Juan Tomas — OGILVIE

Juan TomasSS ACL Cubs

Age 18 S/R 6'1" / 177 lbs ROK Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION195 act + 130 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†56

AVG/OBP/SLG.190 / .271 / .293

PA130

HR2

K%35

BB%9

BABIP286

ISO103

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 38 / POW 48

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT38

scouting grade only

POWER48

scouting grade only

EYE60

scouting grade only

SPEED60

scouting grade only

DEFENSE52

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.0	$5M	+$5M
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+1.1	$6M	+$5M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+1.2	$6M	+$5M
2034	Arb-1	$3M	+1.3	$6M	+$5M
2035	Arb-2	$4M	+1.3	$5M	+$4M
2036	Arb-3	$6M	+1.1	$4M	+$2M
Totals		$16M		$32M	+$25M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	145	125	16	5	1	1	18	60	0	9	4	128	238	208	446	80	227	41	12	210	19	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	145	113	21	6	2	1	30	42	0	9	4	186	357	301	658	115	278	29	21	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	CHC	—	195	174	29	4	3	3	20	85	0	5	1	167	253	276	528	109	299	44	10	234	37	-14	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.6
YTD	18	ROK	CHC	—	195	160	41	6	4	4	33	59	0	5	1	256	381	419	800	163	378	30	17	359	133	+7	+1	+0	+2	+6	1.6
ROS	18	ROK	CHC	0%	130	116	22	4	1	2	12	45	1	3	1	190	271	293	564	103	283	35	9	258	56	-7	+0	-1	+1	+4	-0.2
ROS	18	MLB	CHC	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		284	—	—	256	54	—	—	-0	+0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	CHC	—	195	175	29	4	3	3	20	85	0	5	1	166	253	274	527	109	295	44	10	234	37	-14	+1	+0	+2	+6	-0.6
TOT	18	ROK	CHC	—	325	290	51	8	4	5	32	130	1	8	2	176	260	283	543	107	293	40	10	244	45	-20	+1	-1	+3	+9	-0.8
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	CHC	34%	317	282	56	9	3	6	30	104	2	6	2	199	280	316	596	117	286	33	9	271	65	-12	+0	-2	+3	+9	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	CHC	48%	427	379	78	13	4	9	41	136	4	9	2	206	290	332	623	127	289	32	10	280	73	-13	+1	-3	+5	+12	0.2
2029	21	MLB	CHC	54%	505	447	94	16	4	12	48	158	5	12	3	210	294	345	639	134	290	31	10	287	78	-13	+1	-3	+5	+14	0.5
2030	22	MLB	CHC	57%	559	495	106	18	5	14	54	172	5	13	3	214	298	356	653	141	291	31	10	291	81	-12	+1	-3	+6	+16	0.8
2031	23	MLB	CHC	58%	595	527	112	19	5	15	57	182	6	14	4	213	297	353	650	140	292	31	10	294	83	-12	+1	-4	+6	+17	1.0
2032	24	MLB	CHC	57%	618	547	118	20	5	16	60	189	6	15	4	216	300	358	658	143	293	31	10	296	84	-11	+1	-4	+7	+18	1.1
2033	25	MLB	CHC	57%	630	558	120	20	5	17	61	192	6	15	4	215	299	360	659	145	293	30	10	297	85	-11	+1	-4	+7	+18	1.2
2034	26	MLB	CHC	57%	635	562	120	20	5	17	62	194	6	16	4	214	298	358	656	144	293	31	10	297	86	-10	+2	-4	+7	+18	1.3
2035	27	MLB	CHC	55%	633	560	120	20	5	17	62	194	6	16	4	214	299	359	658	145	293	31	10	297	86	-10	+2	-4	+7	+18	1.3
2036	28	MLB	CHC	55%	627	554	118	20	5	16	62	193	6	15	4	213	299	354	653	141	292	31	10	296	85	-11	+1	-4	+7	+18	1.1
2037	29	MLB	CHC	53%	617	544	115	19	5	16	62	191	6	14	4	211	299	353	652	142	292	31	10	295	84	-11	+1	-5	+7	+17	0.9
2038	30	MLB	CHC	53%	605	534	113	19	5	15	60	189	6	14	4	212	298	350	649	139	290	31	10	292	82	-12	+1	-6	+6	+17	0.7
2039	31	MLB	CHC	52%	591	522	108	18	5	14	59	186	5	13	3	207	294	341	635	134	288	31	10	288	79	-14	+1	-6	+6	+17	0.4
2040	32	MLB	CHC	56%	572	505	102	17	4	13	57	182	5	12	3	202	289	329	618	127	285	32	10	283	75	-16	+1	-7	+6	+16	0.0
2041	33	MLB	CHC	59%	543	479	95	15	4	12	54	176	5	11	3	198	286	322	608	123	281	32	10	277	70	-18	+1	-7	+6	+15	-0.4
2042	34	MLB	CHC	54%	495	439	84	13	4	10	49	164	4	9	2	191	278	308	586	116	276	33	10	269	64	-20	+1	-8	+5	+14	-0.8
2027	19	MLB	CHC	34%	109	97	19	3	1	2	10	36	1	2	1	196	278	309	587	113	288	33	9	267	62	-5	+0	-1	+1	+3	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	CHC	48%	207	183	37	6	2	4	20	66	2	5	1	202	288	322	610	120	290	32	10	275	69	-7	+1	-1	+2	+6	0.0
2029	21	MLB	CHC	54%	274	243	51	9	2	6	26	85	3	6	2	210	294	337	632	128	291	31	9	281	73	-8	+0	-2	+3	+8	0.1
2030	22	MLB	CHC	57%	316	280	60	10	3	8	30	97	3	8	2	214	297	357	654	143	292	31	9	285	77	-8	+1	-2	+3	+9	0.3
2031	23	MLB	CHC	58%	343	304	65	11	3	9	33	105	3	8	2	214	297	359	656	145	293	31	10	288	79	-8	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.4
2032	24	MLB	CHC	57%	352	312	67	11	3	9	34	108	3	9	2	215	298	356	654	141	294	31	10	290	80	-8	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.5
2033	25	MLB	CHC	57%	357	316	69	12	3	10	35	109	3	9	2	218	302	370	673	152	294	31	10	291	81	-8	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.5
2034	26	MLB	CHC	57%	359	318	69	12	3	10	35	110	3	9	2	217	301	368	668	151	294	31	10	291	81	-8	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.5
2035	27	MLB	CHC	55%	351	310	66	11	3	9	35	107	3	9	2	213	299	355	654	142	294	30	10	292	81	-7	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.5
2036	28	MLB	CHC	55%	344	304	65	11	3	9	34	106	3	8	2	214	299	359	658	145	294	31	10	291	81	-8	+1	-2	+4	+10	0.4
2037	29	MLB	CHC	53%	330	291	62	10	3	9	33	102	3	8	2	213	300	361	661	148	293	31	10	289	79	-8	+1	-3	+4	+9	0.3
2038	30	MLB	CHC	53%	318	280	60	10	3	8	32	99	3	7	2	214	302	357	659	143	292	31	10	287	77	-8	+1	-3	+3	+9	0.2
2039	31	MLB	CHC	52%	308	271	56	9	2	8	31	97	3	7	2	207	295	343	638	137	290	31	10	283	75	-9	+1	-3	+3	+9	0.1
2040	32	MLB	CHC	56%	321	283	59	10	3	8	32	102	3	7	2	208	296	350	645	141	286	32	10	278	71	-11	+1	-4	+3	+9	-0.1
2041	33	MLB	CHC	59%	320	282	56	9	2	7	32	104	3	6	2	199	287	319	606	121	283	32	10	272	66	-12	+0	-4	+3	+9	-0.4
2042	34	MLB	CHC	54%	270	239	46	7	2	6	27	89	2	5	1	192	280	314	594	121	277	33	10	264	60	-12	+1	-4	+3	+8	-0.5
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	4879	4314	907	151	41	122	479	1522	44	113	29	210	296	349	645	139	291	31	10	284	76	-135	+11	-40	+52	+138	2.7
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	120	20	5	16	64	203	6	15	4	209	295	344	639	136	289	31	10	284	76	-18	+1	-5	+7	+18	0.4
Career	—			—	9244	8175	1697	285	75	222	908	2907	84	216	58	208	293	342	636	135	290	31	10	288	78	-227	+20	-74	+99	+262	8.1
/ 162G	—			—	650	575	119	20	5	16	64	204	6	15	4	207	293	343	636	136	288	31	10	288	78	-16	+1	-5	+7	+18	0.6

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Cubs Blue	—	145	113	21	6	2	1	30	42	0	9	4	186	357	301	658	115	278	29	21	309	95	-1	+0	—	—	+4	0.4

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Rod Barajaslast yr '12 career totals — 12 seasons, 3,753 PA	12	3,753	134	2	235	284	407	+60	+30	15.8	16.0
	/162	664	24	0	235	284	407	+10.7	+5.3	2.8	pk7: 16
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	11	4,009	134	6	234	301	398	+72	+7	16.9	15.7
#2John Bucklast yr '14 career totals — 11 seasons, 4,009 PA	/162	664	22	1	234	301	398	+11.9	+1.2	2.8	pk7: 14
#3Bobby Crosbylast yr '10 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,832 PA	7	2,832	62	34	238	305	374	+28	+33	11.6	11.6
	/162	664	15	8	238	305	374	+6.7	+7.7	2.7	pk7: 12
#4Danny Espinosalast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,267 PA	8	3,267	98	64	221	297	378	+16	+36	11.0	11.4
	/162	664	20	13	221	297	378	+3.2	+7.3	2.2	pk7: 12
#5Luis Valbuenalast yr '18 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,527 PA	10	3,527	113	10	226	311	395	+13	+1	10.5	11.2
	/162	664	21	2	226	311	395	+2.4	+0.1	2.0	pk7: 12
#6Gordon Beckhamlast yr '19 career totals — 10 seasons, 3,764 PA	10	3,764	80	34	237	301	368	+13	+19	8.2	8.4
	/162	664	14	6	237	301	368	+2.4	+3.4	1.4	pk7: 9
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 10 projected seasons	10	5,063	123	115	210	292	347	+52	+10	8.2	7.0
	/162	664	16	15	210	292	347	+6.9	+1.4	1.1	pk7: 6

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Juan Tomas (OGILVIE)	18	20→38	30→48	60	60	176/260/283	107	293	5	8	40%	10%	45	-0.8	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Dalton Pompey 2012 · A	19	39→49	41→45	56→55	45	193/266/287	94	270	9	17	30%	8%	53	-1.5	217/281/315	98	303	7	21	28%	8%	66	-0.6	259/316/359	100	331	7	29	22%	7%	87	+0.7
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Riley Unroe 2014 · A	18	42→48	37→50	51→55	47	196/275/269	72	289	3	9	31%	9%	52	-1.6	193/254/254	61	272	4	9	28%	7%	38	-2.6	227/311/367	139	295	15	26	27%	10%	89	+0.5
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	41→47	41→55	48→50	48	200/282/301	101	267	9	14	27%	9%	64	-0.8	211/283/328	117	302	11	8	32%	8%	71	-0.3	225/292/378	153	293	18	4	28%	6%	84	+0.6
✕Arismendy Alcántara 2011 · A	19	44→48	39→60	57→55	44	210/262/301	91	273	5	14	24%	6%	53	-1.5	233/267/329	96	309	7	15	26%	4%	63	-0.9	233/273/379	146	307	15	25	28%	5%	77	+0.1
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
✕Jim Caceres 2019 · A	18	43	40→45	55	48	207/277/305	97	255	6	14	21%	7%	61	-1.0	196/263/271	75	271	4	10	27%	7%	47	-1.9	124/200/139	15	187	0	10	30%	7%	-14	-1.1
✕Juan Matheus 2023 · A	19	41→43	41→45	51→55	54	194/303/299	105	291	7	16	32%	13%	72	-0.2	205/300/298	93	293	6	20	29%	11%	70	-0.3	210/285/315	105	268	10	21	24%	9%	66	-0.4
●Derek Hill 2015 · A	19	41→51	40→50	55→60	47	200/269/291	91	259	7	13	25%	8%	55	-1.4	199/251/270	71	293	3	25	31%	6%	40	-2.4	248/301/422	175	338	22	29	32%	6%	100	+0.7
✕Bryan Rincon 2023 · A	19	42	45	53→60	45	210/279/333	123	274	12	11	27%	8%	70	-0.3	194/289/295	101	275	9	22	30%	11%	66	-0.6	172/263/292	120	248	13	35	34%	10%	51	-0.7
✕Jett Williams 2023 · A	19	45→46	41→45	56→55	43	214/285/313	99	288	7	14	27%	7%	68	-0.5	203/314/320	117	299	9	23	31%	12%	83	+0.6	201/310/335	134	289	10	26	30%	12%	81	+0.3
✕Francisco Acuna 2018 · A	18	39→49	37→45	55→50	55	183/284/257	74	242	4	15	24%	11%	54	-1.4	194/267/263	69	267	3	9	26%	8%	47	-1.9	223/293/322	99	294	9	16	26%	7%	70	-0.2
✕Yasmil Bucce 2023 · A	18	41	40→45	49→30	44	198/265/288	89	272	7	5	29%	7%	53	-1.5	202/288/300	98	309	8	4	34%	10%	66	-0.6	205/306/334	128	325	13	2	37%	11%	79	+0.2
✕Carlos Sanchez 2023 · A	18	41	41→40	51→30	43	201/256/296	95	262	9	9	26%	7%	50	-1.7	189/256/262	73	263	5	5	28%	8%	42	-2.3	168/252/275	106	241	12	2	34%	9%	42	-0.6
●Angel Genao 2022 · A	18	45→55	37→50	58→50	55	210/300/285	75	268	4	16	22%	11%	66	-0.6	232/290/328	96	308	7	11	25%	7%	72	-0.2	264/318/398	134	323	11	13	21%	7%	100	+1.2
✕Yordalin Peña 2023 · A	18	41→39	40→55	55	37	198/247/291	93	283	6	10	31%	5%	45	-2.1	188/247/280	92	276	6	12	32%	6%	42	-2.3	189/253/317	128	293	11	17	37%	7%	53	-0.7
✕Jose Escobar 2023 · A	18	45→47	44→45	58→45	40	222/270/345	124	286	10	15	26%	5%	69	-0.4	223/290/328	105	294	9	12	26%	6%	73	-0.1	233/300/341	108	308	10	8	26%	7%	78	+0.1
✕Yunior Garcia 2019 · A	18	37→47	43→45	52→30	40	187/247/297	110	260	10	10	31%	6%	47	-1.9	196/245/301	105	305	10	7	37%	5%	46	-2.0	224/273/340	115	327	12	2	33%	5%	65	-0.3