Rixon Wingrove
| Year | Age | Lvl / Team | PA | AVG/OBP/SLG | HR | SB | wRC+ | WAR | MLE AVG/OBP/SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 23 | AA/A+/INTL2 orgs | 630 | .249/.338/.421 | 20 | 8 | 77 | — | .188/.255/.336 |
| 2024 | 24 | A+/A/INTL2 orgs | 423 | .252/.341/.453 | 17 | 1 | 80 | — | .181/.259/.337 |
| 2025 | 25 | INTLBrisbane Band… | 162 | .292/.386/.518 | 7 | 6 | 149 | — |
Career Stats + Projections
Methodology▸ how these numbers are built
All seasons translated to park-neutral MLB-equivalent (MLE) and combined per year. 2027 = full-season projection (no games played yet). 2028+ via Advanced Marcel + aging curve.
| Year | Age | Lvl | Team | MLB% | PA | AB | H | 2B | 3B | HR | BB | SO | HBP | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | ISO | BABIP | K% | BB% | wOBA | wRC+ | BAT | RUN | FLD | POS | REP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ Career — actual stats, one row per stint (as recorded, no adjustments) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | — | 87 | 79 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 241 | 310 | 342 | 652 | 101 | 321 | 25 | 9 | 297 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | INTL | Sydney Blue Sox | — | 16 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 267 | 312 | 467 | 779 | 200 | 273 | 19 | 6 | 343 | 118 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK | GCL Phillies West | — | 203 | 178 | 53 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 298 | 378 | 500 | 878 | 202 | 350 | 19 | 11 | 383 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 130 | 112 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 39 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 232 | 328 | 348 | 676 | 116 | 324 | 30 | 12 | 306 | 93 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 77 | 72 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 289 | 597 | 887 | 347 | 306 | 39 | 4 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 321 | 287 | 59 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 98 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 206 | 285 | 373 | 658 | 167 | 267 | 31 | 8 | 295 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK | FCL Phillies | — | 25 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 158 | 360 | 158 | 518 | 231 | 24 | 20 | 278 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 252 | 219 | 55 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 87 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 251 | 349 | 466 | 815 | 215 | 358 | 35 | 10 | 362 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A | Clearwater Threshers | — | 31 | 27 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 111 | 226 | 148 | 374 | 37 | 214 | 42 | 10 | 191 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 135 | 122 | 34 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 279 | 343 | 516 | 860 | 238 | 341 | 24 | 7 | 373 | 139 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 55 | 47 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 128 | 241 | 191 | 432 | 64 | 179 | 35 | 13 | 209 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 418 | 366 | 90 | 20 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 123 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 246 | 337 | 434 | 771 | 189 | 326 | 29 | 10 | 343 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 157 | 138 | 41 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 297 | 374 | 464 | 838 | 167 | 339 | 17 | 10 | 369 | 136 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 84 | 76 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 224 | 298 | 447 | 745 | 224 | 222 | 20 | 8 | 329 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 187 | 159 | 42 | 11 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 40 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 264 | 371 | 497 | 868 | 233 | 304 | 21 | 13 | 381 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | INTL | Adelaide Giants | — | 152 | 134 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 254 | 329 | 403 | 732 | 149 | 265 | 13 | 10 | 322 | 104 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL | Brisbane Bandits | — | 162 | 137 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 292 | 386 | 518 | 904 | 226 | 317 | 19 | 11 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career — adjusted (every ACTUAL line translated to park/league-neutral MLB equivalents) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies West | — | 87 | 82 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 171 | 218 | 244 | 462 | 73 | 269 | 37 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | GCL Phillies West | — | 203 | 186 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 55 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 204 | 264 | 339 | 602 | 134 | 260 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 321 | 294 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 134 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 153 | 219 | 276 | 495 | 122 | 237 | 42 | 6 | 216 | 32 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | ROK MLE | FCL Phillies | — | 25 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 95 | 240 | 95 | 335 | 186 | 36 | 12 | 187 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 252 | 230 | 44 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 15 | 111 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 191 | 262 | 374 | 636 | 183 | 303 | 44 | 6 | 272 | 70 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A MLE | Clearwater Threshers | — | 31 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 71 | 161 | 107 | 268 | 36 | 191 | 58 | 6 | 128 | -27 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | AA MLE | Reading Fightin Phils | — | 55 | 49 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 122 | 204 | 184 | 387 | 61 | 173 | 42 | 9 | 169 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | Jersey Shore BlueClaws | — | 418 | 382 | 75 | 15 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 162 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 196 | 262 | 356 | 618 | 160 | 285 | 39 | 6 | 265 | 65 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A+ MLE | Cedar Rapids Kernels | — | 84 | 78 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 154 | 214 | 282 | 496 | 128 | 183 | 26 | 6 | 229 | 41 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | Fort Myers Mighty Mussels | — | 187 | 166 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 55 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 193 | 280 | 361 | 641 | 169 | 246 | 29 | 9 | 283 | 78 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 103 | 97 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 175 | 223 | 247 | 471 | 72 | 271 | 36 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 103 | 94 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 245 | 311 | 362 | 672 | 117 | 313 | 24 | 9 | 304 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 305 | 62 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 90 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 203 | 261 | 334 | 596 | 131 | 264 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK RAW | 2 teams | — | 333 | 290 | 79 | 21 | 2 | 8 | 38 | 77 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 272 | 359 | 441 | 800 | 169 | 341 | 23 | 11 | 353 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL MLE | Adelaide Giants | — | 77 | 72 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 289 | 597 | 887 | 347 | 306 | 39 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2020 | 20 | INTL RAW | Adelaide Giants | — | 77 | 72 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 289 | 597 | 887 | 347 | 306 | 39 | 4 | 375 | 140 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 315 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 143 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 152 | 224 | 267 | 491 | 114 | 241 | 41 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A RAW | 2 teams | — | 346 | 306 | 62 | 13 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 104 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 203 | 291 | 359 | 650 | 157 | 264 | 30 | 9 | 293 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 418 | 382 | 67 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 25 | 191 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 175 | 245 | 332 | 577 | 157 | 290 | 46 | 6 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 418 | 368 | 92 | 20 | 3 | 17 | 39 | 133 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 250 | 338 | 459 | 797 | 209 | 342 | 32 | 9 | 353 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 630 | 574 | 106 | 19 | 2 | 20 | 40 | 247 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 185 | 251 | 329 | 580 | 145 | 276 | 39 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ RAW | 3 teams | — | 630 | 551 | 137 | 31 | 2 | 20 | 63 | 169 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 249 | 338 | 421 | 759 | 172 | 319 | 27 | 10 | 338 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 423 | 382 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 120 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 186 | 258 | 348 | 606 | 162 | 223 | 28 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A RAW | 3 teams | — | 423 | 369 | 93 | 21 | 1 | 17 | 46 | 77 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 252 | 341 | 453 | 794 | 201 | 272 | 18 | 11 | 350 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL MLE | Brisbane Bandits | — | 162 | 137 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 292 | 386 | 518 | 904 | 226 | 317 | 19 | 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025 | 25 | INTL RAW | Brisbane Bandits | — | 162 | 137 | 40 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 30 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 292 | 386 | 518 | 904 | 226 | 317 | 19 | 11 | 389 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2018 | 18 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 103 | 96 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 177 | 223 | 250 | 473 | 73 | 269 | 36 | 6 | 205 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2019 | 19 | ROK MLE | 2 teams | — | 333 | 306 | 62 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 90 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 203 | 261 | 333 | 595 | 131 | 260 | 27 | 7 | 262 | 63 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2021 | 21 | A MLE | 2 teams | — | 346 | 314 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 143 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 153 | 224 | 268 | 491 | 115 | 233 | 41 | 6 | 214 | 31 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2022 | 22 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 418 | 380 | 67 | 8 | 2 | 16 | 25 | 191 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 176 | 245 | 334 | 579 | 158 | 291 | 46 | 6 | 256 | 60 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2023 | 23 | A+ MLE | 3 teams | — | 630 | 574 | 106 | 19 | 2 | 20 | 40 | 247 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 185 | 251 | 329 | 580 | 145 | 272 | 39 | 6 | 254 | 58 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 423 | 383 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 120 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 258 | 347 | 605 | 162 | 226 | 28 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Model inputs — neutral MLE (past 3 seasons) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2024 | 24 | A MLE | 3 teams | — | 423 | 383 | 71 | 15 | 1 | 15 | 33 | 120 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 185 | 258 | 347 | 605 | 162 | 226 | 28 | 8 | 266 | 66 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| ▸ Career Totals | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Career | — | MLE | — | 2492 | 2264 | 429 | 88 | 8 | 80 | 169 | 888 | 38 | 25 | 10 | 189 | 257 | 341 | 599 | 152 | 265 | 36 | 7 | 226 | 39 | -182 | +1 | +0 | -45 | +54 | -17.5 | |
| / 162G | — | MLE | — | 650 | 591 | 112 | 23 | 2 | 21 | 44 | 232 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 190 | 257 | 342 | 599 | 152 | 265 | 36 | 7 | 226 | 39 | -47 | +0 | +0 | -12 | +14 | -4.6 | |
How the minor-league lines were translated
One row per minor-league stint. Open a row to see each step: the raw rate, the park adjustment, the league/level factor, the age adjustment (hitters) and the resulting MLE rate. Factors are the same ones listed on the MLE Factors page.
