Nicolas Barrios — OGILVIE

Nicolas BarriosOF DSL Brewers Blue

Age 18 L/L 5'9" / 161 lbs ROK HR +10%K +6% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION58 act + 8 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†62

AVG/OBP/SLG.143 / .250 / .143

PA8

HR0

K%25

BB%12

BABIP278

ISO88

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$3M ctrl surplus

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.1	$0.3M	+$0.0M (cut)
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.2	$0.4M	+$0.0M (cut)
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.1	$0.2M	+$0.0M (cut)
2037	Arb-3	$2M	—	—	—
Totals		$1.0M		$2M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	104	86	18	5	2	1	11	22	5	8	3	209	333	349	682	140	262	21	11	309	95	-1	+0	—	—	+2	0.2
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	104	90	12	3	1	1	7	33	5	8	3	133	235	222	458	89	192	32	7	206	26	-9	+0	—	—	+2	-0.7
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	104	90	12	3	1	1	7	33	5	8	3	133	235	222	458	89	190	32	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK RAW	DSL Brewers Gold	—	104	86	18	5	2	1	11	22	5	8	3	209	333	349	682	140	262	21	11	309	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	104	91	12	3	1	1	7	33	5	8	3	132	235	220	455	88	192	32	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2025	17	ROK MLE	DSL Brewers Gold	—	104	91	12	3	1	1	7	33	5	8	3	132	235	220	455	88	192	32	7	206	26	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	18	ROK MLE	MIL	—	58	47	6	1	0	0	10	19	0	5	1	128	281	149	430	21	207	33	17	216	32	-5	+1	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
▸ 2026 season
YTD	18	ROK RAW	MIL	—	58	41	7	1	0	0	16	13	0	5	1	171	404	195	599	24	241	22	28	308	32	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	18	ROK MLE	MIL	0%	8	7	1	0	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	143	250	143	393		280	25	12	259	62	-0	+0	+0	-0	+0	-0.0
TOT	18	ROK MLE	MIL	—	66	54	7	1	0	0	11	21	0	5	1	130	277	148	425	19	206	32	17	221	36	-5	+1	+0	-0	+1	-0.3
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	19	MLB MLE	MIL	34%	182	161	33	6	1	2	17	51	2	4	1	205	289	292	581	87	284	28	9	272	70	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2028	20	MLB MLE	MIL	48%	323	285	60	11	2	5	30	88	5	7	1	211	297	316	613	105	286	27	9	281	76	-9	+1	+0	-2	+7	-0.3
2029	21	MLB MLE	MIL	54%	431	381	82	15	3	7	40	116	7	10	2	215	301	325	627	110	287	27	9	287	80	-10	+1	+0	-3	+9	-0.2
2030	22	MLB MLE	MIL	57%	507	447	98	18	4	9	47	135	8	12	2	219	305	338	643	119	288	27	9	291	83	-10	+2	+0	-3	+11	-0.1
2031	23	MLB MLE	MIL	58%	558	492	109	20	4	11	52	148	9	13	2	222	307	346	653	124	289	27	9	293	85	-10	+2	+0	-3	+12	0.0
2032	24	MLB MLE	MIL	57%	592	523	116	21	4	12	55	156	9	14	2	222	307	346	653	124	290	26	9	296	86	-10	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.2
2033	25	MLB MLE	MIL	57%	612	541	121	22	4	13	57	162	9	14	3	224	308	351	659	128	290	26	9	297	87	-9	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.2
2034	26	MLB MLE	MIL	57%	622	549	123	22	5	13	58	164	10	14	3	224	310	353	663	129	290	26	9	298	88	-9	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.2
2035	27	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	623	549	122	22	4	13	59	165	10	14	3	222	309	348	657	126	290	26	9	298	88	-9	+2	+0	-4	+13	0.2
2036	28	MLB MLE	MIL	55%	619	545	121	22	4	13	59	165	10	14	2	222	309	349	658	127	289	27	10	297	87	-9	+2	-1	-4	+13	0.2
2037	29	MLB MLE	MIL	53%	610	537	117	21	4	12	59	164	9	12	2	218	306	339	645	121	288	27	10	295	86	-10	+2	-1	-4	+13	-0.1
2027	19	MLB CTX	MIL	34%	63	56	11	2	0	1	6	18	1	1	0	196	286	286	571	89	282	29	10	262	70	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
2028	20	MLB CTX	MIL	48%	157	139	29	5	1	2	15	43	2	4	1	209	295	302	597	94	284	27	10	270	76	-4	+0	+0	-1	+3	-0.2
2029	21	MLB CTX	MIL	54%	234	206	45	8	2	4	22	63	4	5	1	218	306	335	641	117	285	27	9	276	80	-6	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.1
2030	22	MLB CTX	MIL	57%	287	254	55	10	2	5	27	76	4	7	1	217	302	331	632	114	287	26	9	280	83	-6	+1	+0	-2	+6	-0.0
2031	23	MLB CTX	MIL	58%	321	283	62	11	2	6	30	85	5	7	1	219	305	336	641	117	287	26	9	283	85	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.0
2032	24	MLB CTX	MIL	57%	337	298	66	12	2	7	31	89	5	8	1	221	305	346	651	124	288	26	9	285	86	-6	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.1
2033	25	MLB CTX	MIL	57%	347	307	68	12	3	7	32	92	5	8	1	221	305	349	654	127	289	27	9	286	87	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.1
2034	26	MLB CTX	MIL	57%	352	311	70	12	3	8	33	93	5	8	1	225	309	360	670	135	288	26	9	287	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+8	0.2
2035	27	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	346	305	68	12	2	8	33	92	5	8	1	223	309	354	663	131	288	27	10	287	88	-5	+1	+0	-2	+7	0.2
2036	28	MLB CTX	MIL	55%	340	299	66	12	2	7	33	90	5	7	1	221	309	344	653	124	288	26	10	286	87	-5	+1	-0	-2	+7	0.1
2037	29	MLB CTX	MIL	53%	326	287	63	11	2	7	31	87	5	7	1	220	307	345	651	125	287	27	10	285	86	-5	+1	-1	-2	+7	-0.0
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	3110	2745	603	107	21	62	293	828	46	70	10	220	305	342	647	122	289	27	9	283	84	-55	+10	-1	-19	+67	0.2
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	574	125	22	4	13	61	173	10	15	2	218	304	338	642	120	286	27	9	283	84	-12	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.0
Career	—	MLE		—	5791	5107	1115	203	40	111	541	1549	93	136	26	218	305	339	644	121	289	27	9	292	84	-103	+16	-2	-34	+123	0.0
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	573	124	23	4	12	61	174	10	15	3	216	302	333	636	117	287	27	9	292	84	-12	+2	-0	-4	+14	0.0

