Jeshua Mendez

C DSL Arizona Black

Age 19 R/R 6'0" / 175 lbs ROK HR -11% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2038

Overview

ROKPROSPECTMiLBFA 2039

ETA2029MLB%0%

Year	Age	Lvl / Team	PA	AVG/OBP/SLG	HR	SB	wRC+	WAR	MLE AVG/OBP/SLG
2025	17	ROKDSL Arizona B…	62	.170/.350/.234	0	6	24	—	.120/.267/.160
2026	18	ROKDSL Arizona B…	33	.154/.312/.269	1	2	8	—	.071/.188/.071
2027PROJ0% MLB	19	MLBARI	143	.208/.288/.285	1	3	65	0.0
2028PROJ34% MLB	20	MLBARI	47	.218/.298/.310	0	1	69	0.0
2029PROJ48% MLB	21	MLBARI	137	.222/.302/.321	2	3	73	0.1

Next 3 projected WAR 0.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.

ContractESTIMATED

Control thru2038Service0.0First FA2039

2027MiLB2028MiLB2029MiLB2030MiLB2031MiLB2032MiLB2033Pre-Arb$0.9M2034Pre-Arb$1.0M+4

Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2025 Rk

BB%85

Chase%69

Speed68

Whiff%66

K%53

Z-Con%36

Career WAR0 WAR median (P10 0 / P90 0, comp-based) · star 0% · didn't stick 100%

CompsAndrés Nolaya (age 19) · Pablo Aliendo (age 20) · Miguel Palma (age 19)

2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 46 proj PA

wRC+†65

AVG/OBP/SLG.206 / .285 / .283

PA46

HR0

K%28

BB%9

ISO78

MLB%0%

Value2027 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit+$26M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2033

