Jordan Viars
OF Jersey Shore BlueClaws| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 20 | APHI | 327 | .214/.317/.343 | 6 | 6 | 49 | — | .185/.273/.289 |
| 2024 | 21 | A+/APHI | 370 | .232/.337/.422 | 14 | 2 | 47 | — | .165/.249/.293 |
| 2025 | 22 | A+PHI | 100 | .138/.190/.202 | 1 | 1 | -33 | — | .104/.140/.167 |
| 2027PROJMLE | 24 | MLBPHI | 200 | .187/.253/.308 | 5 | 3 | 57 | -0.1 | |
| 2028PROJ30% MLB | 25 | MLBPHI | 25 | .193/.259/.325 | 1 | 0 | 62 | -0.1 |
Tools · Contract
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 64 | 47 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 255 | 426 | 468 | 894 | 213 | 257 | 19 | 17 | 385 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 28 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 208 | 296 | 208 | 505 | 312 | 32 | 7 | 238 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 179 | 154 | 37 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 40 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 240 | 335 | 331 | 666 | 91 | 304 | 22 | 9 | 304 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 327 | 280 | 60 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 88 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 214 | 317 | 343 | 660 | 129 | 287 | 27 | 8 | 300 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 105 | 89 | 16 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 41 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 180 | 284 | 247 | 532 | 67 | 286 | 39 | 10 | 247 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 265 | 226 | 57 | 14 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 81 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 252 | 357 | 491 | 849 | 239 | 333 | 31 | 11 | 372 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 100 | 94 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 138 | 190 | 202 | 392 | 64 | 218 | 38 | 5 | 183 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 64 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 344 | 412 | 756 | 196 | 210 | 27 | 11 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 28 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 160 | 222 | 160 | 382 | 298 | 43 | 4 | 200 | 22 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 179 | 160 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 169 | 244 | 237 | 482 | 69 | 230 | 32 | 6 | 209 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 327 | 287 | 53 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 117 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 185 | 273 | 289 | 562 | 105 | 268 | 36 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 105 | 93 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 52 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 140 | 216 | 204 | 420 | 65 | 233 | 50 | 7 | 184 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 265 | 235 | 41 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 112 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 174 | 262 | 328 | 590 | 153 | 276 | 42 | 8 | 258 | 61 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 100 | 96 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 140 | 167 | 307 | 62 | 185 | 50 | 3 | 120 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 64 | 51 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 216 | 344 | 412 | 756 | 196 | 235 | 27 | 11 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK RAW | FCL Phillies | — | 64 | 47 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 255 | 426 | 468 | 894 | 213 | 257 | 19 | 17 | 385 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 185 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 70 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 168 | 241 | 227 | 468 | 59 | 248 | 34 | 6 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 207 | 178 | 42 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 49 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 236 | 330 | 315 | 645 | 79 | 305 | 24 | 9 | 295 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 327 | 287 | 53 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 117 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 185 | 273 | 289 | 562 | 105 | 287 | 36 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A RAW | Clearwater Threshers | — | 327 | 280 | 60 | 16 | 1 | 6 | 27 | 88 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 214 | 317 | 343 | 660 | 129 | 287 | 27 | 8 | 300 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 328 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 165 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 159 | 244 | 277 | 521 | 119 | 270 | 45 | 8 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 370 | 315 | 73 | 14 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 122 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 232 | 337 | 422 | 759 | 190 | 321 | 33 | 11 | 336 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 100 | 96 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 140 | 167 | 307 | 62 | 200 | 50 | 3 | 120 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ RAW | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 100 | 94 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 138 | 190 | 202 | 392 | 64 | 218 | 38 | 5 | 183 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 18 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 64 | 54 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 204 | 344 | 389 | 733 | 185 | 210 | 27 | 11 | 309 | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 207 | 187 | 31 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 70 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 166 | 241 | 225 | 466 | 59 | 239 | 34 | 6 | 208 | 27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 20 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 327 | 289 | 53 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 117 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 183 | 273 | 287 | 560 | 104 | 268 | 36 | 6 | 240 | 49 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 330 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 165 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 158 | 244 | 276 | 520 | 118 | 264 | 45 | 8 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 100 | 96 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 140 | 167 | 307 | 62 | 185 | 50 | 3 | 120 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 370 | 330 | 52 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 165 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 158 | 244 | 276 | 520 | 118 | 264 | 45 | 8 | 237 | 47 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 100 | 96 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 50 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 104 | 140 | 167 | 307 | 62 | 185 | 50 | 3 | 120 | -33 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ 2027 season | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ 2027 — full MLE projection (neutral park, full availability) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2027 | 24 | MLB MLE | PHI | 0% | 200 | 182 | 34 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 64 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 187 | 253 | 308 | 560 | 121 | 254 | 32 | 7 | 253 | 57 | -10 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +4 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career projection (2028+) — MLB context, MLB playing time (PA × MLB%) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2028 | 25 | MLB MLE | PHI | 30% | 81 | 74 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 191 | 258 | 318 | 576 | 127 | 257 | 31 | 7 | 259 | 62 | -4 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +2 | -0.2 |
| 2028 | 25 | MLB CTX | PHI | 30% | 25 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 193 | 259 | 325 | 584 | 133 | 257 | 32 | 8 | 263 | 62 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ Career totals — MLB only (actual + projected) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | A+C | — | 25 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 280 | 391 | 671 | 174 | 286 | 32 | 8 | 263 | 41 | -1 | +0 | +0 | -0 | +1 | -0.1 | |
| / 162G | — | A+C | — | 650 | 598 | 130 | 26 | 0 | 26 | 52 | 208 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 217 | 280 | 391 | 671 | 174 | 286 | 32 | 8 | 263 | 41 | -30 | +0 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -2.0 | |
| Career | — | MLE | — | 1196 | 1064 | 178 | 32 | 4 | 23 | 79 | 459 | 36 | 18 | 6 | 167 | 249 | 270 | 518 | 102 | 260 | 38 | 7 | 229 | 41 | -6 | +0 | +0 | -1 | +3 | -0.4 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 578 | 96 | 17 | 2 | 12 | 43 | 249 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 166 | 248 | 265 | 513 | 99 | 258 | 38 | 7 | 229 | 41 | -31 | +2 | +0 | -4 | +14 | -1.9 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2025 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 100 PAwOBA .178 → .120 (−58)K% 38.0% → 49.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 38.00% | ÷1.002 | ×1.310 | — | — | 49.66% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 5.00% | ÷1.093 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 2.78% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.00% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 0.78% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷0.966 | ×0.870 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 15.67% |
| Doubles /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.073 | ×0.780 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 1.26% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.150 | ×0.850 | ×0.963 | ×1.012 | 1.29% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.79% | ÷1.045 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 1.52% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 109, 1B 93, 2B 115, 3B 130, K 100, BB 119 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.963.
Result: wOBA .178 → .120; ISO .064 → .042; BABIP .218 → .185. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 AClearwater Threshers · 265 PAwOBA .363 → .258 (−105)K% 30.6% → 42.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.57% | ÷0.982 | ×1.360 | — | — | 42.32% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.94% | ÷0.973 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 7.88% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.64% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 2.09% |
| Singles /BIP | 20.00% | ÷1.042 | ×0.920 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 17.02% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.66% | ÷0.938 | ×0.830 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 8.24% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.38% | ÷1.132 | ×0.910 | ×0.950 | ×1.015 | 1.07% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.28% | ÷1.115 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 6.03% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 123, 1B 108, 2B 88, 3B 126, K 96, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .363 → .258; ISO .239 → .159; BABIP .333 → .276. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 105 PAwOBA .249 → .184 (−65)K% 39.0% → 50.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 39.05% | ÷1.023 | ×1.310 | — | — | 50.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.48% | ÷0.972 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.027 | 6.64% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.90% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.027 | 1.51% |
| Singles /BIP | 29.17% | ÷1.035 | ×0.870 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 23.91% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.946 | ×0.850 | ×0.950 | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 4.17% | ÷0.926 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.027 | 4.06% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 85, 1B 107, 2B 100, 3B 89, K 105, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .249 → .184; ISO .067 → .060; BABIP .286 → .233. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AClearwater Threshers · 327 PAwOBA .294 → .240 (−54)K% 26.9% → 35.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 26.91% | ÷1.020 | ×1.360 | — | — | 35.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.26% | ÷0.972 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.030 | 6.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.59% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.030 | 3.69% |
| Singles /BIP | 19.27% | ÷0.965 | ×0.920 | ×0.997 | ×1.030 | 18.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.33% | ÷1.002 | ×0.830 | ×0.997 | ×1.030 | 7.09% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.52% | ÷1.056 | ×0.910 | ×0.997 | ×1.030 | 0.46% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.12% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.030 | 2.58% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 100, 1B 93, 2B 100, 3B 111, K 104, BB 94 — applied at half strength. Age: age 20 vs a level average of 22.0 → +3.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.997.
Result: wOBA .294 → .240; ISO .129 → .100; BABIP .287 → .268. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 ROKFCL Phillies · 179 PAwOBA .301 → .209 (−92)K% 22.3% → 32.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 22.35% | ÷1.004 | ×1.440 | — | — | 32.04% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.50% | ÷0.989 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.008 | 6.00% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.79% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.008 | 2.03% |
| Singles /BIP | 24.56% | ÷0.981 | ×0.820 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 19.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.26% | ÷1.178 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 3.08% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.88% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | ×0.950 | ×1.008 | 0.60% |
| Home runs /BIP | 1.75% | ÷0.947 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.008 | 1.46% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 89, 1B 96, 2B 136, 3B 100, K 101, BB 98 — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 19.5 → +0.8% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.5 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.950.
Result: wOBA .301 → .209; ISO .091 → .060; BABIP .304 → .230. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AClearwater Threshers · 28 PAwOBA .241 → .200 (−41)K% 32.1% → 43.7%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 32.14% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 43.71% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.045 | 5.15% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.57% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.045 | 2.91% |
| Singles /BIP | 33.33% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | ×1.045 | 32.05% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.045 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 19 vs a level average of 22.0 → +4.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (3.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .241 → .200; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .312 → .298. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Phillies · 64 PAwOBA .394 → .309 (−85)K% 18.8% → 27.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 18.75% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 27.00% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 17.19% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×1.022 | 10.90% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.69% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 3.45% |
| Singles /BIP | 22.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×1.022 | 19.16% |
| Doubles /BIP | 2.86% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 2.10% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×1.022 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.57% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.022 | 6.84% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 18 vs a level average of 19.5 → +2.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .394 → .309; ISO .213 → .181; BABIP .257 → .210. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).