Nicolas Barrios — OGILVIE

Nicolas BarriosOF DSL Brewers Blue

Age 18 L/L 5'9" / 161 lbs ROK HR -4% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037

2026 ROS PROJECTION44 act + 46 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†59

AVG/OBP/SLG.195 / .283 / .244

PA46

HR0

K%28

BB%9

BABIP286

ISO49

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · Contract

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2032

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2037

First FA Year 2038

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2031	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2032
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	+0.5	$1M	+$0.8M
2033	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.6	$1M	+$1.0M
2034	Pre-Arb	$1.0M	+0.7	$2M	+$1M
2035	Arb-1	$1M	+0.7	$1M	+$0.9M
2036	Arb-2	$2M	+0.5	$0.9M	+$0.4M
2037	Arb-3	$2M	+0.4	$0.7M	+$0.1M
Totals		$8M		$7M	+$4M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	104	90	12	3	1	1	7	35	5	8	3	133	235	222	458	89	196	34	7	200	11	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	104	86	18	5	2	1	11	22	5	8	3	209	333	349	682	140	262	21	11	309	95	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	18	ROK	MIL	—	44	35	4	1	0	0	9	13	0	5	1	114	295	143	438	29	182	30	20	228	33	-3	+1	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
YTD	18	ROK	MIL	—	44	30	5	1	0	0	14	9	0	5	1	167	432	200	632	33	238	20	32	333	113	+1	+1	+0	-0	+1	0.2
ROS	18	ROK	MIL	0%	46	41	8	2	0	0	4	13	1	1	0	195	283	244	527	49	279	28	9	262	59	-2	+0	+0	-0	+1	-0.1
ROS	18	MLB	MIL	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		277	—	—	251	50	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	18	ROK	MIL	—	44	36	4	1	0	0	9	13	0	5	1	111	295	139	434	28	174	30	20	228	33	-3	+1	+0	-0	+1	-0.2
TOT	18	ROK	MIL	—	90	76	12	3	0	0	13	26	1	6	1	158	289	197	486	39	240	29	14	245	46	-5	+1	+0	-1	+3	-0.3
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	19	MLB	MIL	34%	182	160	32	6	1	2	17	50	3	5	1	200	289	287	576	87	284	27	9	274	68	-7	+1	+0	-1	+5	-0.2
2028	20	MLB	MIL	48%	323	285	61	12	2	5	30	88	5	8	1	214	300	323	623	109	287	27	9	282	74	-9	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.1
2029	21	MLB	MIL	54%	431	381	83	16	3	7	40	115	7	11	2	218	304	331	634	113	288	27	9	288	79	-10	+1	+0	-3	+12	0.1
2030	22	MLB	MIL	57%	507	447	99	19	4	9	47	135	8	13	2	221	307	342	649	121	289	27	9	292	82	-10	+2	+0	-3	+14	0.3
2031	23	MLB	MIL	58%	558	492	108	20	4	10	52	148	9	14	2	220	306	337	643	118	290	27	9	295	84	-10	+2	+0	-3	+16	0.4
2032	24	MLB	MIL	57%	592	522	116	22	4	12	55	156	10	15	3	222	308	349	657	126	291	26	9	297	85	-10	+2	+0	-4	+17	0.5
2033	25	MLB	MIL	57%	612	540	120	22	5	12	57	161	10	15	3	222	308	348	656	126	291	26	9	298	86	-9	+2	+0	-4	+17	0.6
2034	26	MLB	MIL	57%	622	549	123	23	5	13	58	164	10	16	3	224	310	355	665	131	291	26	9	299	87	-9	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.7
2035	27	MLB	MIL	55%	623	549	123	23	5	13	59	165	10	16	3	224	311	355	666	131	291	26	9	299	87	-9	+2	+0	-4	+18	0.7
2036	28	MLB	MIL	55%	619	545	120	22	4	13	59	164	10	15	3	220	308	347	655	127	290	26	10	298	86	-10	+2	-1	-4	+18	0.5
2037	29	MLB	MIL	53%	610	536	118	22	4	12	59	163	10	13	2	220	309	343	652	123	289	27	10	296	85	-10	+2	-1	-4	+17	0.4
2027	19	MLB	MIL	34%	63	56	11	2	0	1	6	17	1	2	0	196	286	286	571	89	282	27	10	261	58	-3	+0	+0	-0	+2	-0.1
2028	20	MLB	MIL	48%	157	139	29	6	1	2	15	43	2	4	1	209	295	309	604	101	284	27	10	269	64	-6	+0	+0	-1	+4	-0.3
2029	21	MLB	MIL	54%	234	206	45	8	2	4	22	63	4	6	1	218	306	335	641	117	286	27	9	274	68	-8	+1	+0	-1	+7	-0.2
2030	22	MLB	MIL	57%	287	253	55	10	2	5	27	76	5	7	1	217	305	332	637	115	287	26	9	278	71	-9	+1	+0	-2	+8	-0.2
2031	23	MLB	MIL	58%	321	283	62	12	2	6	30	85	5	8	1	219	305	339	644	120	288	26	9	281	73	-10	+1	+0	-2	+9	-0.2
2032	24	MLB	MIL	57%	337	297	64	12	2	6	32	89	5	8	1	215	302	330	632	114	289	26	9	283	74	-10	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.1
2033	25	MLB	MIL	57%	347	305	69	13	3	7	33	91	6	9	1	226	314	357	671	131	289	26	10	284	75	-10	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.0
2034	26	MLB	MIL	57%	352	310	69	13	3	7	33	93	6	9	1	223	309	352	661	129	289	26	9	285	76	-10	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.0
2035	27	MLB	MIL	55%	346	304	67	12	3	7	33	91	6	9	1	220	309	349	658	128	288	26	10	285	76	-9	+1	+0	-2	+10	-0.0
2036	28	MLB	MIL	55%	340	298	65	12	2	7	33	90	6	8	1	218	309	342	651	124	288	26	10	284	75	-9	+1	-0	-2	+10	-0.1
2037	29	MLB	MIL	53%	326	287	61	11	2	6	31	87	5	7	1	213	300	328	628	115	287	27	10	282	74	-10	+1	-1	-2	+9	-0.2
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	3110	2739	597	111	22	58	295	825	51	77	10	218	306	338	644	120	288	27	9	281	73	-94	+11	-1	-19	+88	-1.5
/ 162G	—			—	650	572	125	23	5	12	62	172	11	16	2	219	307	339	647	121	288	26	10	281	73	-20	+2	-0	-4	+18	-0.3
Career	—			—	5829	5137	1123	212	42	109	544	1557	98	150	28	219	305	340	645	121	290	27	9	293	82	-117	+19	-2	-35	+165	3.0
/ 162G	—			—	650	573	126	24	5	12	61	174	11	17	3	220	307	342	649	122	292	27	9	293	82	-13	+2	-0	-4	+18	0.3

