Evan Sisk
P
Indianapolis Indians
+0.6
WAR
Age 29
LHP
6'2" / 214 lbs
AAA
Svc 1.0 · Ctrl thru 2030
peak 0.6 · 2026
ERA3.81
FIP3.98
xFIP2.25
SIERA1.94
K%25.3%
BB%10.6%
K-BB%14.7%
IP55
trajectory · 10 yrs
0.6peak
2026
K†6060
FB Velo
p1090.6
Whiff%
p8631.0%
K%
p9031.3%
xwOBA vs
p900.264
SI (29%)
CU (30%)
FB-0.9 (39%)
CH-1.1 (12%)
SL-1.4 (19%)
Career (MLE) + Projections
Park-neutral MLB-equivalent. MiLB translated via MLE factors. FIP-based WAR vs replacement FIP=5.3 (SP) / 4.95 (RP, <80 IP). FIP+ = runs above league-avg FIP · REP = replacement-level bonus.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | G | GS | IP | BF | K | BB | HR | K% | BB% | HR% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 | ROK | Johnson City Cardinals | 20 | 1 | 31 | 122 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 19.5% | 11.3% | 1.1% | 1.76 | 3.51 | +0.5 |
| 2019 | 22 | A | Peoria Chiefs | 41 | 0 | 61 | 262 | 56 | 25 | 3 | 15.8% | 11.3% | 1.3% | 3.25 | 3.92 | +0.7 |
| 2021 | 24 | AA | Wichita Wind Surge | 39 | 0 | 53 | 258 | 69 | 34 | 4 | 21.4% | 14.7% | 1.7% | 3.91 | 4.06 | +0.5 |
| 2022 | 25 | AAA | St. Paul Saints | 50 | 0 | 63 | 255 | 76 | 28 | 2 | 25.3% | 11.7% | 1.0% | 1.57 | 2.97 | +1.4 |
| 2023 | 26 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 58 | 3 | 61 | 290 | 62 | 39 | 6 | 18.8% | 14.1% | 2.4% | 6.34 | 4.60 | +0.2 |
| 2024 | 27 | AAA | Omaha Storm Chasers | 58 | 0 | 57 | 229 | 81 | 26 | 0 | 31.1% | 11.9% | 0.0% | 1.57 | 1.98 | +1.9 |
| 2025 | 28 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 57 | 0 | 55 | 252 | 67 | 25 | 5 | 24.6% | 10.2% | 2.3% | 4.12 | 3.57 | +0.9 |
| ▸ 2026 Season | ||||||||||||||||
| 2026 | 29 | MLB | Pittsburgh Pirates | 8 | 0 | 10 | 50 | 18 | 6 | 0 | — | — | — | 1.80 | — | — |
| ROS | 29 | MLB | PIT | 53 | — | 53 | 222 | 56 | 24 | 5 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 2.3% | 3.81 | 3.98 | +0.6 |
| 2026 Total | 29 | MLB | PIT | — | — | 63 | 272 | 74 | 30 | 5 | 27.2% | 10.9% | 1.9% | 3.49 | 3.34 | +1.2 |
| ▸ 2027+ Projections — Marcel base + age-bracket aging | ||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 30 | MLB | PIT | 53 | — | 53 | 225 | 55 | 24 | 6 | 24.5% | 10.6% | 2.5% | 4.00 | 4.10 | +0.5 |
| 2028 | 31 | MLB | PIT | 52 | — | 52 | 217 | 52 | 23 | 6 | 23.9% | 10.6% | 2.6% | 4.14 | 4.22 | +0.4 |
| 2029 | 32 | MLB | PIT | 49 | — | 49 | 209 | 48 | 22 | 6 | 23.2% | 10.7% | 2.7% | 4.26 | 4.34 | +0.3 |
| 2030 | 33 | MLB | PIT | 47 | — | 47 | 199 | 45 | 22 | 6 | 22.6% | 10.8% | 2.8% | 4.39 | 4.47 | +0.3 |
| 2031 | 34 | MLB | PIT | 45 | — | 45 | 189 | 41 | 21 | 5 | 21.9% | 11.0% | 2.9% | 4.52 | 4.61 | +0.2 |
| 2032 | 35 | MLB | PIT | 42 | — | 42 | 178 | 38 | 20 | 5 | 21.1% | 11.2% | 3.0% | 4.66 | 4.76 | +0.1 |
| 2033 | 36 | MLB | PIT | 40 | — | 40 | 167 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 20.3% | 11.5% | 3.1% | 4.82 | 4.92 | +0.0 |
| ▸ Career (all levels · actual + projected) | ||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | 331 | 4 | 391 | 1718 | 391 | 211 | 24 | 22.7% | 12.3% | 1.4% | 3.27 | 3.51 | +7.9 | ||
| / 200 IP | — | 169 | 2 | 200 | 880 | 200 | 108 | 12 | 22.7% | 12.3% | 1.4% | 3.27 | 3.51 | +4.1 | ||
Career Path Comps
What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection
| Profile at Match Age | Next 3 Yrs | Career | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Comp | Age | Role | FIP | K% | BB% | HR/BF | BABIP | FIP | K% | K-BB% | IP | ΔFIP | Low FIP | IP | Match |
| Evan Sisk (OGILVIE) | — | — | 3.98 | 25.3% | 10.6% | 2.3% | — | 4.22 | 23.9% | 13.3% | 154 | +0.24 | — | — | — |
| Mike Dunn L 2027 · 3.77 FIP | 30 | SW | 3.77 | 27.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% | .294 | 4.21 | 22.5% | 10.9% | 110 | +0.44 | 3.70 | 181 | 83 |
| Antonio Bastardo L 2026 · 2.98 FIP | 29 | SW | 2.98 | 26.8% | 10.0% | 1.6% | .238 | 5.33 | 22.6% | 11.3% | 88 | +2.35 | 2.98 | 145 | 80 |
| Yuki Matsui L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SW | 4.44 | 22.4% | 11.4% | 3.3% | .253 | — | — | — | — | — | 3.52 | 126 | 79 |
| Tommy Layne L 2027 · 3.64 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.64 | 21.7% | 12.1% | 1.6% | .284 | 3.27 | 20.2% | 11.0% | 97 | -0.37 | 1.32 | 182 | 78 |
| Boone Logan L 2027 · 3.05 FIP | 30 | SU | 3.05 | 26.2% | 9.5% | 1.8% | .352 | 3.11 | 29.7% | 20.6% | 78 | +0.06 | 2.64 | 113 | 77 |
| Zach Duke L 2029 · 4.09 FIP | 32 | SW | 4.09 | 25.9% | 11.0% | 3.3% | .250 | 2.83 | 22.9% | 14.7% | 131 | -1.26 | 2.41 | 215 | 77 |
| Jeff Beliveau L 2026 · 3.19 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.19 | 26.2% | 13.5% | 1.1% | .220 | 4.27 | 24.7% | 12.5% | 92 | +1.08 | 3.19 | 137 | 77 |
| Josh Edgin L 2026 · 3.63 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.63 | 22.1% | 13.2% | 1.3% | .359 | 3.83 | 23.2% | 13.6% | 80 | +0.20 | 3.62 | 113 | 76 |
| Ryan O'Rourke L 2025 · 3.09 FIP | 28 | SW | 3.09 | 23.4% | 6.7% | 2.0% | .284 | 4.08 | 22.1% | 7.8% | 56 | +0.99 | 3.09 | 145 | 75 |
| Sammy Solís L 2026 · 4.44 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.44 | 24.9% | 9.6% | 4.0% | .330 | 4.07 | 26.2% | 17.3% | 23 | -0.37 | 2.50 | 190 | 74 |
| Edward Paredes L 2026 · 3.47 FIP | 29 | SU | 3.47 | 24.1% | 13.0% | 1.4% | .225 | 3.55 | 23.7% | 14.0% | 86 | +0.08 | 2.37 | 130 | 74 |
| Zach Phillips L 2026 · 3.01 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.01 | 27.4% | 11.9% | 1.3% | .370 | 3.20 | 19.2% | 10.6% | 86 | +0.19 | 2.34 | 202 | 74 |
| Scott Alexander L 2026 · 3.29 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.29 | 20.9% | 9.3% | 1.4% | .290 | 4.54 | 13.3% | 5.0% | 45 | +1.25 | 2.82 | 414 | 74 |
| Aaron Loup L 2026 · 3.05 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.05 | 24.2% | 9.1% | 1.5% | .318 | 3.30 | 23.6% | 17.2% | 65 | +0.25 | 2.07 | 363 | 73 |
| Cesár Ramos L 2028 · 2.79 FIP | 31 | SW | 2.79 | 19.5% | 6.8% | 0.9% | .329 | 4.68 | 15.9% | 7.8% | 172 | +1.89 | 2.79 | 225 | 73 |
| Chasen Shreve L 2026 · 3.95 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.95 | 24.4% | 11.1% | 2.7% | .269 | 4.54 | 23.9% | 13.0% | 108 | +0.59 | 3.79 | 470 | 73 |
| Lucas Luetge L 2026 · 3.66 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.66 | 21.0% | 10.8% | 1.8% | .346 | 3.60 | 22.0% | 14.2% | 100 | -0.06 | 2.60 | 430 | 73 |
| Jake Diekman L 2026 · 3.23 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.23 | 26.7% | 11.3% | 1.7% | .241 | 3.08 | 28.6% | 15.8% | 115 | -0.15 | 2.32 | 455 | 73 |
| Kyle Regnault L 2026 · 3.83 FIP | 29 | SW | 3.83 | 27.6% | 9.7% | 3.4% | .367 | — | — | — | — | — | 2.87 | 204 | 72 |
| Buddy Boshers L 2026 · 4.43 FIP | 29 | SU | 4.43 | 18.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | .300 | 3.46 | 24.1% | 15.6% | 112 | -0.97 | 2.83 | 223 | 71 |
Contract
ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status Pre-Arb
MLB Debut 2025
Service 1.000 yrs.days
Team Control Through 2030
First FA Year 2031
| Year | Status | Salary | Proj WAR | Value | Surplus |
| 2026 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.6 | $2M | +$2M |
| 2027 | Pre-Arb | $0.8M | +0.5 | $2M | +$1M |
| 2028 | Arb-1 | $1M | +0.4 | $2M | +$0.5M |
| 2029 | Arb-2 | $2M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| 2030 | Arb-3 | $2M | +0.3 | $1M | +$0.0M (cut) |
| Totals | $5M | $9M | +$3M | ||