Jose Pirela

OF Hill City Howlers
Age 21 L/R 6'3" / 181 lbs A Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2037
Overview
APROSPECTMiLBFA 2038
MLB%0%
YearAgeLvl / TeamPAAVG/OBP/SLGHRSBwRC+WARMLE AVG/OBP/SLG
202418ROKCLE188.186/.296/.3857317—.114/.204/.240
202519ALynchburg Hil…360.206/.295/.32631324—.146/.225/.229
202620A+/ACLE465.238/.333/.411161760—.189/.268/.319
2027PROJMLE21MLBCLE575.180/.251/.293111154-0.7
2028PROJ34% MLB22MLBCLE145.186/.259/.3073361-0.5
Next 2 projected WAR -1.2Projected rows: MLB playing time only, park and league context applied.
ContractESTIMATED
Control thru2037Service0.0First FA2038
2027MiLB2028MiLB2029Ext$0.0M2030Ext$0.0M2031Ext$0.0M2032Ext$0.9M2033Ext$0.9M2034Ext$1.0M+3
Skills · percentileMiLB Statcast 2026 A+
wOBA94
ISO94
wRC+93
BB%57
Z-Con%54
Whiff%52
Career WAR0.0 WAR median (P10 -0.2 / P90 0.2, comp-based) · star 1% · didn't stick 93%
CompsCole Roederer (age 21) · Iverson Leonardo (age 21) · Rubel Cespedes (age 21)
2027 FULL-SEASON PROJECTIONpark-neutral Marcel · 210 proj PA
wRC+†54
AVG/OBP/SLG.178 / .249 / .290
PA210
HR4
K%34
BB%6
ISO113
MLB%0%
Value2027 · WAR
BAT: -11.5 runs (wOBA-derived runs vs avg)-12BATRUN: +0.0 runs (SB/CS + UBR baserunning)+0RUNFLD: +0.0 runs (Defensive runs vs avg)+0FLDPOS: -1.3 runs (Positional adjustment)-1POSREP: +4.5 runs (Replacement-level credit)+5REPTotal WAR: -0.70-0.7WAR
trajectory · projected WAR by year
-0.7-0.52728
Tools · ContractCON 25 / POW 30
Toolsscout grade
CONTACT25
scouting grade only
POWER30
scouting grade only
EYE25
scouting grade only
SPEED50
scouting grade only
Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)
Status   MiLB
MLB Debut   2032
Service   0 yrs (est)
Team Control Through   2037
First FA Year   2038
YearStatusSalary Proj WAR Value Surplus
2027MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2028MiLBstill in minors · estimated debut 2032
2029Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2030Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2031Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2032Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2033Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2037Extbeyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals $0.0M $0.0M +$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.
basis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

YearAge LvlTeam MLB% PAAB H2B3BHR BBSOHBP SBCS AVGOBPSLGOPS ISOBABIP K%BB% wOBAwRC+ BATRUNFLDPOSREP WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
202317 ROKDSL Guardians Red — 185148 401116 25408 83 270403480883 209321 2214 386 40 — — — — — —
202418 ROKACL Guardians — 188161 30727 17618 35 186296385681 199242 329 304 17 — — — — — —
202519 ALynchburg Hillcats — 360316 651573 2511815 138 206295326621 120312 337 282 24 — — — — — —
202620 A+Lake County Captains — 9885 26715 12251 01 306398588986 282382 2612 427 117 — — — — — —
202620 AHill City Howlers — 367319 7011111 339412 179 219316364680 144272 269 308 45 — — — — — —
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 185156 24711 17508 83 154271231501 77192 279 227 40 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 188167 19415 11898 35 114204240444 126181 476 194 17 — — — — — —
202519 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 360323 471152 1816215 138 146225229454 84268 455 204 24 — — — — — —
202620 A+ MLELake County Captains — 9888 23614 9321 01 261337489825 227349 339 341 117 — — — — — —
202620 A MLEHill City Howlers — 367329 56818 2312812 179 170250274524 103238 356 234 45 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 185156 24711 17508 83 154271231501 77211 279 227 40 — — — — — —
202317 ROK RAWDSL Guardians Red — 185148 401116 25408 83 270403480883 209321 2214 386 40 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 188167 19415 11898 35 114204240444 126187 476 194 17 — — — — — —
202418 ROK RAWACL Guardians — 188161 30727 17618 35 186296385681 199242 329 304 17 — — — — — —
202519 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 360323 471152 1816215 138 146225229454 84276 455 204 24 — — — — — —
202519 A RAWLynchburg Hillcats — 360316 651573 2511815 138 206295326621 120312 337 282 24 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 465417 7914212 3215913 1710 189268319587 129269 347 257 60 — — — — — —
202620 A RAW2 teams — 465404 9618216 4511913 1710 238333411744 173294 2610 333 60 — — — — — —
202317 ROK MLEDSL Guardians Red — 185158 24711 17508 83 152271228499 76192 279 227 40 — — — — — —
202418 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 188167 19415 11898 35 114204240444 126181 476 194 17 — — — — — —
202519 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 360324 471152 1816215 138 145225228453 83268 455 204 24 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 465417 7914212 3215913 1710 189268319587 129261 347 257 60 — — — — — —
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons)
202418 ROK MLEACL Guardians — 188167 19415 11898 35 114204240444 126181 476 194 17 — — — — — —
202519 A MLELynchburg Hillcats — 360324 471152 1816215 138 145225228453 83268 455 204 24 — — — — — —
202620 A MLE2 teams — 465417 7914212 3215913 1710 189268319587 129261 347 257 60 — — — — — —
▸ 2027 season
▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability)
202721 MLB MLECLE 0% 575521 9419411 3519614 116 180251293544 113259 346 248 54 -32 -0 +0 -3 +12 -0.7
▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
202822 MLB MLECLE 34% 423383 711439 2713910 95 186259309568 123262 336 258 61 -20 -0 +0 -3 +9 -1.4
202822 MLB CTXCLE 34% 145131 25513 9484 32 186259307566 121262 336 257 61 -7 -0 +0 -1 +3 -0.5
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career— A+C — 145131 25513 9484 32 191264313577 122272 336 257 46 -7 -0 +0 -1 +3 -0.5
/ 162G— A+C — 650587 11122413 4021518 139 189262307568 118270 336 257 46 -31 -1 +0 -4 +14 -2.2
Career— MLE — 18311636 274571333 11867059 5433 167249279527 111254 376 236 46 -31 -0 +0 -4 +14 -2.2
/ 162G— MLE — 650581 9820512 4223821 1912 169250282533 114255 376 236 46 -32 -0 +0 -4 +14 -2.3

How the minor-league lines were translated

One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.

2026 AHill City Howlers · 367 PAwOBA .301 → .234 (−67)K% 25.6% → 34.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.61%÷1.000×1.360——34.83%
BB% (unintentional) /PA8.72%÷1.000×0.690—×1.0306.20%
HBP% /PA3.27%—×0.780—×1.0302.63%
Singles /BIP20.89%÷1.000×0.920×0.950×1.03018.80%
Doubles /BIP4.89%÷1.000×0.830×0.950×1.0303.97%
Triples /BIP0.44%÷1.000×0.910×0.950×1.0300.40%
Home runs /BIP4.89%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0304.03%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .301 → .234; ISO .144 → .109; BABIP .272 → .238. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2026 A+Lake County Captains · 98 PAwOBA .416 → .341 (−75)K% 25.5% → 32.4%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA25.51%÷1.000×1.270——32.40%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.24%÷1.000×0.710—×1.0429.06%
HBP% /PA1.02%—×0.790—×1.0420.84%
Singles /BIP21.67%÷1.000×0.920×1.012×1.04221.01%
Doubles /BIP11.67%÷1.000×0.810×1.012×1.0429.96%
Triples /BIP1.67%÷1.000×0.850×1.012×1.0421.49%
Home runs /BIP8.33%÷1.000×0.800—×1.0426.95%

Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.8 → +4.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.012.

Result: wOBA .416 → .341; ISO .282 → .225; BABIP .382 → .349. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2025 ALynchburg Hillcats · 360 PAwOBA .278 → .204 (−73)K% 32.8% → 45.1%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.78%÷0.989×1.360——45.06%
BB% (unintentional) /PA6.94%÷0.975×0.690—×1.0455.14%
HBP% /PA4.17%—×0.780—×1.0453.40%
Singles /BIP20.20%÷1.071×0.920×0.950×1.04517.22%
Doubles /BIP7.58%÷0.921×0.830×0.950×1.0456.78%
Triples /BIP3.54%÷1.020×0.910×0.950×1.0453.13%
Home runs /BIP1.52%÷1.184×0.800—×1.0451.07%

Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 137, 1B 114, 2B 84, 3B 104, K 98, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .278 → .204; ISO .120 → .086; BABIP .312 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2024 ROKACL Guardians · 188 PAwOBA .299 → .194 (−106)K% 32.4% → 47.3%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA32.45%÷0.988×1.440——47.29%
BB% (unintentional) /PA9.04%÷0.998×0.620—×1.0225.74%
HBP% /PA4.26%—×0.720—×1.0223.13%
Singles /BIP14.00%÷0.982×0.820×0.950×1.02211.35%
Doubles /BIP7.00%÷1.054×0.720×0.950×1.0224.64%
Triples /BIP2.00%÷0.935×0.720×0.950×1.0221.50%
Home runs /BIP7.00%÷0.984×0.780—×1.0225.67%

Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 97, 1B 96, 2B 111, 3B 87, K 98, BB 100 — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.

Result: wOBA .299 → .194; ISO .199 → .126; BABIP .242 → .181. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).

2023 DSLDSL Guardians Red · 185 PAwOBA .383 → .227 (−157)K% 21.6% → 26.8%
ComponentRawPark ÷Level factor ×GB/FB ×Age ×= MLE
K% /PA21.62%÷0.984×1.220——26.81%
BB% (unintentional) /PA12.97%÷1.015×0.700—×1.0229.15%
HBP% /PA4.32%—×0.700—×1.0223.10%
Singles /BIP20.37%÷1.060×0.680×0.966×1.02212.90%
Doubles /BIP10.19%÷0.987×0.600×0.966×1.0226.11%
Triples /BIP0.93%÷0.900×0.600×0.966×1.0220.61%
Home runs /BIP5.56%÷2.400×0.470—×1.0221.11%

Factors used: level-wide DSL factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 380, 1B 112, 2B 97, 3B 80, K 97, BB 103 — applied at half strength. Age: age 17 vs a level average of 18.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.966.

Result: wOBA .383 → .227; ISO .209 → .081; BABIP .321 → .192. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).