2024 AFort Myers Mighty Mussels · 187 PAwOBA .373 → .283 (−90)K% 21.4% → 29.3%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 21.39% | ÷0.994 | ×1.360 | — | — | 29.27% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.83% | ÷0.976 | ×0.690 | — | ×0.980 | 8.89% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.60% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×0.980 | 1.23% |
| Singles /BIP | 18.49% | ÷1.096 | ×0.920 | ×1.004 | ×0.980 | 15.27% |
| Doubles /BIP | 9.24% | ÷1.019 | ×0.830 | ×1.004 | ×0.980 | 7.41% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.84% | ÷0.962 | ×0.910 | ×1.004 | ×0.980 | 0.78% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.72% | ÷0.962 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.980 | 5.48% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 92, 1B 119, 2B 104, 3B 92, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.0 → −2.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (2.0 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.004.
Result: wOBA .373 → .283; ISO .233 → .181; BABIP .304 → .246. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2024 A+Cedar Rapids Kernels · 84 PAwOBA .320 → .229 (−91)K% 20.2% → 26.4%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 20.24% | ÷0.972 | ×1.270 | — | — | 26.44% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 8.33% | ÷1.043 | ×0.710 | — | ×0.988 | 5.60% |
| HBP% /PA | 1.19% | — | ×0.790 | — | ×0.988 | 0.93% |
| Singles /BIP | 16.95% | ÷0.984 | ×0.920 | ×0.957 | ×0.988 | 14.98% |
| Doubles /BIP | 3.39% | ÷1.119 | ×0.810 | ×0.957 | ×0.988 | 2.32% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.146 | ×0.850 | ×0.957 | ×0.988 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 8.47% | ÷1.191 | ×0.800 | — | ×0.988 | 5.62% |
Factors used: league row Midwest League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 138, 1B 97, 2B 124, 3B 129, K 94, BB 109 — applied at half strength. Age: age 24 vs a level average of 22.8 → −1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.957.
Result: wOBA .320 → .229; ISO .224 → .142; BABIP .222 → .183. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 418 PAwOBA .335 → .265 (−71)K% 29.4% → 38.8%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 29.43% | ÷0.993 | ×1.310 | — | — | 38.81% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.81% | ÷0.973 | ×0.600 | — | ×0.998 | 6.04% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.15% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×0.998 | 1.65% |
| Singles /BIP | 21.81% | ÷1.006 | ×0.870 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 19.77% |
| Doubles /BIP | 8.23% | ÷1.034 | ×0.780 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 6.51% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.82% | ÷1.071 | ×0.850 | ×1.050 | ×0.998 | 0.68% |
| Home runs /BIP | 6.17% | ÷0.858 | ×0.880 | — | ×0.998 | 6.32% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 72, 1B 101, 2B 107, 3B 114, K 99, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 22.8 → −0.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.2 yr older than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.050.