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2038

First FA Year 2039

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2032	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2033
2033	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-1	$2M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.1M
2037	Arb-2	$3M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.0M (cut)
2038	Arb-3	$3M	+0.2	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
Totals		$5M		$7M	+$3M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve. Catcher framing: only 2027 Statcast framing is modeled (Baseball Savant server-caches the leaderboard to the current season); prior-year framing is unmodeled — projections for established framers may run below FG-DC by 1-3 WAR.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	47	8	3	0	0	12	13	1	6	1	170	350	234	584	64	222	21	19	282	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK	DSL Arizona Black	—	33	26	4	0	0	1	5	9	1	2	0	154	312	269	582	115	176	27	15	273	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	50	6	2	0	0	9	16	1	6	1	120	267	160	427	40	149	26	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	33	28	2	0	0	0	3	11	1	2	0	71	188	71	259		116	33	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	50	6	2	0	0	9	16	1	6	1	120	267	160	427	40	167	26	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	47	8	3	0	0	12	13	1	6	1	170	350	234	584	64	222	21	19	282	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	33	28	2	0	0	0	3	11	1	2	0	71	188	71	259		111	33	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK RAW	DSL Arizona Black	—	33	26	4	0	0	1	5	9	1	2	0	154	312	269	582	115	176	27	15	273	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	52	6	2	0	0	9	16	1	6	1	115	267	154	421	38	149	26	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	33	29	2	0	0	0	3	11	1	2	0	69	188	69	256		116	33	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	62	52	6	2	0	0	9	16	1	6	1	115	267	154	421	38	149	26	15	204	24	—	—	—	—	—	—
2026	18	ROK MLE	DSL Arizona Black	—	33	29	2	0	0	0	3	11	1	2	0	69	188	69	256		116	33	9	180	8	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
2027	19	MLB MLE	ARI	0%	143	127	27	5	1	1	13	40	2	3	0	208	288	285	573	78	289	28	9	264	65	-6	+1	+0	+3	+3	0.0
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2028	20	MLB MLE	ARI	34%	136	121	26	5	1	1	12	37	2	3	1	212	292	297	590	86	291	27	9	271	69	-5	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2029	21	MLB MLE	ARI	48%	282	251	54	10	2	3	25	76	4	7	1	215	296	308	604	93	292	27	9	277	73	-9	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.3
2030	22	MLB MLE	ARI	54%	392	349	75	14	2	5	35	105	5	9	2	218	299	317	616	99	293	27	9	281	77	-11	+1	+0	+7	+8	0.6
2031	23	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	467	416	92	17	3	7	42	124	6	11	2	221	301	326	627	105	294	27	9	285	79	-12	+1	+0	+8	+10	0.8
2032	24	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	515	458	102	19	3	8	46	135	6	12	2	223	303	333	636	110	294	26	9	289	82	-11	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2033	25	MLB MLE	ARI	57%	520	462	104	19	3	9	47	136	6	12	2	224	304	335	639	111	295	26	9	290	82	-11	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2034	26	MLB MLE	ARI	56%	520	462	104	19	3	9	47	136	6	12	2	224	304	336	640	112	294	26	9	290	83	-11	+2	+0	+9	+11	1.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	ARI	55%	520	462	103	19	3	9	47	137	6	11	2	223	303	333	636	111	294	26	9	289	82	-11	+1	+0	+9	+11	1.1
2036	28	MLB MLE	ARI	59%	520	462	102	19	3	8	47	138	6	10	2	221	301	328	629	108	293	27	9	286	80	-13	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.9
2037	29	MLB MLE	ARI	61%	520	463	101	18	3	8	46	140	6	8	2	218	298	322	620	104	291	27	9	282	77	-14	+1	-1	+9	+11	0.6
2038	30	MLB MLE	ARI	62%	520	463	99	18	3	7	46	141	6	5	1	215	294	314	608	99	289	27	9	277	74	-16	+1	-2	+9	+11	0.3
2039	31	MLB MLE	ARI	63%	504	450	95	17	2	7	44	139	5	2	1	211	289	304	593	93	286	28	9	271	70	-18	+0	-3	+9	+11	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	ARI	34%	47	42	9	2	0	0	4	13	1	1	0	218	298	310	609	92	301	28	9	278	69	-2	+0	+0	+1	+1	0.0
2029	21	MLB CTX	ARI	48%	137	122	27	5	1	2	12	37	2	3	1	222	302	321	623	99	302	27	9	284	73	-4	+0	+0	+2	+3	0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	ARI	54%	213	189	44	9	2	3	19	57	3	5	1	225	305	330	635	105	303	27	9	288	77	-6	+1	+0	+4	+5	0.3
2031	23	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	264	235	54	11	2	4	24	70	3	6	1	227	307	338	645	110	304	27	9	292	79	-7	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.5
2032	24	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	291	259	59	12	2	4	26	76	4	7	1	230	309	345	654	115	305	26	9	296	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2033	25	MLB CTX	ARI	57%	294	262	60	12	2	5	26	77	4	7	1	230	310	347	656	116	305	26	9	297	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2034	26	MLB CTX	ARI	56%	294	262	60	12	2	5	26	77	4	7	1	230	310	348	657	117	305	26	9	297	83	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.7
2035	27	MLB CTX	ARI	55%	288	256	59	12	2	5	26	76	4	6	1	229	308	345	653	116	304	26	9	295	82	-6	+1	+0	+5	+6	0.6
2036	28	MLB CTX	ARI	59%	307	272	62	12	2	5	28	82	4	6	1	227	306	340	646	113	303	27	9	293	80	-7	+1	-0	+5	+7	0.5
2037	29	MLB CTX	ARI	61%	317	282	64	13	2	5	28	85	4	5	1	224	303	333	637	109	301	27	9	289	77	-9	+1	-1	+6	+7	0.4
2038	30	MLB CTX	ARI	62%	324	288	64	13	2	4	29	88	4	3	1	221	300	325	625	104	299	27	9	284	74	-10	+0	-1	+6	+7	0.2
2039	31	MLB CTX	ARI	63%	318	284	62	12	2	4	28	88	3	1	1	217	294	315	609	98	295	28	9	278	70	-11	-0	-2	+6	+7	-0.1
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3094	2753	624	125	21	46	276	826	40	57	11	227	306	337	644	111	305	27	9	290	77	-81	+7	-4	+55	+67	4.5
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	578	131	26	4	10	58	174	8	12	2	227	305	337	643	111	305	27	9	290	77	-17	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9
Career	—	MLE		—	5557	4938	1073	198	31	81	500	1484	67	111	21	217	298	319	617	102	291	27	9	282	77	-144	+13	-7	+98	+118	7.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	578	125	23	4	9	58	174	8	13	2	216	297	317	613	100	291	27	9	282	77	-17	+1	-1	+12	+14	0.9