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2025	17	ROK	DSL Brewers Gold	—	104	86	18	5	2	1	11	22	5	8	3	209	333	349	682	140	262	21	11	309	95	-1	+0	—	—	+3	0.3

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Jace Petersonlast yr '23 career totals — 10 seasons, 2,753 PA	10	2,753	42	77	228	318	337	+4	+5	5.3	6.0
	/162	664	10	19	228	318	337	+1.0	+1.3	1.3	pk7: 7
#2Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#3Gregory Polancolast yr '21 career totals — 8 seasons, 3,220 PA	8	3,220	96	98	241	309	409	-34	-28	3.8	4.4
	/162	664	20	20	241	309	409	-7.1	-5.8	0.8	pk7: 5
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	7	2,198	35	52	238	326	354	-4	-3	4.3	4.3
#4Tony Kemplast yr '23 career totals — 7 seasons, 2,198 PA	/162	664	11	16	238	326	354	-1.3	-0.8	1.3	pk7: 4
#5Dustin Ackleylast yr '16 career totals — 6 seasons, 2,347 PA	6	2,347	46	31	241	304	367	-5	+7	3.8	3.8
	/162	664	13	9	241	304	367	-1.3	+1.9	1.1	pk7: 4
#6Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 7 projected seasons	7	3,199	60	78	221	304	344	-19	+0	2.1	2.1
	/162	664	12	16	221	304	344	-4.0	+0.0	0.4	pk7: 2