Result: wOBA .335 → .265; ISO .189 → .164; BABIP .326 → .285. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2023 AAReading Fightin Phils · 55 PAwOBA .208 → .169 (−39)K% 34.5% → 42.1%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.55% | ÷1.000 | ×1.220 | — | — | 42.13% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 12.73% | ÷0.975 | ×0.700 | — | ×1.027 | 9.38% |
| HBP% /PA | 0.00% | — | ×0.850 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.86% | ÷1.017 | ×0.970 | — | ×1.027 | 17.50% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷0.999 | ×0.860 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.005 | ×0.950 | — | ×1.027 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 3.57% | ÷1.050 | ×0.780 | — | ×1.027 | 2.72% |
Factors used: league row EL. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 110, 1B 103, 2B 100, 3B 101, K 100, BB 95 — applied at half strength. Age: age 23 vs a level average of 24.8 → +2.7% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.8 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .208 → .169; ISO .064 → .046; BABIP .179 → .173. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 A+Jersey Shore BlueClaws · 252 PAwOBA .352 → .272 (−81)K% 34.5% → 44.2%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 34.52% | ÷1.022 | ×1.310 | — | — | 44.23% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 10.32% | ÷1.057 | ×0.600 | — | ×1.012 | 5.93% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.78% | — | ×0.770 | — | ×1.012 | 2.16% |
| Singles /BIP | 25.76% | ÷1.044 | ×0.870 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 21.88% |
| Doubles /BIP | 5.30% | ÷0.987 | ×0.780 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 4.27% |
| Triples /BIP | 1.52% | ÷0.966 | ×0.850 | ×1.007 | ×1.012 | 1.36% |
| Home runs /BIP | 9.09% | ÷0.881 | ×0.880 | — | ×1.012 | 9.19% |
Factors used: league row South Atlantic League. Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 76, 1B 109, 2B 97, 3B 93, K 104, BB 111 — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.8 → +1.2% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.8 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×1.007.
Result: wOBA .352 → .272; ISO .215 → .190; BABIP .358 → .303. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2022 AClearwater Threshers · 31 PAwOBA .187 → .128 (−59)K% 41.9% → 57.0%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 41.94% | ÷1.000 | ×1.360 | — | — | 57.03% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 9.68% | ÷1.000 | ×0.690 | — | — | 6.68% |
| HBP% /PA | 3.23% | — | ×0.780 | — | — | 2.52% |
| Singles /BIP | 14.29% | ÷1.000 | ×0.920 | — | — | 13.14% |
| Doubles /BIP | 7.14% | ÷1.000 | ×0.830 | — | — | 5.93% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.910 | — | — | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.800 | — | — | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 22 vs a level average of 22.0 → +0.0% on BB/HBP/hit rates (0.0 yr younger than average).
Result: wOBA .187 → .128; ISO .037 → .023; BABIP .214 → .191. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 AClearwater Threshers · 321 PAwOBA .288 → .216 (−72)K% 30.5% → 41.9%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 30.53% | ÷0.992 | ×1.360 | — | — | 41.87% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 7.79% | ÷0.980 | ×0.690 | — | ×1.015 | 5.57% |
| HBP% /PA | 2.18% | — | ×0.780 | — | ×1.015 | 1.73% |
| Singles /BIP | 17.99% | ÷1.036 | ×0.920 | ×0.996 | ×1.015 | 16.15% |
| Doubles /BIP | 6.88% | ÷0.915 | ×0.830 | ×0.996 | ×1.015 | 6.30% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.53% | ÷1.150 | ×0.910 | ×0.996 | ×1.015 | 0.42% |
| Home runs /BIP | 5.82% | ÷0.993 | ×0.800 | — | ×1.015 | 4.76% |
Factors used: level-wide A factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): HR 99, 1B 107, 2B 83, 3B 130, K 98, BB 96 — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 22.0 → +1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.0 yr younger than average). Ground-ball/fly-ball mix moves 1B/2B/3B by ×0.996.
Result: wOBA .288 → .216; ISO .167 → .122; BABIP .267 → .237. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
2021 ROKFCL Phillies · 25 PAwOBA .272 → .187 (−85)K% 24.0% → 34.6%
| Component | Raw | Park ÷ | Level factor × | GB/FB × | Age × | = MLE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K% /PA | 24.00% | ÷1.000 | ×1.440 | — | — | 34.56% |
| BB% (unintentional) /PA | 20.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.620 | — | ×0.985 | 12.21% |
| HBP% /PA | 4.00% | — | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 2.84% |
| Singles /BIP | 23.08% | ÷1.000 | ×0.820 | — | ×0.985 | 18.64% |
| Doubles /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Triples /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.720 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
| Home runs /BIP | 0.00% | ÷1.000 | ×0.780 | — | ×0.985 | 0.00% |
Factors used: level-wide ROK factors (no league-specific row for this league/era). Park (home-season share, regressed): no park row on file (treated as neutral) — applied at half strength. Age: age 21 vs a level average of 19.5 → −1.5% on BB/HBP/hit rates (1.5 yr older than average).
Result: wOBA .272 → .187; ISO .000 → .000; BABIP .231 → .186. Both wOBAs use the same linear weights, so the change is the translation alone. The MLE line is not regressed to the mean — regression happens later, when seasons are blended into a projection (how).
Not traceable per stint: some stints lack the counting stats the component translation needs. Level-wide factors that apply instead — .