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Tucker Barnhartlast yr '24 career totals — 11 seasons, 3,088 PA	4.7	3,088	53	8	241	318	351	+55	+57	16.5	16.1
/162	664	11	2	+11.9	+12.3	3.6	pk7: 16
#2Jacob Stallingslast yr '25 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,850 PA	2.8	1,850	33	0	229	310	340	+33	+50	10.3	10.3
/162	664	12	0	+11.9	+17.9	3.7	pk7: 10
#3Brian Schneider'00-'12 * career totals — 12 seasons, 3,570 PA	5.4	3,570	67	4	238*	309*	359*	+63	-0	9.0	8.8
/162	664	12	1	+11.7	-0.1	1.7	pk7: 9
#4Buck Rodgers'61-'69 * career totals — 9 seasons, 3,353 PA	5.0	3,353	31	17	239*	294*	339*	+60	+0	6.4	6.5
/162	664	6	3	+11.8	+0.0	1.3	pk7: 7
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 8 projected seasons	4.7	3,139	48	58	220	297	324	+56	+32	6.6	5.9
/162	664	10	12	+11.9	+6.8	1.4	pk7: 5
#5Fred Kendall'69-'80 * career totals — 8 seasons, 2,823 PA	4.3	2,823	31	5	231*	283*	340*	+48	+1	5.0	5.9
/162	664	7	1	+11.2	+0.1	1.2	pk7: 7
#6Red Kleinow'04-'11 * career totals — 7 seasons, 1,875 PA	2.8	1,875	3	42	219*	299*	350*	+33	-1	4.3	4.4
/162	664	1	15	+11.5	-0.2	1.5	pk7: 4

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jeshua Mendez (OGILVIE)	19	—	—	—	—	206/285/283	77	289	0	1	28%	9%	65	-0.1	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Andrés Nolaya 2024 · A	19	39	36→45	47→50	46	183/256/246	64	263	3	12	30%	8%	45	-2.7	196/270/269	73	284	4	17	30%	8%	55	-1.9	201/281/282	81	280	7	21	28%	8%	61	-0.5
✕Pablo Aliendo 2021 · A	20	38	36→50	50→45	44	181/261/246	65	268	3	13	31%	8%	47	-2.5	202/271/300	98	303	9	5	34%	6%	63	-1.3	206/275/350	144	296	17	5	34%	7%	73	-0.3
✕Miguel Palma 2021 · A	19	40	39→45	48→40	45	193/281/280	88	261	6	11	27%	7%	63	-1.3	215/293/337	122	281	13	5	27%	8%	80	-0.1	217/284/341	124	274	15	2	26%	7%	76	-0.2
✕Javier Herrera 2024 · A	19	38	39→40	51→55	45	184/262/268	84	272	6	10	32%	9%	53	-2.1	204/298/290	86	279	5	15	26%	11%	71	-0.8	210/307/297	87	289	5	18	26%	11%	74	-0.2
✕Juan Villavicencio 2024 · A	19	36→44	38→50	51→55	47	174/251/254	80	234	5	13	26%	8%	45	-2.7	189/262/280	91	279	7	14	32%	8%	55	-1.9	193/266/307	113	285	10	20	34%	8%	61	-0.6
✕Jason Lopez 2017 · A	19	39	37→50	49→45	46	189/256/259	71	249	5	11	25%	7%	48	-2.5	203/254/307	104	277	9	7	29%	6%	57	-1.8	192/240/305	113	271	11	8	32%	6%	50	-1.0
✕Chris Suero 2023 · A	19	40→38	37→45	47→55	52	185/290/259	74	266	4	8	29%	11%	62	-1.4	194/289/297	103	280	10	14	31%	10%	70	-0.8	181/287/307	126	264	14	27	34%	10%	70	-0.7
✕Yordany De Los Santos 2024 · A	19	41→40	37→45	53→60	45	189/276/261	72	296	4	19	34%	9%	57	-1.8	210/266/317	107	310	10	28	34%	6%	65	-1.2	207/258/332	125	300	14	35	34%	5%	62	-1.0
✕Jhostynxon Garcia 2022 · A	19	41→44	38→50	47→50	54	193/285/279	86	256	5	8	25%	11%	63	-1.3	188/262/304	116	277	10	9	34%	8%	61	-1.5	226/279/379	153	297	20	9	30%	5%	81	-0.0
✕Luis Vázquez 2019 · A	19	40→47	36→45	49→50	39	193/238/260	66	278	3	8	30%	5%	40	-3.1	208/254/280	72	286	5	10	28%	5%	51	-2.2	233/299/360	126	304	15	8	27%	7%	84	+0.1
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	36→44	39→50	53→55	48	177/265/262	85	249	7	11	30%	9%	53	-2.1	194/283/299	105	299	9	16	34%	10%	68	-1.0	223/303/376	153	308	17	18	31%	10%	89	+0.4
✕Jorge Alcantara 2010 · A	18	42	37→45	51→50	44	200/264/274	74	285	4	11	30%	7%	54	-2.0	207/273/305	98	302	7	11	31%	7%	64	-1.3	189/258/298	110	269	7	17	30%	7%	57	-0.6
✕Thayron Liranzo 2022 · A	19	43	37→50	49→30	47	202/280/280	77	287	4	8	29%	9%	62	-1.4	208/291/366	158	303	18	3	35%	10%	86	+0.3	203/298/375	172	290	20	1	35%	11%	87	+0.2
✕Jose Rosario 2011 · A	19	41	38→40	50	42	199/262/275	76	274	5	10	28%	6%	54	-2.0	214/261/320	106	270	10	12	24%	4%	63	-1.3	230/277/334	104	276	9	10	19%	4%	68	-0.4
✕Gilberto Celestino 2018 · A	19	43→53	39→45	53→55	43	206/263/292	86	288	6	12	30%	7%	57	-1.8	220/271/312	92	287	7	10	24%	6%	65	-1.2	239/317/316	76	309	5	10	22%	9%	81	-0.0
✕Denzer Guzman 2023 · A	19	38→48	39→45	47→50	43	188/246/273	85	256	6	9	28%	7%	47	-2.6	195/254/294	99	297	8	8	35%	7%	55	-2.0	217/278/341	124	295	14	11	30%	7%	72	-0.6
✕Brennen Davis 2019 · A	19	48→43	36→50	51→45	46	221/300/290	68	306	3	12	26%	8%	72	-0.7	233/303/375	142	314	15	8	29%	7%	93	+0.8	188/287/362	173	236	23	4	30%	8%	83	+0.0
✕Jacob Amaya 2018 · A	19	44→47	39→45	48→45	46	211/280/295	84	285	6	8	27%	8%	65	-1.2	225/304/318	93	298	6	8	24%	10%	79	-0.2	218/291/330	112	279	11	6	25%	9%	75	-0.4
✕Wendell Rijo 2015 · A	19	44→45	41→50	51→50	45	211/277/319	108	290	7	12	28%	8%	70	-0.9	206/259/297	91	291	6	11	30%	6%	57	-1.8	210/267/353	143	267	17	14	28%	6%	71	-0.5
✕Eddys Leonard 2019 · A	18	39→47	39→50	48→50	51	188/277/271	84	242	6	14	24%	10%	59	-1.6	207/281/319	112	295	10	8	31%	8%	72	-0.7	227/295/375	148	296	16	4	28%	6%	86	+0.3

Jeshua Mendez

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps