Keyner Cedeno

P DSL Marlins

Age 19 LHP 6'0" / 180 lbs ROK

Overview

ROKPROSPECT

ETA2028MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	G	GS	IP	ERA	FIP	K%	BB%	WAR	MLE rates
2025	17	ROKDSL Miami	13	1	32	3.09	2.85	29.9%	12.2%	—	K 20.4% · BB 15.3% · FIP 4.05
2026	18	ROKMIA	18	1	39	2.54	1.51	38.9%	10.5%	—	K 26.4% · BB 13.1% · FIP 3.00
2027PROJ	19	MLBMIA	21	0	22	4.69	4.69	23.9%	13.0%	-0.0
2028PROJ49% MLB	20	MLBMIA	17	0	18	4.54	4.46	24.3%	11.7%	0.0

Next 2 projected WAR -0.0Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

Contract

No contract data on file.

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 94%

CompsDaniel Juarez (age 18) · Anfernny Reyes (age 19) · Yokelvin Reyes (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONrates below = full-season projection

showingPROJ

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 106114vR 122

ERA4.69

FIP4.69

K%23.9%

BB%13.0%

K-BB%10.9%

Proj IP22

Value2027 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 22 IP

Grades · Contract

Scouting Grades

K†5560

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2027 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	13	1	32	147	44	18	2	8%	2.5	20.4%	15.3%	5.0%	1.3%	3.09	4.05	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Miami	13	1	32	147	44	18	2	8%	2.5	20.4%	15.3%	5.0%	1.3%	3.09	4.05	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Miami	13	1	32	147	44	18	2	8%	2.5	29.9%	12.2%	17.7%	1.4%	3.09	2.85	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	18	1	39	162	63	17	1	6%	2.2	26.4%	13.1%	13.3%	0.9%	2.54	3.00	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Marlins	18	1	39	162	63	17	1	6%	2.2	26.4%	13.1%	13.3%	0.9%	2.54	3.00	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Marlins	18	1	39	162	63	17	1	6%	2.2	38.9%	10.5%	28.4%	0.6%	2.54	1.51	—
▸ 2027 season — projected remainder (no 2027 stats recorded)
2027	19	MLB	MIA	21	0	22	93	22	12	3	0%	1.0	23.9%	13.0%	10.9%	2.9%	4.69	4.69	-0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIA	35	0	37	156	38	18	4	0%	1.1	24.3%	11.7%	12.6%	2.8%	4.54	4.46	+0.0
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIA	17	0	18	76	18	9	2	0%	1.1	24.3%	11.7%	12.6%	2.8%	4.54	4.46	+0.0
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		17	0	18	77	19	9	2	0%	1.1	24.3%	11.7%	12.6%	2.8%	4.54	4.08	+0.1
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		190	0	200	844	209	99	22	0%	1.1	24.3%	11.7%	12.6%	2.8%	4.54	4.08	+1.1
Career	—	MLE		31	2	71	309	73	44	3	6%	2.3	23.5%	14.2%	9.4%	1.1%	2.79	3.50	+0.0
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		87	6	200	870	205	123	9	6%	2.3	23.5%	14.2%	9.4%	1.1%	2.79	3.50	+0.2

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Keyner Cedeno (OGILVIE)	—	—	4.69	23.9%	13.0%	2.9%	—	4.46	24.3%	12.6%	37	-0.23	—	—	—
Daniel Juarez L 2019 · 4.45 FIP	18	SU	4.45	24.9%	14.7%	2.9%	.389	4.24	26.5%	9.0%	68	-0.21	3.68	221	84
Anfernny Reyes L 2023 · 4.98 FIP	19	SU	4.98	21.6%	13.6%	3.6%	.282	4.34	21.0%	1.8%	99	-0.64	2.89	175	83
Yokelvin Reyes L 2023 · 3.94 FIP	19	SU	3.94	20.1%	12.8%	1.7%	.293	4.48	16.0%	4.1%	166	+0.54	3.50	221	81
Harry Gustin L 2024 · 3.91 FIP	22	SU	3.91	20.7%	11.0%	2.1%	.331	4.33	22.9%	12.7%	109	+0.42	3.70	152	80
Jonathan Hennigan L 2017 · 4.08 FIP	22	SU	4.08	22.0%	13.6%	2.0%	.341	3.57	17.5%	5.8%	119	-0.51	3.46	265	79
Adam Macko L 2019 · 3.88 FIP	18	SW	3.88	22.4%	14.6%	1.5%	.353	3.64	27.2%	12.4%	72	-0.24	3.40	406	78
Denny Bentley L 2018 · 4.85 FIP	20	SU	4.85	19.6%	10.3%	3.8%	.318	2.88	25.4%	10.3%	58	-1.97	2.88	175	78
Fabian Blanco L 2017 · 4.28 FIP	19	SU	4.28	18.8%	9.9%	2.8%	.368	4.05	16.9%	1.3%	74	-0.23	3.57	215	78
Gregori Louis L 2022 · 5.03 FIP	19	SU	5.03	25.4%	13.1%	4.4%	.364	4.96	19.1%	2.9%	89	-0.07	3.58	149	77
Keylan Killgore L 2019 · 4.23 FIP	22	SU	4.23	20.7%	12.7%	2.3%	.307	—	—	—	—	—	3.73	161	77
Chase Watkins L 2022 · 3.75 FIP	22	SU	3.75	20.6%	11.8%	1.7%	.346	4.34	17.7%	9.0%	156	+0.59	3.30	232	77
Evan Taylor L 2022 · 4.31 FIP	22	SU	4.31	28.1%	16.5%	2.7%	.304	3.19	21.9%	10.0%	150	-1.12	3.09	225	75
Yordy Herrera L 2024 · 3.87 FIP	19	SU	3.87	29.9%	16.8%	2.1%	.382	5.26	18.0%	-2.4%	85	+1.39	3.87	163	75
Vance Tatum L 2016 · 5.04 FIP	21	SU	5.04	17.2%	9.7%	3.9%	.319	5.06	15.6%	2.3%	85	+0.02	4.90	116	75
Rio Britton L 2024 · 4.28 FIP	21	SU	4.28	19.2%	13.5%	2.0%	.354	5.03	22.4%	7.1%	98	+0.75	4.28	166	75
Zach Morris L 2015 · 3.59 FIP	22	SU	3.59	18.5%	10.1%	1.4%	.286	4.38	13.9%	2.4%	84	+0.79	3.34	109	75
Nick Dombkowski L 2021 · 4.48 FIP	22	SU	4.48	21.3%	8.8%	3.7%	.208	4.71	16.7%	7.7%	223	+0.23	3.71	425	73
Evan Sisk L 2018 · 3.51 FIP	21	SU	3.51	19.5%	11.3%	1.1%	.293	4.00	18.4%	5.5%	114	+0.49	1.83	447	73
Taylor Hearn L 2016 · 3.99 FIP	21	SW	3.99	26.1%	10.6%	3.2%	.347	4.01	22.3%	11.7%	236	+0.02	3.72	572	73
Jake Higginbotham L 2018 · 5.15 FIP	22	SU	5.15	17.2%	10.6%	3.9%	.256	4.77	18.8%	6.4%	59	-0.38	3.28	335	73

Career Comps

Completed MLB careers (no pro action in 2+ yrs) whose totals — actual + projected — most resemble this player's. Pool: 1,474 reliever careers (754 from 1990-2025 + 720 historical, 1901-2023), also matched on career-to-date at the same age. * Historical (Lahman) careers: rates era-adjusted to 2001-24 league levels; WAR is an OGILVIE proxy.

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.3	29	24.2%	12.2%	1.10	4.60
Fred Lasher ('63-'71, -1 WAR*)	1.0	50	21.5%*	11.9%*	1.05*	4.68*
David Aardsma ('15)	1.7	48	23.1%	12.4%	1.09	4.27
José Cisnero ('24)	1.4	46	24.0%	11.3%	1.01	4.16
John Hudek ('99)	1.0	40	23.0%	13.7%	1.30	4.43
Mac Scarce ('72-'78, 1 WAR*)	1.0	52	25.9%*	12.4%*	1.27*	4.17*
Ed Glynn ('75-'85, -0 WAR*)	1.3	53	23.5%*	12.9%*	1.22*	4.69*