	72	267	5	9	21%	9%	62	-0.9	219/316/271	52	272	4	10	19%	11%	68	-0.2
✕Ronaldo Hernández 2016 · A	18	44	37→55	50→45	43	208/271/281	73	270	4	6	23%	6%	53	-1.5	241/286/357	116	275	12	5	17%	5%	79	+0.3	241/284/373	131	274	16	5	18%	5%	80	+0.2
✕Ricky Cabrera 2023 · A	18	42→44	37→45	47→60	37	197/271/278	80	298	4	8	33%	5%	53	-1.5	219/295/319	100	315	8	15	31%	6%	74	-0.1	224/303/332	108	321	10	20	31%	6%	76	+0.1
✕Agustín Ramírez 2021 · A	19	40→45	41→55	46→55	40	199/248/293	95	266	8	5	28%	5%	46	-2.0	209/269/336	127	287	13	8	30%	7%	66	-0.6	232/295/411	179	268	22	16	22%	7%	94	+1.3
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Aderlin Rodríguez 2010 · A	18	46→47	39→60	46→30	42	217/277/301	85	310	6	7	31%	7%	60	-1.0	217/253/369	152	263	19	3	26%	4%	69	-0.4	238/283/427	188	288	25	1	27%	4%	94	+0.9
✕Juan Uriarte 2016 · A	18	44	40→45	41→30	46	209/281/300	92	252	7	4	20%	6%	63	-0.9	214/271/302	88	274	7	4	24%	5%	58	-1.2	188/232/267	79	256	8	1	29%	3%	30	-0.9
●Luis Campusano 2018 · A	19	43→53	41→50	41→30	44	213/267/308	95	273	10	4	25%	6%	58	-1.2	251/303/368	117	300	12	2	20%	6%	89	+0.9	264/328/432	168	297	22	1	19%	8%	113	+1.5
✕Adrián Sanchez 2008 · A	17	44→45	37→45	45→50	42	211/269/291	81	272	4	7	23%	5%	55	-1.4	218/257/296	78	269	5	12	20%	4%	50	-1.8	255/291/358	104	310	7	11	20%	4%	76	+0.0
✕Deivy Grullón 2014 · A	18	45→42	37→55	48→30	43	215/262/292	77	271	4	4	22%	6%	51	-1.7	208/248/305	97	282	9	2	28%	5%	49	-1.8	228/269/391	163	297	23	0	31%	5%	78	+0.1