Jose Pirela — OGILVIE

Jose PirelaOF Hill City Howlers

Age 20 L/R 6'3" / 181 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION287 act + 191 ros · stats below = ROS only

wRC+†39

AVG/OBP/SLG.168 / .243 / .267

PA191

HR3

SB7

K%37

BB%5

BABIP262

ISO99

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit

Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT25

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE25

scouting grade only

SPEED50

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-4M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Viewactual = stats as recorded (prior seasons combined) + projected real-world MLB lines · MLE = level/park-neutral translations

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Red	—	185	159	25	8	1	1	14	60	8	8	3	157	260	239	499	82	235	32	8	226	31	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Red	—	185	148	40	11	1	6	25	40	8	8	3	270	403	480	883	209	321	22	14	386	154	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	188	167	19	4	1	5	11	90	8	3	5	114	204	240	444	126	189	48	6	189	3	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	188	161	30	7	2	7	17	61	8	3	5	186	296	385	681	199	242	32	9	304	91	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	360	324	42	11	4	2	17	171	15	13	8	130	208	207	415	77	258	48	5	187	1	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	360	316	65	15	7	3	25	118	15	13	8	206	295	326	621	120	312	33	7	282	74	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ 2026 Season (ACT · ROS-MLE · ROS-CTX · FULL)
YTD	20	A	CLE	—	287	258	46	7	1	7	16	102	11	16	8	178	256	295	551	116	258	36	6	239	41	-19	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
YTD	20	A	CLE	—	287	247	56	9	1	8	27	72	11	16	8	227	330	368	698	142	284	25	9	318	101	+0	+0	+0	-2	+8	0.7
ROS	20	A	CLE	0%	191	172	29	6	1	3	10	71	7	7	3	168	243	267	510	99	258	37	5	236	39	-13	+0	+0	-1	+5	-0.9
ROS	20	MLB	CLE	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		—		—		259	—	—	210	19	—	—	+0	-0	—	—
FULL	20	A	CLE	—	287	259	46	7	1	7	16	102	11	16	8	178	256	293	550	116	257	36	6	239	41	-19	+0	+0	-2	+8	-1.3
TOT	20	A	CLE	—	478	430	75	13	2	10	26	173	18	23	11	174	251	284	534	109	260	36	5	238	40	-32	+0	+0	-3	+14	-2.2
▸ 2027+ Projections WITH CONTEXT · MLB TIME ONLY ⓘPARK-NEUTRAL MLE · ALL-LEVEL PT ⓘ
2027	21	MLB	CLE	34%	528	475	86	16	3	11	32	184	16	12	6	181	256	297	553	116	262	35	6	250	50	-30	+0	+0	-3	+15	-1.9
2028	22	MLB	CLE	48%	542	487	91	17	3	12	34	181	16	12	6	187	263	308	571	121	266	33	6	261	58	-26	+0	+0	-3	+15	-1.4
2029	23	MLB	CLE	54%	564	506	98	19	3	14	37	183	16	12	6	194	270	326	596	132	268	32	7	269	64	-23	+0	+0	-3	+16	-1.1
2030	24	MLB	CLE	55%	586	525	102	19	3	15	39	188	17	12	6	194	272	328	600	133	269	32	7	273	67	-22	+0	+0	-4	+17	-0.9
2031	25	MLB	CLE	56%	598	536	106	20	3	16	40	191	17	12	6	198	275	336	611	138	269	32	7	275	69	-21	+0	+0	-4	+17	-0.8
2032	26	MLB	CLE	60%	602	539	106	20	3	16	41	192	17	12	6	197	275	334	609	137	269	32	7	276	69	-21	+0	+0	-4	+17	-0.8
2027	21	MLB	CLE	34%	181	162	30	6	1	4	11	63	6	4	2	185	263	309	571	123	263	35	6	228	32	-14	+0	+0	-1	+5	-1.0
2028	22	MLB	CLE	48%	263	236	45	8	2	6	17	88	8	6	3	191	268	318	586	127	266	33	6	240	42	-17	+0	+0	-2	+7	-1.2
2029	23	MLB	CLE	54%	306	274	53	10	2	7	20	99	9	6	3	193	271	321	592	128	268	32	7	248	48	-18	+0	+0	-2	+9	-1.1
2030	24	MLB	CLE	55%	325	291	57	11	2	8	22	104	9	7	4	196	273	330	603	134	270	32	7	253	51	-18	-0	+0	-2	+9	-1.1
2031	25	MLB	CLE	56%	335	299	60	11	2	9	23	107	10	7	4	201	280	341	621	140	270	32	7	254	53	-18	-0	+0	-2	+9	-1.1
2032	26	MLB	CLE	60%	361	323	63	12	2	9	25	115	10	7	4	195	274	328	602	133	270	32	7	255	53	-19	-0	+0	-2	+10	-1.1
▸ Career Totals
Career	—			—	1771	1586	308	58	11	43	118	576	52	37	20	194	272	326	598	132	271	33	7	248	48	-104	-1	+0	-11	+50	-6.6
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	113	21	4	16	43	211	19	14	7	194	272	326	598	132	270	32	7	248	48	-38	+0	+0	-4	+18	-2.4
Career	—			—	4344	3890	704	140	25	95	275	1511	137	103	55	181	259	303	562	122	263	35	6	255	53	-231	-1	+0	-26	+123	-13.8
/ 162G	—			—	650	582	105	21	4	14	41	226	20	15	8	180	258	302	560	122	263	35	6	255	53	-35	-0	+0	-4	+18	-2.1

Historical Stats — Raw (Per Stint)

Actual MLB + MiLB stats as they happened, one row per stint at each level. Use this to see what really got recorded; the table above shows MLB-equivalent translations + projections.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
2023	17	ROK	DSL Guardians Red	—	185	148	40	11	1	6	25	40	8	8	3	270	403	480	883	209	321	22	14	386	154	+11	+0	—	—	+5	1.7
2024	18	ROK	ACL Guardians	—	188	161	30	7	2	7	17	61	8	3	5	186	296	385	681	199	242	32	9	304	91	-2	-1	—	—	+5	0.2
2025	19	A	Lynchburg Hillcats	—	360	316	65	15	7	3	25	118	15	13	8	206	295	326	621	120	312	33	7	282	74	-11	-1	—	—	+10	-0.1

Career Comps

Retired MLB careers whose totals most resemble what we're projecting for this player. Top row of each card is career totals; bottom row is per-162-game rates. Pool: 727 completed hitter careers (2000-2024).

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	YRS	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Michael Saunderslast yr '17 career totals — 8 seasons, 2,711 PA	8	2,711	81	55	233	305	399	-12	-13	4.1	4.5
	/162	664	20	13	233	305	399	-2.9	-3.2	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Pokey Reeselast yr '04 career totals — 5 seasons, 1,914 PA	5	1,914	29	78	242	303	347	-6	+6	2.7	2.7
	/162	664	10	27	242	303	347	-2.0	+2.2	1.0	pk7: 3
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	7	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
#3Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	/162	664	9	2	230	279	335	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	7	1,564	45	13	236	292	400	-11	-6	1.3	1.3
#4Jake Cavelast yr '24 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,564 PA	/162	664	19	6	236	292	400	-4.5	-2.5	0.6	pk7: 1
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	6	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
	/162	664	16	13	232	299	363	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	7	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
	/162	664	7	14	231	275	323	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	4	2,091	47	43	189	263	315	-13	+0	-5.2	-2.6
	/162	664	15	14	189	263	315	-4.0	+0.0	-1.6	pk7: 0

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Jose Pirela (OGILVIE)	20	25	30	50	25	174/251/284	109	260	10	23	36%	5%	40	-2.2	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕Danyer Sanabria 2022 · A	20	35	41→45	48→45	33	176/220/268	92	284	9	7	40%	5%	27	-3.3	201/249/292	91	324	6	5	37%	6%	45	-2.1	197/243/294	97	309	5	3	36%	5%	39	-0.8
✕Vicmal De La Cruz 2014 · A	20	39	38→40	47→50	39	189/242/268	78	269	6	5	31%	6%	37	-2.7	186/245/258	72	280	3	6	32%	6%	36	-2.7	147/214/205	58	225	0	6	32%	6%	7	-1.5
✕Kentrell Dewitt 2011 · A	20	39	39→45	50→45	37	186/251/272	87	310	7	13	40%	7%	43	-2.2	206/267/288	82	330	5	10	36%	7%	53	-1.5	224/279/336	112	327	7	9	32%	6%	66	-0.4
✕Didimo Bracho 2017 · A	20	35	37→30	48→60	34	172/222/242	69	271	5	13	37%	5%	21	-3.7	195/244/300	105	293	8	6	34%	5%	46	-2.0	181/230/321	140	251	11	3	32%	5%	41	-0.6
✕Enger Jimenez 2014 · A	19	34	41→40	47→50	35	176/222/272	96	262	8	9	35%	5%	29	-3.2	206/257/299	93	278	6	10	26%	5%	51	-1.7	216/268/312	96	280	5	12	23%	5%	56	-0.5
✕Miguel Rodriguez 2007 · A	20	35	37→45	48→45	34	175/223/246	71	263	5	6	34%	4%	23	-3.6	209/264/290	81	278	5	5	25%	5%	52	-1.6	217/275/301	85	280	4	3	23%	5%	58	-0.5
✕David Berres 2008 · A	21	37	34→30	47→45	36	176/234/223	47	286	2	10	37%	6%	22	-3.7	208/278/264	56	288	3	7	26%	8%	51	-1.7	214/295/252	38	292	3	6	25%	10%	52	-0.9
✕Hector Hernandez 2015 · A	19	36	35→30	50→45	39	172/233/229	57	260	2	8	33%	6%	23	-3.6	188/259/249	61	277	2	8	30%	7%	40	-2.4	176/255/229	53	257	1	8	29%	8%	31	-1.1
✕Leandro Pineda 2023 · A	21	36→39	39→45	47→45	42	172/250/266	95	272	5	6	36%	8%	41	-2.3	201/268/322	121	279	12	6	31%	7%	63	-0.9	202/271/322	120	261	12	6	26%	7%	62	-0.5
✕Sandy Acevedo 2013 · A	20	41	41→45	50	40	196/269/296	100	293	8	11	34%	7%	56	-1.3	199/266/318	119	286	10	9	32%	7%	61	-1.0	149/220/307	158	194	15	9	31%	7%	36	-0.7
✕Cristhian Vasquez 2017 · A	20	32	38→30	49→50	42	161/225/240	79	224	6	8	30%	7%	23	-3.6	195/251/268	73	259	4	9	25%	6%	40	-2.4	190/244/248	58	247	2	11	22%	5%	30	-1.4
✕Max White 2014 · A	20	35→42	37→45	45→60	32	163/218/233	70	305	5	11	46%	6%	17	-4.0	185/247/279	94	351	7	21	45%	7%	42	-2.3	200/266/317	117	319	9	30	38%	7%	57	-0.8
✕Luis Mendez 2023 · A	20	38	42→40	48→50	37	191/246/297	106	283	10	10	35%	6%	46	-2.0	188/254/269	81	273	6	11	31%	8%	43	-2.2	188/248/267	80	251	6	13	26%	7%	37	-1.1
✕Jose Cordoba 2023 · A	20	37	41→45	44→55	39	187/251/282	95	271	10	9	33%	6%	46	-2.0	202/259/294	92	279	6	11	28%	6%	51	-1.7	199/258/292	93	268	4	15	26%	6%	47	-0.8
✕Shalin Polanco 2023 · A	19	36→21	39→45	47→50	37	178/232/259	81	273	7	10	36%	6%	30	-3.1	186/247/307	121	297	13	12	40%	7%	50	-1.7	168/233/292	124	263	15	12	40%	7%	38	-1.5
✕Roberto Reyes 2009 · A	20	36	35→40	52→55	39	168/240/232	64	278	2	8	37%	7%	27	-3.3	188/254/272	84	309	5	11	38%	7%	43	-2.2	180/243/261	81	275	6	10	35%	6%	33	-1.1
✕Junior Amarante 2014 · A	19	36	34→30	48→55	38	172/234/221	50	281	2	11	37%	7%	21	-3.7	204/262/252	48	306	1	16	31%	6%	41	-2.3	205/264/235	30	306	0	22	30%	5%	33	-0.9
✕Michael De La Cruz 2016 · A	20	41	36→40	45→50	44	192/261/262	70	277	4	9	30%	8%	43	-2.2	192/257/257	65	308	3	10	35%	8%	40	-2.4	156/232/188	31	269	0	14	38%	9%	10	-1.5
✕Jose Meza 2023 · A	20	41→34	41→45	48→50	40	199/264/295	96	283	9	10	32%	6%	54	-1.4	202/295/301	99	301	9	8	33%	10%	69	-0.4	182/291/276	94	275	9	10	33%	11%	61	-0.6
✕Rubel Cespedes 2022 · A	21	34→44	39→45	49→40	36	170/224/255	86	263	7	6	37%	6%	26	-3.4	215/264/318	103	309	9	4	32%	6%	59	-1.1	218/267/322	104	302	10	3	30%	6%	59	-0.8