Evan Sisk — OGILVIE

Evan Sisk P Pittsburgh Pirates

Age 29 LHP 6'2" / 214 lbs MLB peak 0.5 · 2026 ILReassigned to Minors (RM)

2026 ROS PROJECTION62 act + 6 ip · rates below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+ AGAINSTvL 8290vR 98

ERA3.57

FIP3.53

K%25.5%

BB%10.7%

K-BB%14.8%

ROS IP6

Value2026 · WAR

Runs saved vs league avg · 68 IP

Grades · Statcast · Arsenal · Contract

Scouting Grades

STUF5555

CTRL3535

CMD5050

K†6060

Statcast Percentiles

FB Velo

p1091.5

Whiff%

p5826.5%

p7025.8%

xwOBA vs

p680.294

SI (31%)

CU (26%)

FB-0.9 (48%)

CH-1.1 (9%)

SL-1.4 (16%)

Contract

No contract data on file. Pre-MLB players and minor-league free agents do not yet have salary projections — entries are added at first 40-man roster placement.

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how WAR & MLE are computed

Stats are park-neutral MLB equivalents. The "TEAM" column shows current org affiliation only — we do NOT project at that team's park.
Rates (K%, BB%, HR-BF) are park-stripped; MiLB stat lines are translated to their MLB-equivalent via per-level MLE factors.
WAR is computed from projected runs prevented vs a replacement pitcher (the marginal arm a team would call up if this pitcher were unavailable) — calibrated to industry-standard fWAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	G	GS	IP	BF	K	BB	HR	GS%	IP/G	K%	BB%	K-BB%	HR%	ERA	FIP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per year (as recorded, no adjustments)
▸ Career — adjusted (each season translated to a park/league-neutral MLB-equivalent line; levels combined per year)
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2018	21	ROK MLE	Johnson City Cardinals	20	1	31	122	35	11	1	5%	1.5	19.5%	11.3%	8.2%	1.1%	1.76	3.51	—
2018	21	ROK RAW	Johnson City Cardinals	20	1	31	122	35	11	1	5%	1.5	28.7%	9.0%	19.7%	0.8%	1.76	2.32	—
2019	22	A MLE	Peoria Chiefs	41	0	61	262	56	25	3	0%	1.5	15.8%	11.3%	4.6%	1.3%	3.25	3.93	—
2019	22	A RAW	Peoria Chiefs	41	0	61	262	56	25	3	0%	1.5	21.4%	9.5%	11.8%	1.1%	3.25	3.13	—
2021	24	MIX MLE	2 levels	39	0	53	258	69	34	4	0%	1.4	21.4%	14.7%	6.7%	1.7%	3.91	4.08	—
2021	24	MIX RAW	2 levels	39	0	53	258	69	34	4	0%	1.4	26.7%	13.2%	13.6%	1.6%	3.91	3.40	—
2022	25	MIX MLE	2 levels	50	0	63	255	76	28	2	0%	1.3	25.3%	11.7%	13.6%	1.0%	1.57	2.97	—
2022	25	MIX RAW	2 levels	50	0	63	255	76	28	2	0%	1.3	29.8%	11.0%	18.8%	0.8%	1.57	2.43	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	58	3	61	290	62	39	6	5%	1.1	17.7%	12.1%	5.6%	2.4%	6.34	4.46	—
2023	26	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	58	3	61	290	62	39	6	5%	1.1	17.7%	12.1%	5.6%	2.4%	6.34	4.46	—