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	4.1	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
/162	664	10	19	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	4.1	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
/162	664	20	13	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	4.8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
/162	664	20	20	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	3.3	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
/162	664	11	16	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	3.5	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
/162	664	13	9	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	4.8	3,199	61	73	221	303	342	-19	+0	2.1	2.1
/162	664	13	15	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2
#6Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nicolas Barrios (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	196/280/276	80	280	1	3	29%	9%	62	-0.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43→45	39→50	55	42	205/265/294	89	297	6	14	32%	7%	59	-1.7	186/260/273	87	276	6	12	32%	8%	53	-2.1	195/272/312	117	292	11	20	34%	9%	64	-0.5
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→42	38→45	53→60	48	181/263/263	82	240	5	13	26%	8%	52	-2.2	207/289/321	114	272	11	17	26%	9%	75	-0.5	202/287/312	110	269	12	24	27%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→45	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	54	-2.0	216/272/315	99	296	8	14	28%	7%	66	-1.1	219/279/346	127	314	10	7	32%	7%	73	-0.6
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→41	42→50	53→55	44	186/268/288	102	275	10	11	34%	9%	60	-1.6	201/285/320	119	319	11	16	37%	10%	73	-0.6	220/298/374	155	300	18	18	31%	9%	87	+0.3
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	37→47	37→50	52→50	43	181/245/254	73	265	4	14	32%	7%	42	-2.9	199/255/296	97	301	6	9	33%	7%	55	-2.0	213/280/360	147	293	15	9	31%	8%	79	-0.1
✕Akil Baddoo 2017 · A	18	38→48	39→50	53→55	40	182/252/261	79	299	6	12	39%	8%	47	-2.6	206/281/322	116	293	8	12	30%	9%	71	-0.8	236/319/383	147	308	15	24	26%	11%	96	+0.7
✕Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	53	-2.1	230/299/329	99	282	6	10	20%	6%	80	-0.1	244/324/361	117	272	11	9	14%	7%	95	+0.9
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	72	-0.7	189/267/301	112	298	10	8	37%	8%	62	-1.4	154/246/261	107	253	10	8	40%	8%	44	-0.7
✕Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	47	-2.6	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	59	-1.7	254/307/365	110	342	6	19	26%	6%	89	+0.3
✕Ramón Flores 2010 · A	18	38→48	36→45	46→50	47	182/254/249	67	244	3	8	25%	8%	45	-2.7	220/277/307	87	284	6	9	23%	7%	66	-1.1	248/322/344	96	296	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.3
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→46	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	64	-1.3	188/251/299	111	251	9	7	28%	7%	55	-2.0	219/282/397	178	265	23	8	27%	7%	88	+0.3
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	74	-0.6	214/320/283	69	272	4	14	20%	11%	78	-0.3	222/318/349	127	252	16	10	19%	9%	90	+0.3
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2011 · A	18	39	37→55	56→50	40	184/248/267	83	281	2	8	33%	7%	47	-2.6	181/235/271	90	247	6	8	28%	5%	42	-2.9	196/222/319	124	254	12	8	28%	3%	45	-0.8
✕Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	42→52	40→45	53→50	41	203/261/302	99	285	6	11	30%	6%	59	-1.7	203/241/283	80	277	4	10	27%	4%	46	-2.6	268/308/373	106	324	7	13	19%	4%	89	+0.3
✕Victor Mesa Jr. 2021 · A	19	44	37→55	49→50	47	210/269/289	79	269	4	8	22%	7%	59	-1.7	208/258/305	97	283	7	9	27%	6%	58	-1.7	228/287/392	163	266	21	11	23%	7%	87	+0.2
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	68	-1.0	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	62	-1.4	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	58	-0.5
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	43→51	36→50	51→45	43	201/265/280	79	293	2	10	30%	7%	55	-1.9	230/292/316	86	326	5	6	28%	8%	74	-0.6	227/293/314	87	317	6	4	28%	8%	70	-0.5
✕Luis Torrens 2014 · A	18	42→48	36→50	49→40	45	196/262/257	61	277	3	5	29%	8%	49	-2.4	204/277/280	76	276	6	5	26%	8%	61	-1.5	237/296/380	143	283	15	2	21%	6%	89	+0.2
✕Nick Pratto 2018 · A	19	39→45	40→55	49→50	39	188/247/287	99	289	7	10	36%	7%	51	-2.3	185/235/286	101	310	10	12	41%	6%	46	-2.6	194/287/372	178	283	22	7	37%	10%	85	+0.2
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→49	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	57	-1.8	209/260/301	92	287	8	8	28%	6%	58	-1.7	234/295/378	144	313	15	11	29%	7%	86	+0.3

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps