Luis Mendez — OGILVIE

Luis Mendez3B Fresno Grizzlies

Age 23 L/R 5'11" / 157 lbs A HR +30%H +12% Svc 0.0 · Ctrl thru 2036

2026 ROS PROJECTION261 act + 10 ros · stats below = ROS only

showingROS

wRC+†55

AVG/OBP/SLG.111 / .200 / .111

PA10

HR0

K%30

BB%10

BABIP285

ISO82

MLB%0%

Value2026 · WAR

━ projected WAR━ paid WAR ($/8M) surplus deficit-$2M ctrl surplus

Tools · ContractCON 45 / POW 30

Toolsscout grade

CONTACT45

scouting grade only

POWER30

scouting grade only

EYE45

scouting grade only

SPEED55

scouting grade only

Contract ESTIMATED · service-time + WAR-based estimator (needs verification)

Status MiLB

MLB Debut 2031

Service 0 yrs (est)

Team Control Through 2036

First FA Year 2037

Year	Status	Salary	Proj WAR	Value	Surplus
2026	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2027	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2028	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2029	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2030	MiLB	still in minors · estimated debut 2031
2031	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2032	Pre-Arb	$0.9M	—	—	—
2033	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2034	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2035	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
2036	Ext	beyond projection horizon · no WAR estimate
Totals		$0.0M		$-1M	+$0.0M

Career Stats + Projections

Real MLB stats plus park-adjusted projections — this season (so far / rest / full), then future seasons and career totals.

show model inputsbasis chips: RAW = as recorded · CTX = with park/league context · A+C = actual + context combined · MLE = level/park-neutral

Methodology▸ how these numbers are built

All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2026 = actual YTD + projected ROS + total. 2027+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.

Year	Age	Lvl	Team	MLB%	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	HBP	SB	CS	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	BABIP	K%	BB%	wOBA	wRC+	BAT	RUN	FLD	POS	REP	WAR
▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments)
2021	18	ROK	DSL Colorado	—	224	194	51	10	4	5	22	48	6	12	6	263	356	433	789	170	322	21	10	350	123	+6	+0	—	—	+5	1.1
2022	19	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	221	197	50	9	3	6	18	57	4	8	4	254	329	421	750	168	324	26	8	332	111	+3	+0	—	—	+5	0.8
2023	20	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	223	183	38	6	1	0	36	51	3	7	4	208	347	251	598	44	288	23	16	290	82	-5	-0	—	—	+5	-0.0
2023	20	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	102	93	21	2	2	2	9	28	0	4	2	226	294	355	649	129	302	27	9	292	84	-2	+0	—	—	+2	0.0
2024	21	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	297	69	10	4	5	34	67	3	14	5	232	317	343	661	111	281	20	10	295	86	-6	+1	—	—	+7	0.2
2025	22	A	Fresno Grizzlies	—	25	23	3	1	0	0	2	10	0	0	1	130	200	174	374	43	231	40	8	180	8	-3	-0	—	—	+1	-0.3
2025	22	ROK	ACL Rockies	—	162	139	37	7	6	1	19	22	0	9	1	266	354	424	779	158	305	14	12	338	115	+3	+1	—	—	+4	0.8
▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents)
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	224	203	39	7	3	3	13	69	6	12	6	192	261	300	562	108	256	31	6	241	49	-14	+0	—	—	+5	-0.9
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	221	204	35	6	2	4	11	84	4	8	4	172	228	279	508	108	251	38	5	223	37	-17	+0	—	—	+5	-1.2
2023	20	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	223	192	34	5	1	0	27	69	3	7	4	177	288	214	502	36	271	31	12	235	45	-15	-0	—	—	+5	-1.0
2023	20	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	102	96	14	1	1	1	6	40	0	4	2	146	196	208	404	62	234	39	6	185	11	-11	+0	—	—	+2	-0.9
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	309	62	8	3	5	22	89	3	14	5	201	260	294	555	94	251	26	6	241	49	-21	+1	—	—	+7	-1.3
2025	22	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	25	24	2	1	0	0	1	14	0	0	1	83	120	125	245	42	197	56	4	111	-39	-4	-0	—	—	+1	-0.4
2025	22	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	162	147	29	5	4	1	11	32	0	9	1	197	253	306	559	109	229	20	7	239	48	-10	+1	—	—	+4	-0.5
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	224	203	39	7	3	3	13	69	6	12	6	192	261	300	562	108	271	31	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK RAW	DSL Colorado	—	224	194	51	10	4	5	22	48	6	12	6	263	356	433	789	170	322	21	10	350	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	221	204	35	6	2	4	11	84	4	8	4	172	228	279	508	108	263	38	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK RAW	ACL Rockies	—	221	197	50	9	3	6	18	57	4	8	4	254	329	421	750	168	324	26	8	332	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	325	289	47	6	2	1	32	110	3	11	6	163	253	208	461	45	258	34	10	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A RAW	2 teams	—	325	276	59	8	3	2	45	79	3	11	6	214	330	286	616	72	292	24	14	291	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	309	62	8	3	5	22	89	3	14	5	201	260	294	555	94	261	26	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A RAW	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	297	69	10	4	5	34	67	3	14	5	232	317	343	661	111	281	20	10	295	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	187	171	31	6	4	1	12	46	0	9	2	181	235	281	516	99	238	25	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK RAW	2 teams	—	187	162	40	8	6	1	21	32	0	9	2	247	333	389	722	142	298	17	11	317	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
2021	18	ROK MLE	DSL Colorado	—	224	203	39	7	3	3	13	69	6	12	6	192	261	300	562	108	256	31	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2022	19	ROK MLE	ACL Rockies	—	221	204	35	6	2	4	11	84	4	8	4	172	228	279	508	108	251	38	5	223	37	—	—	—	—	—	—
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	325	287	47	6	2	1	32	110	3	11	6	164	253	209	462	45	259	34	10	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	314	62	8	3	5	22	89	3	14	5	197	260	290	550	92	251	26	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	187	173	31	6	4	1	12	46	0	9	2	179	235	277	512	98	225	25	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons + 2026 so far)
2023	20	A MLE	2 teams	—	325	287	47	6	2	1	32	110	3	11	6	164	253	209	462	45	259	34	10	219	35	—	—	—	—	—	—
2024	21	A MLE	Fresno Grizzlies	—	342	314	62	8	3	5	22	89	3	14	5	197	260	290	550	92	251	26	6	241	49	—	—	—	—	—	—
2025	22	ROK MLE	2 teams	—	187	173	31	6	4	1	12	46	0	9	2	179	235	277	512	98	225	25	6	222	36	—	—	—	—	—	—
YTD	23	A MLE	COL	—	261	232	46	7	1	2	23	72	2	9	4	198	276	263	539	65	277	28	9	238	47	-16	+0	+0	+1	+6	-1.0
▸ 2026 season
YTD	23	A RAW	COL	—	261	223	50	8	1	2	32	54	2	9	4	224	327	296	623	72	286	21	12	288	47	—	—	—	—	—	—
ROS	23	A MLE	COL	0%	10	9	1	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0	111	200	111	311		270	30	10	249	55	-1	+0	+0	+0	+0	-0.0
TOT	23	A MLE	COL	—	271	241	47	7	1	2	24	75	2	9	4	195	273	257	531	62	273	28	9	238	48	-17	+0	+0	+1	+6	-1.0
▸ Career projection (2027+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%)
2027	24	MLB MLE	COL	30%	282	255	54	9	2	4	23	73	2	6	2	212	282	310	592	98	273	26	8	263	64	-12	+0	+0	+1	+6	-0.5
2028	25	MLB MLE	COL	44%	350	316	67	11	2	6	29	90	2	7	3	212	282	316	599	104	275	26	8	272	70	-12	+0	+0	+1	+8	-0.3
2029	26	MLB MLE	COL	51%	394	355	77	13	3	7	33	100	3	8	3	217	289	330	619	113	276	25	8	277	74	-12	+0	+0	+1	+9	-0.2
2030	27	MLB MLE	COL	52%	413	372	81	13	3	8	35	105	3	9	3	218	290	333	624	116	276	25	8	278	74	-13	+1	+0	+1	+9	-0.2
2031	28	MLB MLE	COL	53%	423	381	82	13	3	8	36	108	3	8	3	215	288	328	616	113	275	26	9	277	74	-13	+0	-1	+2	+9	-0.3
2032	29	MLB MLE	COL	57%	421	379	80	13	3	7	36	108	3	8	3	211	285	317	601	106	274	26	9	275	72	-14	+0	-1	+2	+9	-0.4
2027	24	MLB CTX	COL	30%	85	77	17	3	1	1	7	22	1	2	1	221	294	325	619	104	288	26	8	273	64	-4	+0	+0	+0	+2	-0.1
2028	25	MLB CTX	COL	44%	154	139	31	5	1	3	13	39	1	3	1	223	294	338	632	115	290	25	8	282	70	-5	+0	+0	+1	+3	-0.1
2029	26	MLB CTX	COL	51%	200	180	41	7	2	4	17	51	1	4	2	228	298	356	654	128	291	26	8	287	74	-6	+0	+0	+1	+4	-0.1
2030	27	MLB CTX	COL	52%	216	194	45	8	2	4	18	55	2	4	2	232	304	356	659	124	291	25	8	288	74	-7	+0	+0	+1	+5	-0.1
2031	28	MLB CTX	COL	53%	225	202	47	8	2	5	19	57	2	4	2	233	305	366	671	134	291	25	8	287	74	-7	+0	-0	+1	+5	-0.2
2032	29	MLB CTX	COL	57%	240	215	49	8	2	5	21	62	2	5	2	228	303	353	656	126	290	26	9	285	72	-8	+0	-1	+1	+5	-0.3
▸ Career Totals
▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected)
Career	—	A+C		—	1120	1007	230	39	10	22	95	286	9	22	10	228	301	353	653	124	295	26	8	285	61	-37	+0	-1	+4	+24	-1.0
/ 162G	—	A+C		—	650	584	134	23	6	13	55	166	5	13	6	229	301	356	657	127	297	26	8	285	61	-21	+0	-1	+2	+14	-0.6
Career	—	MLE		—	3592	3243	656	105	30	54	283	985	32	100	40	202	273	303	576	101	271	27	8	258	61	-77	+2	-2	+8	+50	-1.9
/ 162G	—	MLE		—	650	587	119	19	5	10	51	178	6	18	7	203	274	303	577	101	270	27	8	258	61	-22	+1	-1	+2	+14	-0.5

PLAYER · career totals + /162 games	162s	PA	HR	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	POS	FLD	WAR	JAWS
#1Chris Owingslast yr '22 career totals — 9 seasons, 2,420 PA	3.6	2,420	35	78	239	286	365	+13	-0	3.7	4.5
/162	664	10	21	+3.6	-0.1	1.0	pk7: 5
#2Adam Engellast yr '22 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,540 PA	2.3	1,540	30	47	225	280	350	+4	+33	4.1	4.1
/162	664	13	20	+1.8	+14.4	1.8	pk7: 4
#3Adam Rosaleslast yr '17 career totals — 9 seasons, 1,756 PA	2.6	1,756	47	16	227	293	367	+6	+8	3.0	3.5
/162	664	18	6	+2.4	+3.0	1.1	pk7: 4
#4Ryan Goinslast yr '19 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,680 PA	2.5	1,680	22	6	230	279	335	+9	+21	2.0	2.0
/162	664	9	2	+3.7	+8.5	0.8	pk7: 2
#5Nick Senzellast yr '24 career totals — 6 seasons, 1,633 PA	2.5	1,633	40	33	232	299	363	+6	-14	0.9	0.9
/162	664	16	13	+2.4	-5.8	0.4	pk7: 1
OGOGILVIE CAREER PROJECTION career totals — every cell rolls up across 4 projected seasons	2.0	1,328	21	27	212	280	317	+5	+2	-0.5	-0.2
/162	664	11	13	+2.4	+1.0	-0.2	pk7: 0
#6Alexi Amaristalast yr '17 career totals — 7 seasons, 1,901 PA	2.9	1,901	21	39	231	275	323	+14	-6	-1.1	-1.1
/162	664	7	14	+4.9	-2.1	-0.4	pk7: -1

Career Path Comps

What happened to players with a similar stat profile at this age · Y-axis: wRC+ (100 = league avg, 150 = elite, 80 = below) · Bands: P10–P90 outer, P25–P75 inner · Gold: OGILVIE projection

		Scouting				At Match Age									Next 3 Yrs									Peak 3 Yrs
Comp	Age	HIT	PWR	SPD	EYE	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR	AVG/OBP/SLG	ISO	BABIP	HR	SB	K%	BB%	wRC+	WAR
Luis Mendez (OGILVIE)	23	45	30	55	45	198/266/272	75	270	2	5	27%	8%	55	-0.7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
✕River Town 2022 · A	23	43→38	37→40	54→50	43	203/281/276	74	285	3	12	28%	7%	61	-1.5	210/295/314	104	266	10	15	23%	8%	76	-0.4	205/297/303	98	254	9	15	22%	9%	73	-0.4
✕Stephen Gaylor 2015 · A	23	47	37→30	52→55	39	219/266/296	77	308	4	9	29%	5%	59	-1.7	229/281/281	52	297	1	16	22%	6%	61	-1.5	228/281/269	40	297	1	19	22%	6%	54	-0.9
✕Kier Meredith 2022 · A	22	42	36→30	51→60	45	197/268/264	67	279	4	12	29%	8%	53	-2.1	210/306/281	71	297	4	26	28%	9%	73	-0.6	226/338/275	49	304	3	35	23%	10%	81	-0.0
✕Jake Thomas 2016 · A	23	44	39→30	49→50	47	210/289/293	83	281	7	8	26%	8%	68	-1.0	206/288/273	67	306	2	8	30%	10%	63	-1.3	200/292/257	57	304	1	8	30%	11%	59	-0.8
✕Wang-Wei Lin 2011 · A	23	47→53	36→30	50	47	219/286/279	61	282	4	11	23%	8%	63	-1.3	228/301/300	72	297	4	9	23%	8%	74	-0.6	230/307/298	68	298	4	9	22%	8%	72	-0.5
✕Miguel Arrendell 2011 · A	23	43	38→30	50	50	204/283/278	75	275	5	13	26%	9%	62	-1.4	220/277/315	95	278	8	8	22%	7%	68	-1.0	233/284/329	97	269	9	2	17%	6%	70	-0.3
✕Julio Gonzalez 2018 · A	23	48	35→30	55→50	50	223/288/289	66	286	2	12	22%	8%	66	-1.1	206/269/276	70	268	2	8	22%	8%	56	-1.9	173/238/228	55	217	0	5	19%	8%	31	-1.0
✕Patrick Biondi 2015 · A	24	45→44	36→30	50→60	45	211/269/279	67	280	3	15	25%	7%	57	-1.8	231/285/297	66	308	3	25	24%	7%	66	-1.1	238/295/292	55	316	2	32	24%	7%	66	-0.7
✕Michael DeJesus 2006 · A	23	43→51	36→30	50→45	50	200/287/267	67	290	3	11	30%	10%	61	-1.5	224/299/284	60	278	4	7	19%	10%	70	-0.9	229/306/285	57	278	4	5	17%	10%	70	-0.6
✕Elias Arias 2016 · A	22	45	36→30	46→55	46	211/274/274	63	275	4	13	24%	7%	57	-1.8	200/254/283	83	304	6	9	34%	6%	52	-2.2	161/210/245	83	254	7	9	38%	5%	23	-0.9
✕Jake Peter 2016 · A	23	48→55	37→40	54→50	43	228/272/302	73	290	3	12	22%	5%	62	-1.4	234/282/319	85	314	7	9	26%	6%	70	-0.8	231/282/318	87	316	8	8	28%	6%	68	-0.8
✕Cam Coursey 2022 · A	23	44	38→40	52→55	48	208/273/289	81	264	5	16	22%	8%	61	-1.5	211/287/288	77	276	4	10	23%	9%	66	-1.1	197/290/254	56	258	2	4	22%	10%	59	-0.7
✕Alvaro Rondon 2015 · A	24	45	36→30	53→55	41	214/255/286	72	286	3	10	26%	5%	52	-2.2	225/270/293	68	293	2	16	22%	6%	59	-1.6	244/285/300	56	307	0	27	19%	5%	65	-0.4
✕Casey Turgeon 2016 · A	23	45	37→40	50→45	53	210/297/285	75	261	4	9	20%	10%	70	-0.9	208/293/302	94	266	7	7	23%	10%	72	-0.7	199/289/298	99	252	9	5	23%	10%	68	-0.5
✕Dallas Poulk 2011 · A	23	42	40→30	50	43	204/262/298	93	276	7	8	28%	7%	59	-1.7	209/274/277	68	295	3	9	27%	8%	58	-1.7	202/272/261	59	288	1	8	28%	8%	51	-1.5
✕Devyn Bolasky 2016 · A	23	45	37→30	47→45	50	211/281/283	72	255	4	12	18%	8%	62	-1.4	232/280/308	76	279	3	7	17%	6%	67	-1.1	252/294/321	69	299	1	3	15%	5%	71	-0.3
✕James Rapoport 2008 · A	23	43→53	34→40	53→55	42	201/250/254	53	275	2	18	27%	6%	43	-2.8	232/285/300	68	291	4	16	20%	6%	67	-1.1	246/303/314	68	296	4	13	17%	7%	74	-0.5
✕Branden Cogswell 2015 · A	22	43→46	36→30	50→45	46	205/273/271	66	268	4	8	24%	7%	57	-1.8	216/278/276	60	299	3	6	26%	8%	59	-1.7	221/282/269	48	303	1	5	25%	8%	56	-1.3
✕Raynel Delgado 2023 · AA	23	41→51	40	48→60	43	198/267/286	88	277	7	15	30%	7%	59	-1.7	226/290/318	92	312	8	23	28%	7%	74	-0.6	236/299/323	88	323	7	32	27%	7%	75	-0.4
✕Nate Sutton 2006 · A	23	46→56	37→40	51→50	47	216/279/292	75	281	3	12	23%	7%	63	-1.4	239/287/335	96	295	8	16	21%	6%	76	-0.4	253/299/329	76	307	4	17	18%	6%	76	-0.4

Career Stats + Projections

Career Comps

Career Path Comps