2023	26	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	58	3	61	290	62	39	6	5%	1.1	21.4%	13.4%	7.9%	2.1%	6.34	4.26	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	58	0	57	229	81	26	0	0%	1.0	29.4%	10.2%	19.1%	0.0%	1.57	1.92	—
2024	27	AAA MLE	Omaha Storm Chasers	58	0	57	229	81	26	0	0%	1.0	29.4%	10.2%	19.1%	0.0%	1.57	1.92	—
2024	27	AAA RAW	Omaha Storm Chasers	58	0	57	229	81	26	0	0%	1.0	35.4%	11.4%	24.0%	0.0%	1.57	1.63	—
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	55	252	67	25	5	0%	1.0	23.8%	9.3%	14.4%	2.3%	4.12	3.56	+0.6
2025	28	MIX MLE	2 levels	57	0	55	252	67	25	5	0%	1.0	23.8%	9.3%	14.4%	2.3%	4.12	3.56	+0.6
2025	28	MIX RAW	2 levels	57	0	55	252	67	25	5	0%	1.0	26.6%	9.9%	16.7%	2.0%	4.12	3.21	+0.9
▸ Career totals (raw MLB only — as recorded)
MLB Career	—			58	0	60	266	73	33	3	0%	1.0	27.4%	12.4%	15.0%	1.1%	3.28	2.97	+1.1
▸ 2026 season
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	55	1	62	268	73	30	2	2%	1.1	25.7%	10.9%	14.7%	0.8%	2.76	2.76	+1.3
YTD	29	MLB MLE	Pittsburgh Pirates	55	1	62	268	73	30	2	2%	1.1	25.7%	10.9%	14.7%	0.8%	2.76	2.76	+1.3
▸ 2026 season — so far · projected rest · full
2026	29	AAA RAW	PIT	16	1	19	82	25	7	0	6%	1.2	30.5%	8.5%	22.0%	0.0%	1.86	1.61	—
2026	29	MLB RAW	PIT	39	0	43	186	48	23	2	0%	1.1	25.8%	12.4%	13.4%	1.1%	3.16	3.08	+0.8
SO FAR	29	MLB RAW	PIT	39	0	43	186	48	23	2	0%	1.1	25.8%	12.4%	13.4%	1.1%	3.16	3.08	+0.8
ROS	29	MLB MLE	PIT	5	0	6	23	6	2	1	0%	1.1	25.5%	10.7%	14.8%	2.2%	3.57	3.53	+0.1
ROS	29	MLB CTX	PIT	6	0	6	25	6	3	1	0%	1.0	25.5%	10.7%	14.8%	2.2%	3.57	3.53	+0.1
2026 TOT	29	MLB MLE	PIT	—	—	68	291	79	32	3	—	—	27.1%	11.2%	15.9%	0.9%	2.82	2.82	+1.5
FULL	29	MLB A+C	PIT	—	—	48	203	79	32	3	—	—	38.8%	16.0%	22.8%	1.2%	3.96	2.53	+1.1
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (IP × MLB%)
2027	30	MLB MLE	PIT	59	0	62	261	64	29	6	0%	1.0	24.7%	11.3%	13.4%	2.3%	4.03	4.10	+0.3
2028	31	MLB MLE	PIT	55	0	58	243	58	28	6	0%	1.0	23.8%	11.5%	12.3%	2.6%	4.23	4.35	+0.1
2027	30	MLB CTX	PIT	56	0	59	249	61	28	6	0%	1.1	24.7%	11.3%	13.4%	2.3%	4.03	4.10	+0.3
2028	31	MLB CTX	PIT	52	0	55	232	55	27	6	0%	1.1	23.8%	11.5%	12.3%	2.6%	4.23	4.35	+0.1
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	RAW		171	0	179	767	195	90	15	0%	1.0	25.4%	11.7%	13.7%	2.0%	3.82	3.53	+2.2
/ 200 IP	—	RAW		191	0	200	857	218	101	17	0%	1.0	25.4%	11.7%	13.7%	2.0%	3.82	3.53	+2.4
Career	—	MLE		378	5	443	1936	432	222	27	1%	1.2	22.3%	11.5%	10.8%	1.4%	3.23	3.43	+1.7
/ 200 IP	—	MLE		171	2	200	875	195	100	12	1%	1.2	22.3%	11.5%	10.8%	1.4%	3.23	3.43	+1.8

Career Path Comps

What happened to similar pitchers from this age · Y-axis: ERA+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

			Profile at Match Age					Next 3 Yrs				Career
Comp	Age	Role	FIP	K%	BB%	HR/BF	BABIP	FIP	K%	K-BB%	IP	ΔFIP	Low FIP	IP	Match
Evan Sisk (OGILVIE)	—	—	3.97	25.4%	10.6%	2.4%	—	4.22	24.3%	12.9%	119	+0.25	—	—	—
Mike Dunn L 2015 · 3.75 FIP	30	SU	3.75	27.7%	11.9%	2.7%	.294	4.21	22.5%	10.9%	110	+0.46	3.71	181	83
Antonio Bastardo L 2015 · 3.10 FIP	29	SU	3.10	26.8%	10.0%	1.8%	.238	5.27	22.6%	11.3%	88	+2.17	3.10	145	81
Boone Logan L 2015 · 2.96 FIP	30	SU	2.96	26.2%	9.5%	1.6%	.352	3.05	29.7%	20.6%	78	+0.09	2.58	113	81
Tommy Layne L 2015 · 3.61 FIP	30	SU	3.61	21.7%	12.1%	1.5%	.284	3.34	20.2%	11.0%	97	-0.27	1.32	182	81
Josh Edgin L 2016 · 3.64 FIP	29	SU	3.64	22.1%	13.2%	1.3%	.359	3.81	23.2%	13.6%	80	+0.17	3.63	113	81
Jeff Beliveau L 2016 · 3.19 FIP	29	SU	3.19	26.2%	13.5%	1.1%	.220	4.25	24.7%	12.5%	92	+1.06	3.19	137	80
Edward Paredes L 2016 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	24.1%	13.0%	1.4%	.225	3.55	23.7%	14.0%	86	+0.08	2.36	130	79
Zach Phillips L 2016 · 3.01 FIP	29	SU	3.01	27.4%	11.9%	1.3%	.370	3.20	19.2%	10.6%	86	+0.19	2.33	202	76
Jake Diekman L 2016 · 3.23 FIP	29	SU	3.23	26.7%	11.3%	1.7%	.241	3.09	28.6%	15.8%	115	-0.14	2.36	455	75
Daniel Rodriguez L 2015 · 2.89 FIP	30	SU	2.89	20.2%	9.4%	0.6%	.256	4.17	16.3%	5.9%	234	+1.28	2.89	391	74
Sammy Solís L 2018 · 4.39 FIP	29	SU	4.39	24.9%	9.6%	4.0%	.330	4.05	26.2%	17.3%	23	-0.34	2.51	190	74
Zach Duke L 2015 · 4.21 FIP	32	SU	4.21	25.9%	11.0%	3.5%	.250	2.85	22.9%	14.7%	131	-1.36	2.44	215	73
Ryan O'Rourke L 2016 · 3.05 FIP	28	SU	3.05	23.4%	6.7%	1.9%	.284	4.08	22.1%	7.8%	56	+1.03	3.05	145	73
Aaron Loup L 2017 · 3.04 FIP	29	SU	3.04	24.2%	9.1%	1.5%	.318	3.28	23.6%	17.2%	65	+0.24	2.07	363	73
Dario Alvarez L 2018 · 3.47 FIP	29	SU	3.47	20.7%	12.4%	1.0%	.250	—	—	—	—	—	3.47	160	73
Scott Alexander L 2018 · 3.30 FIP	29	SU	3.30	20.9%	9.3%	1.4%	.290	4.64	13.3%	5.0%	45	+1.34	2.90	426	73
Lucas Luetge L 2016 · 3.65 FIP	29	SU	3.65	21.0%	10.8%	1.8%	.346	3.56	22.0%	14.2%	100	-0.09	2.53	430	72
Josh Smoker L 2018 · 3.66 FIP	29	SU	3.66	22.1%	8.4%	2.5%	.318	6.58	14.2%	3.4%	14	+2.92	2.71	230	72
Jeremy Horst L 2015 · 4.09 FIP	29	SU	4.09	18.8%	11.2%	2.1%	.291	3.71	15.1%	2.7%	48	-0.38	3.71	108	72
Adam Loewen L 2015 · 3.84 FIP	31	SU	3.84	25.1%	15.9%	1.6%	.287	3.63	23.2%	7.3%	98	-0.21	2.96	176	72

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Pool: 133 completed pitcher careers (2015-2024).

Player	162s	IP/yr	K%	BB%	HR/9	ERA
OGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION	0.9	60	24.7%	11.1%	0.94	4.09
José Cisnero ('23)	1.1	42	24.8%	11.3%	0.94	3.84
Daniel Bard ('23)	1.0	50	25.1%	13.5%	0.81	3.82
Keegan Thompson ('24)	1.1	57	23.0%	11.3%	1.19	3.64
Cory Gearrin ('19)	1.1	57	21.5%	9.8%	0.79	3.42
Cam Bedrosian ('21)	1.3	45	24.5%	10.0%	0.97	3.68
Archie Bradley ('21)	2.2	74	23.2%	9.8%	0.85	3.93