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Nicolas Barrios (OGILVIE)	18	—	—	—	—	158/289/197	39	240	0	6	29%	14%	46	-0.3	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Juan Villavicencio 2023 · A	18	43	40→50	55	41	205/263/297	92	301	7	14	33%	7%	53	-1.5	187/262/281	94	277	7	12	32%	8%	50	-1.8	192/266/303	111	286	10	18	34%	8%	55	-0.5
✕Luis Liberato 2015 · A	19	37→47	37→55	52→50	43	181/245/254	73	265	4	14	32%	7%	35	-2.8	201/256/305	104	305	6	9	33%	7%	52	-1.6	237/280/389	152	300	18	5	27%	6%	82	+0.3
✕Alberto Rodriguez 2019 · A	18	40→50	40→50	51→50	43	198/259/283	85	277	8	16	30%	7%	48	-1.9	217/273/320	103	296	8	14	28%	7%	63	-0.8	218/277/350	132	309	11	7	31%	7%	70	-0.3
✕Yeremy Cabrera 2023 · A	18	37→41	38→45	53→55	48	181/263/262	81	241	5	13	26%	8%	46	-2.0	206/287/315	109	272	10	17	26%	9%	69	-0.4	200/284/304	104	268	11	24	28%	8%	63	-0.5
●Akil Baddoo 2017 · A	18	38→48	39→55	53→55	40	182/252/261	79	299	6	12	39%	8%	40	-2.4	204/278/316	112	294	7	12	30%	9%	65	-0.7	240/322/392	152	311	15	24	26%	11%	100	+1.2
✕Henry Ramos 2023 · A	18	37	34→45	55	45	175/253/225	50	259	2	17	31%	8%	31	-3.0	179/240/248	69	278	4	16	35%	7%	30	-3.1	199/257/269	70	294	5	20	32%	6%	41	-1.0
●Eliezer Álvarez 2013 · A	18	38→48	37→45	46→55	47	183/255/256	73	241	5	11	25%	8%	40	-2.4	207/259/305	98	267	5	11	23%	6%	53	-1.5	254/308/362	108	342	5	19	26%	6%	87	+0.4
✕Iverson Leonardo 2021 · A	19	45	40→50	47→50	44	211/284/318	107	303	5	9	30%	8%	68	-0.5	190/267/305	115	300	11	8	37%	8%	59	-1.1	154/245/264	110	254	11	8	41%	8%	37	-0.7
✕Carlos Jimenez 2022 · A	19	38→43	42→55	53→50	44	188/268/290	102	278	10	11	34%	8%	55	-1.4	201/284/321	120	321	11	16	37%	9%	69	-0.4	229/308/399	169	310	21	18	31%	9%	95	+0.9
✕Hector Osorio 2023 · A	18	47	37→45	47→50	48	219/301/296	77	303	4	8	27%	9%	70	-0.3	210/316/279	69	269	4	14	21%	11%	73	-0.1	220/318/345	125	249	16	10	18%	10%	88	+0.4
✕Ramón Flores 2010 · A	18	38→48	36→45	46→50	47	182/254/249	67	244	3	8	25%	8%	37	-2.6	219/274/305	86	283	5	9	23%	7%	59	-1.1	251/324/348	97	299	8	8	18%	9%	88	+0.6
✕Enmanuel Valdez 2017 · A	18	40→44	43→55	51→45	46	198/264/316	118	245	9	7	23%	7%	59	-1.1	188/250/298	110	251	9	7	28%	7%	49	-1.8	220/285/398	178	263	24	8	26%	8%	87	+0.7
✕Victor Arias 2022 · A	18	43→45	38→45	46→50	44	201/275/277	76	311	6	9	35%	9%	54	-1.4	211/298/310	99	331	7	14	35%	9%	72	-0.2	226/292/355	129	316	11	14	30%	7%	77	+0.1
✕Jorge Burgos 2021 · A	18	43→52	36→50	51→45	43	201/265/280	79	293	2	10	30%	7%	50	-1.8	231/294/317	86	328	5	6	29%	8%	71	-0.3	229/296/316	87	321	6	4	28%	8%	69	-0.3
✕Argenis Aldazoro 2011 · A	18	39	37→55	56→50	40	184/248/267	83	281	2	8	33%	7%	40	-2.4	181/235/271	90	247	6	8	28%	5%	34	-2.8	194/220/316	122	252	12	8	28%	3%	36	-0.8
●Jorbit Vivas 2019 · A	18	41→51	35→45	51→50	46	190/270/254	64	256	2	15	24%	7%	46	-2.0	231/300/330	99	282	6	10	19%	6%	79	+0.3	245/326/365	120	273	11	9	14%	7%	96	+1.4
✕Shed Long Jr. 2014 · A	18	44→47	38→50	46→50	41	211/266/287	76	294	6	6	29%	6%	52	-1.6	206/257/295	89	285	7	8	29%	6%	50	-1.7	233/295/385	151	314	17	11	30%	7%	87	+0.6
✕Leopoldo Correa 2010 · A	18	41	42→45	50→30	48	197/280/305	107	291	9	5	33%	10%	63	-0.8	210/272/297	87	263	6	3	21%	7%	57	-1.2	212/269/300	89	261	8	0	21%	6%	53	-0.5
✕Ceddanne Rafaela 2019 · A	18	42→48	39→55	51→55	40	205/251/286	81	270	6	16	26%	5%	45	-2.1	206/254/321	115	262	11	14	25%	5%	56	-1.3	247/287/396	150	298	15	20	22%	4%	88	+0.7
✕Juan Lagares 2007 · A	18	42→52	40→45	53→50	41	203/261/302	99	285	6	11	30%	6%	53	-1.5	203/241/283	80	277	4	10	27%	4%	39	-2.5	261/302/366	105	316	7	13	19%	4%	83	+0.3