Evan Sisk
P
Pittsburgh Pirates
Age 29
LHP
6'2" / 214 lbs
MLB
peak 0.5 · 2027
ILInjured 15-Day (D15)
2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 24 ip · rates below = ROS only
wRC+ AGAINSTvL 6777vR 86
ERA3.26
FIP3.24
K%27.2%
BB%9.9%
K-BB%17.3%
ROS IP24
Value2026 · WAR
Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP
Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract
Statcast Percentiles
FB Velo
p1091.6
Whiff%
p5826.5%
K%
p8328.3%
xwOBA vs
p900.265
SI (29%)
CU (26%)
FB-0.9 (45%)
CH-1.1 (10%)
SL-1.4 (18%)
Contract
No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.
Career Stats + Projections
Viewactual = stats as recorded (seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations
Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed
Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | GS% | IP/G | K% | BB% | K-BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 20 | 1 | 31 | 122 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 5% | 1.5 | 19.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 1.1% | 1.76 | 3.51 | — |
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 20 | 1 | 31 | 122 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 5% | 1.5 | 28.7% | 9.0% | 19.7% | 0.8% | 1.76 | 2.32 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 41 | 0 | 61 | 262 | 56 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 15.8% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 3.25 | 3.87 | — |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 41 | 0 | 61 | 262 | 56 | 25 | 3 | 0% | 1.5 | 21.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 1.1% | 3.25 | 3.13 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 53 | 258 | 69 | 34 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 21.4% | 14.7% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 3.91 | 4.00 | — |
| 2021 | 24 | MIX | 2 levels | 39 | 0 | 53 | 258 | 69 | 34 | 4 | 0% | 1.4 | 26.7% | 13.2% | 13.6% | 1.6% | 3.91 | 3.40 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 63 | 255 | 76 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 25.3% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 1.0% | 1.57 | 2.98 | — |
| 2022 | 25 | MIX | 2 levels | 50 | 0 | 63 | 255 | 76 | 28 | 2 | 0% | 1.3 | 29.8% | 11.0% | 18.8% | 0.8% | 1.57 | 2.43 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 58 | 3 | 61 | 290 | 62 | 39 | 6 | 5% | 1.1 | 18.8% | 14.1% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 6.34 | 4.71 | — |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 58 | 3 | 61 | 290 | 62 | 39 | 6 | 5% | 1.1 | 21.4% | 13.4% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 6.34 | 4.26 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 58 | 0 | 57 | 229 | 81 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 31.1% | 11.9% | 19.2% | 0.0% | 1.57 | 1.98 | — |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 58 | 0 | 57 | 229 | 81 | 26 | 0 | 0% | 1.0 | 35.4% | 11.4% | 24.0% | 0.0% | 1.57 | 1.63 | — |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 55 | 252 | 67 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.6% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 2.5% | 4.12 | 3.69 | +0.5 |
| 2025 | 28 | MIX | 2 levels | 57 | 0 | 55 | 252 | 67 | 25 | 5 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.6% | 9.9% | 16.7% | 2.0% | 4.12 | 3.21 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 38 | 0 | 44 | 190 | 57 | 18 | 2 | 0% | 1.2 | 28.3% | 8.6% | 19.7% | 1.3% | 2.05 | 2.52 | +1.0 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PIT | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.2% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 2.2% | 3.26 | 3.24 | +0.4 |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PIT | 23 | 0 | 24 | 101 | 28 | 10 | 2 | 0% | 1.0 | 27.2% | 9.9% | 17.3% | 2.2% | 3.26 | 3.24 | +0.4 |
| 2026 TOT | 29 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 68 | 291 | 84 | 28 | 4 | — | — | 29.0% | 9.6% | 19.4% | 1.4% | 2.47 | 2.77 | +1.5 |
| 2026 FULL | 29 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 60 | 254 | 84 | 28 | 4 | — | — | 33.2% | 11.0% | 22.2% | 1.6% | 2.79 | 2.59 | +1.4 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘ | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 59 | 0 | 62 | 261 | 68 | 26 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 26.0% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 2.4% | 3.84 | 3.91 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 55 | 0 | 58 | 243 | 61 | 25 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 2.7% | 4.06 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 51 | 0 | 53 | 225 | 54 | 24 | 7 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 56 | 0 | 59 | 249 | 65 | 25 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.0% | 10.2% | 15.8% | 2.4% | 3.84 | 3.91 | +0.4 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 52 | 0 | 55 | 232 | 58 | 24 | 6 | 0% | 1.1 | 25.0% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 2.7% | 4.06 | 4.18 | +0.2 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 49 | 0 | 51 | 215 | 52 | 23 | 6 | 0% | 1.0 | 24.2% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 3.0% | 4.29 | 4.44 | +0.1 |
| ▸ Career (MLB actual + context projections) | |||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 230 | 0 | 242 | 1024 | 269 | 105 | 24 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.3% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 2.3% | 3.66 | 3.46 | +5.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 190 | 0 | 200 | 848 | 223 | 87 | 20 | 0% | 1.1 | 26.3% | 10.3% | 16.0% | 2.3% | 3.66 | 3.46 | +4.5 | ||
| Career | — | 361 | 4 | 425 | 1858 | 427 | 221 | 27 | 1% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 1.5% | 3.18 | 3.48 | +9.5 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 170 | 2 | 200 | 875 | 201 | 104 | 13 | 1% | 1.2 | 23.0% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 1.5% | 3.18 | 3.48 | +4.5 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evan Sisk (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.91 | 26.4% | 10.5% | 2.4% | — | 4.16 | 25.1% | 14.7% | 172 | +0.25 | — | — | — |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.76 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.76 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.09 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.33 | 3.72 | 181 | 83 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.04 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 1.7% | .238 | 5.18 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 88 | +2.14 | 3.04 | 145 | 82 |
| Boone Logan L 2027 · 2.85 FIP | 30 | SU | 2.85 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.4% | .352 | 3.01 | 29.7% | 20.6% | 78 | +0.16 | 2.44 | 113 | 82 |
| Marc Rzepczynski L 2026 · 2.83 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.83 | 25.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% | .356 | 3.76 | 19.4% | 7.9% | 101 | +0.93 | 2.79 | 181 | 79 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.39 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.39 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.16 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.23 | 2.51 | 190 | 76 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2026 · 3.10 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.10 | 26.2% | 13.5% | 0.9% | .220 | 4.33 | 24.7% | 12.5% | 92 | +1.23 | 3.10 | 137 | 76 |
| Zach Phillips L 2026 · 3.06 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.06 | 27.4% | 11.9% | 1.4% | .370 | 3.20 | 19.2% | 10.6% | 86 | +0.14 | 2.29 | 202 | 75 |
| Jerry Blevins L 2029 · 2.73 FIP | 32 | SU | 2.73 | 29.2% | 6.7% | 2.3% | .291 | 3.67 | 26.9% | 16.5% | 124 | +0.94 | 2.72 | 166 | 75 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2025 · 3.06 FIP | 28 | SU | 3.06 | 23.4% | 6.7% | 2.0% | .284 | 4.13 | 22.1% | 7.8% | 56 | +1.07 | 3.06 | 145 | 75 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.58 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.58 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.4% | .284 | 3.34 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.24 | 1.32 | 182 | 75 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.49 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.49 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.53 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.04 | 2.29 | 130 | 75 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.25 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.25 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.8% | .241 | 3.03 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.22 | 2.33 | 455 | 74 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2026 · 3.81 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.81 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.3% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.83 | 204 | 74 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.58 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.58 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.2% | .359 | 3.67 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.09 | 3.36 | 113 | 74 |
| Andrew Chafin L 2026 · 2.96 FIP | 29 | SU | 2.96 | 30.2% | 8.0% | 2.5% | .346 | 2.89 | 25.7% | 18.4% | 126 | -0.07 | 2.42 | 531 | 74 |
| Zach Duke L 2029 · 4.18 FIP | 32 | SU | 4.18 | 25.9% | 11.0% | 3.4% | .250 | 2.81 | 22.9% | 14.7% | 131 | -1.37 | 2.44 | 215 | 73 |
| Aaron Loup L 2026 · 3.04 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.04 | 24.2% | 9.1% | 1.5% | .318 | 3.32 | 23.6% | 17.2% | 65 | +0.28 | 2.07 | 363 | 73 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.82 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.82 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 4.0% | .253 | 4.48 | 23.7% | 12.6% | 46 | -0.34 | 3.80 | 172 | 72 |
| Kevin Siegrist L 2025 · 4.00 FIP | 28 | SU | 4.00 | 25.0% | 11.6% | 2.8% | .327 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.67 | 176 | 72 |
| Josh Smoker L 2026 · 3.84 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.84 | 22.1% | 8.4% | 2.8% | .318 | 6.37 | 14.2% | 3.4% | 14 | +2.53 | 2.66 | 230 | 72 |
Career Comps
Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 327 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).
| Player | Yrs | IP/yr | K% | BB% | HR/9 | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION | 4 | 58 | 25.4% | 10.5% | 1.01 | 4.02 |
| José Cisnero ('23) | 5 | 42 | 24.8% | 11.3% | 0.94 | 3.84 |
| Fernando Rodney ('19) | 5 | 59 | 24.6% | 11.8% | 0.88 | 4.21 |
| Santiago Casilla ('18) | 4 | 52 | 23.5% | 9.6% | 0.96 | 3.49 |
| Cam Bedrosian ('21) | 6 | 45 | 24.5% | 10.0% | 0.97 | 3.68 |
| Wade Davis ('21) | 6 | 53 | 27.3% | 10.4% | 0.90 | 3.77 |
| Brad Brach ('21) | 6 | 62 | 25.6% | 10.5% | 0.84 | 3.50 |